Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,906.5/mt. It edged up slightly in early trading and, after hitting a high of $1,908/mt, fluctuated downward, with the price center continuing to move lower and touching a low of $1,883.5/mt. It then rebounded quickly and fluctuated rangebound within the $1,889.5-1,897.5/mt range, finally closing at $1,890/mt. It posted a small bearish candlestick, down $21.5/mt, or 1.12%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2605 contract opened lower with a gap at 16,390 yuan/mt. SHFE lead prices fell rapidly in early trading and touched a low of 16,365 yuan/mt, then fluctuated upward and hit a high of 16,450 yuan/mt. During the session, SHFE lead prices fluctuated rangebound within 16,405-16,435 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 16,415 yuan/mt. It posted a small bullish candlestick, down 45 yuan/mt, or 0.27%. On the macro front: 1. US media: The US Department of Defense was considering redirecting military aid to Ukraine for use in the Middle East. 2. Turkey sold 22 mt of gold in a single week, the highest since 2018. 3. Trump: At the request of the Iranian government, strikes on Iran's energy facilities were postponed; Iran denied it. 4. Trump unveiled a "big gift" for Iran: allowing 10 oil tankers to pass through the strait. 5. Fuel surcharges on China domestic routes were set to rise on April 5. Spot fundamentals: SHFE lead remained in the doldrums. Suppliers' quotations were slightly firm, and due to reduced circulating cargoes, some were quoted at premiums. Meanwhile, quotations for primary lead cargoes self-picked up from production site showed relatively small differences. Mainstream producing areas were quoted at premiums of 30-120 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead price, ex-works. On the secondary lead side, smelters were reluctant to sell at low prices, and market quotations were limited. In some regions, secondary refined lead was quoted at premiums of 25-50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price, ex-works. Downstream enterprises purchased as needed, with some mainly purchasing via long-term contracts and others replenishing some spot cargoes. Overall market transactions were average. Inventory: As of March 26, LME lead inventory decreased by 50 mt, or 0.02%, to 283,100 mt. SMM social inventory of lead ingot across five regions dropped back slightly. Today's Lead Price Forecast: Supply side: Quotations from suppliers of primary lead were slightly firm, and due to reduced circulating cargoes, some were quoted at premiums. This week, inventory of deliverable primary lead brands decreased by 6,800 mt WoW, which is expected to provide some support for primary lead prices; most secondary lead smelters did not offer quotations, while some cargoes were quoted ex-works at premiums of around 50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price. This week, the pace of work resumption at secondary lead smelters accelerated, with the operating rate rebounding 3.69% WoW, production increasing by 3,090 mt, and finished product inventories also accumulating on a weekly basis. Demand Side: Downstream procurement sentiment was mixed, with market participants waiting to see the new month's long-term contracts while purchasing as needed also coexisted, and overall market transactions were average. SMM expected lead prices to maintain a fluctuating trend in the short term.

Jan-Feb 2026 China magnesium exports reached 72.7kt, up 3.4kt YoY. Magnesium alloy led with +33.1% YoY, orders booked through April. Magnesium ingot fell 6.8% due to weak European demand, while powder grew 10.3%. However, US-Israel conflict disrupted Middle East aluminum plants, halting regional magnesium orders and pressuring Q2 outlook despite the strong start.

According to the latest customs data, China imported 594,800 mt of zinc concentrates (mt in physical content) in January 2026, setting a new monthly record high. Zinc concentrate imports were 413,900 mt (mt in physical content) in February, bringing cumulative imports in January-February to 1.0088 million mt (mt in physical content), up 17.5% YoY. .

We all know the relationship between Gold and US Dollars in the financial markets. When the USD rises, gold tends to fall and vice versa. It sounds simple to you, right? But understanding why this happens, and how to actually trade it like a pro trader, takes more than knowing that the pattern exists.

After returning from the Chinese New Year holiday, Q4 reports from listed miners outside China have been released one after another recently. 2025 was a period of concentrated release of new capacity at mines outside China. What was the specific situation? What are the expectations for 2026? Let us analyze it by enterprise.

According to precious metals and refinery services provider Heraeus, the gold price continues to show a consolidation phase. Following record highs at the end of December, the market is currently moving sideways within a clearly defined trading range rather than forming a pronounced upward or downward trend.

[Newmont Announces Q4 2025 Production] On February 19, Newmont released its Q4 2025 report, which showed its zinc concentrate production for the quarter was 46,000 mt, down 22% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in the ore grade at the Peñasquito mine. Its total zinc concentrate production for 2025 was 231,000 mt, down 10% YoY. Its production guidance for zinc concentrate in 2026 is 220,000 mt.

Next week, the key macroeconomic data will include China's official manufacturing PMI for July, the US's ADP employment figures for July, the US's core PCE price index annual rate for June, the US's unemployment rate for July, and the US's seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for July. Additionally, important events include the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the US Fed announcing its interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged. Meanwhile, He Lifeng, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, will travel to Sweden from July 27 to 30 for economic and trade talks with the US side, mainly focusing on the US's upcoming implementation of tariffs on August 12. Regarding LME lead, the progress of US tariff negotiations has been positive, easing market pessimism. Coupled with the US President's continuous pressure on the US Fed to cut interest rates, the US dollar index has weakened, and non-ferrous metals have generally stopped falling and rebounded. Meanwhile, overseas lead and zinc mine production has decreased, putting significant pressure on lead concentrate supply, which also provides some support for lead prices. It is expected that the center of LME lead's operation will move higher next week, reaching $2,000-2,065/mt. Domestically, for SHFE lead, some primary lead smelters are still undergoing maintenance and have not fully resumed production, leading to prominent regional supply tightness. Spot discounts have narrowed and are trading towards premiums (against SMM #1 lead prices), which may boost lead prices to hold up well. Regarding secondary lead, the resumption of production is gradually progressing, and there are signs of improvement in the inverted price relationship between secondary refined lead and primary lead. Before the price spread between the two reverses, it will still support lead price increases. If premiums turn into discounts, it will mean that this factor is no longer considered favorable. It is expected that the most-traded SHFE lead contract will operate within the range of 16,800-17,100 yuan/mt next week. Spot price forecast: 16,700-16,950 yuan/mt. With the resolution of month-end factors and the initiation of new long-term contracts by downstream enterprises for the new month, procurement volumes for spot lead ingots may relatively decrease. Meanwhile, as lead prices stop falling and rebound, downstream risk-aversion sentiment eases, and it is expected that some purchasing demand will be released, with the two roughly offsetting each other. On the supply side, on the one hand, secondary lead enterprises are gradually resuming production, and primary lead enterprises also have expectations for resuming production. Next week, the circulation volume in the spot market will relatively increase, and spot premium trading will be difficult to rise further, and there is even an expectation for narrowing premiums.

Inflection Resources announced Monday it has entered into definitive agreement to acquire an 100% interest in a portfolio of Australian copper-gold exploration projects in New South Wales and the Northern Territory from subsidiaries of Newmont Corporation.

Inflection Resources announced that it has reached a definitive agreement with Newmont to acquire 100% of the interests in a portfolio of copper-gold exploration projects in New South Wales and the Northern Territory, Australia, from Newmont's subsidiary.