Conference Name: AIAC 2026 SMM (15th) Aluminum Industry Annual Conference Conference Date: October 12-13, 2026 Conference Venue: Guiyang, China Conference Theme: Long-term Contracts · Trade · Market Trends Organizer: SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. In 2026, the global aluminum industry is at a critical juncture of profound transformation and strategic transition. As the world's largest aluminum producer (accounting for approximately 60% of global aluminum production), China's industrial dynamics profoundly influence the global market landscape. The industry currently faces multiple challenges and opportunities, including global resource allocation and import dependence, the supply-demand pattern of alumina and aluminum, long-term contract trading models and risk management, and responses to geopolitical tensions and trade barriers. Against this backdrop, China's aluminum industry urgently needs to achieve breakthroughs through technological innovation, enhance efficiency and set benchmarks through management upgrades, and ultimately realize a strategic leap from "scale advantage" to "quality advantage," advancing steadily on the path of high-quality development. Thisis scheduled to be held in Guiyang on October 12-13, 2026. Organized by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd., the conference will focus on global bauxite allocation strategies, innovation in long-term contract pricing models, optimization of price forecasting models, application of risk hedging tools, energy transition pathways, and technological innovation directions, aiming to help enterprises seize opportunities for high-quality development of the aluminum industry under the "dual carbon" goals and achieve sustained industrial growth. Conference Value | Conference Value This conference focuses on upstream resource security, long-term contract trade, market insights and price forecasting, risk hedging, energy transition, and technological innovation sharing, with particular emphasis on global bauxite allocation, the supply-demand balance of alumina and aluminum, and long-term contract pricing models. It aims to help enterprises grasp market trends, optimize resource allocation, address trade challenges, and promote the healthy development of the aluminum industry. Attendees | Attendees This conference will invite representatives from premium enterprises across the aluminum industry chain (bauxite, alumina, aluminum, aluminum processing), traders, end-users, government leaders, trade associations, authoritative experts, industry research institutions, financial institutions, and other industry representatives. The conference is expected to attract over 500 attendees. Past Conference Guests Company Name Company Representative Name Name Job Title Job Title Main Products Main Products Shandong Aluminium Industry Association SHANDONG ALUMINIUM INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION Wen Xianjun Former Vice President of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNIA), Honorary President of Shandong Aluminium Industry Association China Aluminum International Trading Group Co., Ltd. China Aluminum International Trading Group Co., Ltd. Li Guangfei Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee, General Manager Aluminum, alumina, bauxite SPIC Aluminum International Trading Co., Ltd. State Power Investment Corporation Aluminum International Trading Co., Ltd. Liu Renjian General Manager Bauxite, alumina, aluminum and related products Gansu Dongxing Aluminium Co., Ltd. Gansu Dongxing Aluminium Co., Ltd. Li Jipeng General Manager Aluminum, aluminum billet, aluminum coil, aluminum rod Shandong Hongtuo Industrial Co., Ltd. Shandong Hongtuo Industrial Co., Ltd Jiang Zhen Sales General Manager Alumina, aluminum Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co., Ltd. Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co., Ltd. Qian Yu General Manager Aluminum, aluminum plate/sheet, strip and foil Henan Shenhuo International Trading Co., Ltd. HENAN SHENHUO INTERNATIONAL TRADING CO., LTD. Zhang Linhai General Manager Aluminum Yidian Holdings Group International Trade Co., Ltd. Yidian Holdings Group International Trade Co., Ltd Meng Tao General Manager Aluminum Yidian Holdings Group International Trade Co., Ltd. Yidian Holdings Group International Trade Co., Ltd Fan Weiguo Deputy General Manager Aluminum Ningbo Kaiton International Trade Co., Ltd. Ningbo Kaiton International Trade Co. Ltd. Wu Chuanghui General Manager Aluminum, copper cathode Shanxi Zhaofeng Tiancheng Aluminum Co., Ltd. Shanxi Zhaofeng Tiancheng Aluminum Co., Ltd. Wu Xiaojun Chairman Aluminum plate/sheet and strip Jiangxi Bestoo Energy Co., Ltd. Jiangxi Bestoo Energy Co., ltd. Zhao Yonghua Vice President Aluminum Shaanxi Nonferrous Yulin New Materials Group Co., Ltd. Shaanxi Nonferrous Yulin New Materials Group Co., Ltd. Gao Wenjie Deputy General Manager Aluminum Shandong Nanshan Aluminum Co.,Ltd. Shandong Nanshan Aluminum Co.,Ltd. Li Wenchao General Manager Shanghai Russia Xibo Economic and Trade Co., Ltd. Shanghai Russia Xibo Economic and TradeCo..Ltd Deng Gang President of China Marketing Primary Aluminum Luoyang Xiangjiang Wanji Aluminium Co., Ltd. LUOYANG XIANGJIANG WANJI ALUMINIUM Wang Wenjie General Manager Alumina Shandong Aluminium Industry Association Shandong Aluminium Industry Association He Faping President and Secretary General Shandong Aluminium Industry Association Shandong Aluminium Industry Association Li Zhenlei Director of Industry Information Department Henan Provincial Nonferrous Metals Association Henan Provincel Nonferrous Metals Association Li Ruxi Vice President Shanghai Aluminum Trade Association SHANGHAI ALUMINUM TRADE ASSOCIATION Liu Lilin Secretary General Association Shanghai Aluminum Trade Association SHANGHAI ALUMINUM TRADE ASSOCIATION Shen Yue Deputy Secretary General Association Huolinguole City Aluminum Industry Association Huolinguole City Aluminum Industry Association Gao Jinzhi President, Deputy Director of Huolinguole Municipal People's Congress Standing Committee Huolinguole Regional Economic Cooperation Financial Services Center Huolinguole Regional EconomicCooperation Financial Services Center Wang Kaifei Director Wenshan Prefecture Aluminum Industry Association Wenshan Prefecture Aluminum IndustryAssociation TBD Association * Only a partial list of attending guests is shown. To obtain the complete directory of the 2025 Aluminum Industry Annual Conference, please contact our customer service. Manager Chu (Miya) 13642049827 chuzhaolan@smm.cn Note: After submitting your information, we will contact you regarding your actual registration progress within 1-3 business days! Conference Content | Agenda This year's conference is planned to consist of two full-day main sessions | a processing and trade matchmaking session | a cross-border arbitrage training session | a public competitive bidding procurement session for bulk raw materials by a multinational aluminum giant (the specific company name is not disclosed for now) | an aluminum industry annual gala dinner | and a field trip to local leading aluminum enterprises. The first-day main session focused on upstream changes in the aluminum industry, energy reshaping and zero-carbon technologies, providing insights into the new course of China's aluminum industry under global supply chain restructuring. The second-day core highlights revolved around strategic opportunities arising from the global aluminum supply gap, with a focus on NEV lightweighting, battery foil and other growth segments, while driving aluminum semis toward high-end breakthroughs through digital transformation. Pending. Content Summary | Abstract I. Geopolitical Black Swans and Energy Crisis: Contraction of Aluminum Supply Outside China and Restructuring of Global Trade Flows II. Shifts in the Global Bauxite Supply Chain: Guinea's Policies, Geopolitical Risks and China's Resource Security III. Inert Anode Technology: The "Zero-Carbon Revolution" in the Aluminum Industry and Industrialisation Timetable IV. Middle East Black Swans and China's Opportunities: Aluminum Semis Export Strategy Amid the Global Aluminum Supply Gap V. Reshaping Energy Costs in the Aluminum Industry: From "Securing Supply" to "Reducing Costs" VI. As Electricity Market Reform Deepens, How Much Room Remains for Low-Cost Power in the Aluminum Industry? VII. Lightweighting Applications of Aluminum Alloys Across All NEV Scenarios VIII. Growth Segments for Aluminum Plate/Sheet, Strip and Foil: Demand Explosion in Battery Foil, Energy Storage and Packaging Materials IX. AI Large Models Empowering Aluminum: From Intelligent Electrolysis Cells to Full-Process Digital Factories X. Implementation of Guinea's New Policies: How to Balance Long-Term Contract Supply Security and Localisation Considerations ······ Past Industry Leaders: Wen Xianjun, Former Vice President of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNIA) and Honorary President of Shandong Aluminium Industry Association; Mamadou Cherif LY, General Manager of AISC Group; Wito Krisnahad, President of PT Kalimantan Aluminum Company; Ousmane Kaba, Director of Guinea's National Ministry of Mines and Geology; Bachir Diallo, Deputy Director of Guinea's Mining Infrastructure Development Bureau; Dong Chunming, General Manager of Sunlight Metal/ASI Consultant; Wang Lijiao, Deputy General Manager of Henan Mingtai Aluminum Co., Ltd.; Liu Xiaolei, Big Data Director of SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd.··· *Only a partial list of guest speakers is shown. This year's conference is expected to feature 37+ presentation reports. If you have any questions about the specific arrangements and core content of the conference, please contact us. Contact: Chu Zhaolan Tel: 13642049827 (same number on WeChat) Email: chuzhaolan@smm.cn Conference Official Website Note: After submitting your information, we will contact you regarding your actual registration progress within 1-3 business days!
May 18, 2026 10:46[Easing China-U.S. Trade Tensions Combined with Ex-China Supply Gap — LME Outperforms SHFE in Aluminum Prices] The macro front received positive signals as China-U.S. trade negotiations yielded preliminary results. Both sides agreed to continue implementing prior tariff arrangements and to establish a Trade and Investment Council, which is expected to facilitate tariff reductions on certain products. The marginal easing of trade frictions is set to improve export expectations for aluminum semis and end-use products, providing bullish support for market sentiment. However, inventory at high levels in China remains the core factor suppressing significant price rallies. Coupled with weak spot market trading performance, this further limits the upside room for aluminum prices. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to continue the pattern of LME outperforming SHFE, fluctuating at highs.
May 18, 2026 09:17The 2026 SMM Hong Kong Metals Forum , organized by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) and sponsored by China Securities International as platinum sponsor, wrapped up successfully at Novotel Hong Kong Century on May 6. With over 300 registrations and 200 on-site attendees, the forum focused on the theme "New Metals Cycle: Prices, Power & Global Wrestling". The event featured keynote speeches by industry experts and SMM analysts, covering base metals, new energy materials, and strategic revaluation of minor and precious metals. Two high-level panel sessions were held, exploring hot topics such as geopolitics, supply-demand fluctuations, CBAM impacts, and market opportunities. It also served as an efficient platform for networking and cooperation across entire industry chains. SMM Opening Address SMM Chairman Adam Fan SMM Chairman Adam Fan stated in the opening address that it was a great honor to gather with elites from all sectors of the industry at this forum. The world is currently at a critical development period, and the exchange of industry ideas is not only an industry necessity but also an inevitable requirement for global development. Adam reviewed the century-long legacy of the London Metal Exchange, which has weathered nearly 150 years of global changes and industry evolution, fully demonstrating that although market structures may change, the fundamental need for risk management and reliable price discovery remains constant. At the same time, Adam candidly acknowledged that global markets are currently mired in a pattern of deep fluctuations. Geopolitical conflicts, supply chain fragmentation, and the compounding crises of energy and food, overlaid with de-globalization and rising trade protectionism, have intensified market uncertainty and inflationary pressures, posing severe challenges to global economic growth and industrial cooperation. Against this backdrop, SMM has steadfastly upheld its mission, refusing to be a bystander to the trend of industry fragmentation, and is committed to serving as a bridge for global industrial connectivity amid a landscape of division. SMM is dedicated to promoting dialogue and exchange, breaking down industry and regional barriers, and bringing together regulators, traders, and producers from around the world to discuss industry development. SMM upholds the principle of information transparency, continuously providing accurate, real-time market data to help the industry see through market fog and clarify market distortions. SMM deepens pragmatic cooperation by building a neutral and professional platform for exchange and matchmaking, driving all parties to pursue collaborative development based on shared interests and transcending political differences. Adam emphasized that information sharing and open collaboration would be leveraged to mitigate market risks and strengthen overall industry resilience, and called on the industry to seize the opportunity of this forum to jointly explore solutions, transforming current challenges into momentum for driving integrated and robust development of the global metals industry. Speech by Platinum Sponsor Wang Guangxue, Member of the Executive Committee of China Securities Co., Ltd. and Chairman of China Securities Futures Co., Ltd. Wang stated that as a vital bridge connecting the capital market and the real economy, China Securities has always been committed to serving the high-quality development of the metals industry. Leveraging the comprehensive financial strengths of CITIC Group, the company has built a full-chain integrated service system covering securities, futures, investment, and research. The company has been deeply engaged in the commodities sector, continuously providing forward-looking research to anticipate market trends, utilizing futures instruments to build robust risk barriers, and empowering industrial upgrading through capital services. It will fully leverage CITIC Group's full-license resource advantages and the strategic value of Hong Kong as an international financial center to continuously strengthen its cross-border comprehensive financial services capabilities. The company aims to tailor integrated risk management and asset allocation solutions at home and abroad for enterprises across the metals industry chain, precisely helping enterprises hedge against price fluctuation risks, and enabling them to operate steadily and advance with high quality in complex market environments. Structural Shifts: Rethinking Commodity Benchmarks in an Era of Persistent Inflation and Rivalry Speaker: Tian Yaxiong, Co-Head of R&D Department, China Securities Futures Tian shared professional research findings and cutting-edge market insights on hot topics including the market outlook for global metals and the deep impact of geopolitics on commodity trends. SMM Industry Analysis: Market Outlook and Pre-seminar Sharing for Base Metals and New Energy Materials (Copper, Aluminum, Nickel, Cobalt, Lithium, and Tin) & How SMM Empowers Your Commodity Trading & Analysis Speakers: Dr. Yanchen Wang, Managing Director of SMM Global UK Ltd.; Thomas Feng, Head of Industry Analysis at SMM Dr. Wang first analyzed the macroeconomic landscape. At the beginning of this year, the manufacturing PMIs of major economies performed quite well, actually exceeding 50%. Without the conflict, demand this year would have been quite strong. However, at the end of February, the US-Iran conflict broke out, and the International Monetary Fund subsequently revised down its global economic growth expectations. He pointed out that China's exports remain one of the three pillars that are still functioning well to date. Regarding automobile consumption, he noted that for the EV market, the positive factor for the auto industry also lies in exports. In Q1 this year, export performance was indeed very strong. If you look at EV exports alone, they actually grew nearly 160% YoY. Driven mainly by growth in global markets, he remains optimistic about the auto industry this year. In Europe, gasoline and diesel prices have risen significantly due to the US-Iran conflict, and EV demand is expected to benefit from this factor. He believes the power sector continues to maintain strong growth. Based on power grid and power generation investment data from the first two months, combined with State Grid Corporation of China's earlier announcement that fixed asset investment during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, this indicates that electricity demand will drive strong growth. State Grid Corporation of China will build more ultra-high voltage transmission projects, which will undoubtedly support aluminum demand and also copper demand. Aluminum: Wang noted that base metal prices experienced wild swings since the beginning of this year. He also discussed that China's aluminum smelters continued to raise operating rates due to favorable profitability; aluminum demand pulled back in Q1, and high prices drove inventory higher; approximately 950,000 mt of new aluminum smelting capacity in Indonesia may come online in 2026, with some investors watching Angola; and aluminum semis and wheel hub exports maintained growth in Q1. Copper: After copper prices experienced a pullback and adjustment in March, downstream procurement demand in China was rapidly released, providing strong support for copper prices to rebound. Copper prices rose sharply, with the market downplaying geopolitical risks. China's copper cathode demand was robust, and inventory continued to decline. China's copper scrap market was not truly facing a spot shortage issue. The outlook for copper cathode demand is positive. China remains dependent on copper concentrate imports. Spot copper concentrate TCs showed no signs of bottoming out. By-product revenue sustained smelter profits. He also analyzed the DRC sulphuric acid market conditions, the expected slowdown in global refined production growth, and how a refined market supply deficit should support higher copper prices. He also mentioned that the AI industry maintained strong development momentum, bringing new growth momentum to copper demand. Tin: He elaborated from the following perspectives: Myanmar tin production — slow recovery, upward trajectory, 2025-2027E; Indonesia tin ore RKAB quotas — expected to ease slightly in 2026; DRC — major mine production remained stable, but the M23 movement added uncertainty; global tin prices — supply determines the floor, macro factors drive fluctuations; the global tin market is expected to maintain a tight balance, with new mining capacity expected to be concentrated for release in 2028. Thomas Feng shared insights on nickel, cobalt, and lithium: emerging from the trough and entering a new cycle. ►New energy demand landscape: from EV popularization to energy storage deployment. First, he reviewed and provided an outlook on the global NEV market: NEV demand no longer maintains a one-sided high-growth trajectory, but instead exhibits characteristics of regional differentiation, structural divergence, and intensifying cyclical volatility; development paces in China, Europe, and the US have shown notable differences; performance trends of BEVs, PHEVs, and commercial vehicles have diverged; and the impact of inventory and price cycles on industry operations is increasing significantly. Second, in his review and outlook of the global energy storage market, he noted that the global energy storage market will remain concentrated in three key regions: China, the US, and Europe. Driven by 2030 climate goals, emerging markets such as the Middle East, Australia, and Southeast Asia are showing strong growth in demand for large-scale energy storage. Benefiting from cost advantages and improved safety performance, LFP battery market share is expected to continue climbing. ►Lithium: Reshaping the Supply-Demand Pattern in a New Cycle Global lithium carbonate market: shifting from overall surplus to structural tightness, with prices in a post-trough reassessment and recovery phase. Lithium hydroxide supply and demand maintained a tight balance: production on the supply side was driven by demand, the market share of ternary power batteries was squeezed, and room for growth was limited. The concentration of lithium resource supply declined, with marginal growth rates slowing down simultaneously. Significant demand growth drove the continued expansion of resource projects. ►Nickel: Navigating Policy Changes and Narrowing Oversupply Indonesia's nickel ore HPM adjustment: aimed at enhancing the economic value of non-nickel resources. The discussion covered scenario analysis of nickel ore prices following the implementation of the new policy, and the impact analysis of nickel ore benchmark price adjustments on MHP full costs. Indonesia's nickel ore RKAB quota: a tight balance is expected to set the tone for 2026. Global primary nickel is expected to remain in persistent oversupply. Regarding the logic behind refined nickel price trends, it was noted that policy and macro factors jointly amplified price fluctuations, while cost support elevated the long-term price floor. ►Cobalt: Shifting from Surplus to Shortage after the DRC Export Ban——Long-Term Uncertainty Remains Following the DRC policy announcement, cobalt product prices in China rose rapidly. However, high prices suppressed downstream demand, putting prices under pressure. Starting from H2 2025, the Chinese market continued destocking. Amid raw material shortages, enterprises began using MHP and recycled materials as production substitutes. MHP and recycling are expected to continue growing rapidly, effectively bridging the cobalt hydroxide gap. Cost pressure transmitted in both directions: LCO doping/ternary substitution restarted, and consumer cobalt demand is expected to decline by 10%. As persistently high cobalt prices suppress demand, if China secures 90% of the DRC quota, supplemented by MHP and recycling supply, inventory buildup could occur as early as 2026. Panel Discussion: Global Metals Market Outlook——Geopolitics Disruption, Macro Cycles and the Return of Commodity Volatility •Copper and Aluminum Price Rise, 2024-2026 •Precious Metals Storm: Silver Swung Wildly, Gold Hit Record Highs — Interest Rate Cycles, Safe-Haven Demand, and Industrial Logic •Precious Metals and Industrial Metals: Are Commodities Entering a New Cycle •Focus on Critical Minerals: Emerging Region Supply Rise and Policy Shifts, Green Transition Co-Shaping a New Narrative •Chinese Market: The 15th Five-Year Plan Moderator: Yanchen Wang, Managing Director, SMM Global UK Ltd. Panelists: Yahong Tian, Co-Head of R&D, CITIC Futures Henry Van, Head of Industrial Metals Analysis, Trafigura Sharon Ding, Head of China Basic Materials, UBS Justin William Hughes, Commodity Derivatives Distribution, Optiver Xie Shaobo, Head of China, Appian Mining Fund & independent non-executive Director, Zijin Gold International Panelists noted aluminum has great upside—its 10% price rise lags its 4%-5% supply contraction (vs. oil’s 60% price surge on 10% supply drop), with valuation recovery incomplete. They were more optimistic about copper demand, driven by real downstream demand rather than speculation; aluminum semis’ upside is underappreciated due to high oil prices. Long-term, copper and gold are key for mining investment, with scarce high-quality copper mines and solid gold fundamentals. They also discussed US tariffs, China’s metal demand resilience and overseas mining investment. Overseas mining success hinges on resource-to-reserve certainty; West Africa, Latin America, DRC and Zambia are new hotspots, while Australian/Canadian listed miners are undervalued. Enterprises must plan prudently based on risk tolerance. Geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Iran) may trigger energy crises, but current inflation control and China’s high metal consumption share weaken demand impact. Long-term, energy crises will boost electrification, expanding copper/aluminum demand. Investment depends on risk appetite and fundamental grasp. SMM Industry Analysis: Strategic Re-valuation of Minor Precious and Minor Metals in 2026 — The Case of Silver and Tungsten Silver: Market Supply-Demand Balance and Macroeconomic Volatility: Evolution and Shift in Industrial Demand, Particularly Driven by the PV Sector Tungsten: Strategic Status Upgrade - Supply Constraints and High-End Demand Driving the 2026 Price Rally Speaker: Juno Zhu, Senior Analyst of Minor and Precious Metals, SMM Juno shared insights on the strategic revaluation of tungsten and silver. Tungsten: Tungsten prices have surged over 500% since 2025; China holds over 50% of global tungsten reserves, contributes nearly 80% of global production, and possesses a complete industrial value chain; China's tungsten supply constraints in 2025: H1 mining quotas declined 6.45% YoY; global new project stagnation: limited capacity expansion in 2026, with ex-China mine development cycles of 3–5 years; domestic tungsten downstream applications: significant growth in cutting tools and PV tungsten wire in 2025; European market: persistent raw material shortages, with Rotterdam tungsten prices surging since February 2025; China's tungsten product exports: transitioning from primary products to deep-processed products; SMM analysis: the tungsten market supply-demand gap is expected to persist but narrow in 2026; prices are expected to consolidate at highs after overheating cools. Silver: Silver price fluctuations in 2026: an unexpected surge from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, where frenzied investment demand and capital liquidity completely overshadowed the impact of the industrial off-season. Shift in trade dynamics in Q1 2026: SGE-LBMA premiums reversal and a surge in imports. Demand spike in Q1 2026: the PV industry started with a recovery, and an investment boom generated a phased demand peak. PV market outlook: policy shifts in 2026 are expected to curb demand growth, with overall silver consumption remaining stable. Silver demand outlook for 2026: industrial fundamentals provide support, while investment surges serve as a tactical highlight. Silver supply outlook for 2026: mild annual growth and an expanding secondary supply share are expected to drive a tight balance in the market. Market outlook: short-term trends are expected to revert to industrial fundamentals, while the medium and long-term trajectory is expected to fluctuate at highs driven by safe-haven demand. Panel Discussion: Metals in a Fragmented World: Trading Opportunities in the Age of Instability (Physical Trading and Hedging) •Shifting Liquidity Landscape across LME, CME, and SHFE •Shipping Risks and Sanctioned Metals: Implications for LME Inventory Structure •How European CBAM is Reshaping Global Metals Trade Flows •Is the Metals Market Entering an "Era of Geopolitical Risk Premiums" •Internationalization of SHFE & GFEX: Opportunities and Challenges for Global Investors Moderator: Jean Tang, Commercial Director, SMM Panelist: Anant Jatia, Founder and Chief Investment Officer, Greenland Investment Management Bella Yu, General Manager of Marketing Department, Liyang Unilink E-commerce Co., Ltd. David Wilson, Director of Commodity Strategy, BNP Paribas Duncan Hobbs, Research Director, Concord Resources Nicholas Snowdon, Head of Metals and Mining Research, Mercuria Energy Trading SA Sabrina Qian, Director of Geared broking desk, IFCHOR GALBRAITHS Anant Jatia stated: CBAM represents a major policy shift in Europe's metals sector. It is not merely about raising trade costs, but will profoundly reshape global metal trade flows and pricing logic. CBAM officially took effect in January this year, initially covering categories such as steel and aluminum semis, with its core mechanism incorporating carbon emission intensity costs into Europe's metal pricing system. High-carbon-emission producers will need to bear additional carbon allowance costs, significantly weakening their export competitiveness to Europe, while green capacity powered by clean energy will gain a clear advantage in the European market and capture greater market share. Following the policy's implementation, the landed cost of metals in the European market will rise, sustaining a long-term regional premium similar to the aluminum premium structure in the US market. Compared with the market differentiation among LME-registered brands following CBAM's implementation, what deserves more attention are the entirely new market opportunities it creates. By sourcing low-carbon, high-quality materials, market participants can potentially capture green premiums, while the mechanism will also transform metal trading models and the global trade flow landscape. The panelists also discussed the changing liquidity landscape across LME, CME, and SHFE. They noted that liquidity in the commodity market is becoming increasingly fragmented, with copper and other products now tradable across multiple global futures exchanges. Price discovery is no longer concentrated in a single market, and the traditional pattern of one market leading gains and others following has reversed, with multi-exchange rotation driving price movements becoming the norm. Factors such as geopolitical policies and tariff adjustments have given rise to regional pricing divergence, with price movements in some markets increasingly driven by capital flows and sentiment. Policy and geopolitical events have also significantly affected the spread between futures and spot prices of metals, creating opportunities for cross-market arbitrage. Meanwhile, policies related to critical minerals supply security, regional supply shocks, and geopolitical disruptions have widened the dislocation between regional fundamentals and price signals. The metals market has entered a window of structural arbitrage opportunities, and this trend is expected to persist. Cross-market arbitrage continues to provide liquidity support to exchanges, a phenomenon broadly observed across both industrial and precious metals. In addition, the panelists engaged in in-depth discussions on the differences between exchange liquidity and industrial liquidity, as well as factors influencing metal price trends, including fundamentals, geopolitical developments, energy costs, and commodity transportation costs. Opening Remarks for Coffee Break Xu Tao, CEO of CSCI In his address, Xu Tao stated that Hong Kong serves as a vital hub in the global metals pricing and trading system, playing a key role in the aggregation of LME delivery resources and the internationalization of RMB-denominated commodities. Going forward, China Securities International will continue to leverage its role as a bridge for cross-border business, deepen collaboration with CSC Futures, and provide clients at home and abroad with efficient and professional comprehensive financial services in commodities, contributing to a higher level of opening-up of China's financial markets. Networking (Coffee Break) Acknowledgments The 2026 SMM Hong Kong Metals Forum was successfully held with special thanks to the Platinum Sponsor, China Securities International, for its strong support, as well as sincere gratitude to Liyang Unilink E-commerce Co., Ltd. for its significant contribution to the forum. Going forward, China Securities and China Securities International will continue to leverage the unique geographical and resource advantages of Hong Kong as an international financial center, deepen strategic cooperation with authoritative industry platforms such as SMM, and continuously improve the "onshore + offshore" integrated bulk commodity comprehensive service system, precisely empowering enterprises to seize market opportunities and hedge operational risks, contributing professional expertise to advancing the internationalization of China's bulk commodity market and enhancing the industry's global competitiveness. Liyang Unilink E-commerce Co., Ltd. (formerly Wuxi Stainless Steel Electronic Trading Center) has been engaged in new energy materials and critical metals supply chain services for over 20 years. Through its digital platform and offline service network, the company provides upstream and downstream clients with full-process online services including price negotiation, contract signing, contract execution, payment settlement, cargo delivery, processing, quality inspection, and after-sales services. With transparent pricing, 100% fulfillment guarantee, and strict quality control, it has established stable cooperation with over 30,000 industrial clients. In the field of critical strategic metal resources, Unilink has built a supply chain service system covering 14 critical metal varieties including indium, bismuth, nickel, cobalt, and lithium. Spot delivery volumes of indium and bismuth each account for over 90% of China's consumption. For new energy materials, spot delivery volumes of nickel, cobalt, and lithium on Zhonglian Jin's platform account for 30%, 90%, and 20% of China's consumption respectively, while daily sulfur trading volume exceeds 80,000 mt. Unilink implements a service model of "payment upon delivery, cargo pick-up upon payment," effectively shortening delivery cycles, reducing enterprise operating costs, and helping upstream and downstream clients achieve stable and efficient material scheduling. Zhonglian Jin strictly adheres to national industrial policies and resource management requirements, consistently focusing on serving the real economy, fully ensuring the security and smooth operation of bulk commodity supply chains, and promoting efficient resource allocation. It has ranked among China's Top 500 Service Enterprises and China's Top 20 Growing Internet Enterprises for two consecutive years. With that, the 2026 SMM Hong Kong Metals Forum came to a successful conclusion! Thank you for your help and support for this forum~
May 14, 2026 13:22According to the latest data released by the General Administration of Customs on May 9, China's imports of unwrought copper and copper semis in April were 452,300 mt, with cumulative imports from January to April of 1.5672 million mt, down 9.8% YoY; China's imports of copper ore and concentrates in April were 2.3516 million mt, with cumulative imports from January to April of 9.9146 million mt, down 0.8% YoY. Export side, China's exports of unwrought aluminum and aluminum semis in April were 597,600 mt, with cumulative exports from January to April of 2.0533 million mt, up 8.9% YoY. Below are the detailed data (unit: 100 million yuan RMB): Note: "Flash data" refers to preliminary monthly aggregated customs statistics, subject to the official monthly data formed after corrections to original statistical records. (Wenhua Consolidated)
May 9, 2026 17:45This week, operating rates across sub-sectors of China's aluminum processing industry continued their overall weak trend. The post-Labour Day holiday effect, combined with wild swings in aluminum prices, led to varying degrees of WoW pullback in operating rates across most sectors, with the overall rate recorded at 64.2%. Specifically, aluminum plate/sheet and strip operating rate fell to 72.6%, aluminum foil edged down to 74.7%, aluminum wire and cable recorded 66.6%, primary aluminum alloy rose slightly to 58%, leading secondary aluminum enterprises dropped to 57.0%, and aluminum extrusion operating rate also slipped slightly to 56.1%. Demand side, post-holiday aluminum prices fell by 480 yuan/mt in a single day, causing some traders to incur book losses, with cargo pick-up sentiment generally subdued. Underperforming real estate terminal completions continued to drag on construction extrusions and the air-conditioner foil segment within aluminum foil. PV frame enterprises also reduced their May production schedules, and passenger NEV growth falling short of expectations placed certain constraints on primary aluminum alloy. Overall, the consumption side was gradually showing traditional off-season characteristics. Cost side, high aluminum prices suppressed downstream enterprises' willingness to stockpile, compliant aluminum scrap sources remained tight with prices staying elevated, secondary aluminum industry profits continued to be under pressure, and some enterprises had already fallen into losses. However, aluminum wire and cable export orders continued to climb, with April expected to approach historical highs. Within aluminum extrusion industrial orders, heat sinks and industrial machinery accessories performed relatively well. Within aluminum foil, demand for food packaging foil, pharmaceutical foil, and battery foil remained stable. Automotive aluminum sheets & plates orders also benefited from the YoY and MoM double growth in April passenger NEVs, maintaining a recovery trend. Overall, in the short term, the aluminum processing industry's overall operating rate still faces downward pressure. The demand off-season and cost pressure form a dual suppression, and operating rates across sectors are expected to be under pressure in May. However, strengthening export orders and structural recovery in certain industrial demand segments will provide some bottom support for the industry. Primary aluminum alloy: This week, the primary aluminum alloy operating rate was 58%, showing a slight recovery WoW, but the rebound remained limited. Structurally, aluminum consumption at some enterprises increased, driving the overall operating rate slightly higher. However, most enterprises continued to primarily execute long-term contracts as normal, with overall operations running steadily. Current aluminum prices remained at elevated levels, suppressing downstream enterprises' willingness to stockpile, with most enterprises maintaining low inventory operations. Additionally, passenger NEV growth falling short of expectations also resulted in relatively slow demand growth. Overall, the primary aluminum alloy operating rate is expected to remain at the current level next week. Aluminum plate/sheet and strip: The operating rate of leading aluminum plate/sheet and strip enterprises edged down 0.4 percentage points WoW from pre-holiday levels to 72.6% this week. On the operational front, production lines at leading aluminum plate/sheet and strip enterprises ran normally during the Labour Day holiday with a steady production pace, but initial signs of operational pressure emerged in the industry. Post-holiday, aluminum prices pulled back, with a single-day drop of 480 yuan/mt. Some traders and dealers incurred book losses after purchasing, and sentiment for picking up goods was generally low. By product, domestic end-use demand for can stock packaging remained stable; auto sheets & plates orders benefited from the recovery of passenger NEVs in April with both YoY and MoM growth, still in a recovery trend; 1-series common plates and civilian general aluminum semis saw weak orders due to delayed cargo pick-up for engineering orders and shrinking civilian demand. In the short term, constrained by factors such as wild swings in aluminum prices and pressure on common plate orders, downward pressure on the operating rate of leading aluminum plate/sheet and strip enterprises is gradually increasing in May. Aluminum wire and cable: The operating rate of China's aluminum wire and cable industry registered 66.6% this week, edging down 1 percentage point WoW from pre-holiday levels. Although top-tier enterprises still held some power grid orders, they proactively reduced production loads due to the holiday factor and order losses, resulting in a decline in capacity utilization rate. Currently, domestic power grid end-use demand still dominates consumption, but the concentrated cargo pick-up cycle has passed, providing limited support to the overall industry operating rate. In contrast, export orders for aluminum stranded wire climbed, and Q2 exports are expected to increase significantly this year. April exports are expected to approach or break historical highs, and May exports are expected to increase by 10,000-20,000 mt MoM. Export orders will provide support to industry operations. Aluminum extrusion: The operating rate of China's aluminum extrusion industry was 56.1% this week, down 0.4 percentage points WoW, showing a generally stable but weakening trend. By segment, for architectural extrusion, dragged by domestic real estate terminal completion progress falling short of expectations, engineering orders continued their weak trend this week, and demand growth in the home decoration doors and windows segment was limited, failing to provide effective support, slightly dragging down the overall operating performance of architectural extrusion. For industrial extrusion, downstream tier-one PV module enterprises' May production schedule plans contracted, and PV frame enterprises saw a decline in operating rates. Some Hebei frame enterprises chose to shut down for 5 days during the Labour Day holiday to offset order pullback and ease cost pressure, maintaining a relatively full production schedule after the holiday; some Anhui frame enterprises reported that orders on hand remained generally stable with no significant reduction, resulting in relatively limited drag on operations. Additionally, large Guangdong aluminum extrusion enterprises reported that recent orders for heat sinks, industrial machinery accessories, and other industrial extrusion products performed well, providing support to regional industrial extrusion operations. In the short term, the weakness in architectural extrusion and the structural recovery in industrial extrusion offset each other, and the aluminum extrusion operating rate is expected to show a stable and improving trend. Aluminum foil: This week, the operating rate of leading aluminum foil enterprises fell 0.3 percentage points WoW from pre-holiday levels to 74.7%. Order side, demand for food packaging foil, pharmaceutical foil, and battery foil remained stable, supporting the baseline operating rate. Air-conditioner foil was under pressure, with May orders on hand declining MoM, as demand was dragged down by factors including a sluggish real estate market, tapering of national subsidies, high inventories outside China, and capacity relocation. Both domestic sales and export schedules declined, and weak end-use demand is expected to pull down the overall aluminum foil operating rate. In the short term, demand for packaging foil and battery foil can still support the aluminum foil operating rate at a relatively high level, but the deep weakness in air-conditioner foil will set the stage for an overall pullback in the aluminum foil industry's operating rate in May. Secondary aluminum: This week, the operating rate of leading secondary aluminum enterprises in China fell 0.7 percentage points WoW to 57.0%. During the holiday, sampled major plants maintained normal production, but affected by some downstream enterprises being on holiday and declining orders, enterprises compressed their production pace, and operating levels pulled back slightly. Currently, both demand and raw materials exerted dual pressure on production: on one hand, May gradually entered the traditional consumption off-season, downstream procurement became more cautious, market transaction activity continued to decline, and manufacturers' order performance was poor; on the other hand, finished alloy ingot prices fell more than raw material prices, compliant aluminum scrap sources remained tight with prices fluctuating at highs, industry profits continued to narrow, and some enterprises even fell into losses, with operating rates passively under pressure. After the holiday effect fades next week, the operating rate is expected to recover slightly, but the demand off-season and cost pressure are unlikely to improve significantly in the short term, and the industry's overall operating rate still faces downward expectations. [Data source statement: Data other than public information is derived from public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, processed by SMM for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.]
May 7, 2026 19:02In the short term, the core pattern of LME outperforms SHFE is unlikely to reverse. Strength in the overseas market will support SHFE aluminum's post-holiday catch-up potential, but high domestic inventory and weak demand will cap overall gains. Going forward, key focus will be on the pace of China aluminum ingot destocking and the strength of rigid demand release from downstream production resumptions.
May 5, 2026 20:57SMM April 30 News: According to SMM statistics, China's aluminum production in April 2026 (30 days) was up 1.7% YoY and down 2.9% MoM. As the traditional peak consumption season continued, downstream sectors such as plate/sheet, strip and foil, and aluminum wire and cable provided effective demand support. The proportion of liquid aluminum in China edged up, rising 1.7 percentage points MoM to 75.3%. Overall performance was slightly below early-month expectations, with the core drag coming from weaker-than-expected aluminum extrusion orders. Based on SMM's proportion of liquid aluminum calculation data, China's aluminum casting ingot volume in April declined 3.4% YoY and 9.0% MoM. Capacity changes: As of month-end April, SMM statistics showed China's existing aluminum capacity at approximately 46.209 million mt, with no MoM change. Production forecast: Entering May 2026, the proportion of liquid aluminum production among China's aluminum enterprises is expected to diverge. Overall, as demand in markets outside China recovers, export orders for China's aluminum semis are expected to continue improving, supporting a slight rebound in the proportion of liquid aluminum. Overall, the proportion of liquid aluminum is expected to rise 0.5 percentage points to 75.8%. [Data source statement: Data other than public information is derived from public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, processed by SMM for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.] Data source: SMM
Apr 30, 2026 10:37On May 14-15, 2026, SMM WCCE 2026 (4th) Wire & Cable Industry Development Conference and Industrial Exhibition will grandly open at Suzhou International Conference Hotel, focusing on precise matchmaking across the cable industry chain. The exhibition centers on full-chain resource integration and efficient supply-demand matching, building a quality bridge for business negotiation and technical exchange among industry partners. Inner Mongolia Yihao Aluminum Co., Ltd. As a modern manufacturing enterprise integrating R&D, production, sales, and services, the company has been dedicated to aluminum-based materials in the fields of power transmission and new energy equipment. Inner Mongolia Yihao Aluminum Co., Ltd. was established in March 2025, located in Baotou Aluminum Industry Park, Baotou City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region , with 6 continuous casting and rolling production lines, equipped with wire drawing, annealing, stranding and other processing equipment and auxiliary production facilities. Main Products include high-precision aluminum alloy connecting rods, high-end electrical round aluminum rods, aluminum monofilaments, enamelled wire, high-conductivity stranded wire, overhead cables, high-end automotive parts, etc. Yihao Aluminum covers an area of 50,000 m², has 300 employees, and possesses an annual capacity of 150kt of electrical round aluminum rods. Inner Mongolia Yihao Aluminum Co., Ltd. is a core material supplier focused on the fields of power transmission and new energy equipment. Deeply engaged in the R&D, production, and sales of electrical round aluminum rods, it provides cost-effective aluminum-based material solutions for wire and cable, overhead conductor, and high-end electrical equipment manufacturing. Core Business and Capacity Scale Main Products: Centered on electrical round aluminum rods, covering ordinary industrial pure aluminum rods (conductivity ≥61% IACS), high-conductivity aluminum rods (conductivity ≥63% IACS), and special aluminum alloy rods (tensile strength ≥180MPa), with customizable products in specifications ranging from Φ9.5 to Φ15. Capacity Strength: Equipped with 6 modern continuous casting and rolling production lines, with an annual capacity of 150kt, of which high-conductivity aluminum rods and special aluminum alloy rods account for over 40%, meeting the rapid delivery needs of large-scale orders. Product Advantages and Technical Features Performance Advantages: Raw materials use industrial pure aluminum with purity ≥99.8%. Products feature stable resistivity and smooth, defect-free surfaces, passing rigorous mechanical and electrical conductivity detection, suitable for high-end scenarios such as ultra-high voltage power transmission and high-speed railway catenary systems. Quality Control: A full-process quality inspection system has been established from raw material intake to finished product warehouse withdrawals, in compliance with GB/T 3954-2022 national standard, equipped with detection equipment, with a product qualification rate consistently above 99.85% . Market and Application Fields Key Clients: Serving over 20 large cable enterprises in China, with products widely applied in State Grid Corporation of China distribution network renovation, China Southern Power Grid UHV projects, as well as PV power stations, NEV charging piles, metro power supply systems, and other fields. Market Coverage: The Chinese market covers core areas of power demand including east China, south China, and north China. Product Showcase Upholding the development philosophy of "Technology as Foundation, Green Empowerment" , Yihao Aluminum will continue to invest in R&D of high-conductivity rare earth aluminum alloy rods and low-carbon secondary aluminum technologies, striving to build a benchmark enterprise in electrical aluminum materials with integrated "R&D-Production-Service" capabilities , contributing to the upgrade of global power infrastructure and the achievement of the "Dual Carbon" goals. Committed to becoming a leading provider of electrical round aluminum rod solutions in China. May 14-15, 2026, Jiangsu · Suzhou International Conference Hotel , friends from all sectors are welcome to attend the conference in person and visit the booth of Soochow Futures Co., Ltd. (E06) to experience up close the technical strength and product appeal of this established futures company, explore new cooperation opportunities, and open a new chapter for the industry together. SMM WCCE 2026 (4th) Wire & Cable Industry Development Conference and Industrial Exhibition May 14-15 Jiangsu · Suzhou International Conference Hotel Participating Enterprises: Qifan Cable, Kunyi Cable, Senyuan Cable, Sanwu Cable, Huili Cable, Wanma Co., Ltd., Xinhai High Conductivity, Chenfeng Yongliang, Xinhuang Group, Soochow Futures, Guojia Conductor, Hongxing Meike, Dongfeng Cable, Qijia Industrial, Beijing Shougang Ferroalloy, Xinhongye, Yingtan Chaolong, Meichuangli, Jiuli Electric, Xinzi Nengke, Xindongang Electrical, Hangtian Electrical, Guochu Logistics, Jielüda, Jinhuijia, Xindian Aluminum Alloy, Gangwei Ultrasonic, Jinrui Qianyuan... Click to View ☛ |
Apr 29, 2026 15:25![Inventory Pressure on Aluminum Ingots in China Unlikely to Ease as Labour Day Holiday Approaches [SMM Analysis]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/votes/imagesqsDLb20240416161800.jpeg)
According to SMM data, as of April 24, social inventory of aluminum ingots in China's major consumption regions stood at 1.465 million mt, up 42,000 mt WoW, maintaining an inventory buildup trend for multiple consecutive weeks, with the pace of buildup widening again WoW. Weekly warehouse withdrawals rebounded slightly by 14,200 mt WoW to 115,200 mt, but the improvement in withdrawals fell short of the recent increase in arrivals, indicating clearly insufficient momentum for inventory drawdown..
Apr 26, 2026 23:25[Iran Conflict Triggered Aluminum Supply Deficit, Japanese Automakers Under Pressure] Affected by the conflict in Iran, critical shipping lanes were disrupted, forcing Japanese enterprises to cut production and urgently seek alternative supply channels. Japan was highly dependent on aluminum material imports from the Middle East, with approximately 70% of the country's automakers' aluminum semis imports coming from the Middle East region, among which automakers and parts producers such as Toyota and Denso were hit the hardest. Since the outbreak of the Iran conflict in late February, Japan's aluminum alloy prices had risen by approximately 13%.
Apr 20, 2026 15:22