On March 27, the 2026 SMM (21st) Lead & Zinc Conference and Industry Expo, organized by SMM, wrapped up successfully at Howard Johnson Agile Plaza in Chengdu, Sichuan!

Recent volatility in the Indonesian commodities sector has been driven by mixed signals regarding new fiscal policies. Market participants are currently evaluating the implications of two distinct regulatory mechanisms: a broader windfall tax on bulk commodities like coal, nickel, and a targeted export duty. The conflation of these two policies has generated significant market uncertainty, culminating in a sharp spike in global nickel prices this week. To understand the current market anxiety, which culminated in a sharp spike in global nickel prices this week, it is essential to unpack the timeline of these policy discussions, differentiate the fiscal mechanisms at play, and assess the likelihood of their implementation. Background: From Broad Windfall Deliberations to Targeted Export Tariffs The narrative surrounding new commodity taxes in Indonesia did not emerge overnight; rather, it has evolved through distinct phases of policy signaling. The current policy discourse has evolved in phases. Initial discussions, highlighted by statements from Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto on Mar 13, 2026, focused on the potential implementation of a windfall tax. This broader fiscal measure was aimed at capturing excess margins from exporters of coal, palm oil, and base metals, such as nickel, gold, and copper during periods of elevated global prices, functioning primarily as a macroeconomic revenue-generation tool. However, the conversation shifted dramatically on March 25, 2026. According to Bloomberg, news broke that Indonesia’s President had officially approved an export tax specifically targeting coal and nickel. This headline acted as an immediate catalyst, sending LME and SHFE nickel prices spiking. The confusion currently gripping the market stems from the conflation of these two distinct policy trajectories: the older, revenue-focused windfall tax concept championed by economic ministers, and the newly approved, strategically focused nickel export tax aimed at forcing further downstream industrialization. Analysis & Understanding: The Precedent of the "Windfall Tax" To accurately gauge the impact of these rumors, it is critical to understand that the concept of a "windfall tax" is not entirely unprecedented in Indonesia's regulatory framework, particularly for bulk commodities. There has actually been a windfall tax structure in place previously, though often masked under the nomenclature of progressive royalties and non-tax state revenues (PNBP). For the coal sector, the government already utilizes a tiered royalty system pegged to the Harga Batubara Acuan (HBA) benchmark. As coal prices escalate into higher brackets, the royalty percentage automatically increases, effectively acting as a windfall capture mechanism. Similarly before, the nickel sector utilizes the Domestic Benchmark Price (HPM) and associated royalty structures to adjust to global price rallies. It is crucial to note that the government has previously experimented with specific windfall profit provisions for downstream products, though the regulatory stance has recently hardened. For instance, under Government Regulation (GR) No. 26/2022, a unique windfall profit incentive was applied to nickel matte: when prices exceeded $21,000 per ton, the royalty rate was actually reduced from the standard 2% to 1%. (Old Version) However, this accommodating policy was explicitly abolished under the recent GR No. 19/2025. The removal of this incentive underscores a definitive shift toward more aggressive state revenue capture. Consequently, the recent "windfall tax" rumors primarily concern further tightening these existing brackets or introducing a supplementary surcharge on operating margins above a specific baseline. (New Version) Conversely, the newly approved nickel export tax serves a different primary function. Therefore, it is completely different than the concept of windfall tax. Rather than merely earning from peak profits, an export duty on semi-processed nickel (like NPI, MHP, FeNi, and Nickel Matte) is a structural tool designed to penalize the export of lower-value products. It is the natural continuation of Indonesia’s downstreaming ( hilirisasi ) agenda, intended to force producers to build stainless steel and EV battery precursor plants domestically in Indonesia, rather than shipping intermediate goods to other countries. While a windfall tax fluctuates with market prices, an export tax acts as a permanent structural cost added to the global supply chain. Conclusion: Imminent Implementation Amidst Ongoing Deliberations Despite definitive headlines regarding executive approval and the targeted April 1, 2026 implementation date, the exact implementation details are currently under review by the relevant ministries. Currently, specific details, including exactly how the proposed 5%, 8%, and 11% tiers might translate from coal to specific nickel material classifications (e.g., NPI, MHP, and high-grade matte), must be urgently finalized ahead of the April deadline. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM), the Ministry of Finance, and the Coordinating Ministry for Maritime and Investment Affairs are working to balance state revenue optimization with the need to maintain the global cost-competitiveness of domestic smelters. This deliberative phase should not be interpreted as a policy reversal. According to SMM's understanding and industry checks, the implementation of these fiscal measures is highly probable. While the exact rollout of tariffs may be structured to mitigate immediate operational shocks to the domestic smelting sector, the fundamental policy direction indicates that the era of tariff-free exports for intermediate nickel products might decisively coming to an end.

Among precious and rare metals, osmium is a niche yet irreplaceable material, overshadowed by gold, silver, platinum and palladium but critical for high-end industry and scientific research thanks to its unique physical and chemical properties. This report breaks down osmium’s core attributes, supply, applications and market traits to unveil the “densest natural metal”. I. Basic Profile: A Distinct Platinum Group Metal Osmium (Os, atomic number 76) is a Group Ⅷ transition metal and part of the platinum group metals (PGMs), extremely scarce in nature. It has no independent deposits, only extracted and purified via platinum ore smelting alongside platinum, iridium, ruthenium, rhodium and palladium, ruling out large-scale standalone mining. Its standout properties: unmatched density (22.59g/cm³ at 20℃, higher than gold and platinum), exceptional heat resistance (melting point 3033℃, boiling point over 5000℃), and high hardness & corrosion resistance (Mohs hardness 7). It is highly brittle with poor plasticity, mostly used in powder or alloy forms. Key Safety Warning: Osmium oxidizes to toxic, volatile osmium tetroxide (OsO₄) when heated above 100℃ in air. Full-process operations (smelting, storage, transport, processing) require inert gas protection, raising production and application thresholds. II. Supply Landscape: Extreme Scarcity & Monopolized Output Osmium is far rarer than gold and platinum, with a crustal abundance of just 0.001ppm, one of the lowest stable elements globally. Proven recoverable reserves are extremely limited and highly concentrated. Global output hinges entirely on platinum mining and smelting, staying at a tiny scale: annual global production is roughly 1 ton (data from International Platinum Group Metals Association), while China’s annual output is less than 100kg. South Africa and Russia dominate global osmium resources and smelting capacity, forming a highly monopolized, inelastic supply market. Tight supply-demand balance persists, supporting strong price resilience and volatility. III. Core Applications: High-End & Irreplaceable Scenarios Despite low production and narrow application scope, osmium is a rigid material for high-precision sectors with no low-cost substitutes, focusing on four key fields: Special Hard Alloys: Osmium-based alloys excel in hardness, wear and corrosion resistance, used for high-precision bearings (luxury watches, instruments), premium pen nibs, medical scalpels and high-end mechanical wear parts. Industrial Catalysis: Osmium and its compounds act as high-efficiency catalysts for fine chemical and organic synthesis (hydrogenation, oxidation), boosting process efficiency and product purity with stable low-volume demand. Scientific Research: Toxic osmium tetroxide is an irreplaceable stain for electron microscopy samples in materials and life sciences; high-purity osmium powder serves as a specialty lab consumable. Aerospace & Military: Leveraging high density and thermal stability, osmium is used for specialty high-temperature components, precision guidance parts and high-end electrical contacts, with high added value and growing demand amid industrial upgrading. IV. Core Market Traits Osmium is a niche PGM marked by extreme resource scarcity, monopolized inelastic supply, rigid high-end demand and total irreplaceability. Unlike bulk commodities, its market is driven by supply shifts, high-end industrial demand and compliance costs, with a small scale and low trading frequency, remaining a critical material for high-end industry and scientific research.

In the fields of precious and rare metals, compared with well-known categories such as gold, silver, and platinum-group metals, osmium has always remained a niche yet highly distinctive presence. With its unmatched physicochemical properties, it has become an indispensable key material in high-end industry and scientific research. Even though it receives limited market attention, it still possesses irreplaceable value. This article will provide a comprehensive breakdown of osmium metal, covering its basic properties, resource supply, application scenarios, and market characteristics, to offer a full understanding of this “king of density.” I. First Encounter with Osmium: A Hardcore Outlier Among the Platinum-Group Metals Osmium, with the chemical symbol Os and atomic number 76, belongs to the platinum-group metals. It is a Group VIII transition metal on the periodic table and also one of the rarest metals found in nature. As one of the six major members of the platinum-group metal family, osmium has no independent ore deposits and is commonly associated with platinum, iridium, ruthenium, rhodium, and palladium. It can only be recovered through purification during platinum ore smelting and cannot be extracted through standalone large-scale mining. This inherent characteristic directly defines its scarcity. Osmium’s physicochemical properties are truly unique in the world of metals, with highly recognizable core characteristics: first, it has the highest density in the world. Under standard conditions at 20°C, its density reaches 22.59 g/cm³, far exceeding that of gold (19.32 g/cm³) and platinum (21.45 g/cm³). It is currently the densest naturally occurring metal known, and at the same volume, it weighs far more than various conventional precious metals. Second, it demonstrates excellent high-temperature resistance, with a melting point of 3,033°C and a boiling point exceeding 5,000°C. It remains highly stable in high-temperature environments and can adapt to various industrial and scientific applications under extreme heat. Third, it has outstanding hardness and strong corrosion resistance. With a Mohs hardness of 7, it is hard, durable, and wear-resistant, and is difficult to corrode under conventional acidic or alkaline conditions. However, its drawbacks are also quite evident: it is highly brittle and has extremely poor plasticity, making it impossible to process through conventional mechanical methods, so it is mostly used in powder or alloy form. A key safety precaution must be emphasized here: when osmium metal is heated in air to above 100°C, it slowly oxidizes to form osmium tetroxide (OsO₄). This substance is highly irritating, highly volatile, and somewhat toxic. Therefore, the entire process involving osmium, including production smelting, storage and transportation, and deep processing, must be carried out under the protection of inert gas and in strict compliance with operational standards. These exceptionally high compliance and control requirements further raise the barriers to osmium’s production and application. II. Extreme Scarcity: Osmium’s Resource Endowment and Supply Landscape Osmium is far rarer than commonly recognized precious metals such as gold and platinum, and it can be regarded as a “niche treasure” in the precious metals sector. Relevant data show that the average abundance of osmium in the Earth’s crust is only about 0.001 ppm, making it one of the least abundant stable elements in the crust. Globally, identified recoverable reserves are extremely limited, and resource distribution is highly concentrated, without the formation of widely distributed ore deposits. Supply side, the scarcity of osmium is even more pronounced. As there are no standalone mines, global osmium production is entirely dependent on platinum ore mining and smelting, with capacity remaining at an extremely low level year-round. Global annual production is about 1 mt (data from the International Platinum Group Metals Association), while China’s annual production is less than 100 kg, with supply far below that of other platinum group metals. From the global supply landscape, traditional major platinum group metal-producing countries such as South Africa and Russia control the vast majority of the world’s osmium resources and smelting capacity. Industry supply shows a highly monopolized pattern, with extremely low supply elasticity. Minor changes in mining progress, geopolitical conditions, environmental protection-related controls policies, and platinum group metal smelting capacity all directly affect global osmium supply. This dual characteristic of “inherent resource scarcity + constrained supply” has kept the osmium market in a long-term tight supply-demand balance and has also given it strong price resilience and fluctuation elasticity, securing a unique position in the rare metals market. 3. Exclusive to High-End, Cutting-Edge Applications: Core Application Scenarios of Osmium Although osmium has limited production and a relatively narrow range of applications, its exceptional physical and chemical properties have enabled it to take root precisely in high-end niche fields, making it an irreplaceable core material in many advanced applications. Downstream demand is concentrated and highly rigid, with no low-cost substitutes currently available. Its core applications are mainly concentrated in four major fields: 1. Special Hard Alloys: Core Raw Material for High-End Wear-Resistant Components Osmium-based alloys made by melting osmium with metals such as iridium and platinum combine ultra-high hardness, wear resistance, and corrosion resistance, making them key core materials for high-end precision instruments. These alloys are widely used in high-precision bearings for high-end watches and precision instruments, premium fountain pen nibs, professional turntable styluses, medical precision scalpels, and high-end wear-resistant mechanical components. They can significantly improve component service life and durability, making them suitable for long-term, high-load, high-wear operating environments, and they are core wear-resistant materials in the high-end manufacturing sector. 2. Industrial Catalysis: Dedicated High-Efficiency Additive for Fine Chemicals Osmium and its compounds have excellent catalytic activity and serve as dedicated catalysts in certain fine chemical and organic synthesis reactions. Especially in special chemical processes such as hydrogenation and oxidation reactions, they offer high catalytic efficiency and strong reaction selectivity, effectively optimizing process flows and improving product purity and yield. Although the unit consumption of osmium catalysts is extremely low, they are rigid process necessities and are difficult to replace with other common metal catalysts, resulting in relatively strong downstream demand stability. 3. Scientific Research and Detection: Essential Specialty Consumable for Laboratories Although osmium tetroxide is toxic, it has irreplaceable value in scientific research. It is a high-quality staining agent for biological samples and microscopic material sections under electron microscopes, significantly enhancing the clarity and contrast of observed samples, and is an indispensable experimental reagent in frontier research fields such as materials science and life sciences. Meanwhile, high-purity osmium powder was also widely used in high-end scientific research experiments and the R&D of specialized new materials, serving as a niche but essential consumable for major research institutes and high-end laboratories. 4. High-End Specialized Fields: Core Components for Military and Aerospace Applications Leveraging its core advantages of high density, high-temperature resistance, and high stability, osmium was also applied in specialized high-temperature components for aerospace and military applications, precision guidance components, as well as niche scenarios such as high-end electrical contacts and wear-resistant coatings. These applications were all concentrated in cutting-edge, high-precision sectors. Although the volume of each individual application was small, the product value-added was extremely high. Moreover, with the technological iteration and development of high-end manufacturing and the military and aerospace industries, related demand had the potential for steady growth. IV. Summary of the Core Characteristics of the Osmium Metal Market Overall, as a rare category among platinum group metals, osmium had highly distinctive core characteristics: extreme scarcity on the resource side, highly monopolized supply with insufficient elasticity; application-side concentration in high-precision, cutting-edge fields, with rigid and irreplaceable demand; and unique physicochemical properties, combining both advantages and application barriers. Unlike the market-driven fluctuation logic of conventional bulk commodities, the osmium market was significantly affected by factors such as supply-side changes, downstream demand from high-end industries, and compliance costs. The overall market size was small, and trading frequency was relatively low, placing it in the category of niche rare precious metals. Its core value always revolved around the two key points of “scarcity” and “irreplaceability,” making it an indispensable key metal material in high-end industrial and scientific research fields.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Last Friday evening, LME copper opened at $13,474.5/mt, initially fluctuating rangebound and reaching $13,527/mt. Later, the center of copper prices gradually shifted downward, touching $13,290/mt near the end of the session, and finally closed at $13,296/mt, with a gain of 0.28%. Trading volume reached 25,300 lots, and open interest stood at 315,000 lots, down by 497 lots from the previous trading day, mainly due to bears reducing their positions. The most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 104,230 yuan/mt, quickly rising to 104,520 yuan/mt, then fluctuated downward, bottoming out at 103,100 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 103,280 yuan/mt, with a gain of 0.45%. Trading volume reached 77,700 lots, and open interest stood at 202,000 lots, down by 2,150 lots from the previous trading day, also characterized by bears reducing their positions.

[SMM Analysis: The "Key Anchor Point" in Great Power Rivalry: The US "Treasury Plan" and the Resource Reshuffle in Latin America] As the second phase of the Mirador copper mine project in Ecuador, developed by a Chinese enterprise, remains stuck in a "built but awaiting approval" deadlock, ten thousand kilometers away in Washington, the US Export-Import Bank, together with the President, is announcing a historic supply chain security initiative called the "Treasury Plan." In the pause and the start, a global covert battle over critical minerals such as copper, lithium, cobalt, and gallium is moving from behind the scenes to the forefront.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released China's purchasing managers' index (PMI) for January 2026 today (31st). The data showed that in January, China's manufacturing market demand tightened somewhat, but enterprise production maintained an expansionary trend, with the industrial structure continuing to optimize. The service sector operated relatively stably, with business expectations continuously improving. The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. The PMI for equipment manufacturing in January was 50.1%, and for high-tech manufacturing, it was 52%. Both equipment and high-tech manufacturing sectors are developing steadily and positively, with the manufacturing industrial structure continuously optimizing. Operation of China's Purchasing Managers' Index in January 2026 I. Operation of China's Manufacturing PMI In January, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a pullback in the level of manufacturing activity. By enterprise size, the PMI for large enterprises was 50.3%, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, yet still above the critical point; the PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 48.7% and 47.4% respectively, dropping by 1.1 and 1.2 percentage points from the previous month, both below the critical point. Looking at the sub-indices, among the five sub-indices constituting the manufacturing PMI, the production index and supplier delivery time index were both above the critical point, while the new orders index, raw material inventory index, and employment index were all below the critical point. The production index stood at 50.6%, a drop of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, yet still above the critical point, indicating that manufacturing production activities remained in an expansionary state. The new orders index was 49.2%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting a slowdown in manufacturing market demand. The raw material inventory index was 47.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a continued reduction in the stock of major raw materials in the manufacturing sector. The employment index was 48.1%, a decline of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, showing a slight pullback in the employment climate for manufacturing enterprises. The supplier delivery time index was 50.1%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, yet still above the critical point, indicating a continuous acceleration in the delivery times of raw material suppliers in the manufacturing sector. II. Operation of China's Non-Manufacturing PMI In January, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, a drop of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. By industry, the construction sector's business activity index was 48.8%, a decrease of 4 percentage points from the previous month; the service sector's business activity index was 49.5%, a decline of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Looking at the service sector, the business activity indices for monetary and financial services, capital market services, insurance, and other industries were all above 65.0%; while the business activity indices for wholesale, accommodation, real estate, and other industries were all below the threshold. The new orders index stood at 46.1%, down 1.2 percentage points MoM, indicating a decline in market demand prosperity in the non-manufacturing sector. By sector, the new orders index for construction was 40.1%, down 7.3 percentage points MoM; the new orders index for services was 47.1%, down 0.2 percentage points MoM. The input prices index was 50.0%, down 0.2 percentage points MoM, at the threshold, indicating that input prices for non-manufacturing enterprises' operational activities were generally flat compared to the previous month. By sector, the input prices index for construction was 52.0%, up 1.2 percentage points MoM; the input prices index for services was 49.7%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM. The selling price index was 48.8%, up 0.8 percentage points MoM, indicating that the overall decline in selling prices in the non-manufacturing sector narrowed. By sector, the selling price index for construction was 48.2%, up 0.8 percentage points MoM; the selling price index for services was 48.9%, up 0.8 percentage points MoM. The employment index was 46.1%, unchanged from the previous month, indicating that the employment prosperity of non-manufacturing enterprises was basically stable. By sector, the employment index for construction was 41.1%, up 0.1 percentage points MoM; the employment index for services was 47.0%, unchanged from the previous month. The business activity expectations index was 56.0%, down 0.5 percentage points MoM, still remaining in a high prosperity range, indicating that most non-manufacturing enterprises maintain optimistic market expectations. By sector, the business activity expectations index for construction was 49.8%, down 7.6 percentage points MoM; the business activity expectations index for services was 57.1%, up 0.7 percentage points MoM. III. Operation of China's Composite PMI Output Index In January, the composite PMI output index was 49.8%, down 0.9 percentage points MoM, indicating that the overall production and operating activities of Chinese enterprises slowed down compared to the previous month. China's Purchasing Managers' Index Pulled Back in January —Huoli Hui, Chief Statistician of the NBS Service Industry Survey Center, Interprets China's Purchasing Managers' Index for January 2026 On January 31, 2026, the NBS Service Industry Survey Center and the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing released China's Purchasing Managers' Index. In this regard, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), provided an interpretation. In January, the manufacturing PMI, non-manufacturing business activity index, and composite PMI output index registered 49.3%, 49.4%, and 49.8%, respectively, down 0.8, 0.8, and 0.9 percentage points MoM, indicating a pullback in economic prosperity. I. Manufacturing PMI Declined Slightly, While Production Continued to Expand In January, as some manufacturing industries entered the traditional off-season and effective market demand remained insufficient, the manufacturing PMI stood at 49.3%, reflecting a decline in prosperity compared to the previous month. (1) Enterprise production continued to expand. The production index was 50.6%, above the threshold, indicating sustained expansion in manufacturing production; the new orders index was 49.2%, reflecting a pullback in market demand. By sector, the production and new orders indices for agricultural and non-staple food processing, railway, ship, aerospace equipment, and other industries all exceeded 56.0%, indicating rapid release of production and demand; for petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing, automotive, and other industries, both indices were below the threshold, suggesting slowed market demand and a pullback in production in related sectors. (2) Both price indices rebounded. Influenced by factors such as recent price increases in some bulk commodities, the major raw material purchase price index and ex-factory price index registered 56.1% and 50.6%, respectively, up 3.0 and 1.7 percentage points MoM. Notably, the ex-factory price index rose above the threshold for the first time in nearly 20 months, indicating an overall improvement in the price level of the manufacturing market. By sector, the major raw material purchase price index and ex-factory price index for non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, electrical machinery and equipment, and other industries both rose above 55.0%, reflecting overall price increases for raw material procurement and product sales in related sectors; for timber processing and furniture, petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing, and other industries, both price indices remained below the threshold. (3) The PMI for large enterprises continued to exceed the threshold. The PMI for large enterprises was 50.3%, remaining in expansion territory, with their supportive role continuing to be evident; the PMI for medium and small enterprises were 48.7% and 47.4%, respectively, down 1.1 and 1.2 percentage points MoM, indicating a pullback in their prosperity levels. (4) High-tech manufacturing continued to lead. The PMI for high-tech manufacturing was 52.0%, staying at or above the relatively high level of 52.0% for two consecutive months, indicating sustained positive development trends in related industries. The PMI for equipment manufacturing was 50.1%, remaining in expansion territory. The PMI for consumer goods and high-energy-consumption industries were 48.3% and 47.9%, respectively, reflecting a pullback in their prosperity levels. (V) Enterprise Expectations Remain Optimistic. The business activity expectations index stands at 52.6%, continuing to be above the critical point. By industry, the business activity expectations index for agricultural and sideline food processing, food and beverage refining, and tea industries has remained above 56.0% for two consecutive months, indicating strong confidence among related enterprises in the recent development of their respective industries. II. Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Pulls Back Slightly, Financial Market Activity Remains High In January, influenced by factors such as a decline in the prosperity of the construction industry, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a pullback in the overall prosperity level of the non-manufacturing sector. (I) Service Sector Prosperity Drops Back Slightly. The service sector business activity index was 49.5%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. By industry, the business activity indices for monetary financial services, capital market services, and insurance were all above 65.0%, showing high market activity; the real estate industry's business activity index fell below 40.0%, with a generally weak prosperity level. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 57.1%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that service enterprises' confidence in the near-term market development has strengthened somewhat. (II) Construction Industry Prosperity Declines. Affected by recent low temperatures and the approaching Chinese New Year holiday, construction production and operations slowed down, with the business activity index at 48.8%, down 4.0 percentage points from the previous month, marking a significant pullback in the construction industry's prosperity level. In terms of market expectations, the construction industry business activity expectations index was 49.8%, dropping below the critical point, suggesting that construction enterprises are cautious about the industry's development prospects. III. Composite PMI Output Index Slightly Below Critical Point In January, the composite PMI output index was 49.8%, down 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that overall enterprise business activities slowed down compared to the previous month. The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index, which make up the composite PMI output index, were 50.6% and 49.4%, respectively.

According to customs statistics, in the first five months of 2025, the total value of China's import and export of goods trade was 17.94 trillion yuan, up 2.5% YoY (the same hereinafter). Of this total, exports amounted to 10.67 trillion yuan, up 7.2%, while imports reached 7.27 trillion yuan, down 3.8%. In May, the total value of China's import and export of goods trade was 3.81 trillion yuan, up 2.7%. Of this total, exports amounted to 2.28 trillion yuan, up 6.3%, while imports reached 1.53 trillion yuan, down 2.1%. The main characteristics of China's import and export in the first five months are as follows: 1. Growth in import and export of Ordinary Trade and processing trade In the first five months, China's import and export of Ordinary Trade reached 11.51 trillion yuan, up 0.8%, accounting for 64.2% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports amounted to 7.04 trillion yuan, up 7%, while imports reached 4.47 trillion yuan, down 7.8%. During the same period, the import and export of processing trade reached 3.21 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, accounting for 17.9%. Of this total, exports amounted to 1.99 trillion yuan, up 4.5%, while imports reached 1.22 trillion yuan, up 9.3%. In addition, China's import and export through bonded logistics amounted to 2.54 trillion yuan, up 5.9%. Of this total, exports amounted to 1.05 trillion yuan, up 15.8%, while imports reached 1.49 trillion yuan, down 0.2%. 2. Growth in import and export with ASEAN and the EU In the first five months, ASEAN was China's largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and ASEAN reaching 3.02 trillion yuan, up 9.1%, accounting for 16.8% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports to ASEAN amounted to 1.9 trillion yuan, up 13.5%, while imports from ASEAN reached 1.12 trillion yuan, up 2.3%. The EU was China's second-largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and the EU reaching 2.3 trillion yuan, up 2.9%, accounting for 12.8%. Of this total, exports to the EU amounted to 1.57 trillion yuan, up 7.7%, while imports from the EU reached 728.33 billion yuan, down 6.1%. The US was China's third-largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and the US reaching 1.72 trillion yuan, down 8.1%, accounting for 9.6%. Of this total, exports to the US amounted to 1.27 trillion yuan, down 8.7%, while imports from the US reached 447.51 billion yuan, down 6.3%. During the same period, China's total import and export with countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 9.24 trillion yuan, up 4.2%. Of this total, exports amounted to 5.34 trillion yuan, up 10.4%, while imports reached 3.9 trillion yuan, down 3.2%. 3. Growth in import and export of private enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises In the first five months, the import and export of private enterprises reached 10.25 trillion yuan, up 7%, accounting for 57.1% of China's total foreign trade value, an increase of 2.4 percentage points compared with the same period last year. Of this total, exports amounted to RMB 6.97 trillion, up 8%, accounting for 65.4% of China's total export value. Imports reached RMB 3.28 trillion, up 4.9%, accounting for 45.1% of China's total import value. During the same period, the import and export volume of foreign-invested enterprises was RMB 5.21 trillion, up 2.3%, accounting for 29% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this, exports were RMB 2.88 trillion, up 6%, and imports were RMB 2.33 trillion, down 1.9%. The import and export volume of state-owned enterprises was RMB 2.44 trillion, down 12.7%, accounting for 13.6% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this, exports were RMB 799.4 billion, up 4.3%, and imports were RMB 1.64 trillion, down 19.1%. IV. Mechanical and electrical products accounted for 60% of exports, with growth in exports of automatic data processing equipment and its parts, integrated circuits, and automobiles. In the first five months, China exported RMB 6.4 trillion worth of mechanical and electrical products, up 9.3%, accounting for 60% of China's total export value. Of this, automatic data processing equipment and its parts were worth RMB 575.23 billion, up 3.9%; integrated circuits were worth RMB 526.4 billion, up 18.9%; and automobiles were worth RMB 351.37 billion, up 6.6%. During the same period, exports of labor-intensive products were RMB 1.66 trillion, down 1.5%, accounting for 15.6%. Of this, textiles were worth RMB 420.14 billion, up 3.7%. Exports of agricultural products were RMB 296.09 billion, up 4.7%. V. Import prices of major bulk commodities such as iron ore, crude oil, and coal fell, while the import value of mechanical and electrical products increased. In the first five months, China imported 486 million mt of iron ore, down 5.2%, with an average import price (the same hereinafter) of RMB 707.2 per mt, down 16.4%; 230 million mt of crude oil, up 0.3%, at RMB 3,864.3 per mt, down 10.6%; 189 million mt of coal, down 7.9%, at RMB 559 per mt, down 22.5%; 49.053 million mt of natural gas, down 9.5%, at RMB 3,274 per mt, down 6.8%; 37.108 million mt of soybeans, down 0.7%, at RMB 3,233.9 per mt, down 13.9%; and 15.98 million mt of refined oil products, down 26.8%, at RMB 4,323.2 per mt, down 0.1%. In addition, China imported 11.698 million mt of primary-shaped plastics, down 2.3%, at RMB 10,600 per mt, down 0.8%; and 2.169 million mt of unwrought copper and copper semis, down 6.7%, at RMB 69,400 per mt, up 6.6%. During the same period, imports of mechanical and electrical products were RMB 2.83 trillion, up 6%. SMM has compiled the import and export situation of some products in the metal industry based on data released by the General Administration of Customs, as follows: Exports: Rare earth exports in May 2025 5,864.6 mt, down 5.7% YoY from May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative exports reached 248,270 mt, up 2.3% YoY compared to January-May 2024. In May 2025, steel exports totaled 10.578 million mt, up 9.8% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative exports reached 484,690 mt, up 8.9% YoY compared to January-May 2024 . In May 2025, exports of unwrought aluminum and aluminum semis totaled 5.47 million mt, down 3.2% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative exports reached 2.43 million mt, down 5.1% YoY compared to January-May 2024. Imports: In May 2025, imports of iron ore and concentrates totaled 98.131 million mt, down 3.8% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 486.409 million mt, down 5.2% YoY compared to January-May 2024. In May 2025, imports of copper ore and concentrates totaled 2.395 million mt, up 5.8% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 12.406 million mt, up 7.4% YoY compared to January-May 2024 . In May 2025, imports of coal and lignite totaled 36.04 million mt, down 17.7% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 188.671 million mt, down 7.9 % YoY compared to January-May 2024. In May 2025, imports of rare earths reached 11,700.3 mt, down 14.9% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 48,998.0 mt, down 21.7% YoY compared to January-May 2024. In May 2025, steel imports reached 481,000 mt, down 24.5% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 2.553 million mt, down 16.1% YoY compared to January-May 2024. In May 2025, imports of unwrought copper and copper semis totaled 4.27 million mt, down 16.9% YoY compared to May 2024. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports reached 2.169 million mt, down 6.7% YoY compared to January-May 2024. 》Click to view the SMM Metal Industry Chain Database Related readings: General Administration of Customs: China's import and export of goods trade increased by 2.5% in the first five months, with exports up 6.3% YoY in May

According to customs statistics, in the first five months of 2025, the total value of China's import and export of goods trade was 17.94 trillion yuan, up 2.5% YoY (the same hereinafter). Of this total, exports amounted to 10.67 trillion yuan, up 7.2%, while imports reached 7.27 trillion yuan, down 3.8%. In May, the total value of China's import and export of goods trade was 3.81 trillion yuan, up 2.7%. Of this total, exports amounted to 2.28 trillion yuan, up 6.3%, while imports reached 1.53 trillion yuan, down 2.1%. The main characteristics of China's import and export in the first five months are as follows: 1. Growth in import and export of Ordinary Trade and processing trade In the first five months, China's import and export of Ordinary Trade reached 11.51 trillion yuan, up 0.8%, accounting for 64.2% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports amounted to 7.04 trillion yuan, up 7%, while imports reached 4.47 trillion yuan, down 7.8%. During the same period, the import and export of processing trade reached 3.21 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, accounting for 17.9%. Of this total, exports amounted to 1.99 trillion yuan, up 4.5%, while imports reached 1.22 trillion yuan, up 9.3%. In addition, China's import and export through bonded logistics amounted to 2.54 trillion yuan, up 5.9%. Of this total, exports amounted to 1.05 trillion yuan, up 15.8%, while imports reached 1.49 trillion yuan, down 0.2%. 2. Growth in import and export with ASEAN and the EU In the first five months, ASEAN was China's largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and ASEAN reaching 3.02 trillion yuan, up 9.1%, accounting for 16.8% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports to ASEAN amounted to 1.9 trillion yuan, up 13.5%, while imports from ASEAN reached 1.12 trillion yuan, up 2.3%. The EU was China's second-largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and the EU reaching 2.3 trillion yuan, up 2.9%, accounting for 12.8%. Of this total, exports to the EU amounted to 1.57 trillion yuan, up 7.7%, while imports from the EU reached 728.33 billion yuan, down 6.1%. The US was China's third-largest trading partner, with the total trade value between China and the US reaching 1.72 trillion yuan, down 8.1%, accounting for 9.6%. Of this total, exports to the US amounted to 1.27 trillion yuan, down 8.7%, while imports from the US reached 447.51 billion yuan, down 6.3%. During the same period, China's total import and export with countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 9.24 trillion yuan, up 4.2%. Of this total, exports amounted to 5.34 trillion yuan, up 10.4%, while imports reached 3.9 trillion yuan, down 3.2%. 3. Growth in import and export of private enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises In the first five months, the import and export of private enterprises reached 10.25 trillion yuan, up 7%, accounting for 57.1% of China's total foreign trade value, an increase of 2.4 percentage points compared with the same period last year. Of this total, exports amounted to RMB 6.97 trillion, up 8%, accounting for 65.4% of China's total export value. Imports reached RMB 3.28 trillion, up 4.9%, accounting for 45.1% of China's total import value. During the same period, the import and export volume of foreign-invested enterprises was RMB 5.21 trillion, up 2.3%, accounting for 29% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports amounted to RMB 2.88 trillion, up 6%, and imports reached RMB 2.33 trillion, down 1.9%. The import and export volume of state-owned enterprises was RMB 2.44 trillion, down 12.7%, accounting for 13.6% of China's total foreign trade value. Of this total, exports amounted to RMB 799.4 billion, up 4.3%, and imports reached RMB 1.64 trillion, down 19.1%. IV. Mechanical and electrical products accounted for 60% of exports, with exports of automatic data processing equipment and its parts, integrated circuits, and automobiles increasing In the first five months, China exported mechanical and electrical products worth RMB 6.4 trillion, up 9.3%, accounting for 60% of China's total export value. Of this total, automatic data processing equipment and its parts accounted for RMB 575.23 billion, up 3.9%; integrated circuits accounted for RMB 526.4 billion, up 18.9%; and automobiles accounted for RMB 351.37 billion, up 6.6%. During the same period, China exported labor-intensive products worth RMB 1.66 trillion, down 1.5%, accounting for 15.6%. Of this total, textiles accounted for RMB 420.14 billion, up 3.7%. Exports of agricultural products reached RMB 296.09 billion, up 4.7%. V. Import prices of major bulk commodities such as iron ore, crude oil, and coal fell, while the import value of mechanical and electrical products increased In the first five months, China imported 486 million mt of iron ore, down 5.2%, with an average import price (the same hereinafter) of RMB 707.2 per mt, down 16.4%; 230 million mt of crude oil, up 0.3%, at RMB 3,864.3 per mt, down 10.6%; 189 million mt of coal, down 7.9%, at RMB 559 per mt, down 22.5%; 49.053 million mt of natural gas, down 9.5%, at RMB 3,274 per mt, down 6.8%; 37.108 million mt of soybeans, down 0.7%, at RMB 3,233.9 per mt, down 13.9%; and 15.98 million mt of refined oil products, down 26.8%, at RMB 4,323.2 per mt, down 0.1%. In addition, China imported 11.698 million mt of primary-formed plastics, down 2.3%, at RMB 10,600 per mt, down 0.8%; and 2.169 million mt of unwrought copper and copper semis, down 6.7%, at RMB 69,400 per mt, up 6.6%. During the same period, China imported mechanical and electrical products worth RMB 2.83 trillion, up 6%.

On May 16, at the 2025 SMM (6th) Silver Industry Chain Innovation Conference , hosted by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (SMM), co-organized by Ningbo Haoshun Precious Metals Co., Ltd. and Quanda New Materials (Ningbo) Co., Ltd., and strongly supported by sponsors including Fujian Zijin Precious Metals Materials Co., Ltd., Huizhou Yian Precious Metals Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Jiangshan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou Jinquan Mining and Metallurgy Equipment Co., Ltd., Hunan Shengyin New Materials Co., Ltd., Zhejiang Weida Precious Metals Powder Materials Co., Ltd., Guangxi Zhongma Zhonglianjin Cross-border E-commerce Co., Ltd., Suzhou Xinghan New Materials Technology Co., Ltd., Yongxing Zhongsheng Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd., IKOI S.p.A, Hunan Zhengming Environmental Protection Co., Ltd., Kunshan Hongfutai Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd., and Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd., Lin Shangtian, the Strategic Development Director of Guangxi Zhongma Zhonglianjin Cross-border E-commerce Co., Ltd., shared insights on the opportunities for silver under innovative trade models. 1. Background of Establishment China-Malaysia "Two Countries, Twin Parks" – A Flagship Project of Bilateral Cooperation New Positioning: General Secretary Xi Jinping proposed a major strategic positioning to build the China-Malaysia investment cooperation flagship project, a demonstration zone for China-ASEAN cooperation, and an important period for the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor. Innovative Model: The China-Malaysia Qinzhou Industrial Park and the Malaysia-China Kuantan Industrial Park, known as the "Two Countries, Twin Parks," have pioneered a new model of international cooperation and forged a "sister port" relationship. Opening New Channels: Leveraging their respective advantages, the "Two Countries, Twin Parks" serve as an important international platform for cross-border industrial cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative, opening up new channels for economic and cultural cooperation between China and ASEAN. Strategic Investment Entities of China-Malaysia "Two Countries, Twin Parks" Guangxi China-Malaysia Qinzhou Industrial Park Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. (China-Malaysia Investment Holding Group) Currently, China-Malaysia Investment Holding Group has total assets of 40 billion yuan and achieved operating revenue exceeding 30 billion yuan. It has completed the construction of various properties, including industrial plants, office buildings, residential buildings, hotels, and schools, with a total area of 2.93 million square meters, net assets of 13.2 billion yuan, a corporate credit rating of AA+, and a workforce of over 600 employees. Three Main Businesses Urban Construction, Development, and Operation: Providing comprehensive hardware facilities and high-quality supporting services for enterprises and employees in the park. Commerce, Logistics, and Supply Chain Services: Offering international and domestic commerce and logistics, warehousing and cold chain services, supply chain financial services, and online and offline trading services for cross-border bulk commodities. Maritime Industry Investment and Development: Focusing investment directions on industries such as biopharmaceuticals, fine chemicals, new materials, food industry, and technological innovation. It also elaborated on the content of China-Malaysia United Metal Group becoming a service provider of commodity supply chains with international competitiveness and establishing a service system for commodity supply chains with international competitiveness. 02. Platform Business Processes Customer Admission Process Comprehensive reviews are conducted on customers' credit, qualifications, and scale. The platform collaborates with Anxinsign, an electronic contract platform under the China Financial Certification Authority (CFCA), to implement facial recognition and real-name authentication. Service agreements are signed using digital certificates certified by CFCA. Goods Purchase and Sales Process China-Malaysia United Metal aggregates real-time information on orders, production, inventory, etc., from upstream and downstream of the industry chain and supply chain. With producers as the core, the platform integrates information flows, logistics, capital flows, and other information, connecting production and consumption to facilitate data connectivity throughout the supply chain. It also introduced the goods delivery process. 03. Platform Advantages Platform Advantages - For Producers With producers as the core, China-Malaysia United Metal not only facilitates the buying and selling of goods but also enables quick cargo pick-up and payment collection, with 100% contract performance. The specific platform advantages are as follows: Price-Locked Presales: Sales prices are locked in the purchase and sales system, and delivery can be made in the contract execution system after warrant registration, with payment received on the same day. With 100% contract performance, there is no need to worry about unsold goods. Brand Value Enhancement: Diversified sales methods can be adopted within the system. Leveraging the customer base of the purchase and sales system, goods can be quickly distributed to expand brand influence, thereby achieving the effect of increasing selling prices through brand value enhancement. In-Plant Inventory Sales Setup: By becoming an in-plant inventory recognized by China-Malaysia United Metal, downstream customers can directly pick up goods at the factory before the delivery date, facilitating quick transactions and saving the manufacturer storage and logistics costs. Platform Advantages - For Traders By integrating matrix tools such as the China-Malaysia United Metal market system, product selection mini-programs, information websites, and official accounts, it helps small, medium, and micro enterprises, especially traders, to grasp market changes in a timely manner. The platform advantages are as follows: Low Procurement Threshold: Purchases can be made in the purchase and sales system based on order quantities, with prices being open and transparent. Goods that cannot be purchased from large manufacturers can be obtained from China-Malaysia United Metal, with a minimum delivery unit of 30 kg. Delivery execution is online, enabling cargo pick-up on the same day of payment, with high efficiency. Low Capital Occupancy: For traders with fixed terminals, they can lock in corresponding quantities of goods with a small amount of performance guarantee, improving capital turnover efficiency. Transparent and Open Pricing: All prices are clearly displayed in the purchase and sales system, representing actual transaction prices. This reduces the price negotiation process for customers and addresses the issue of low transparency in offline price inquiries. Platform Advantages - Targeting End-users Relying on the customer base of China-Malaysia Zhong Lian Jin, it can provide stable supply chain services to end-users, meeting their procurement needs. The platform's advantages are as follows: Ensuring Stable Supply: China-Malaysia Zhong Lian Jin maintains high standards and strict requirements for customer admission, gathering high-quality suppliers in the industry. This ensures on-time delivery, guarantees a stable and continuous supply, and meets production and operation needs. More Affordable Prices: By adopting a retail approach and enjoying the benefits of centralised procurement prices, regardless of the procurement volume, prices are executed based on the prices within the purchasing and sales system. China-Malaysia Zhong Lian Jin provides comprehensive after-sales service, and the quality of goods outflows from warehouses is guaranteed for customers. Transparent Procurement: Prices are updated in real-time within the system, representing the actual transaction prices of industry customers and best reflecting spot market prices. Platform Advantages Overall, China-Malaysia Zhong Lian Jin can provide integrated supply chain services to different types of customers, meeting diverse purchasing and sales needs. Based on a vast customer base, offline parks, and an online platform, it helps customers improve efficiency, reduce costs, and increase benefits. 》Click to view the special report on the 2025 SMM (6th) Silver Industry Chain Innovation Conference