The core logic of the South American steel market is that end-user demand drives everything. Consumption demand is the starting point, filled jointly by local production and imports; imports act as a regulating valve rather than a driving force.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] Stainless Steel Futures Surged and Spot Prices Remained Firm, Trading Sluggish as Labour Day Holiday Approached On April 29, SMM reported that SS futures fluctuated upward strongly. Driven by the continued strengthening of SHFE nickel, SS futures maintained a strong trend. As of the morning close, the most-traded SS contract was quoted at 15,505 yuan/mt. Spot market side, SS futures continued to fluctuate at highs, boosting stainless steel traders' confidence. Spot offers were generally at relatively high levels, with low-priced resources hard to find. Although the holiday was approaching and rapid price increases made downstream buyers cautious and wait-and-see, with most making just-in-time procurement, trading was slightly sluggish. However, supported by the strong performance of SS futures, spot prices were unlikely to pull back. The most-traded SS contract strengthened and tested higher levels. At 10:15 AM, SS2605 was quoted at 15,475 yuan/mt, up 55 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in Wuxi ranged from -5 to 195 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi remained flat; for cold-rolled trimmed-edge 304/2B coils, the average price in Wuxi rose 50 yuan/mt and in Foshan rose 125 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils in Wuxi held steady; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils, Wuxi offers rose 50 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan held steady. Currently, the stainless steel market was driven higher by the surge in SS futures, with spot offers strengthening in tandem and rising to highs not seen since 2023. However, the short-term price increase was relatively rapid and had limited correlation with changes in stainless steel fundamentals, and end-user acceptance remained limited...

In March 2026, the global steel market experienced a fierce geopolitical "sudden chill." According to the latest data from WSA, global crude steel production in March fell by 4.2% year-on-year to 159.9 million tons. The US-Iran conflict that erupted on Feb 28, and the subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, have completely disrupted the spring recovery rhythm of the global steel supply chain, with the shadow of energy crises and logistical interruptions rapidly spreading worldwide.

[SMM Steel] The EUROFER has called on EU lawmakers to swiftly implement new steel trade measures to counter a record surge in imports. The proposed mechanisms, including quotas and tariffs, aim to protect domestic producers from low-cost foreign competition and safeguard market share. EUROFER warned that rising imports are undermining local production, threatening jobs, and weakening investment in low-carbon steel technologies under the EU Green Deal. The association also stressed that any dilution of the measures could leave the industry exposed, especially amid high energy costs and CBAM-related pressures. Successful implementation is expected to stabilize the market and support long-term investment, while failure could lead to plant closures and supply chain disruptions.

[SMM Steel] UNESID welcomed the new European Union steel trade mechanism set to take effect on July 1, 2026, replacing current safeguards. The system reduces tariff-free quotas by ~47% to 18.3 million mt/year and raises out-of-quota tariffs to 50%, while allowing limited quota carry-over in the first year.

【SMM Steel】On Apr 10, 2026, the Guixin Steel Indonesia project, a JV between Guangxi Guixin Steel Group and Tsingshan Holding Group, was fully commissioned at the Tsingshan Industrial Park in Central Sulawesi. The project involved converting a former nickel-iron BF into a 1,216m³ carbon steel BF. The facility includes a 210㎡ sinter plant, two 12㎡ shaft furnace pelletizing units, a 100T BOF, and full-process CC & HR lines. It will produce >1.8 Mt/y of quality steel billets/products. SMM understands it currently mainly produces slabs, with billets expected in August and HRC later. The capacity will fill regional carbon steel gaps and impact semi-finished/flat steel trade flows in SE Asia.

War damage to Iran’s key steel mills threatens ~14 Mt of capacity, sharply reducing crude steel output and exportable supply. While domestic demand remains relatively stable, energy shortages and logistics disruptions amplify losses, tightening regional supply, supporting semi-finished steel prices, and reshaping trade flows.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Moved Sideways, Stainless Steel Spot Trading Was Mediocre and Struggled to Rise On April 9, SMM reported that SS futures continued to move sideways. The US and Iran temporarily ceased fire, but geopolitical conflicts had not truly subsided, and uncertainty at the macro perspective remained elevated. SS futures failed to extend the previous rally and mainly moved sideways, closing at 14,320 yuan/mt as of the midday session. In the spot market, affected by the pause in the futures rally, the stainless steel spot market still saw some inquiry activity, but actual transactions were still dominated by low-priced sources; traders attempted to slightly raise their quotes, but actual transaction gains were limited. The most-traded SS futures contract moved sideways. At 10:15 AM, the most-traded SS2605 futures contract was quoted at 14,290 yuan/mt, up 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in the Wuxi area were in the range of 180-380 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi fell by 100 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled trimmed-edge 304/2B coils, the average price in Wuxi rose by 50 yuan/mt, while the average price in Foshan remained stable; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils in the Wuxi area fell by 200 yuan/mt; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils were quoted flat in Wuxi; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan remained stable. The stainless steel market is currently in the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March and Silver April." Downstream demand fundamentals have recovered compared to the earlier period, with end-user procurement continuing at a just-needed pace, and the overall trading volume was sufficient to hold quotes firm for basic market vitality. However, affected by macro news disturbances and futures fluctuations, downstream end-user clients still...

On April 2, 2026, the White House ushered US steel trade policy into "Version 2.0." This strategic shift goes beyond simple tariff hikes. It uses full-value taxation and melt-and-pour traceability to block low-end imported raw materials, while applying structural tariff reductions to finished products to ease manufacturing inflation. Ultimately, this two-pronged approach aims to forcibly bring the global supply chain back to domestic US steel production.

[SMM Steel] The European Steel Association (Eurofer) issued an urgent call for the EU to implement a new steel trade measure, citing a "deepening global crisis." According to the latest OECD data, global steelmaking capacity has reached a record 2.4 billion mt, with excess capacity surging to 640 million mt in 2025 - exceeding total OECD production by over 200 million mt. Eurofer Director General Axel Eggert described the situation as an "existential threat" to European jobs and investment, urging negotiators to finalize a robust tariff-rate quota (TRQ) system before the current safeguards expire in June 2026.