Around May 23, 2026, import and export data for cobalt and lithium battery industry chain-related products in April were released in a concentrated manner. Data showed that China's spodumene imports in April reached 758,000 mt in physical content, down 9.5% MoM and up 21.7% YoY. Lithium carbonate imports, China imported 32,650 mt of lithium carbonate in April, up 9% MoM and up 15% YoY.......SMM compiled the import and export data for battery materials, as detailed below: Upstream Lithium Concentrates In April 2026, China's spodumene imports reached 758,000 mt in physical content, down 9.5% MoM and up 21.7% YoY, equivalent to approximately 63,000 mt of LCE. Customs data showed that April spodumene imports pulled back MoM from March, reaching 758,000 mt in physical content. By source country, Australian ore port arrivals returned to a relatively normal level, with over 350,000 mt arriving this month, up 38.9% MoM; Zimbabwe's earlier shipments arrived at port this month at 102,000 mt, down 9.2% MoM; South Africa and Nigeria saw some contraction in monthly port arrivals, while ore from Mali had almost no notable port arrivals this month due to shipping schedule impacts. Notably, spodumene powder sold by Brazil in early 2026 arrived at port this month, driving a significant increase in port arrivals from this country. Additionally, after SMM screening, the month's incoming ore was equivalent to 63,000 mt of LCE. Among the incoming ore, lithium concentrates accounted for 67%, edging down MoM, mainly because apart from Australia , ore from other source countries contained some relatively low-grade ore. Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot pricing, according to SMM spot pricing, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices fluctuated upward in April. As of April 30, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices rose to $2,540/mt, up $221/mt from the month-end price of $2,313/mt in March, a gain of 9.81%. According to SMM, lithium carbonate prices continued to rise in April, and spodumene concentrates prices rose in tandem with salt prices, with gains exceeding those of lithium carbonate itself, causing non-integrated enterprises that purchase externally spodumene concentrates to suffer losses, with spot profitability remaining in deficit. In April, spot circulation of lepidolite concentrates relatively eased. Meanwhile, as lithium carbonate prices rose, processing fees for non-integrated enterprises also increased accordingly, preserving a certain profit margin for their processing operations and enabling these enterprises to achieve spot profitability. However, recently, spodumene concentrates prices adjusted in tandem with lithium carbonate price fluctuations, and the price center shifted downward. According to SMM's latest findings, disrupted by rumors of production resumptions at Jiangxi mines this week, lithium carbonate futures and spot prices declined, further dragging down the overall price center. Currently, lithium mines showed a weak willingness to make shipments, and transactions were mostly concentrated between traders and buyers. Port lithium ore inventory continued to decline. Going forward, attention should still be paid to the potential tight lithium ore supply triggered by high operating rates in the lithium chemicals industry. Lithium ore prices were expected to continue to hold up well. Lithium Carbonate According to customs data, China imported 32,650 mt of lithium carbonate in April, up 9% MoM and up 15% YoY. Of this, 21,000 mt was imported from Chile (65% of total imports), 9,555 mt from Argentina (29%), and 1,100 mt from Indonesia (3%). From January to April, China's cumulative lithium carbonate imports reached 116,000 mt, up 47% YoY cumulatively. In April, China exported 370 mt of lithium carbonate, down 17% MoM and down 50% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative lithium carbonate exports totaled 1,886 mt, up 7% YoY cumulatively. In April, China imported 17,942 mt of lithium sulfate, up 9% MoM and up 296% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative lithium sulfate imports reached 58,900 mt, up 121% YoY cumulatively. According to SMM spot quotes, spot lithium carbonate prices generally trended upward in April. As of April 30, the spot lithium carbonate price rose to 177,000 yuan/mt, up 14,000 yuan/mt from 163,000 yuan/mt on March 31, a gain of 8.59%. According to SMM analysis, China's lithium carbonate prices followed a "V-shaped" trend in April, first declining then rising, with the monthly average price up 6% MoM. In the first ten days, geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East intensified global risk-averse sentiment, causing non-ferrous metals and lithium carbonate prices to fluctuate downward. In the mid-to-late period, driven by Zimbabwe's export ban, Jiangxi mine license renewals, and rising costs, prices began to rebound and fluctuate upward, with the price center shifting notably higher by month-end. Upstream and downstream purchasing remained stagnant, with the psychological price spread widening week by week. Upstream producers held prices firm and held back from selling, maintaining high offer prices, while downstream buyers made just-in-time procurement only, with psychological price levels concentrated at 155,000-175,000 yuan/mt, restocking on dips only when prices fell rapidly. In April, spot battery-grade lithium carbonate prices dropped to around 155,500 yuan/mt in the first ten days, then rallied all the way to 177,000 yuan/mt by month-end. As of May 29, domestic spot battery-grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 174,000-181,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 177,500 yuan/mt. Lithium Hydroxide According to customs data, in April 2026, China imported 6,689 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 9% MoM and up four times YoY. Of this, 2,252 mt were imported from South Korea, accounting for 34% of total imports; 1,706 mt came from Indonesia, accounting for approximately 25% of imports; and the remaining 40% came from Australia and Chile. In April, China exported 5,535 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 76% MoM and up 31% YoY, of which 3,915 mt were exported to South Korea and 864 mt to Japan. Continued sluggish ternary cathode material output outside China limited the absorption capacity for lithium hydroxide in markets outside China, resulting in a slight surplus in markets outside China, which in turn widened the price spread between domestic and overseas markets. Meanwhile, as suppliers outside China had previously signed long-term supply agreements with domestic traders, they were able to continuously dump lithium hydroxide into the Chinese market. Under the combined effect of these factors, the trade pattern of lithium hydroxide continued to reverse (shifting from net exports to net imports). Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Battery Materials LiPF6 According to China Customs data, in April 2026, China's cumulative LiPF6 exports totaled approximately 868 mt, down approximately 80.9% MoM, while cumulative imports were approximately 96 mt. Export side, China's LiPF6 exports in April 2026 were approximately 868 mt, down approximately 80.9% MoM from March and down approximately 33.2% YoY. Specifically, as the LiPF6 export VAT rebate policy was officially abolished starting April 1, 2026, enterprises rushed to export in advance in March, and electrolyte enterprises outside China built up certain inventory, leading to MoM declines in China's exports to multiple major destination countries in April. Exports to Poland were 337.5 mt (down approximately 80.4% MoM), South Korea 81.804 mt (down approximately 92.56% MoM), Czech Republic 150 mt (down approximately 67.43% MoM), and the US 101.908 mt (down approximately 61.7% MoM). Only exports to Japan increased — 191.37 mt (up approximately 50.77% MoM). Artificial Graphite In April 2026, China's artificial graphite imports were 757 mt, up 12.4% MoM and down 32.9% YoY. Average import price side, in April 2026, the average import price of artificial graphite in China was 75,941 yuan/mt, up 23.1% MoM and up 14.6% YoY. In April 2026, China's artificial graphite exports totaled 45,895 mt, up 22.3% MoM but down 21% YoY. In terms of average export price, in April 2026, the average export price of China's artificial graphite was 9,214 yuan/mt, down 6.6% MoM but up 0.26% YoY. Exports from the top five exporting provinces rose 21% MoM from the previous month, with two provinces seeing export volume increases of over 35% MoM, and another province recording a 20% MoM increase. Import market, orders from downstream power battery enterprises in China gradually recovered in April. Combined with the phased tightness in spot capacity of leading anode enterprises, restocking demand was released, boosting artificial graphite imports to rebound from weakness on a MoM basis. However, import volumes remained down YoY, primarily because China's anode industry had ample overall capacity with supply still in surplus, domestic self-sufficiency continued to strengthen, and the industry's reliance on imported raw materials and finished products steadily declined. Flake Graphite In April 2026, China's flake graphite imports totaled 3,178 mt, down 19% MoM and down 45% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In April 2026, China's flake graphite exports totaled 4,093 mt, down 50% MoM and down 54% YoY. Export market, the flake graphite export tax rebate policy was officially canceled this month, directly squeezing profit margins for foreign trade enterprises and significantly dampening overall export willingness. Meanwhile, the approval pace for flake graphite export licenses slowed down, hindering foreign trade shipments processes. Coupled with weak ex-China end-use demand, multiple bearish factors combined to directly drive a sharp decline in industry export volumes. The import market also continued to weaken. Goods originally intended for exports shifted to domestic sales circulation, with increasingly abundant local supply sources in China. Market enthusiasm for import procurement was insufficient, ultimately causing imports to decline in tandem this month. Phosphate Ore On May 20, 2026, according to customs data, China's phosphate ore imports totaled 207,000 mt in April 2026. April imports rose 13.5% from 182,000 mt in March. Total import value in April was $19.741 million, up 35.7% MoM from $14.552 million in March. The average unit price was $95.5/mt, up 19.6% from $79.9/mt in March. Import commentary: In May, Egypt's phosphate ore exports faced "policy tightening and weakening demand."On May 13, Egypt's Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources announced that it would no longer sign any new phosphate ore export contracts. Previously, Egyptian Prime Minister Mustafa Madbouly stated clearly at a meeting on May 10 that the government was pushing for a transition from raw material exports to the manufacturing of high-value-added products such as phosphate fertiliser. Already signed long-term contracts would not be affected. This is expected to push up import prices and may affect imports. Cobalt Cobalt Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products In April 2026, China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products imports were approximately 1,247 mt in physical content, down 26% MoM and down 98% YoY. Among them, imports from the DRC were approximately 945 mt in physical content, down 43% MoM and down 98% YoY. In April 2026, the average import price of China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products was $17,187/mt in physical content, up 2.63% MoM. It was learned that most miners had completed the Q4 2025 quota approvals, but the Q1 2026 quota approvals slowed down again due to sampling, detection and other procedural issues. In addition, transportation capacity in the DRC was tight. Fleets, driven by economic considerations, prioritised the transport of oil products and chemicals that were in production shortage, followed by other metals with shorter turnover cycles, and cobalt among non-ferrous metals came last, meaning cobalt faced significant transportation capacity issues. Constrained by the above factors, miners mainly focused on building in-transit inventory and had not yet arranged concentrated vessel bookings, and the arrival of large batches of intermediate products at ports may continue to be delayed. Unwrought Cobalt In April 2026, China's unwrought cobalt imports were approximately 1,334 mt, up 39% MoM and up 59% YoY. In April, refined cobalt imports mainly came from Indonesia, Russia, and Madagascar, with imports of 462 mt, 457 mt, and 182 mt respectively. The main reason for the increase this month was that domestic smelters lacked intermediate product raw materials and imported cobalt slabs and cobalt briquettes for re-dissolution to ensure normal production. In terms of average import prices, the average import price of China's unwrought cobalt in April 2026 was $52,724/mt, up 4.72% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to April 2026 totalled 5,916 mt, up 153% YoY cumulatively. Export side, China's unwrought cobalt exports in April 2026 were approximately 218 mt, down 47% MoM and down 95% YoY. By country, China's exports to the US dropped significantly, with April exports to the US at 35 mt, down 87.5% MoM. The main reason was that demand for alloy-grade refined cobalt in the US pulled back in April, and ex-China branded refined cobalt was already sufficient to meet regional demand, with some refined cobalt traders redirecting their destinations from the US back to China. Average export price, the average export price of China's unwrought cobalt in April 2026 was $54,590/mt, up 5.80% MoM. Cumulative exports from January to April 2026 totaled 1,792 mt, down 76% YoY.
Jun 1, 2026 18:45[SMM Global Steel Enterprise Special Report] A Detailed Analysis of US "Steel King" Nucor: 100% Electric Arc Furnace Forging High Profits, Vertical Integration Mitigating Cost Fluctuations Nucor Corporation is a company incorporated in Delaware in 1958. The company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the manufacture of steel and steel products. It also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous metal materials, primarily for use in its steelmaking operations. Most of its operating facilities and clients are located in North America. Its operations include international trading and sales companies responsible for buying and selling steel and steel products manufactured by the company and others. Nucor is also the largest recycler in North America, using steel scrap as the primary raw material for producing steel and steel products. In 2025, it recycled approximately 20 million gross tons of steel scrap. Operating Performance Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM Reasons behind the performance changes: ① Decline in gross profit: The primary reason for the decline in gross profit in 2025 was the compression of profit margins in the steel products segment. Due to lower average selling prices, gross profits from the grating and decking, building systems, and rebar fabrication businesses under this segment all experienced significant declines. ② Steel mill segment growth: In contrast, gross profit in the steel mill segment increased, primarily driven by higher sales and improved steel industry spreads. ③ Investment expenditures: Over the past three years, Nucor invested approximately $9.73 billion in capital expenditures and acquisitions, aiming to expand its product portfolio and enhance operational flexibility. Segments, Major Products, and Marketing Nucor reports its results in three segments: the steel mills segment, the steel products segment, and the raw materials segment. The steel mills segment is Nucor's largest segment, accounting for 62% of the company's sales to external clients for the fiscal year ended 2025. It primarily sells its products to steel service centers, manufacturers, and fabricating enterprises located in the US, Canada, and Mexico. In 2025, the steel mills segment sold approximately 19,848 kt of products to external clients. Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM The Steel Products segment primarily produces high-value-added downstream construction and industrial components, holding leading positions across the U.S. in multiple sub-segments including steel joists, prefabricated metal buildings, and insulated metal panels. It accounted for 29% of the Company's net sales to external clients for the year ended 2025. In 2025, total sales of major products in the Steel Products segment were approximately 1.478 million mt, including approximately 658,000 mt of steel joists and joist girders, approximately 436,000 mt of steel deck, and approximately 384,000 mt of metal building systems. Although physical sales volume (tonnage) was far below that of the Steel Mills segment, the per-mt selling price and profit margin were much higher than those of basic steel, and the segment also ranked first in market share across the U.S. in multiple areas. Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM The Raw Materials segment is the cornerstone of Nucor's vertical integration strategy, primarily operated through its wholly-owned subsidiary The David J. Joseph Company (DJJ), and manages DRI production facilities in Louisiana and Trinidad. By blending DRI with steel scrap, it supports electric arc furnace (EAF) production of higher-grade sheets & plates while ensuring cost advantages and supply security of raw materials. It accounted for 9% of the Company's net sales to external clients for the year ended 2025. In 2025, approximately 20 million gross tons of steel scrap were recycled and processed. Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM Clients and Markets Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM Major Development Projects in Recent Years The vast majority (91%) of Nucor's capital was allocated to internal construction (CapEx), strengthening core competitiveness through technology upgrades (such as electric arc furnaces and micro mills); a small portion was used for strategic acquisitions to achieve "outward expansion" into high-margin downstream areas. Through acquisitions such as SWDP, the company quickly entered high-barrier, high-growth sub-segments including data centers and green energy, making its business structure more resilient to cyclical downturns. Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM Core Logic of Vertical Integration for Cost Reduction: Raw Material Supply Structure Data source: Nucor Corporation Annual Report、SMM Core Risk Factors The greatest risk facing Nucor is a combination of internal and external challenges — internally, cost fluctuations in steel scrap and energy; externally, the impact of low-priced imported steel resulting from global (especially China's) overcapacity. Specifically: 1. Core Industry Risks ① Severe global supply-demand imbalance: Global steel surplus capacity reached 704 million net mt in 2025 (8 times US annual production). It is expected to further increase to 795 million mt by 2027. ② Regional impact: China's annual production has exceeded 1 billion mt in each of the past 8 years, and Chinese steelmakers continue to invest in new capacity in Southeast Asia and Africa. ② Import shock: This surplus leads to a flood of low-priced steel into the US market, creating significant downward pressure on Nucor's product prices, sales, and profit margins. 2. Production Cost Risks ① Steel scrap price sensitivity: Nucor uses 100% electric arc furnaces (EAF), with steel scrap being the largest cost item. Steel scrap prices fluctuate significantly and are beyond Nucor's control. ② Supply chain uncertainty: Although Nucor has achieved a degree of self-sufficiency through its DRI plants and DJJ recycling system, pig iron and iron ore pellets still rely on international procurement, facing geopolitical risks (e.g., Ukraine, Russia, Brazil). 3. Operational Challenges ① Energy-intensive nature: Steelmaking relies on large amounts of electricity (for melting) and natural gas (for heating and DRI production). ② Cost pass-through: Energy prices are affected by demand, the regulatory environment, and transmission infrastructure (pipelines/power grid), and cost surges may erode profits. 4. Compliance and ESG Risks ① Emission reduction pressure: The steel industry faces intense scrutiny due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. ② Policy risk: Although Nucor's emission intensity is far lower than its blast furnace peers, increasingly stringent environmental protection laws and regulations may increase capital expenditures or restrict operations at existing facilities. 5. End-Use Market Risks ① Industry cyclicality: The steel industry is highly correlated with the macro economy. ② End-use market fluctuations: Nucor's largest market is non-residential construction. If this sector (e.g., commercial offices, industrial facilities) contracts due to high interest rates or economic recession, it will directly impact Nucor's performance severely. Copyright and Intellectual Property Statement: This report is independently created or compiled by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM"), and SMM legally enjoys complete copyright and related intellectual property rights. The copyright, trademark rights, domain name rights, commercial data information property rights, and other related intellectual property rights of all content contained in this report (including but not limited to information, articles, data, charts, pictures, audio, video, logos, advertisements, trademarks, trade names, domain names, layout designs, etc.) are owned or held by SMM or its related right holders. 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May 19, 2026 15:00In mid-May 2026, CAAM and the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance successively released data on the auto and power battery markets for April 2026. CAAM stated that in April, auto production and sales declined slightly compared to the same period last year, with the cumulative decline in production and sales narrowing further. Among them, domestic demand still needs improvement and stimulation; exports continued to grow rapidly, providing stable support for the overall market........SMM has compiled relevant data on the auto market and power battery market for April 2026 for readers' reference. Auto Sector CAAM: Auto Production and Sales Reached 2.575 Million and 2.526 Million Units Respectively in April In April, auto production and sales reached 2.575 million and 2.526 million units respectively, down 11.7% and 12.9% MoM, and down 1.7% and 2.5% YoY. From January to April, auto production and sales reached 9.614 million and 9.574 million units respectively, down 5.5% and 4.8% YoY. CAAM: NEV Production and Sales Both Grew in April, with NEV Sales Accounting for 53.2% of Total Auto Sales In April, NEV production and sales reached 1.32 million and 1.344 million units respectively, up 5.5% and 9.7% YoY . NEV sales accounted for 53.2% of total new auto sales. From January to April, NEV production and sales reached 4.285 million and 4.304 million units respectively, with production down 3.2% YoY and sales up 0.1% YoY . NEV sales accounted for 45% of total new auto sales. CAAM: NEV Exports More Than Doubled YoY In April, auto exports reached 901,000 units, up 3% MoM and up 74.4% YoY . From January to April, auto exports reached 3.127 million units, up 61.5% YoY . In April, NEV exports reached 430,000 units, up 16% MoM and up 1.1 times YoY ; traditional fuel vehicle exports reached 472,000 units, down 6.5% MoM and up 49% YoY . From January to April, NEV exports reached 1.384 million units, up 1.2 times YoY; traditional fuel vehicle exports reached 1.743 million units, up 34.6% YoY. CAAM commented that since the beginning of this year, China's economy has started strongly, with major indicators exceeding expectations. China's automotive industry has maintained steady progress in transformation and upgrading, foreign trade has demonstrated strong resilience, and overall competitiveness has continued to improve. The recently concluded Beijing auto show showcased cutting-edge achievements in electrification, intelligence, and cross-industry integration, vividly demonstrating that China has become the core market and innovation hub of the global automotive industry. Regarding the April auto market, CAAM stated that in April, auto production and sales declined slightly compared to the same period last year, with cumulative production and sales declines narrowing further. Specifically, domestic demand still needs improvement and stimulation; exports continued to grow rapidly, providing stable support for the overall market. In detail, the passenger vehicle market declined, the commercial vehicle market maintained growth, and NEVs operated steadily. On April 28, the CPC Central Committee Political Bureau held a meeting to analyze and study the current economic situation and economic work, and made a series of important arrangements. The meeting emphasized the need to fully utilize macro policies, deeply tap domestic demand potential, accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system, and systematically respond to external shocks and challenges. This will help improve the domestic auto market, consolidate foreign trade advantages, and promote stable operation and high-quality development of the industry. CPCA also released data on the April passenger vehicle market. April national passenger vehicle retail sales reached 1.384 million units, down 21.5% YoY and down 16.0% MoM; cumulative retail sales from January to April reached 5.604 million units, down 18.5% YoY. The April national passenger vehicle market exhibited complex characteristics of "total volume under pressure with structural divergence." NEV side, April passenger NEV retail sales reached 849,000 units, down 6.8% YoY and down 0.3% MoM; January-April passenger NEV retail sales reached 2.758 million units, down 17.2% YoY. April conventional fuel passenger vehicle retail sales were 530,000 units, down 37% YoY and down 33% MoM. NEV export side, as the scale advantages of China's NEVs become apparent and market expansion demand grows, Chinese-manufactured new energy brand products are increasingly going global, with overseas recognition continuing to rise. April passenger NEV exports reached 406,000 units, up 111.8% YoY and up 18.3% MoM, accounting for 52.7% of passenger vehicle exports, up 8 percentage points YoY; among which, BEVs accounted for 57.2% of new energy exports (65.5% in the same period last year), and A00+A0 class BEVs as the core focus accounted for 51.2% of BEV exports (46% in the same period last year). CPCA stated that this year's passenger vehicle market, affected by multiple factors including NEV purchase tax policy adjustments, weak consumer confidence, and high oil prices, has exhibited an operating trend of "China slowing down, exports growing rapidly; fuel vehicles contracting, new energy dominating."High oil prices dealt a heavy blow to domestic retail of internal combustion engine vehicles, directly affecting the domestic retail recovery process. From January to February this year, internal combustion engine vehicle retail declined by 740,000 units YoY, accounting for 40% of the passenger vehicle retail decline; in March, internal combustion engine vehicle sales declined by 345,000 units YoY, accounting for 52% of the passenger vehicle retail decline; in April, internal combustion engine vehicle sales declined by 365,000 units YoY, with the decline share further expanding to 84%. Under the atmosphere of cost anxiety, consumer demand is accelerating its shift from internal combustion engine vehicles to new energy vehicles, and the market's "fuel-electric divergence" pattern is becoming increasingly prominent. However, on the export side, the opposite was true: from January to February, internal combustion engine vehicle exports grew by 100,000 units YoY, accounting for 25% of the passenger vehicle export growth; in March, internal combustion engine vehicle exports grew by 100,000 units, accounting for 32% of the passenger vehicle export growth; in April, internal combustion engine vehicle exports grew by 130,000 units, climbing to 38%. Due to the notable effects of recent anti-involution measures in the auto market, the scale of price cuts was small, promotional levels remained stable, and many consumers' expectations of waiting for price reductions gradually faded, with some users in stalemate beginning to make car purchases. The Beijing Auto Show in April has become the world's largest auto show, with enormous industry chain scale and influence, providing a strong boost to auto sales recovery in late April. Characteristics of the passenger vehicle market in April 2026: First, overall volume was under pressure with significant structural divergence, with "cold fuel, hot new energy" becoming the biggest focal point. The core reason for the domestic retail decline was the "collapse of fuel vehicles," with new energy retail penetration rate reaching 61.4% (breaking through 60% for the first time in history), and the pace of electrification substitution exceeding expectations. Second, domestic brand share continued to strengthen, with traditional domestic brands successfully transforming, while joint venture brands lagged in electrification progress, solidifying the "domestic brand dominance" pattern. Third, exports showed explosive growth, with new energy accounting for 52.7% (breaking through 50% for the first time in history), driven by the "new energy + domestic brands" dual engine, making "going global" the core growth engine. Fourth, passive destocking characteristics were evident, with channel inventory declining rapidly, listed dealers suffering comprehensive losses, and dealer survival pressure continuing to intensify. Fifth, dramatic structural changes within new energy occurred, with B-class EVs surging and economy EVs under pressure, showing "high-end rising, low-end struggling." Sixth, new model contribution declined: April producer sales of new models launched in 2026 reached 108,400 units, accounting for 5.1% of total volume, while new models launched in 2025 sold 130,000 units in April 2025, with some classic car models maintaining stable leading sales positions. Power battery segment Power and ESS battery sales up 39.0% YoY in April, up 48.9% YoY cumulatively from January to April In April, China's power and ESS battery sales reached 164.2 Gwh, down 6.2% MoM, up 39.0% YoY . Among them, power battery sales were 108.9 GWh, accounting for 66.4% of total sales, down 5.0% MoM and up 25.8% YoY; ESS battery sales were 55.2 GWh, accounting for 33.6% of total sales, down 8.5% MoM and up 75.5% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative power and ESS battery sales reached 601.2 GWh, up 48.9% YoY cumulatively . Among them, cumulative power battery sales were 400.9 GWh, accounting for 66.7% of total sales, up 31.9% YoY cumulatively; cumulative ESS battery sales were 200.4 GWh, accounting for 33.3% of total sales, up 100.4% YoY cumulatively. China's Power Battery Installations Up 15.2% YoY in April, Cumulative Installations Up 1.6% YoY from January to April In April, China's power battery installations were 62.4 GWh, up 10.4% MoM and up 15.2% YoY . Among them, ternary battery installations were 11.5 GWh, accounting for 18.5% of total installations, up 7.6% MoM and up 24.2% YoY; LFP battery installations were 50.8 GWh, accounting for 81.5% of total installations, up 11.0% MoM and up 13.4% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative power battery installations were 187.2 GWh, up 1.6% YoY cumulatively . Among them, cumulative ternary battery installations were 37.4 GWh, accounting for 20.0% of total installations, up 8.9% YoY cumulatively; cumulative LFP battery installations were 149.8 GWh, accounting for 80.0% of total installations, down 0.1% YoY cumulatively. Leap Motor Continued to "Lead" Among New Forces in April, BYD's Overseas Sales Hit a Record High April sales/delivery data for new automaking forces were released. Leap Motor continued to "lead," delivering 71,387 units in April, up 73.9% YoY. Delivery momentum continued to surge, with back-end production running at full capacity simultaneously. Currently, Leap Motor's A10 factory capacity has exceeded 1,000 units/day. Starting from April, Leap Motor's intelligent features also entered a phase of large-scale popularization. Currently, urban navigation-assisted driving has been made available for experience across multiple Leap Motor car models, and in the future, nationwide urban NAP and parking-space-to-parking-space navigation assistance will be rolled out in batches. Leveraging its full-domain self-developed capabilities, Leap Motor has achieved full coverage of assisted driving from the 100,000-yuan-level A10 to the flagship D19, making smarter and safer advanced intelligent assisted driving no longer a privilege of the few, but an accessible part of everyday travel. Li Auto delivered a total of 34,085 new vehicles in April. As of April 30, 2026, Li Auto's cumulative historical deliveries reached 1,669,442 units. As of April 30, 2026, Li Auto had 511 retail centers nationwide, covering 160 cities, and 550 after-sales repair centers and authorized service centers, covering 223 cities. Li Auto had put into use 4,077 Li Auto supercharging stations nationwide, with 22,509 charging piles. XPeng Motors delivered 31,011 new vehicles in April. As of April, cumulative deliveries of the XPeng MONA M03 exceeded 250,000 units, ranking first among pure electric sedans in the 100,000-200,000 yuan segment for 19 consecutive months. As of April 30, XPeng's charging network covered over 430 cities, with over 3,550 cumulative self-operated charging stations, including over 3,000 self-operated ultra-fast charging stations. To ensure smooth travel during the Labour Day holiday, XPeng completed dedicated inspections and maintenance of charging stations along highways and at popular scenic areas. Xiaomi Auto delivered over 30,000 units in April. On May 6, Xiaomi Auto announced that the new-generation SU7 had received over 80,000 locked orders in just 48 days since its launch. The new-generation SU7 Standard Edition was priced at 219,900 yuan, the Pro Edition at 249,900 yuan, and the Max Edition at 303,900 yuan. NIO delivered 29,356 new vehicles in April, up 22.8% YoY. Among them, the NIO brand delivered 19,024 units; the ONVO brand delivered 5,352 units, up 21.6% YoY; and the firefly brand delivered 4,980 units. In the first four months of this year, NIO delivered a total of 112,821 vehicles, up 71.0% YoY. To date, NIO has cumulatively delivered 1,110,413 vehicles. In April 2026, the all-new NIO ES8 achieved 13,020 new vehicle deliveries. To date, the all-new ES8 has accumulated over 100,000 users and set the record for the fastest delivery of 100,000 units among high-end car models priced above 400,000 yuan in China. In addition, the all-new ES8 has been the sales champion among large SUVs and car models priced above 400,000 yuan for four consecutive months. BYD, China's leading EV maker, recorded auto sales of 321,123 units in April. Exports exceeded 130,000 units, hitting a new all-time high. Cumulative NEV sales surpassed 16.1 million units. On May 9, BYD and China Auto Rental (CAR Inc.) officially signed a Flash Charging China strategic cooperation agreement and a 100,000-unit vehicle procurement framework agreement in Shenzhen. Under the agreement, the two parties will conduct in-depth cooperation around the "Flash Charging China Strategy," deploying BYD flash charging pile facilities at eligible CAR Inc. stores nationwide to build a widely covered, efficient, and convenient charging service network, jointly enhancing user travel experiences. Meanwhile, the two parties signed a 100,000-unit vehicle procurement framework agreement, further consolidating BYD's core position in CAR Inc.'s NEV fleet and supporting its continued expansion of green transportation capacity. The CPCA stated that the current auto market is at a critical stage of smooth transition from "policy-driven" to "market-guided" and "product-driven." Although the market is under pressure in the short term, with multiple heavyweight new car models entering the market around the auto show period, supply-side efforts are expected to gradually drive demand-side recovery, and the overall auto market is expected to see a more robust rebound in Q2. In addition, CPCA Secretary General Cui Dongshu noted that the NEV penetration rate exceeded 60% in April, a "leapfrog" development compared to approximately 52% in March, with a key reason being the sharp decline in internal combustion engine vehicle demand, which in turn pushed up the NEV penetration rate. Recently, some automakers announced raises in optional intelligent driving features pricing, drawing market attention. In response, Cui Dongshu stated that China's auto market currently exhibits significant differentiation in automaker gross margins: high-end automakers maintain relatively high gross margin levels, with many models still sustaining gross margins above 20% supported by pricing, facing relatively small profitability pressure and having no substantive need to raise prices; low and mid-end automakers, however, face notable profitability pressure. Yet as industry competition continues to intensify and the overall market is in a state of volume contraction, broad-based price increases by automakers lack feasibility. Looking ahead to May, the CPCA stated that May this year has 19 working days, consistent with the 19 working days in May 2025. Auto market production and sales are expected to continue the prior gradual rebound trend. From the end-user pace and consumption perspective, the MoM recovery momentum of the May auto market is generally improving. The 2026 truck renewal subsidy standards remain unchanged, while passenger vehicle trade-in subsidies were reduced, and the impact of passenger vehicle sales losses is expected to diminish over time. Sales losses previously caused by the cooling of industry price wars and sales promotions falling short of expectations have been gradually absorbed. The Labour Day holiday combined with local auto shows activated car purchase demand, driving pre-holiday order locking and post-holiday concentrated deliveries, with monthly trends showing strength early and stability later. The surge in fuel prices is an exceptionally significant factor affecting consumption, bringing uncertainty to market sales. Currently, residents' income expectations remain cautious, wait-and-see sentiment toward car purchases persists, and coupled with tightening auto finance and higher credit thresholds, rigid demand is supported only by local subsidies and automaker concessions. China's consumption recovery is mild, with notable structural differentiation. Under the intertwined influence of multiple factors including international oil price fluctuations and intensive new product launches, these will dominate the May auto market performance. The Labour Day long holiday is a dividend driving MoM sales recovery, but consumption shortcomings are difficult to repair quickly, constraining YoY growth. High oil prices have reshaped car purchase preferences and accelerated the electrification transition, while the comprehensive new energy industry chain continues to empower export growth. The overall picture presents a weak recovery pattern of "MoM recovery, YoY pressure, domestic demand differentiation, exports leading, and continuously rising NEV penetration rate."
May 13, 2026 18:14Editor's Note: During the Labour Day holiday when the Chinese market was closed, global macro developments, commodity markets, and ex-China policy dynamics continued to evolve, with multiple external factors potentially impacting post-holiday market performance. To help market participants accurately grasp market trends and conduct rational market analysis, SMM has systematically compiled key macro developments and major industry news during the holiday, along with a summary of this week's critical data and event periods, for industry reference. Internationally, geopolitical developments, energy landscape, ex-China monetary policy, and trade policy all saw significant changes. Geopolitical tensions resurfaced, intermittently disrupting global energy markets and briefly driving international oil prices into a rapid short-term rise. Major global central bank policies continued to diverge. The US Fed released its latest policy signal — New York Fed President Williams publicly stated on Monday that if inflation continues to pull back toward the 2% policy target, the US Fed will cut interest rates at an appropriate time. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its third consecutive rate hike on Tuesday, raising the cash rate from 4.1% to 4.35%, officially reversing its previous accommodative monetary policy cycle, further widening the divergence in global liquidity landscape. On the energy export front, according to Bloomberg on May 4, US crude oil exports continued to climb over the past nine weeks, with cumulative exports exceeding 250 million barrels, surpassing Saudi Arabia to reclaim the position of the world's largest crude oil exporter. Global trade and foreign exchange markets also saw notable shifts. In trade, according to CCTV News, on May 1 local time, US President Trump stated that due to the EU's failure to fulfill a previously agreed trade deal, the US would impose additional tariffs on automobiles and trucks imported from the EU next week, raising the rate to 25% — subsequent changes in the global trade landscape warrant continued attention. In the foreign exchange market, Japan intervened in the currency market three times between April 30 and May 4. A relevant official from Japan's Ministry of Finance simultaneously interpreted related IMF rules, explicitly classifying the three-day intervention operations as a single operation, with a clear intent to stabilize the yen exchange rate. On industrial policy, Indonesia introduced resource export control measures, planning to levy export taxes and windfall taxes on coal and nickel products, which may impact global energy and non-ferrous metal supply chains, pricing systems, and related commodity markets. This week, major economic data in and outside China will be released in quick succession. Highly watched data including China's foreign exchange reserves, gold reserves data, China's import and export data (TBD), and US April non-farm payrolls data will be published sequentially. Meanwhile, SMM will comprehensively review price movements across metal categories during the holiday, and combining the latest variables in and outside China, is expected to publish post-holiday market trend outlooks to provide professional reference for industry trading, production, and strategic planning. Stay tuned. ※Holiday Macro News ►Domestic [Baiyun Airport Port Sees Record-High Canton Fair Foreign Arrivals Exceeding 540,000] On the last day of the Labour Day holiday, coinciding with the closing of the 139th Canton Fair, reporters learned from the Baiyun Border Inspection Station that since the opening of this Canton Fair, as of 0:00 on May 5, Baiyun Airport port handled over 1.14 million inbound and outbound passengers, up 14.5% YoY. Foreign business travelers became the core driver of port passenger flow growth, with inbound and outbound foreigners exceeding 540,000, up 20.8% YoY, setting a new historical record for port passenger flow during the same Canton Fair period. (CCTV News) [National Railways Carried Over 100 Million Passengers Cumulatively During Labour Day Holiday] According to China State Railway Group Co., Ltd., national railways carried 20.383 million passengers on May 4. Since the launch of Labour Day holiday transport on April 29, national railways have cumulatively carried 117 million passengers, with transport operations safe, stable, and orderly. On May 5, return passenger flows continue to rise, with national railways expected to carry 23 million passengers and 2,225 additional passenger trains planned. (CCTV News) [China Bulk Commodity Price Index at 132.1 Points in April, Up 20.2% YoY] The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released the April China Bulk Commodity Price Index on May 5. The index stood at 132.1 points in April, up 1.7% MoM and up 20.2% YoY. Among the 50 bulk commodities under key monitoring by the federation, 38 saw MoM price increases in April. Among them, paraxylene, methanol, and polypropylene led the gains, up 22.4%, 14.5%, and 11.8% MoM respectively. ►Overseas [US Illegal Tariff Refunds Delayed by One Day, Earliest Distribution Starting May 12] US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) stated that the first batch of electronic refunds for tariffs ruled illegal by the US Supreme Court is expected to begin distribution no earlier than May 12. The US Court of International Trade had previously expected refunds to start on May 11, but this has been delayed by one day for undisclosed reasons. (CCTV News) [Senior Iranian Commander: Iran Is Controlling the Strait of Hormuz, US Cannot Reverse the Current Situation] Senior commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Yadollah Javani confirmed in an interview on May 4 that Iran is controlling the Strait of Hormuz, that any passing vessel must obtain Iranian permission to ensure safe passage, and that hostile forces' ships attempting forced transit will be dealt with resolutely. Yadollah Javani dismissed US President Trump's claim of "clearing" the strait's shipping lanes for humanitarian reasons as a lie, stating that Iran would prevail if the confrontation escalated. He said the US could never restore the situation to before February 28, nor reverse the current state of affairs. (CCTV News) [Trump refuses to confirm whether US-Iran ceasefire agreement remains in effect] On May 4, US President Trump refused to clarify whether the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran remained in effect during an interview. When asked whether the ceasefire had ended and whether military strikes could resume, Trump said: "I can't tell you that. If I answered, you'd say this guy isn't smart enough to be president." Earlier that day, Trump warned in an interview that if Iran attempted to attack US ships in the Strait of Hormuz or the Persian Gulf, they "will be totally destroyed." However, he subsequently stated that from a military standpoint, the conflict with Iran was "essentially over." (CCTV) [Qatar condemns attack on UAE oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz] Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on the 4th, strongly condemning a drone attack on an oil tanker operated by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company of the UAE while passing through the Strait of Hormuz, calling it a serious violation of international law and the principle of freedom of navigation. The statement said Qatar firmly opposes using the Strait of Hormuz as a pressure tool, called for the unconditional reopening of the strait, and emphasized that freedom of navigation through this vital waterway is an established principle that cannot be compromised. The statement noted that the continued closure of the strait would jeopardize the vital interests of countries in the region. Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs reaffirmed its support for all measures taken by the UAE to protect its assets. (Xinhua) [US Fed "No. 3" speaks: Interest rate cuts will eventually come if inflation pulls back, but timing has been forced to delay] New York Fed President Williams publicly stated on Monday that as long as inflation pulls back toward the US Fed's 2% target as expected, the US Fed will eventually need to cut interest rates . However, due to inflation running higher than expectations this year, the timing of interest rate cuts has been forced to delay, though the overall policy direction has not fundamentally changed. Williams told reporters after delivering a speech in New York on Monday: "As inflation moves lower, we will eventually need to cut interest rates at some point to match fundamentals. Inflation has been higher than previously expected this year, and in my view, this only delays the timing of rate cuts and does not change the overall policy logic." Last week, the US Fed decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged, but internal policy disagreements became prominent, with three officials opposing the easing bias implied in the meeting statement, preferring more neutral language to release signals that rates could move either up or down going forward. Regarding the controversial wording, Williams was clear in his stance: he fully endorsed the current statement's language, believing that based on day-to-day economic data, there was no sufficient reason to support a rate hike in the short term. [IMF Chief Warns: Prolonged Middle East Conflict Could Trigger More Severe Inflation and Growth Shocks] The head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that inflation has begun to intensify, and if the Middle East war continues into 2027 with oil prices rising to around $125 per barrel, the global economy could face a "worse scenario." IMF Managing Director Georgieva stated that the continuation of the war means the organization's previous assumption of only a mild slowdown in global economic growth and only a slight edge up in prices no longer holds. Therefore, the "adverse scenario" set by the IMF has effectively begun to materialize. Speaking at a conference hosted by the Milken Institute, Georgieva noted that long-term inflation expectations remain anchored for now and financial conditions have not yet tightened, but this could change if the war persists. [RBA Raises Rates by 25 Basis Points as Expected — Entering Wait-and-See Mode After "Triple Hike"?] The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its third consecutive rate hike on Tuesday, raising the cash rate from 4.1% to 4.35%, completely reversing last year's monetary easing cycle. The move underscored the central bank's determination to suppress stubborn inflation, making it an outlier among major global central banks — decisively embarking on a new tightening cycle while the US-Iran conflict fueled uncertainty and many central banks chose to stand pat. The RBA's nine-member policy committee approved the rate hike with a vote of 8 in favor and 1 against . RBA Governor Michele Bullock will hold a press conference at 1:30 PM Beijing time to explain the policy decision. The committee emphasized in its statement: "After three rate hikes, monetary policy now has sufficient room to respond to changing conditions , and the committee will focus on its dual mandate of price stability and full employment, taking all necessary measures to achieve its objectives." [Japan Intervened to Boost Yen on "3 Consecutive Days" During Holiday, Claims It "Counts as 1" Under IMF Rule of "Maximum 3 Interventions Within 6 Months"] Japan intervened in the foreign exchange market on three consecutive days during Golden Week, but Japanese officials promptly cited IMF rules stating that the three actions "count as one" — a statement reflecting the government's careful calculation of intervention frequency. A Ministry of Finance official told reporters on May 5 that under relevant IMF regulations, foreign exchange market interventions over three consecutive business days are considered a "single action."The official made the above remarks while accompanying Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama at an international conference held in Samarkand, Uzbekistan. By this calculation, the three interventions on April 30, May 2 (Friday), and May 4 (Monday) were counted as one combined action. The official added that even when Japan was on public holiday, interventions could still be counted as long as global markets were open; May 4 was therefore recognized as the last of three consecutive business days starting from April 30. This round of intervention began on April 30, triggered when USD/JPY broke above 160.72. According to Bloomberg's analysis, authorities deployed approximately $34.5 billion that day to support the yen, and the exchange rate rebounded to around 155. However, the effectiveness of the subsequent two interventions diminished notably—the yen briefly strengthened after each intervention before pulling back again. The two subsequent interventions reportedly cost a combined approximately $20 billion. In total, the three interventions in this round are estimated to have exceeded $54 billion in scale. ※Industry News and Corporate Developments [Indonesia Plans to Impose Export and Windfall Taxes on Coal and Nickel to Ease Subsidy Pressure] Indonesia plans to impose export taxes and windfall taxes on coal and nickel as one of the measures to offset the growing subsidy costs in the national budget. Indonesia's Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated that the proposed measures are still under discussion with the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. "Discussions with the Energy Ministry are ongoing, but what is clear is that the related revenue will be sufficient to help bridge the subsidy gap." Purbaya noted that coal and nickel exports had not previously been subject to export taxes, creating regulatory loopholes that could foster under-invoicing and smuggling, while also limiting customs authorities' ability to inspect goods before shipment. The implementation of export taxes is expected to grant the Directorate General of Customs and Excise (DJBC) greater authority to conduct inspections before goods are exported, thereby helping to close tax loopholes and prevent fiscal leakage. (Wallstreetcn) [250 Million Barrels of Crude Oil Shipped Outside China, US Inventory Falls for Four Consecutive Weeks—How Long Can the World's "Last Supplier" Hold Out?] Over the past nine weeks, a large number of tankers sailed intensively toward the US, loading up along the coast of Alaska and the Gulf of Mexico before heading to destinations such as Japan, Thailand, and even Australia. During this period, the US cumulatively exported over 250 million barrels of crude oil outside China, once again surpassing Saudi Arabia to become the world's largest crude oil exporter. Against the backdrop of the Strait of Hormuz nearing shutdown and Middle Eastern supply disruptions, the US has effectively assumed the role of a critical global energy source. However, this rapid surge in export volume also exposed potential risks. US domestic inventory has been declining notably, with total crude oil and refined product reserves falling for four consecutive weeks and dropping below historical averages, while the production side also faced pressure to maintain output. (Jin Shi Data) [Trump: US Is Taking "Hundreds of Millions of Barrels of Oil" from Venezuela] On May 4, US President Trump spoke at a small business summit on the topic of energy cooperation with Venezuela. Trump stated that the US currently has a "good relationship" with Venezuela and said related actions were "going well." He noted that major energy enterprises had begun entering Venezuela to develop resources. On energy cooperation, Trump said the US was obtaining "hundreds of millions of barrels of oil" from Venezuela and shipping them to US regions including Houston for refining, describing the bilateral relationship as "almost like a partnership." He also emphasized that US oil and natural gas production had reached record highs. (Wallstreetcn) [Trump: Will Impose 25% Tariff on EU Cars and Trucks Exported to the US Next Week] According to CCTV News, on May 1 local time, US President Trump stated that because the EU had not fulfilled the trade agreement already reached between the two sides, the US would impose additional tariffs on cars and trucks imported from the EU next week, raising the rate to 25%. Trump said that if relevant enterprises set up factories and produced in the US, they could be exempt from tariffs. [Hainan LNG Phase II Project Achieved Major Milestone, Expected to Be Fully Completed by 2027] According to PipeChina, a major oil and gas infrastructure project in China — the Hainan LNG Phase II Project — completed the 821-mt dome air-raising operation for Tank No. 3, marking a major milestone for the project. The Hainan LNG receiving terminal Phase I project has construction completed and commissioned 2 LNG storage tanks of 160,000 m³ each, while the Phase II project is constructing 3 new prestressed concrete full-containment LNG storage tanks of 220,000 m³ each. Currently, the overall progress of the Phase II project is approaching 50%, and it is expected to be fully completed by 2027. Once completed, it will add 400 million m³ of gas storage capacity, doubling the peak shaving capacity, and significantly enhancing emergency peak shaving and secure supply capabilities for the entire Hainan Island and the South China coastal region. (CCTV News) [Dongyang Guangming: Subsidiary Signs Computing Power Service Procurement Framework Contract with Estimated Total Value of 16 Billion to 19 Billion Yuan] Dongyang Guangming announced that its subsidiary Dongguan Dongyang Guang Cloud Computing Technology Co., Ltd. signed a Computing Power Service Procurement Framework Contract with a certain Enterprise A, with an estimated total contract value ranging from 16 billion yuan to 19 billion yuan (tax inclusive). The contract term is 60 months after order acceptance, with service fees paid monthly. This cooperation aims to deepen the company's presence in AI computing power and high performance server supporting services, but faces multiple uncertainties including policy and regulatory risks, performance capability, and funding, with uncertain impact on the company's future performance. ※Weekly Macro Preview May 6 Data to be released include China's April RatingDog Services PMI, France's March industrial output MoM, France's April Services PMI final, Germany's April Services PMI final, Eurozone April Services PMI final, UK April Services PMI final, Eurozone March PPI MoM, US April ADP employment, and US April Global Supply Chain Pressure Index. Also notable: 2028 FOMC voter and St. Louis Fed President Musalem will speak on the economic outlook and monetary policy. May 7 Data to be released include France's March trade balance, Switzerland's April seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Eurozone March retail sales MoM, US April Challenger enterprise layoffs, US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 2, US March construction spending MoM, US April New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, and China's April foreign exchange reserves. Also notable: 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will participate in a panel discussion at a conference. May 8 Data to be released include Germany's March seasonally adjusted industrial output MoM, Germany's March seasonally adjusted trade balance, UK April Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index MoM, Switzerland's April consumer confidence index, Canada's April employment, US April unemployment rate, US April seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls, US April average hourly earnings YoY, US April average hourly earnings MoM, US May 1-year inflation expectations preliminary, US May University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary, and US March wholesale sales MoM. Also notable: 2026 FOMC voter and Cleveland Fed President Hammack will speak; FOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams will speak; China's refined oil products will enter a new price adjustment window. May 9 Data to be released include China's April trade balance in US dollar terms (TBD) and China's April trade balance (TBD). Also notable: Chicago Fed President Goolsbee and San Francisco Fed President Daly will participate in a panel discussion at the Hoover Institution's 2026 Monetary Policy Conference.
May 5, 2026 16:18Around April 23, 2026, import and export data for cobalt and lithium battery industry chain products in March were released. Data showed that March spodumene imports rebounded significantly from February, hitting a new record high of 837,400 mt in physical content. Lithium carbonate side, China imported 29,974 mt of lithium carbonate in March, up 13% MoM and up 65% YoY.......SMM compiled the import and export data for battery materials as follows: Upstream Lithium Concentrates Customs data showed that March spodumene imports rebounded significantly from February, hitting a new record high of 837,400 mt in physical content. By source country: African ore arrivals increased notably — Nigeria imports reached 125,100 mt, up 63% MoM; Zimbabwe shipments from earlier periods arrived at ports in the month totaling 112,600 mt, up 61% MoM; Canada broke the zero-import situation in January-February with 58,600 mt arriving in March; while Australian ore volumes declined MoM due to shipping schedule impacts. According to SMM's screening and analysis, total port arrivals this month were equivalent to 81,000 mt LCE. Lithium concentrates accounted for 72% of the month's imports, down slightly compared to the same period last year, mainly due to the notable increase in South African raw ore port arrivals recently. Notably, driven by prices and local beneficiation plant development, Nigerian ore volumes increased significantly, with not only raw ore volumes rising markedly but also concentrates share increasing notably YoY. Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot pricing side, according to SMM spot prices, March spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices showed a V-shaped trend, dropping to a low of $2,028/mt at month-end, then rebounding to $2,313/mt at month-end, with a monthly average of $2,081.4/mt. According to SMM, in March, spodumene and lepidolite profit trends diverged, with structural cost differences among lithium chemicals enterprises becoming evident. Available spodumene volumes were tight, ore traders held back from selling, and inventory continued to be drawn down. Enterprises purchasing spodumene externally suffered losses on spot margins throughout the month, with non-integrated enterprises facing greater difficulties in hedging and procurement. Entering April, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices also showed a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery. Recently, spodumene concentrates prices continued to probe higher. As of April 27, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices rose to $2,507/mt, up $194/mt from $2,313/mt at end-March, an increase of 8.39%. According to SMM's recent research, driven by market expectations of improving future demand, speculative sentiment in the lithium carbonate futures market remained strong, pushing futures prices up. Lithium ore merchants showed increased willingness to sell, with pricing-against-futures prices staying high. Looking ahead, lithium chemical plant operating rates stay high, with demand for lithium ore continuing to climb. Meanwhile, Zimbabwe has suspended spodumene exports for nearly two months, leading to persistently tight available lithium ore supply in the market. Overall, spodumene prices are expected to hold up well. Lithium Carbonate According to customs data, China imported 29,974 mt of lithium carbonate in March, up 13% MoM and up 65% YoY. By source, the top 3 were Chile (18,000 mt, 61%), Argentina (8,292 mt, 28%), and Indonesia (2,100 mt, 7%). From January to March, China's cumulative lithium carbonate imports reached 83,000 mt, up 65% YoY cumulatively. China exported 448 mt of lithium carbonate in March, down 25% MoM and up 104% YoY. From January to March, China's cumulative lithium carbonate exports totaled 1,516 mt, up 46% YoY cumulatively. According to SMM spot quotes, lithium carbonate showed a volatile trend of first declining then rising in March. As of March 31, the average spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 163,000 yuan/mt, with a monthly average price of 156,700 yuan/mt. According to SMM analysis, spot lithium carbonate prices in China showed a significantly volatile upward trend in March, with the monthly average price up 5% MoM. Fundamentals-wise, supply side, production gradually recovered as maintenance ended, and lithium chemical plants showed increased willingness to sell spot orders at the relatively high level around 170,000 yuan/mt; demand side, downstream cathode material producers basically adopted a dip-buying strategy, with strong purchase willingness at price levels around 140,000 to 150,000 yuan/mt. As demand continued to improve, some enterprises engaged in large-scale restocking at low levels. In March, battery-grade spot lithium carbonate prices rose to 172,500 yuan/mt at the beginning of the month and pulled back to around 163,000 yuan/mt at month-end. Recently, battery-grade lithium carbonate spot quotes stayed high above 170,000 yuan. As of April 28, battery-grade lithium carbonate spot quotes were at 172,000-177,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 174,500 yuan/mt. According to SMM, in today's spot lithium carbonate market, as lithium carbonate prices declined, downstream purchase enthusiasm picked up, with some buyers' target prices basically around 170,000 to 175,000 yuan/mt; upstream spot order quotes remained at high levels. Overall, market inquiries and transactions were relatively active. Looking ahead, the supply side presents mixed signals: Huayou in Zimbabwe announced the successful shipment of lithium sulfate over the weekend, which may ease some supply anxiety in the short term; however, disruptions from mine license renewals in Jiangxi persisted, Middle East geopolitical fluctuations pushed up diesel costs, and some Australian mines confirmed cost increases in their Q1 quarterly reports. Although actual mining has not been affected yet, medium and long-term supply elasticity may be impacted. Demand side, LFP capacity release and the peak season for new car model deliveries in Q2 are expected to continue boosting lithium carbonate demand. Overall, cost support and demand expectations are resonating, and lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain on a relatively strong trend in Q2. Lithium Hydroxide According to customs data, in March 2026, China imported 6,111 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 66% MoM and up 200% YoY. Of this, 2,927 mt came from Indonesia, accounting for approximately 48% of imports, with another 40% from Australia and South Korea. In March, China exported 3,143 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 20% MoM and down 26% YoY, of which 2,059 mt were exported to South Korea and 278 mt to Japan. Battery Materials Ternary Cathode Material In March 2026, China's ternary cathode material (NCM and NCA combined) exports reached 21,900 mt, up 103% MoM and up 163% YoY. Of this, NCM exports were 20,900 mt, accounting for 96%. In terms of export destinations, South Korea was the largest importer of NCM, with March imports of 8,500 mt; Poland, Malaysia, and Japan ranked second, third, and fourth at 3,720 mt, 2,409 mt, and 2,363 mt respectively. In addition, Germany's imports saw significant growth compared to the same period last year. China's ternary cathode material exports hit a record high in March, mainly driven by the cancellation of China's 13% VAT export rebate policy for ternary cathode material effective April 1. Four leading battery cell manufacturers in Japan and South Korea placed orders in advance, boosting demand not only for their domestic plants but also for their battery cell production sites in Southeast Asia and Europe. Beyond the rebate policy impact, EV subsidy policies in Europe also fueled strong demand growth, driving up China's ternary cathode material exports. Among them, the Nordic countries led in EV penetration rate thanks to the most generous subsidies; the UK, France, and Germany continued to serve as important sources of NEV sales support. In contrast, US NEV sales declined notably in Q1, down nearly 30% YoY, significantly impacting Q1 orders for some ex-China battery cell manufacturers targeting the North American market. Looking ahead to Q2, Europe is expected to remain the largest source of incremental ex-China ternary cathode material demand. Despite some disruption from the tax rebate policy, as more battery cell manufacturers and ternary cathode producers plan to complete construction and commence production this year and next, the outlook for European market demand remains optimistic. LiPF6 According to China Customs data, in March 2026, China's cumulative LiPF6 exports totaled approximately 4,554 mt, up approximately 161% MoM, while cumulative imports were approximately 31 mt. Export side, China's LiPF6 exports in March 2026 were approximately 4,554 mt, up approximately 161% MoM from February and up approximately 188.8% YoY. Specifically, as the VAT rebate policy for LiPF6 exports was officially canceled starting April 1, 2026, enterprises rushed to export in advance in March, driving MoM increases in exports to multiple major destination countries. Among them, exports to Poland were 1,723.602 mt (up approximately 693.63% MoM), South Korea 1,099.429 mt (up approximately 184.26% MoM), Czech Republic 460.5 mt (up approximately 237.36% MoM), and Malaysia 249.346 mt (up approximately 141.39% MoM). However, exports to the US declined — 266.146 mt (down approximately 53.70% MoM). Artificial Graphite In March 2026, China's artificial graphite imports were 673 mt, up 0.6% MoM and down 34.1% YoY. Average import price in March 2026 was 61,696 yuan/mt, up 3.9% MoM and up 10.6% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In March 2026, China's artificial graphite exports were 37,525 mt, up 6% MoM and down 16% YoY. Average export price in March 2026 was 9,866 yuan/mt, up 14.4% MoM and down 7% YoY. Flake Graphite In March 2026, China's flake graphite imports were 3,905 mt, up 11% MoM and up 45% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In March 2026, China's flake graphite exports were 8,118 mt, up 35% MoM and up 65% YoY. Phosphate Ore According to customs data, China's phosphate ore imports in March 2026 were 182,000 mt. March imports rose 88.2% from February's 97,000 mt, up 144.4% YoY from 75,000 mt; March total import value was $14.552 million, up 74.6% MoM from February's $8.336 million. Unit price was $79.9/mt, down 7.2% significantly from February's $86.1/mt. In March, China's phosphate ore imports mainly came from Egypt and Pakistan, with imports of 170,000 mt and 12,000 mt respectively. Affected by factors related to the Strait of Hormuz, Jordanian phosphate ore failed to be imported, though imports from other regions filled the gap. Due to hindered transportation of high-priced Jordanian phosphate ore and lack of import volume support, March phosphate ore import unit price declined from February, pulling back to below $80/mt. Cobalt Cobalt Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products In March 2026, China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products imports were approximately 1,690 mt in physical content, down 26% MoM and down 97% YoY. Among them, imports from DRC were approximately 1,668 mt in physical content, up 10% MoM and down 97% YoY. In March 2026, the average import price of China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products was $16,730/mt in physical content, up 2.92% MoM. It was learned that cobalt intermediate products export volume from DRC increased notably in March. If the government maintains this efficient approval pace going forward, quotas for Q4 2025 and Q1/Q2 2026 will most likely be exported within the stipulated timeframe, reducing the probability of further delays. However, shipping in Africa is currently tight, with only a few miners completing small-batch vessel bookings in April. Based on a 1-2 month shipping time from South Africa to China, these intermediate products are expected to arrive at port in May-June, while intermediate products from other miners are not expected to arrive until around July. Unwrought Cobalt In March 2026, China's unwrought cobalt imports were approximately 961 mt, down 44% MoM and up 83% YoY. March imports remained at a relatively high level, mainly due to continued arrivals of export orders placed during the import window opening from late December 2025 to mid-January 2026. On average import price, China's unwrought cobalt average import price in March 2026 was $50,346/mt, up 10% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to March 2026 totaled 4,582 mt, up 206% YoY cumulatively. It was learned that as the import window gradually closed after mid-to-late January 2026, overseas traders' export willingness weakened, and refined cobalt imports in April may continue to decline MoM. Exports, China's unwrought cobalt exports in March 2026 were approximately 413 mt, up 32% MoM and down 69% YoY. By country, China's exports to the US rose slightly, with 280 mt exported to the US in March, up 13% MoM. Average export price, China's average export price of unwrought cobalt in March 2026 was $51,596/mt, down 3% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to March 2026 totaled 1,574 mt, down 52% YoY cumulatively.
Apr 29, 2026 18:46[SMM Steel Export Special Report] Steel exports are projected to increase by 0.9% in 2026, and billets may become the main force of growth through "conflict spillover" 一Review of Steel Exports in 2025 and Forecast for 2026 Looking back at the previous text ( https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/XRKfmCwJbx6eUBrgJe_xug ), SMM, now combining market research from over 50 customer questionnaires and market analysis, makes a forecast for steel exports in 2026. First, we present the conclusion: the total export volume of steel (steel products + billets) in 2026 is expected to reach 135 million tons, still showing a growth trend year-on-year, with a growth rate of 0.9%. Data sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs Forecast by Variety: Coated and Galvanized Products Continue to Top the List, While Billets Leverage "Conflict Spillover" to Catch Up Data sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs Looking back at the product mix distribution over the past 25 years, coated and plated products ranked first, followed closely by hot-rolled products and steel billets. In addition, products such as pipes and wire rods also performed quite prominently. Data source: Directly compiled from SMM's research on exporters According to the results of the SMM questionnaire survey, it can be found that the export varieties in 2026 that are more favored by exporters are mainlygalvanized steel, hot-rolled steel, and profiles. It is worth noting that silicon steel also made the list, presumably for two reasons: first, with the global power grid undergoing upgrades, the demand for orientedsilicon steelin transformers has entered a growth phase; second, as the core material for new energy vehicle motors, it is also a major source of profit for China's high-value-added exports. Based on past export data and current market analysis, SMM has estimated and predicted that the main export products in 2026 will be ① Coated and plated products (24%, with positive growth for three consecutive years), As the domestic manufacturing industry transforms towards high-end, industrial transfer, and the booming of home appliance exports, home appliance and automobile factories in regions such as Southeast Asia and North America have all entered the production stage, with rigid demand for high-quality galvanized and color-coated sheets from China. Meanwhile, compared with ordinary hot-rolled, medium and heavy plate, and other deep-processed products, coated and plated products enjoy lower anti-dumping tax rates in some countries, which is also an important means to avoid trade frictions. ② As the product with the greatest development potential this year, billets (14%) currently have obvious advantages. On the one hand, billets in China are low in price and have faced very few trade barriers to date. In the whole year of 2025, the total export volume of billets reached as high as 14.83 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 134%. According to the latest customs data compiled by SMM, the cumulative export volume of billets from January to February 2026 reached 1.7745 million tons, still achieving a year-on-year increase of 16%. On the other hand, against the backdrop of the US-Iran conflict, Iran's billet exports to Southeast Asia have nearly come to a halt, while China, with fewer overseas trade barriers for billets, will directly fill the market gap left by Iran's exit. The recent SMM Steel Export Weekly Report's research on the booming billet exports has repeatedly confirmed this situation. In summary, it is projected that billet exports will continue to maintain a high-speed growth trend in 2026, with a total volume of 19 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 28%. ③ Hot-rolled (13%) , with the implementation of Vietnam's anti-circumvention measures against Chinese hot-rolled coils this year, the total volume of hot-rolled exports will continue to decline. Meanwhile, in 2025, China's total hot-rolled exports to Saudi Arabia were second only to Vietnam, but now maritime blockades, high insurance costs, and freight rates will all become obstacles to exports to the Middle East, so the outlook for hot-rolled coil exports is not optimistic. However, as the saying goes, "a starved camel is still bigger than a horse." As a necessary product of the "Made in China" machinery and equipment going global (indirect exports), its market dominance remains difficult to shake in the short term. Therefore, even though the decline is significant, its total volume ranking remains relatively high. Data Sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs Regional Forecast: Asia Seeks Change Amid Stability, Africa Mines Potential, and European and American Markets Seek Differentiated Penetration Under "Barriers" Data sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs Reviewing the 25-year steel export data by region, it is clearly evident that the Asian market has a core region and diversified other regions. Regarding the forecast for the flow in 26 years, SMM believes that the general regions will remain unchanged, but in terms of breakdown, ① the Southeast Asian market located in Asia (60%) will see a slight increase in its share in the game between the growth of billets and coated products and the decline of hot-rolled coils, but the share of the Middle East regions such as Saudi Arabia is likely to weaken due to geopolitical conflicts, while the share of the Indian market, which serves as a transit point for transportation to the Middle East, may increase. ② Africa (16%) It is still a blue ocean with huge potential. The promotion of the African Continental Free Trade Area will accelerate the housing and infrastructure building in North Africa and West Africa, and local mineral and energy projects will continue to drive the demand for mining machinery special steel. ③ South America (9%), Europe (8%), and North America (6%) are competing. Among them, under the dual-wheel drive of new infrastructure and resource development, the South American region is expected to continue to expand compared with the same period; while the European market is expected to continue to adjust steel exports to "less but better" under the strict CBAM (carbon border adjustment mechanism) implementation.North America continues to be constrained by high Section 232 tariffs and trade protectionism, and its low share is an objective reality. Data sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs The following figure shows the ranking of export regions preferred by exporters in the SMM questionnaire, which can be used as a reference. Data source: Directly compiled from SMM's research on exporters 70% of merchants are turning to "upholding integrity while seeking innovation": SMM research reveals the compound survival logic of export trade in 2026 Meanwhile, we have also conducted relevant research on the destination countries and their corresponding export varieties. As shown in the figure, the hotspots are concentrated in Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, and the star products remain coated and plated products, hot-rolled products, wire rods, section steels, and steel billets. Data source: Directly compiled from SMM's research on exporters In the current context where the wave of globalization is facing headwinds and the international political and economic landscape is undergoing drastic upheaval, export trade enterprises are standing at an unprecedented crossroads. Faced with the complex external environment of supply chain fluctuations, geopolitical games, and the iteration of consumer demand, waiting for death or passive maintenance is no longer an option. According to the survey data from SMM questionnaires, nearly 70% of exporters, after reviewing their own business maps, have resolutely chosen a compound response strategy of "upholding integrity while seeking innovation": that is, on the basis of ensuring the stable operation of existing advantageous products, they are extending their reach to more forward-looking new product development and new track expansion. We must admit that in the crucible of complex situations, only by continuously iterating the product matrix and responding to the ever-changing market demands with a flexible and adaptable stance can enterprises stand firm in the storm. 二Core factors influencing steel exports in 2026 Although the forecast for the overall steel exports in 2026 is relatively optimistic, we must also pay attention to some external challenges we are currently facing. Apart from the previously mentioned Chinese export license incident, SMM believes that there are mainly three factors affecting exports this year: the first is the expectation of production restrictions (2026 is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, and the National Development and Reform Commission has clearly stated that it will continue to implement the reduction of crude steel production); the remaining two are the EU CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) and anti-dumping cases. Below, we will provide an interpretation of these two major factors. 2026: The Inaugural Year of the "Carbon Tax" Kicks Off: With Substantive Imposition Looming, How Can China's Steel Exports to the EU Break the Deadlock? Starting from January 1, 2026, CBAM has officially concluded the transitional period of "only reporting, no payment" and entered the substantial collection phase. This mechanism is regarded as a key piece of the puzzle for the EU to achieve its "2050 Carbon neutrality" goal, with its core logic being to levy taxes equivalent to the EU's internal carbon price on high-carbon products imported into the EU, so as to eliminate the risk of "carbon leakage" and protect the competitiveness of the EU's domestic industries. Data source: SMM compiled from public information According to the latest research by SMM, most traders are currently taking a wait-and-see attitude towards steel exports to the EU region due to the issue of certificate fees. Meanwhile, to provide a buffer period for traders, the EU will not impose 100% fees in 2026, but will instead assess based on the "free allowances" of EU domestic enterprises. That is, at present, only a small portion of emissions need to pay for certificate fees, but this coefficient will decline year by year over time (reaching 0 in 2034, i.e., full fees will be charged). In summary, there is no need to be overly worried in the short term. However, due to the significant differences between China's steel production structure (dominated by long blast furnace processes) and that of the EU (where short electric furnace processes account for a relatively high proportion), the medium- to long-term impact on China's steel industry should not be underestimated. For details, please refer to the analysis in the figure below. Data sources: SMM, public information To maintain steel exports to the EU under the influence of policies, we propose the following optimization suggestions: ① Data compliance: As soon as possible, improve the full life cycle (LCA) carbon footprint accounting of export products, establish a carbon ledger that meets EU standards, and actively prepare all relevant materials. ② Product optimization: Prioritize low-carbon emission production lines (such as electric arc furnace lines with a high proportion of scrap steel) to undertake orders for export to the EU. ③ Premium transfer: Explore the brand premium of "green steel" and attempt to offset part of the carbon tariff cost through environmental premiums. ④ Layout adjustment: Focus on the production capacity layout in regions such as Southeast Asia, and evaluate the feasibility of avoiding or mitigating carbon footprint pressure through overseas bases. Break through the fog of "anti-dumping" and jump out of the trap of "pessimistic expectations" Finally, we have compiled the anti-dumping cases that have been adjudicated for the second half of 2025 and 2026. The main product categories affecting steel exports in 2026 are hot-rolled, coated, silicon steel, and medium and heavy plates, and the markets are mostly concentrated in countries such as South Korea, Brazil, Egypt, and India. Data sources: SMM, General Administration of Customs Considering that there is usually a time period of 1 to 1.5 years from case filing to ruling, we have also compiled the following table for relevant cases that may affect steel exports in 2026 in terms of market and product variety. Summary of anti-dumping cases to be implemented in 2026 Data sources: SMM, China Trade Remedy Information Network It should be noted that although there were also many new anti-dumping cases in 2025, they did not have the expected pessimistic impact on the actual total export volume for that year. Therefore, the proportion of the impact factor of this part in the SMM balance model is not large. So, even when evaluated based on the maximum impact upon implementation, there is still an expected increase in this year's actual export volume, with the growth rate of billets remaining the main driver. Copyright and Intellectual Property Statement: This report is independently created or compiled by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM"), and SMM legally enjoys complete copyright and related intellectual property rights. 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Apr 9, 2026 13:50In mid-March 2026, CAAM and the China Automotive Power Battery Industry Innovation Alliance successively released relevant data on the auto and power battery markets for February 2026. According to CAAM’s analysis, auto production and sales declined YoY under the combined impact of multiple factors, including policy transition adjustments, front-load demand release, the timing shift of the Chinese New Year holiday, insufficient willingness to consume, and a high base in the same period last year. Among them, the passenger vehicle market and NEV market both declined YoY, while the commercial vehicle market continued to improve, and auto exports grew rapidly. .......SMM compiled the relevant data on the auto market and power battery market for February 2026 for readers’ reference. Automobiles CAAM: February Auto Output and Sales Reached 1.672 Million and 1.805 Million Units, Respectively In February, auto output and sales totaled 1.672 million and 1.805 million units, down 31.7% and 23.1% MoM, and down 20.5% and 15.2% YoY, respectively. From January to February, auto output and sales totaled 4.122 million and 4.152 million units, down 9.5% and 8.8% YoY, respectively. CAAM: February NEV Sales Reached 765,000 Units; January-February NEV Output and Sales Reached 1.71 Million Units In February, NEV output and sales totaled 694,000 and 765,000 units, down 21.8% and 14.2% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 42.4% of total new vehicle sales. From January to February, NEV output and sales totaled 1.735 million and 1.71 million units, down 8.8% and 6.9% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 41.2% of total new vehicle sales. CAAM: Auto Exports Continued to Grow in February; NEV Exports up 1.1x YoY In February, NEV exports were 282,000 units, down 6.6% MoM, up 1.1x YoY ; traditional fuel vehicle exports were 391,000 units, up 2.8% MoM and up 26.2% YoY . From January to February, NEV exports were 583,000 units, up 1.1x YoY; traditional fuel vehicle exports were 769,000 units, up 22.2% YoY . Regarding the auto market in February, CAAM said that this year’s Chinese New Year fell in mid-to-late February, and the holiday was extended. As a result, there were only 16 effective working days in February, which had a certain impact on enterprise production and operations, and overall market activity declined. Judging from industry performance from January to February, auto production and sales declined YoY under the combined impact of multiple factors, including policy transition adjustments, front-load demand release, the timing shift of the Chinese New Year holiday, insufficient willingness to consume, and a high base in the same period last year. Among them, the passenger vehicle market and NEVs declined YoY, while the commercial vehicle market continued to improve and auto exports grew rapidly. This year’s government work report explicitly proposed to stimulate the endogenous momentum of household consumption and advance consumption-promoting policies in parallel, continue to amplify the effect of the policy package, further rectify “involution-style” competition, and foster a sound market ecosystem. It is believed that, as detailed local subsidy measures are fully implemented after the holiday, spring auto show sales promotions begin, and automakers roll out new models one after another, this will help boost consumer confidence, energize the auto market, and promote the healthy and stable operation of the industry. Subsequently, the CPCA also released data on the passenger vehicle market for February 2026. From February 1 to 28, retail sales in China’s passenger vehicle market reached 1.034 million units, down 25.4% YoY and down 33.1% MoM. Cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year totaled 2.578 million units, down 18.9% YoY. As market factors have become more complex, the pattern of “low at the beginning and high at the end” in annual sales has become more evident in recent years. Affected by disruptions such as Chinese New Year, February retail sales have seen wild YoY swings over the years, for example: 2019 (-19%), 2020 (-79%), 2021 (373%), 2022 (5%), 2023 (10%), 2024 (-21%), and 2025 (26%). Therefore, the -25.4% in 2026 was at the lower-middle end of the range of sharp fluctuations in February growth rates over the years. NEVs, retail sales in the passenger NEV market were 464,000 units in February, down 32.0% YoY; from January to February, retail sales in the passenger NEV market were 1.06 million units, down 25.7% YoY. Retail sales of conventional fuel passenger vehicles were 570,000 units in February, down 19% YoY. In February, passenger NEV producer exports were 269,000 units, up 124.7% YoY and down 7.0% MoM; from January to February, passenger NEV producer exports were 559,000 units, up 114.7% YoY, while exports of conventional fuel passenger vehicles were 290,000 units in February, up 21% YoY. NEV exports, as the scale advantages of China’s new energy vehicles become more apparent and market expansion demand grows, more and more China-made new energy brand products are going outside China, and their recognition outside China continues to improve. Among them, PHEVs accounted for 38% of NEV exports (38% in the same period last year). Although they have recently been affected by some disruptions from external countries, exports of independently developed PHEVs to developing countries have grown rapidly, with bright prospects. In February, passenger NEV exports were 269,000 units, up 124.7% YoY and down 7.0% MoM. They accounted for 48.5% of passenger vehicle exports, up 14.8 percentage points YoY; BEVs accounted for 58% of NEV exports (59% in the same period last year), and A00- and A0-class EVs, the core focus, accounted for 55% of BEV exports (56% in the same period last year). The CPCA stated that after the NEV purchase tax exemption policy, which had been implemented since September 2014, was formally phased out at the end of December 2025, the NEV market in 2026 entered a recovery period amid adjustments to tax subsidies. Some consumers brought forward purchases to 2025 to benefit from the policy, resulting in a certain pull-forward effect in January-February this year. This was an expected short-term fluctuation and does not represent the market’s long-term trend. However, with Chinese New Year falling later this year, making it a major consumption year, growth in the auto market diverged, and NEVs did not perform strongly, indicating that more policy support is still needed. Key features of the passenger vehicle market in February 2026: 1. In February, passenger vehicle producers’ daily average exports hit a record high for the month, fully demonstrating the steadily improving competitiveness of China’s automotive industry in the global market and continued robust demand outside China; 2. The retail pullback after the expiration of the vehicle purchase tax exemption was evident, but structural changes were also clear, namely a higher share of high-end NEVs and a lower share of entry-level consumption, which is conducive to the industry’s transition toward high-quality development; 3. New vehicle launches were steady in 2026, and together with the advance of anti-involution efforts curbing disorderly price cuts, NEV sales promotions stayed at 10.4% in February, remaining around 10% for six consecutive months. No vicious volume discount competition emerged, helping maintain market order; 4. The historical pattern of internal combustion engine vehicles outperforming NEVs before Chinese New Year continued again. In February, retail sales in China of internal combustion engine vehicles fell 19% YoY, while pure electric vehicle retail sales fell 35% YoY, range-extended vehicles fell 16% YoY, and PHEVs fell 31% YoY. As time goes by, consumers are expected to gradually adapt to the normalization of NEV taxation, and the NEV market is expected to return to a track of positive growth; 5. This February was still a pre-Chinese New Year consumption phase dominated by internal combustion engine vehicles. NEV penetration rate in retail sales in China was 44.9%, and export penetration rate was 48.5%, which was a relatively good performance; 6. In February 2026, exports of self-owned-brand internal combustion engine passenger vehicles reached 247,000, up 21% YoY, while exports of self-owned-brand NEVs reached 231,000, up 110% YoY. NEVs accounted for 48.4% of self-owned-brand exports. In particular, the high growth of NEV exports in Europe, Southeast Asia, and other regions marked the expanding influence of China’s NEV brands in the international market, laying a solid foundation for future export growth. Power Battery In February, China’s cumulative sales of power and ESS batteries reached 113.2 Gwh, up 25.7% YoY In February, China’s sales of power and ESS batteries reached 113.2 Gwh, down 23.9% MoM, up 25.7% YoY . Of this, power battery sales were 74.5 Gwh, accounting for 65.9% of total sales, down 27.4% MoM and up 11.4% YoY; ESS battery sales were 38.6 Gwh, accounting for 34.1% of total sales, down 16.2% MoM and up 67.3% YoY. From January to February, China’s cumulative sales of power and ESS batteries were 262 Gwh, up 53.8% YoY . Of this, cumulative power battery sales were 177.2 Gwh, accounting for 67.6% of total sales and up 36.5% YoY; cumulative ESS battery sales were 84.8 Gwh, accounting for 32.4% of total sales and up 108.9% YoY. From January to February, cumulative power battery installations were 68.3 Gwh, with LFP installations accounting for 77.9% In February, China’s power battery installations were 26.3 Gwh, down 37.4% MoM and down 24.6% YoY. Of this, ternary battery installations were 5.7 Gwh, accounting for 21.7% of total installations, down 39.1% MoM and down 11.4% YoY; LFP battery installations were 20.6 Gwh, accounting for 78.3% of total installations, down 36.9% MoM and down 27.5% YoY. From January to February, cumulative power battery installations in China were 68.3 Gwh, down 7.2% YoY. Of this, cumulative ternary battery installations were 15.1 Gwh, accounting for 22.1% of total installations and up 0.6% YoY; cumulative LFP battery installations were 53.3 Gwh, accounting for 77.9% of total installations and down 9.2% YoY. More Than 60% of A/H-Share Automakers Achieved YoY Growth, March Auto Market Production and Sales Will See Rapid MoM Growth Earlier, CLS compiled the January-February sales performance of 14 A/H-share listed automakers, of which 9 achieved YoY growth, accounting for more than 60%, and 3 automakers recorded February sales outside China exceeding those in the Chinese market. Among emerging EV makers, Leap Motor still firmly held the top spot in deliveries, with 28,067 units delivered in February, up 10.99% YoY; cumulative deliveries in 2026 reached 60,126 units, up 19.16% YoY. While releasing its February delivery figures, Leap Motor said its March car purchase incentives had gone live, with discounts of up to 46,000 yuan for in-stock vehicles. Li Auto delivered 26,421 units in February, up 0.6% YoY. Cumulative deliveries in 2026 reached 54,089 units, down 3.74% YoY. As of February 28, 2026, Li Auto’s historical cumulative deliveries totaled 1.594 million units. Li Auto said that as of February 28, 2026, it had 539 retail centers nationwide, covering 160 cities; 548 after-sales repair centers and authorized service centers, covering 223 cities. Li Auto had put into use 4,054 Li Auto supercharging stations nationwide, with 22,447 charging piles. NIO delivered 20,797 new vehicles in February, up 57.65% YoY. Cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 reached 47,979 units, up 77.34% YoY. To date, NIO has delivered a total of 1,045,571 new vehicles. At 22:33:18 on February 6, NIO completed its 100 millionth battery swap; during the 2026 Chinese New Year holiday, NIO provided a cumulative 2,073,500 battery swapping services, with daily average services up 29.4% YoY versus the Chinese New Year holiday last year. From February 15 to February 23, NIO Energy's cumulative highway charging and battery swapping volume exceeded 25.28 million kWh, accounting for 15% of the national highway charging and battery swapping total. Starting from February 18 (the second day of the Chinese New Year), NIO battery swapping set new single-day service records for five consecutive days. XPeng Motors delivered a total of 15,256 new vehicles in February, bringing cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 to 35,267 units, down 42% YoY. In February, the all-new XPeng G6 launched in the UK, with the entire lineup equipped as standard with an 800V high-voltage platform and a new-generation LFP battery, while introducing an all-wheel-drive performance black edition for the first time. The XPeng G6 has now been exported to more than 40 countries and regions worldwide, covering Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, and Latin America, and continues to win favour among an increasing number of overseas consumers. As for Xiaomi Auto, its deliveries exceeded 20,000 units in February, while January deliveries exceeded 39,000 units, bringing cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 to 59,000 units. Notably, the Xiaomi YU7 continued to rank first in sales in February and has now held the top spot for six consecutive months. In February 2026, Xiaomi YU7 sales reached 20,196 units, ranking among the top three passenger vehicle models nationwide for the month. As for BYD, China's "EV king," February sales reached 190,190 units, retaining its position as China's NEV sales champion. In January-February 2026, BYD Group's cumulative sales reached 400,241 units, while cumulative overseas sales of passenger vehicles and pickups totaled 200,160 units, and cumulative new energy vehicle sales exceeded 15.5 million units. On March 5, BYD unveiled the second-generation blade battery. Wang Chuanfu, Chairman of BYD Group, said that the second-generation blade battery can charge from 10% to 70% in 5 minutes, and from 10% to 97% in just 9 minutes. The second-generation blade battery offers 5% higher battery energy density than the first-generation blade battery. Car models equipped with the second-generation blade battery include the Yangwang U7, Denza N9, Fangchengbao Tai 3, Seal 07, Datang, Sea Lion 06, Song Ultra, Fangchengbao Tai 7, Denza Z9GT, and Yangwang U8L, among which the Denza Z9GT has a driving range of 1,036 km. Regarding auto industry sales in February 2026, Cailian Press quoted an executive at a new carmaker as saying, "Affected by the longest-ever nine-day Chinese New Year holiday in February, the auto industry's effective production and sales period was significantly shortened, making it a typical off-season for auto consumption. Combined with the phased reduction in the vehicle purchase tax incentive, the auto industry as a whole remained subdued and full of challenges.” Looking ahead to the passenger vehicle market in March, the CPCA said that March this year had 22 working days, one more than the 21 working days in March 2025. As industries across the board rapidly returned to normal operations after the Chinese New Year holiday, production and sales growth in March is expected to rise sharply MoM. The post-Chinese New Year period is an important window for new product launches, and many producers rolled out a large number of new vehicles. Driven by national pro-consumption policies, many provinces and cities introduced corresponding measures to stimulate consumption, while the full resumption of offline activities such as auto shows will also accelerate the return of foot traffic. As prices of lithium carbonate, copper, and other materials have remained high recently, coupled with the continued anti-involution trend, producers are expected to launch relatively few new energy car models offering better-than-expected value for money, leaving limited potential for an explosive rebound in auto consumption. Although the recent Middle East crisis caused some transportation disruptions, China’s complete vehicle enterprises shifted from “chartering vessels and waiting for shipping space” to “building ships and controlling transport,” with rapid expansion of their own fleets, greater autonomy and control over shipping capacity, and significant optimization in cost and efficiency. Our sales support capabilities are stronger than those of other international automakers, and if the crisis does not last long, export transportation will not be significantly affected. As the national trade-in policy is fully implemented, the consumer potential for replacement and upgrade purchases will be gradually released, helping the auto market strengthen steadily in March. In 2026, policy subsidies and structural optimization in the auto industry will become key factors in leveraging overall market prosperity and accelerating the premiumization of new energy vehicles. Although the 2026 consumer goods trade-in subsidy fund of 250 billion yuan was down 50 billion yuan from 2025, the 100 billion yuan in special fiscal and financial coordinated funding to boost domestic demand can reduce financing costs for residents’ car purchases and automakers through loan interest subsidies and financing guarantees, effectively stimulating endogenous consumption momentum and expanding new room for domestic demand. Huachuang Securities pointed out that since March, the passenger vehicle retail market has begun to improve, with foot traffic and transactions gradually recovering, mainly due to the digestion of deferred wait-and-see demand from last year and the launch of new models. Attention should be paid to market acceptance of new vehicles after price increases and to dynamic adjustments by automakers. Although the subsidy amount per vehicle declined this year, coverage may expand. Combined with the low base in H2 last year, industry retail sales growth in H2 is expected to turn positive, with full-year retail growth expected at 1%, including +5% for EVs. Export data for January-February exceeded expectations, and full-year exports are expected to surpass 7.1 million units, boosting wholesale growth by about 3%, including +8% for EVs. In February, due to weaker demand during the Chinese New Year, the new energy penetration rate remained firm at 48%. Current total channel inventory is about 3.4 million units, an increase of about 600,000 units compared to the same period last year. Rising Prices of Memory Chips and Precious Metals, Some Automakers Warn of Cost Pressure It is worth noting that as memory chip and precious metal prices have fluctuated upward recently, some automakers in the market have begun trying to respond to supply chain cost pressure through “price increases.”Monitoring data from TrendForce showed that since H2 2025, prices of DDR4 memory used in automotive-grade DRAM have risen by more than 150% cumulatively, while DDR5 memory prices have surged by 300%. Data provided by UBS showed that over the past three months, automotive-grade DRAM prices as a whole increased by 180%. According to incomplete statistics, since the start of 2026, multiple automakers, including NIO, Li Auto, VOYAH, Xiaomi, and Zeekr, have issued warnings or been reported to be facing cost challenges brought by chip price increases. In a livestream, Deepal Chairman Deng Chenghao said that current production costs have risen by several thousand yuan compared with earlier levels, with the pressure mainly coming from wild swings in power battery and in-vehicle memory chip prices; Li Auto Vice President of Supply Chain Meng Qingpeng even warned that the supply fulfillment rate for automotive memory chips in 2026 may be less than 50%; Xiaomi Chairman Lei Jun mentioned in a livestream in January that the new Xiaomi SU7 is facing memory cost pressure that is jumping quarter by quarter, with memory cost per vehicle expected to increase by several thousand yuan. However, according to the latest news from NIO on March 11, NIO founder and chairman Li Bin said that rising prices of memory and other raw materials have impacted the cost of high-end new energy car models by 3,000 to 5,000 yuan respectively, with the total impact nearing 10,000 yuan. At present, NIO’s existing system can support the pressure brought by rising costs, and the company currently has no plan to adjust prices. At the Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings call, Li Auto President Ma Donghui said that in response to the impact brought by the current increase in parts prices, Li Auto will strengthen coordination with supply partners and sign long-term LTA agreements with relevant suppliers to lock in prices or allocations in advance. If there is a price adjustment mechanism, it will be strictly implemented in accordance with the contract; where there is no price adjustment mechanism, the company will also share costs with suppliers. It will absorb as much of the pressure from external price increases internally as possible, including through its self-developed range extender and self-developed chips. “Li Auto will comprehensively consider parts costs and user value in determining the pricing of new car models, and is confident that through a series of measures it can keep the impact of raw materials within a reasonable range,” Ma Donghui said. UBS warned that chip shortages may begin disrupting global auto production as early as Q2 this year, with EV manufacturers that are highly dependent on advanced chips expected to be affected the most.
Mar 17, 2026 18:25In mid-December 2025, the Passenger Car Association and CAAM successively released data on the automotive industry and passenger car market for December 2025 and the full year of 2025. According to CAAM analysis, in 2025, automobile production and sales reached 34.531 million and 34.4 million units, respectively, setting new historical records and maintaining the top global position for the 17th consecutive year... SMM compiled relevant data on the automotive market and power battery market for December 2025 for readers' reference. Automotive Sector CAAM: Automobile Production and Sales Hit New Record High in 2025, Leading Globally for 17th Consecutive Year In December, automobile production and sales reached 3.296 million and 3.272 million units, respectively, down 6.7% and 4.6% MoM, and down 2.1% and 6.2% YoY, respectively. In 2025, automobile production and sales reached 34.531 million and 34.4 million units, respectively, up 10.4% and 9.4% YoY, exceeding initial expectations, setting new historical records, and maintaining the top global position for the 17th consecutive year. CAAM: NEV Production and Sales Exceeded 16 Million Units in 2025, Leading Globally for 11th Consecutive Year In December, NEV production and sales reached 1.718 million and 1.71 million units, respectively, up 12.3% and 7.2% YoY, with NEV sales accounting for 52.3% of total new automobile sales. In 2025, NEV production and sales reached 16.626 million and 16.49 million units, respectively, up 29% and 28.2% YoY, with NEV sales accounting for 47.9% of total new automobile sales, an increase of 7 percentage points compared to the same period last year. China's NEVs maintained the top global position for the 11th consecutive year. In 2025, driven by favorable policies, abundant supply, and continuous infrastructure improvements, NEVs continued to grow, with production and sales exceeding 16 million units. CAAM: Annual Automobile Exports Surpassed 7 Million Units In December, automobile exports reached 753,000 units, up 3.5% MoM, and up 49.2% YoY. In 2025, enterprises placed greater emphasis on exploring overseas markets, the international competitiveness of Chinese brands continued to improve, joint venture exports also performed well, and NEV exports grew rapidly, driving China's automobile exports to a new level. Annual automobile exports exceeded 7 million units, reaching 7.098 million units, up 21.1% YoY. CAAM: NEV Exports Reached a New Level In December, NEV exports reached 300,000 units, down 0.1% MoM, and up 1.2 times YoY; traditional fuel vehicle exports reached 453,000 units, up 6% MoM, and up 22% YoY. In 2025, NEV exports reached 2.615 million units, doubling YoY ; exports of internal combustion engine vehicles totaled 4.483 million units, down 2% YoY . The China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) recently released data on the passenger vehicle market for December 2025. According to CPCA data, retail sales in the national passenger vehicle market in December reached 2.261 million units, down 14.0% YoY , but up 1.6% MoM . Cumulative retail sales from January to December reached 23.744 million units, up 3.8% YoY. For passenger NEVs, production in December 2025 reached 1.56 million units, up 7.6% YoY but down 11.2% MoM. Cumulative production from January to December reached 15.348 million units, an increase of 26.1%. Regarding exports, the CPCA stated that with the scale advantages and market expansion needs of Chinese NEVs becoming apparent, Chinese-made NEV brand products are increasingly going global, with their recognition overseas continuing to rise. Passenger NEV exports in December were 273,000 units, up 119.8% YoY , but down 4.0% MoM, accounting for 46.4% of passenger vehicle exports, an increase of 15.4 percentage points compared to the same period last year. Among these, pure electric vehicles accounted for 57.9% of NEV exports (compared to 62.5% in the same period last year), with A00+A0 segment pure electric vehicles, as the core focus, accounting for 68% of pure electric vehicle exports (compared to 52% in the same period last year). Regarding the December passenger vehicle market, the CPCA stated that the national passenger vehicle wholesale growth rate for 2025 was 8.8%, and the passenger NEV wholesale growth rate was 25.2%, successfully achieving the NEV market growth target set in the "14th Five-Year Plan". With the NEV purchase tax exemption policy set to expire at year-end, the vehicle market should have entered a year-end rush-buying phase in December. However, budget funds for trade-in policies in most provinces and cities were depleted, creating a hedging effect on car purchase incentives. Coupled with adjustments to the automotive trade-in policy, market trends diverged significantly. Recently, most provinces across the country have implemented varying degrees of deep adjustments to replacement and trade-in subsidies, intensifying consumer wait-and-see sentiment and also bringing significant deceleration and momentum building to the December vehicle market. With upstream speculation driving lithium carbonate price increases and widespread price hikes for non-ferrous raw materials, coupled with weak downstream demand, the survival pressure on automakers is increasing. Some producers promptly adjusted their production pace downward and reduced inventory to accumulate momentum for a strong start to the "16th Five-Year Plan". The CPCA believes the characteristics of the December 2025 passenger vehicle market were as follows: First, passenger vehicle manufacturer production and wholesale trends were steady in December, with mainstream manufacturers reducing pressure accordingly; Second, the expiration of the vehicle purchase tax exemption drove outstanding NEV retail performance for automakers, with NEV retail sales hitting a record high; Third, the batch launch of new models this year, combined with the advancement of "anti-involution" efforts curbing disorderly price cuts, kept NEV promotions in December at around 10%, without significant volume discount trends; Fourth, domestic retail sales of internal combustion engine vehicles in December fell 30% YoY, pure electric vehicle market retail sales grew 2.5% YoY, extended-range electric vehicles grew 15.4% YoY, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles fell 1.1% YoY. The structural share of pure electric versus extended-range among new automakers changed from 59%:41% last year to 71%:29%; Fifth, the domestic retail penetration rate of NEVs in December was 59.1%. As the NEV purchase tax exemption policy is expected to expire, NEVs showed strong growth momentum, 32.6 percentage points higher than internal combustion engine vehicles. A NEV penetration rate approaching 60% also signifies the market's entry into a new "NEV-dominated" stage, requiring timely policy adjustments to promote harmonious and high-quality industry development; Sixth, from January to December 2025, exports of self-owned brand internal combustion engine passenger vehicles were 2.87 million units, down 7%, while exports of self-owned brand NEVs were 2.04 million units, up 139%. NEVs accounted for 49.5% of self-owned brand exports. With the growth of CKD exports, Chinese passenger vehicle exports have extended from "simply selling cars" to "industry chain going global", upgrading from high-speed growth in "volume" to a leap in "quality". For the full-year passenger vehicle market, the CPCA stated that the national auto market trend in 2025 showed an "inverted U-shaped pattern of low at the beginning, high in the middle, and low at the end," with the release of replacement demand continuously promoted from 2024 to 2025 being relatively sufficient. The original forecast was for a 2% growth in domestic auto retail sales in 2025, but actual growth reached 4%. Retail sales of passenger NEVs in 2025 were projected to grow by 20%, with a penetration rate of 57%, and the actual trend was similar. CAAM indicated that in 2025, auto production and sales cumulatively reached 34.531 million and 34.4 million units, respectively, setting new historical records and maintaining the top global position for 17 consecutive years. Among these, the passenger vehicle market grew steadily, effectively boosting the overall auto market as the core component of auto consumption; the commercial vehicle market recovered positively, with production and sales achieving growth of over 10%, returning to above 4 million units; new momentum accelerated its release, with NEV production and sales exceeding 16 million units, accounting for over 50% of domestic new vehicle sales, becoming the dominant force in China's auto market; foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience, with auto exports exceeding 7 million units and NEV exports reaching 2.615 million units, scaling new heights in export volume. Regarding power batteries, from January to December, cumulative sales of China's power and ESS batteries reached 1,700.5 GWh, up 63.6% YoY. In December, sales of China's power and ESS batteries were 199.3 GWh, up 11.1% MoM and 57.5% YoY. Among these, power battery sales were 143.8 GWh, accounting for 72.1% of total sales, up 7.3% MoM and 49.2% YoY; ESS battery sales were 55.6 GWh, accounting for 27.9% of total sales, up 22.4% MoM and 84.0% YoY. From January to December, cumulative sales of China's power and ESS batteries were 1,700.5 GWh, up 63.6% YoY. Among these, cumulative power battery sales were 1,200.9 GWh, accounting for 70.6% of total sales, up 51.8% YoY; cumulative ESS battery sales were 499.6 GWh, accounting for 29.4% of total sales, up 101.3% YoY. From January to December, cumulative domestic power battery installations were 769.7 GWh, up 40.4% YoY. In December, domestic power battery installations were 98.1 GWh, up 4.9% MoM and 35.1% YoY. Among these, ternary battery installations were 18.2 GWh, accounting for 18.6% of total installations, up 0.2% MoM and 40.5% YoY; LFP battery installations were 79.8 GWh, accounting for 81.3% of total installations, up 5.9% MoM and 33.7% YoY. January-December, China's power battery installations totaled 769.7 GWh, up 40.4% YoY . Among them, ternary battery installations totaled 144.1 GWh, accounting for 18.7% of total installations, up 3.7% YoY; LFP battery installations totaled 625.3 GWh, accounting for 81.2% of total installations, up 52.9% YoY. 2025 Auto Market Wraps Up Successfully! BYD Overtakes Tesla for the First Time to Become Global Pure EV Sales Champion; Multiple New Automakers Achieve Sales Targets Following major automakers successively releasing their December 2025 sales data, the 2025 auto market successfully concluded. The chart below, compiled by a Cailian Press reporter, shows the sales figures for December 2025 and the full year 2025 for 14 A/H-share listed automakers, as follows: In December 2025, domestic EV leader BYD led with sales of 420,398 units, down approximately 18.2% YoY; its cumulative sales for 2025 exceeded 4.602 million units, up 7.73% YoY. Among these, pure EV sales reached 2.257 million units, up 27.86% YoY, allowing BYD to overtake Tesla for the first time and become the global pure EV sales champion; cumulative plug-in hybrid sales were 2.289 million units, down 7.91% YoY. Previously, BYD had set a 2025 sales target of 4.6 million units, which it has now exceeded. For the full year, Tesla's global cumulative deliveries in 2025 were 1.64 million units, a pullback from 1.79 million units in 2024. According to Reuters, Tesla's sales decline in 2025 was mainly due to intensified market competition, the expiration of U.S. EV tax credits, and weakened demand from brand image issues. Entering the new year, BYD continues its push, launching new variants of the 2026 BYD Qin L DM-i and Qin PLUS DM-i, with the 2026 Qin L DM-i offering a limited-time NEV purchase tax subsidy, starting at a subsidized price of 92,800 yuan. SAIC followed BYD with sales of 4.507 million units, up 12.32% YoY, showing a significant rebound. Its NEV transition, upgrades of proprietary brands, and overseas market expansion were cited as three key drivers for this sales growth. Among new automakers, Leapmotor emerged as the final "winner" of 2025 among new automakers. Since March 2025, its sales consistently ranked first among new automakers, achieving nine consecutive months of leading monthly sales and exceeding 70,000 units for two consecutive months , with full-year deliveries of 597,000 units, up 103.1% YoY, setting a new annual sales record for new automakers. It is worth mentioning that Leap Motor previously set a sales target of 500,000 units for 2025, and as early as November 15, it had already achieved this target ahead of schedule, 45 days early. Leap Motor Chairman Zhu Jiangming set a higher goal for 2026, aiming to reach 1 million units. In December 2025, NIO ranked second among new automakers with 48,135 units, up 42.11% YoY; for the full year 2025, it achieved total sales of 326,000 units, up 46.88% YoY. It is reported that NIO's previously set sales target was 440,000 units, with a final achievement rate of 74.1%. NIO Chairman Li Bin stated that the company's sales target for 2026 is to maintain steady growth at a rate of 40%-50% and improve the quality of growth. With NIO's cumulative sales of approximately 326,000 units in 2025, its sales target for 2026 is calculated to be 456,000-489,000 units. Moreover, Li Bin mentioned during the Q3 2025 earnings call that the company's operational goal for 2026 is to achieve full-year profitability. He also noted that the halved purchase tax on NEVs in 2026 would have a relatively small impact on NIO, "because the battery price deducted under the BaaS leasing scheme is not included in the tax base, which gives us some relative advantage. As for how to respond to market changes next year, we will adopt flexible strategies based on the overall market situation." XPeng Motors ranked third in the 2025 sales ranking among new automakers, with full-year deliveries of 429,000 units, up 125.94% YoY; in December 2025, it delivered 37,508 new units, up 2.22% YoY. It is reported that XPeng Motors' previously set sales target for 2025 was 380,000 units, and it also achieved its annual sales target ahead of schedule in November 2025. Entering 2026, XPeng Motors is also going all out. On January 8, XPeng Motors launched four new models. XPeng Motors CEO He Xiaopeng stated at the launch event that all four new models would be equipped with the company's second-generation VLA (Vision-Language-Action) large model. He Xiaopeng claimed that this is the industry's first physical world large model capable of initial L4-level functionality. In 2026, XPeng will see the implementation and mass production of physical AI, begin operating Robotaxi, and mass-produce humanoid robots and flying cars. Li Auto delivered a total of 406,000 new units in 2025, with a slight decline YoY; in December 2025, it delivered 44,246 new units, down 22.38% YoY. It is reported that Li Auto's previous sales target was 640,000 units, with a final achievement rate of 63.44%. On January 9, Li Auto i8 launched a limited-time financial policy featuring "0 interest" and "0 down payment"! Users who lock in orders for the Li Auto i8 from now until January 31 (inclusive) can enjoy a 3-year zero-interest policy, saving up to 18,000 yuan in interest; the down payment starts from 99,800 yuan, with daily payments as low as 220 yuan. In addition, Li Auto Supercharging Stations provided over 19.53 million charging sessions to all users in 2025, including over 8.71 million sessions for Li Auto users. In 2025, the number of Li Auto supercharging piles grew from over 9,000 at the beginning of the year to over 20,000, and the number of stations increased from over 1,700 to over 3,900. Xiaomi Auto delivered over 50,000 units in December. Xiaomi CEO Lei Jun previously stated that Xiaomi delivered a total of 410,000 vehicles in 2025, exceeding its annual sales target of 350,000 units set at the beginning of the year as early as November. On January 3, 2026, Lei Jun mentioned that he will devote more effort to the automotive business this year. The delivery target, set neither too high nor too low, is 550,000 units, with the hope of surpassing this figure by the end of 2026. On January 1, 2026, Xiaomi Auto's official Weibo account announced that customers who place orders before 24:00 on February 28 can enjoy a "3-year zero interest" policy across the entire Xiaomi YU7 series, with a down payment starting from 74,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as 4,961 yuan. Looking ahead to the passenger vehicle market in January 2026, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) predicts that there will be 20 working days in January 2026, one more than the same period last year but three fewer than the 20 working days in December. Since the 2026 Chinese New Year falls on February 16, and considering the early holiday period last year, production and sales time in January this year is relatively ample. Additionally, it was mentioned that the national vehicle retirement and renewal policy and various local trade-in policies implemented in 2025 to stimulate auto consumption have achieved good results, but the retail growth rate of passenger vehicles turned negative in Q4, contracting by 5%. Some consumers' wait-and-see sentiment towards car purchases intensified towards the year-end, but this also accumulated some momentum for the auto market at the beginning of 2026. Although the subsidy intensity of the 2026 trade-in policy will be gradually reduced, it started earlier compared to last year. Overall, this is conducive to stabilizing consumption expectations and achieving a "good start" in January. Achieving a "good start" in January has been a goal pursued by local governments and automakers for many years. Combined with the impact of the Spring Festival in February, a certain volume of wholesale transfers is expected in January. Considering the current market pre-order model, some enterprises still have a considerable number of orders awaiting delivery. As the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" period and given that this year is a significant one for auto consumption, a slight YoY sales increase is anticipated for January. 2026 Outlook For 2026, the CPCA stated that the subsidy intensity for commercial vehicle renewal under policy encouragement will remain unchanged, while passenger vehicle retirement and renewal subsidies are estimated to decrease by 20% based on the 2025 structure, and the maximum estimated decline for trade-in subsidies is 30. The growth effect for commercial vehicles in 2026 is expected to be better than that for passenger vehicles. The passenger vehicle market in 2026 is projected to follow a "U-shaped" trajectory—high at the beginning, low in the middle, and high again toward the end—with overall vehicle sales remaining flat compared to the domestic retail volume in 2025. Exports are expected to maintain medium-to-high growth of over 10%, yet domestic destocking pressure remains substantial. As a result, total wholesale sales by passenger vehicle producers are forecast to grow by 1%. In addition, CAAM stated that in 2026, China’s economic work will adhere to the principles of seeking progress while maintaining stability, improving quality, and enhancing efficiency, with a continued focus on domestic demand. Relevant national ministries and commissions have concentrated on key tasks outlined at the Central Economic Work Conference, seized the time window, and taken proactive and front-loaded measures. The program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins was released by the end of 2025, ensuring a smooth and orderly policy transition. Recently, nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, jointly issued the "Notice on Implementing the Green Consumption Promotion Initiative," accelerating the green transformation of development modes and consumption patterns, and fostering new growth points for green consumption during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. With the implementation of these policies, confidence in development is expected to be strengthened, market expectations stabilized, and automobile consumption boosted. In 2026, China’s automotive industry will continue to advance high-quality development, with the overall market maintaining steady operation. In recent years, the "price war" in the automotive sector has intensified. Amid the government's intensified efforts to curb involutionary competition, the State Administration for Market Regulation held a special press conference on January 9, 2025, on the top ten institutional achievements in the comprehensive regulation of involutionary competition. Zhu Meina, Deputy Director-General of the Standards and Technology Department of the State Administration for Market Regulation, stated at the conference that the administration will further accelerate the development of national standards related to NEVs, lithium batteries, and the PV industry. It will also collaborate with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology to conduct on-site standard promotion sessions, helping the industry accurately grasp standard content, implement and apply standards in a timely manner, and facilitate the swift and effective adoption of standards, thereby driving high-quality development of PV, lithium-ion battery, and NEV sectors through standardization. Previously, on December 12, 2025, the State Administration for Market Regulation solicited public comments on the "Compliance Guidelines for Pricing Behavior in the Automotive Industry (Draft for Comment)" (referred to as the "Guidelines"). Subsequently, 11 companies, including BYD, BAIC Group, XPeng Motors, Chery, Great Wall, Changan, Leap Motor, and Seres, responded one after another, committing to optimize price management and compliance systems, eliminate price fraud and unfair competition, and play an exemplary role in the industry. On the afternoon of January 13, the 2026 annual work conference of the Inter-ministerial Joint Conference on Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development was held in Beijing. The convener of the joint conference, Li Lecheng, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, presided over the meeting and delivered a speech. The meeting thoroughly studied and implemented the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping's important instructions and directives, followed the arrangements of the Central Economic Work Conference, summarized the work in 2025 and during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, discussed and deliberated on the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Intelligent Connected New Energy Automotive Industry" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan"), and made arrangements for key tasks in 2026. The meeting pointed out that the development of NEVs is a major strategic decision made by the Party Central Committee and the State Council, and an important part of China's efforts to build a modern industrial system. Over the past year, all member units resolutely implemented General Secretary Xi Jinping's important instructions on promoting the high-quality development of the automotive industry, worked together with close coordination, and promoted the industry to develop towards new and better directions. During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the entire industry faced challenges head-on and worked hard, completing all tasks under the "14th Five-Year Plan" beyond expectations. China's NEV market size increased by 3.6 times, automotive exports surged to rank first globally, the cost of individual power batteries decreased by 30%, their lifespan increased by 40%, and their charging rate improved by more than threefold, further enhancing international competitive advantages. In addition, the meeting also emphasized that it is necessary to further expand automobile consumption, advance the trade-in policy for automobiles, promote the large-scale application of new energy heavy trucks, deepen the reform of NEV insurance, and stimulate diverse consumption potential. In addition, on January 14, the No.1 Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Industrial Development Department of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), and the Price Supervision, Inspection and Anti-Unfair Competition Bureau of the State Administration for Market Regulation (hereinafter collectively referred to as the three departments) jointly held a symposium with enterprises in the NEV industry to arrange work related to regulating the competitive order of the NEV industry. Relevant responsible comrades from the Equipment Industry Development Center of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, CAAM, and 17 key automakers attended the meeting. The meeting required thorough implementation of the decision-making arrangements of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, adhering to innovation-driven development and quality first principles, resolutely resisting disorderly "price wars", and promoting the establishment of a market order featuring high quality and fair competition. The three departments will further strengthen work coordination, enhance cost investigations and price monitoring, increase supervision and law enforcement efforts, strengthen supervision and inspection of product production consistency, and deal seriously with non-compliant enterprises in accordance with laws and regulations to maintain a fair and orderly market environment and promote the high-quality development of the automotive industry.
Jan 19, 2026 09:45On December 28, the Forum and Groundbreaking Ceremony for the R&D, Application and Demonstration Base Project of Underground Distributed Hydrogen Storage Devices was held in Wuhan.
Jan 9, 2026 14:35In mid-December 2025, the Passenger Car Association and CAAM successively released data related to the automotive industry and passenger car market for November 2025. In November, auto production and sales continued their strong performance. Enterprises seized the policy window period, and production supply maintained a rapid pace. On a high base, both production and sales achieved growth on both a MoM and YoY basis... SMM compiled relevant data for the automotive market and power battery market in October for readers' reference. Automotive Sector CAAM: November Auto Production and Sales Hit Record High; Jan-Nov Auto Production and Sales Both Exceeded 31 Million Units In November, auto production and sales reached 3.532 million and 3.429 million units, respectively, up 5.1% and 3.2% MoM, and up 2.8% and 3.4% YoY, respectively. Monthly production exceeded 3.5 million units for the first time, setting a historical record. From January to November, auto production and sales reached 31.231 million and 31.127 million units, respectively, up 11.9% and 11.4% YoY, respectively. The growth rates of production and sales narrowed by 1.3 and 1 percentage point(s), respectively, compared to January-October. CAAM: Jan-Nov NEV Production and Sales Both Exceeded 15 Million Units; NEV Sales Accounted for 47.5% of Total New Auto Sales In November, NEV production and sales reached 1.88 million and 1.823 million units, respectively, up 20% and 20.6% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 53.2% of total new auto sales. From January to November, NEV production and sales reached 14.907 million and 14.78 million units, respectively, up 31.4% and 31.2% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 47.5% of total new auto sales. CAAM: November Auto Exports Hit Record High, Exceeding 700,000 Units for the First Time In November, auto exports reached 728,000 units, up 9.3% MoM and 48.5% YoY. This month's export volume exceeded 700,000 units for the first time in history. From January to November, auto exports reached 6.343 million units, up 18.7% YoY. Chen Shihua, Deputy Secretary General of CAAM, revealed that China's full-year auto exports for 2025 are expected to challenge 7 million units. CAAM: Jan-Nov NEV Exports Reached 2.315 Million Units, Doubling YoY In November, NEV exports reached 300,000 units, up 17.3% MoM and 2.6 times YoY. Among these, passenger NEV exports were 294,000 units, up 17.7% MoM and 2.8 times YoY; commercial NEV exports were 7,000 units, up 4.2% MoM and 41% YoY. From January to November, NEV exports reached 2.315 million units, doubling YoY . Among them, passenger NEV exports totaled 2.238 million units, doubling YoY, while commercial NEV exports reached 77,000 units, up 1.2 times YoY. The China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) recently released data on the passenger vehicle market for November 2025. According to CPCA data, retail sales of passenger vehicles nationwide in November reached 2.225 million units, down 8.1% YoY and down 1.1% MoM. Cumulative retail sales from the beginning of the year reached 21.483 million units, up 6.1% YoY. The cumulative growth rate of domestic vehicle retail sales this year started at 1.2% from January to February, rose to 15% from March to June, hovered around 6% from July to September, and pulled back to a relatively low level from October to November, showing a deceleration characteristic of a high base in Q4, which basically aligns with the "low start, high middle, and flat end" trend predicted at the beginning of the year. For passenger NEVs, retail sales in November reached 1.321 million units, up 4.2% YoY and up 3.0% MoM; cumulative retail sales from January to November reached 11.472 million units, up 19.6%. Retail sales of conventional fuel-powered passenger vehicles in November were 900,000 units, down 22% YoY and down 7% MoM; cumulative retail sales from January to November were 10.01 million units, down 6%. Regarding exports, the CPCA stated that with the scale advantages and market expansion demands of Chinese NEVs, China-made NEV brand products are increasingly going global, with continuously growing recognition overseas. Passenger NEV exports in November reached 284,000 units, up 243.3% YoY and up 19.3% MoM. They accounted for 47.3% of passenger vehicle exports, an increase of 26.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year; among them, pure electric vehicles accounted for 57% of NEV exports (74% in the same period last year), with A00 and A0 segment pure electric vehicles, as the core focus, accounting for 61% of pure electric vehicle exports (59% in the same period last year). Regarding the November passenger vehicle market, the CPCA stated that due to the rapid growth earlier this year, the policy subsidies themselves aimed to stabilize the overall growth rate, so the phenomenon of stabilizing the growth rate towards year-end is a reasonable trend. The ultra-high base in November last year and the slight negative growth in November this year smoothed out last year's high growth; compared to November 2022, growth still reached 5%, so the overall trend remains relatively normal. An important policy for adjusting the growth rate this year was the trade-in subsidy. As of October 22, 2025, applications for the automotive trade-in subsidy exceeded 10 million units, and the number of applications in the first 11 months reached 11.2 million units. With the large-scale suspension of local subsidies, the daily average subsidy volume dropped to 30,000 units in November, showing a significant effect on growth rate adjustment. According to the CPCA's analysis, the passenger vehicle market in November 2025 exhibited the following characteristics: First, production, exports, and wholesale of passenger vehicles by manufacturers all hit record highs for the month, with exports reaching a new all-time high for any month. Second, the proprietary brands of major state-owned groups showed strong growth; the combined sales of proprietary brands from six major state-owned groups, including Dongfeng, SAIC, FAW, BAIC, Chery, and Changan, increased 3% YoY in November. Among them, proprietary second-generation brands from groups like JiHu, VOYAH, and Shenlan saw particularly strong growth. Third, with many new models launched this year and the advancement of "anti-involution" efforts to curb disorderly price cuts, NEV promotions remained at 10% in November, and the overall trend was stable. Fourth, domestic retail sales of internal combustion engine vehicles in November fell 22% YoY; retail sales of the pure electric market grew 9.2% YoY, while the extended-range market fell 4.3% YoY, and the plug-in hybrid market declined 2.8% YoY. The structure of pure electric versus extended-range models among new automakers shifted from 57%:43% in November last year to 73%:27% this November. Fifth, the domestic retail penetration rate of NEVs reached 59.3% in November, showing steady growth underpinned by policies such as vehicle retirement and renewal, replacement subsidies, and exemptions from NEV purchase taxes. Sixth, from January to November 2025, exports of proprietary internal combustion engine passenger vehicles totaled 2.61 million, down 8%, while exports of proprietary NEVs reached 1.78 million, up 139%; NEVs accounted for 40.6% of proprietary exports. Seventh, retail sales of Korean and French brands grew 13% and 6% YoY, respectively, becoming highlights of growth. The CAAM commented that in November, automotive production and sales continued to perform well. Enterprises seized the policy window period, maintaining a rapid pace in production and supply. On a high base, both production and sales achieved growth MoM and YoY. Among them, the passenger vehicle market operated steadily, the commercial vehicle market continued to improve, NEVs performed strongly, and automotive exports grew rapidly. Regarding power batteries, from January to November, the cumulative sales of power and other batteries in China reached 1,412.5 GWh, up 54.7% YoY. In November, sales of power and other batteries in China were 179.4 GWh, up 8.1% MoM and 52.2% YoY. Among them, power battery sales were 134.0 GWh, accounting for 74.7% of total sales, up 7.8% MoM and 52.7% YoY; sales of other batteries were 45.4 GWh, accounting for 25.3% of total sales, up 8.9% MoM and 50.7% YoY. From January to November, cumulative sales of power and other batteries in China reached 1,412.5 GWh, up 54.7% YoY. Among them, cumulative sales of power batteries were 1,044.3 GWh, accounting for 73.9% of total sales, up 50.3% YoY; cumulative sales of other batteries were 368.2 GWh, accounting for 26.1% of total sales, up 68.9% YoY. From January to November, domestic power battery installations totaled 671.5 GWh, up 42.0% YoY. In November, domestic power battery installations reached 93.5 GWh, up 11.2% MoM and 39.2% YoY . Among them, ternary battery installations were 18.2 GWh, accounting for 19.4% of total installations, up 9.9% MoM and 33.7% YoY; LFP battery installations were 75.3 GWh, accounting for 80.5% of total installations, up 11.6% MoM and 40.7% YoY. From January to November, domestic power battery installations totaled 671.5 GWh , up 42.0% YoY . Among them, ternary battery installations totaled 125.9 GWh, accounting for 18.8% of total installations, up 1.0% YoY; LFP battery installations totaled 545.5 GWh, accounting for 81.2% of total installations, up 56.7% YoY. Multiple New EV Makers Achieve Annual Sales Targets Ahead of Schedule in November, Leap Motor Continues to Lead The chart below, compiled by Cailianshe, shows the November sales figures of some A/H-listed automakers as follows: As November sales data for new EV makers were released, Leap Motor performed outstandingly, continuing to refresh the monthly sales record for new EV makers. Data showed that Leap Motor delivered 70,327 new vehicles in November, up over 75% YoY, marking the ninth consecutive month of growth. In 2025, Leap Motor delivered a total of 536,132 new vehicles, up 113.42% YoY. Previously, Leap Motor had set its 2025 sales target at 500,000 units. As early as November 15, it announced that its cumulative sales for 2025 had exceeded 500,000 units, achieving its annual sales target ahead of schedule. While announcing the delivery figures, Leap Motor Chairman Zhu Jiangming set higher goals for the company's development on the same day, stating that Leap Motor achieved its annual sales target of 500,000 units 45 days ahead of schedule and would aim for a sales target of 1 million units in 2026. In addition, both XPeng Motors and NIO delivered over 36,000 units in November, but recorded varying degrees of decline compared to October, though both showed growth YoY. XPeng Motors delivered 36,728 new vehicles in November, up 19% YoY. From January to November 2025, XPeng Motors delivered a total of 391,937 units, up 156% YoY. Public information shows that XPeng Motors' 2025 sales target was 380,000 units, and the current results indicate that XPeng Motors also achieved its annual sales target ahead of schedule. NIO delivered 36,275 new units in November, up 76.3% YoY; cumulative deliveries for 2025 reached 277,893 units, up 45.62% YoY. Xiaomi Auto maintained a delivery volume of over 40,000 units in November, exceeding the annual target of 350,000 units set at the beginning of 2025. Since April 3, 2024, to December 2, 2025, Xiaomi Auto has cumulatively delivered more than 500,000 units. As the undisputed leader in domestic EVs, BYD continued to outperform in sales, selling 480,186 units in November, setting a new high for the year. From January-November, auto sales reached 4.18 million units, up 11.3% YoY. It is worth noting that BYD, which often ranks first in overall auto sales, was surpassed by SAIC in September and October of this year but reclaimed the top spot in November. At a recent extraordinary shareholders' meeting, BYD Chairman Wang Chuanfu addressed the decline in domestic market sales for the first time, stating that it was partly due to BYD's current technological lead not being as strong as in previous years. Additionally, user pain points such as slow charging speeds in low temperatures need to be resolved through technological breakthroughs. Wang Chuanfu also hinted, "I say the technology is not leading enough now because there will be significant technological releases later, but I cannot disclose them at present." Cui Dongshu, Secretary General of the China Passenger Car Association, stated that the cumulative growth rate of retail sales in the domestic car market in 2025 showed a phased characteristic: cumulative growth from January-February was 1.2%, from March-June it climbed to 15%, from July-September it pulled back to around 6%, and from October-November it further entered a lower range, generally aligning with the initial forecast of 'low at the beginning, high in the middle, and flat at the end.' Cui Dongshu noted that under the strong support of nearly 400 billion yuan in tax exemptions and subsidies, the car market in 2025 achieved growth beyond expectations, but this also puts considerable pressure on the growth of the car market in 2026. "From the perspective of ensuring a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan, we should not overly deplete the growth potential for next year at the end of 2025." With the approach of year-end, many regions have introduced measures to subsidize car consumption. On December 8, 2025, Shenyang launched its winter car consumption subsidy program, distributing a total of 50 million yuan in car consumption subsidies. On December 5, Qingdao released the Implementation Rules for the "Qingdao Warm Winter" New Car First Insurance Consumption Subsidy Activity, continuing to provide consumption subsidies for the first insurance of new cars, with a maximum subsidy of 8,000 yuan per vehicle. It is reported that, in addition to Shenyang and Qingdao, other regions conducting car consumption subsidy activities in December include Qinzhou and Hangzhou. For example, Qinzhou City established three subsidy tiers, planning to distribute over 700 subsidy quotas. Eligible car buyers must purchase new passenger vehicles from participating auto sales enterprises in Qinzhou during the event period according to the activity rules, with no restrictions on household registration or vehicle licensing region. Looking ahead to December, the Passenger Car Association stated that there are 23 working days in December 2025, one more day compared to the same period last year and three more days than November's 20 working days, providing relatively ample time for production and sales. New energy vehicle retail sales in December are expected to be very strong. Influenced by the expiration of the new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption this year and the policy next year increasing the purchase tax by 5 percentage points, consumers have a greater sense of urgency for year-end car purchases, leading them to consider delivery timelines more carefully when choosing car models. To address the rising car purchase costs caused by extended delivery cycles, automakers have introduced purchase tax subsidy schemes. These safety-net measures are only temporary actions for this year-end and are unsustainable in the future. Consumers are significantly influenced by the car purchase environment and atmosphere; due to long waiting lists for popular models, many consumers turn to readily available models, which drives sustained heat in the auto market consumption and further boosts new energy vehicle sales. Due to higher profits from overseas sales, the trend of "go global or be out" is evident, with export growth exceeding expectations. Since H2, China's auto export situation has continued to improve, with independent new energy vehicles gaining increasing recognition in overseas markets, rapid expansion of overseas marketing networks, and good growth in some overseas markets. The new parallel export policy is about to be implemented, and there is high enthusiasm for parallel exports of 0-kilometer used cars this year, forming a sharp contrast with the sluggish parallel imports. For the full year, CAAM indicated that the domestic auto demand market has effectively improved driven by the combined effects of policies, new momentum is accelerating its release, and foreign trade has shown good resilience. Auto production and sales for the full year are expected to hit another record high, achieving a successful conclusion to the "14th Five-Year Plan". The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting on December 8 to analyze and study economic work for 2026, clarifying that next year's economic work should adhere to seeking progress while maintaining stability and improving quality and efficiency. Not long ago, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments jointly issued the "Implementation Plan on Enhancing the Supply-Demand Adaptability of Consumer Goods to Further Promote Consumption". The relevant meeting spirit and policy documents release positive signals, helping to boost development confidence, stabilize market expectations, expand auto consumption across the entire chain, and lay a solid foundation for a good start to the "15th Five-Year Plan".
Dec 16, 2025 14:36