SMM Nickel News, March 26: Macro and Market News: (1) On March 25, COSCO SHIPPING Lines issued a service notice announcing the immediate resumption of new bookings for services from the Far East to the following Middle East countries (dry containers): the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq. The resumption of shipments did not mean that COSCO SHIPPING container vessels could pass through the Strait of Hormuz. (2) In the early hours of March 25, Tehran time, Iran's Permanent Mission to the United Nations said in a statement on social media that non-hostile vessels could safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with relevant Iranian authorities, provided that the countries to which they belong or with which they are associated neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran, and fully comply with the announced safety and security regulations. Spot Market: On March 26, the SMM price of #1 refined nickel rose by 1,550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In terms of spot premiums, the average premium for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 5,400 yuan/mt, down 750 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream electrodeposited nickel was at -400-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2605) opened sharply higher in last night's session and then fluctuated downward, closing the morning session today at 135,250 yuan/mt, up 0.50%. Policy expectations that Indonesia may impose a nickel export tax, together with firm ore prices on the raw material side and easing macro sentiment, jointly drove nickel prices to rebound. Nickel prices are expected to hold up well in the short term, with the core trading range of the most-traded SHFE nickel contract at 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

[SMM Silicone Weekly Review: Silicone Market Transaction Center Stabilized, Downstream Purchased as Needed on Price Dips] This week, the transaction range in China's silicone DMC market was 13,800-14,300 yuan/mt, stable WoW. By regional quotes, monomer enterprises in Shandong quoted 14,000 yuan/mt, while mainstream monomer enterprises in other regions mostly quoted 14,300 yuan/mt. After the phased price fluctuations last week, the main transaction range gradually stabilized.

Dalian iron ore was generally weak today. The most-traded contract, I2605, finally closed at 806.5 yuan/mt, down 1.83% from the previous trading session. Spot prices fell by about 10-15 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders actively offered quotes, while steel mills mainly made inquiries and purchases based on rigid demand, with cautious inquiries; overall, the spot market trading atmosphere was average. According to the latest SMM survey data, hot metal daily average production reached 2.4049 million mt this week, an increase of 15,000 mt WoW, with demand showing a steady improvement. In terms of supply, some iron ore originally planned for shipment to the Middle East began to be redirected to the Chinese market, including some ore grades used for direct reduced iron (DRI), increasing market supply options and putting some pressure on prices. From a macro perspective, the situation in the Middle East remained tense, and the escalation of war triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, driving up global inflationary pressure. Expectations for US dollar interest rate cuts weakened significantly, leading to a certain pullback in commodity prices, including iron ore prices. Overall, iron ore prices faced strong resistance in the short term, but downside room was limited, and the market is expected to continue moving in a sideways range.

Precious metals staged their first coordinated rally in nearly two weeks on Tuesday as the prospect of a diplomatic resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict continued to lift market sentiment and weaken the dollar.

[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Magnesium Market Held Up Well, With Cost Support and a Tug-of-War Between Sellers and Buyers Continuing] This week, the overall magnesium industry chain held up well, with prices of all products generally raised. The raw material dolomite market remained stable, with ample supply and steady demand. Magnesium ingot prices consolidated at highs. At the beginning of the week, supported by rising energy costs such as ferrosilicon and coke and tight spot availability, prices jumped by 300 yuan/mt. Subsequently, downstream fear of high prices emerged, transactions failed to keep pace, and prices consolidated at highs. In foreign trade, the center of magnesium ingot FOB quotes moved up to $2,440-2,470/mt. Wait-and-see sentiment outside China remained strong, but influenced by bullish expectations in China, forward orders were gradually locked in. Magnesium powder prices remained firm, with strong cost support. Export data increased YoY, while domestic trade was mainly driven by just-in-time procurement. The benchmark price of magnesium alloy held up well, but the release of new capacity led to increased supply, processing fees stayed in the doldrums, and the market showed a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. Overall, cost support remained the core driver behind magnesium prices fluctuating at highs, while downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, and the market may continue this tug-of-war in the short term.

This week, after the price spread between the TD price on the Gold Exchange and the SHFE April contract narrowed, it remained stable, but the import window for silver ingots closed, and traders’ imported silver ingot arrivals declined. As month-end approached, coupled with weaker precious metals prices and continued downward adjustments in spot premiums, spot transactions were sluggish, and transaction prices were still mainly concluded through negotiated discounts. As of Thursday, in the Shanghai market, the tradable quote for standard silver ingots against TD premiums was lowered to 50-100 yuan/kg. Suppliers of standard silver ingots still largely held prices firm and were reluctant to sell, while downstream buyers only made just-in-time procurement, and were likewise less willing to stockpile on price dips. Trading in the spot market continued to shrink. Inventory side, spot market consumption continued to weaken this week. Although downstream just-in-time procurement generally involved substantial price negotiations, suppliers held inventory and waited due to costs and other reasons, and social inventory of silver ingots posted a slight cumulative increase. In addition, the import window for silver ingots had basically closed, and both supply and demand in China’s spot silver ingot market declined. Social inventory of silver ingots is expected to see limited growth this week.

This week, prices in the second-life battery market were generally stable, while the market's structural divergence remained evident. Cost side, trends in various raw materials diverged, with overall costs rising slightly. Lithium carbonate prices increased, pushing up battery cell recycling and processing costs; nickel sulphate and cobalt sulphate prices remained stable, easing one-sided cost pressure, and costs edged up mildly over the week. Supply side, supply of popular energy storage battery cell models was tight, with limited spot availability; conventional models were sufficiently available, and no broad-based shortage emerged in the market. Demand side, the gap between energy storage and the EV market remained wide. Demand in the EV sector stayed sluggish, with low purchasing enthusiasm and insufficient support for prices; energy storage demand remained the mainstay of the market, with stable rigid demand. However, prices were currently at high levels, downstream purchasing became more rational, willingness to purchase at high prices declined, and further price increases were currently facing resistance.

[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] Supply side, costs increased further, losses at most coke producers widened, and willingness to push for a coke price hike strengthened, but a coke price hike is expected to be implemented, while coke production remained stable. Demand side, finished steel shipments improved somewhat, steel inventories began to decline, steel mills became more willing to produce, and daily average hot metal production continued to increase, raising acceptance of higher coke prices. In summary, coke fundamentals have turned tighter, and the coke market may remain generally stable with slight rise in the short term, with a coke price hike expected to be implemented.

[SMM Lithium Battery Electrolyte Market Weekly Review: Electrolyte Prices Remained Temporarily Stable This Week (2026.3.23-3.26)] From March 23 to March 26, 2026, electrolyte prices remained temporarily stable. Subsequent price trends will still need to focus on changes in upstream raw material prices

Platinum prices fluctuated downward today, with the most-traded platinum contract PT2606 on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange closing the morning session at 495.45 yuan/g, down 3.20%. In the spot market, spot platinum was quoted at a discount of 6-8 yuan/g against PT2606, or at a discount of 3-5 yuan/g against the SGE spot selling price 1. Spot discounts were basically flat from the previous trading day. As for spot transactions, SMM learned that suppliers reported weaker market consumption and limited transactions, while the price spread between intended prices and quoted prices remained relatively wide. Quotes at discounts of around 6 yuan/g on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange saw basically no transactions, and some traders purchased small volumes while seeking spot-futures price spread opportunities. Meanwhile, downstream enterprises reported fewer orders and limited purchases, with an overall wait-and-see stance prevailing. Overall transactions in the spot market were relatively subdued.