SMM Nickel News, March 26: Macro and Market News: (1) On March 25, COSCO SHIPPING Lines issued a service notice announcing the immediate resumption of new bookings for services from the Far East to the following Middle East countries (dry containers): the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq. The resumption of shipments did not mean that COSCO SHIPPING container vessels could pass through the Strait of Hormuz. (2) In the early hours of March 25, Tehran time, Iran's Permanent Mission to the United Nations said in a statement on social media that non-hostile vessels could safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with relevant Iranian authorities, provided that the countries to which they belong or with which they are associated neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran, and fully comply with the announced safety and security regulations. Spot Market: On March 26, the SMM price of #1 refined nickel rose by 1,550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In terms of spot premiums, the average premium for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 5,400 yuan/mt, down 750 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream electrodeposited nickel was at -400-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2605) opened sharply higher in last night's session and then fluctuated downward, closing the morning session today at 135,250 yuan/mt, up 0.50%. Policy expectations that Indonesia may impose a nickel export tax, together with firm ore prices on the raw material side and easing macro sentiment, jointly drove nickel prices to rebound. Nickel prices are expected to hold up well in the short term, with the core trading range of the most-traded SHFE nickel contract at 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

On March 25, the SMM average price of battery-grade nickel sulphate remained stable.

[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Magnesium Market Held Up Well, With Cost Support and a Tug-of-War Between Sellers and Buyers Continuing] This week, the overall magnesium industry chain held up well, with prices of all products generally raised. The raw material dolomite market remained stable, with ample supply and steady demand. Magnesium ingot prices consolidated at highs. At the beginning of the week, supported by rising energy costs such as ferrosilicon and coke and tight spot availability, prices jumped by 300 yuan/mt. Subsequently, downstream fear of high prices emerged, transactions failed to keep pace, and prices consolidated at highs. In foreign trade, the center of magnesium ingot FOB quotes moved up to $2,440-2,470/mt. Wait-and-see sentiment outside China remained strong, but influenced by bullish expectations in China, forward orders were gradually locked in. Magnesium powder prices remained firm, with strong cost support. Export data increased YoY, while domestic trade was mainly driven by just-in-time procurement. The benchmark price of magnesium alloy held up well, but the release of new capacity led to increased supply, processing fees stayed in the doldrums, and the market showed a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. Overall, cost support remained the core driver behind magnesium prices fluctuating at highs, while downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, and the market may continue this tug-of-war in the short term.

This week, after the price spread between the TD price on the Gold Exchange and the SHFE April contract narrowed, it remained stable, but the import window for silver ingots closed, and traders’ imported silver ingot arrivals declined. As month-end approached, coupled with weaker precious metals prices and continued downward adjustments in spot premiums, spot transactions were sluggish, and transaction prices were still mainly concluded through negotiated discounts. As of Thursday, in the Shanghai market, the tradable quote for standard silver ingots against TD premiums was lowered to 50-100 yuan/kg. Suppliers of standard silver ingots still largely held prices firm and were reluctant to sell, while downstream buyers only made just-in-time procurement, and were likewise less willing to stockpile on price dips. Trading in the spot market continued to shrink. Inventory side, spot market consumption continued to weaken this week. Although downstream just-in-time procurement generally involved substantial price negotiations, suppliers held inventory and waited due to costs and other reasons, and social inventory of silver ingots posted a slight cumulative increase. In addition, the import window for silver ingots had basically closed, and both supply and demand in China’s spot silver ingot market declined. Social inventory of silver ingots is expected to see limited growth this week.

Silver has seen one of the sharpest pullbacks in recent years within just a few weeks. From the high of US$97.30 on March 2, the price fell to US$61.21 by March 23, losing around 37%. For the market, this was an abrupt break from the previous momentum.

[SMM Lithium Battery Electrolyte Market Weekly Review: Electrolyte Prices Remained Temporarily Stable This Week (2026.3.23-3.26)] From March 23 to March 26, 2026, electrolyte prices remained temporarily stable. Subsequent price trends will still need to focus on changes in upstream raw material prices

SMM News, March 26: The most-traded SHFE lead 2605 contract opened at 16,505 yuan/mt during the day. Prices edged down slightly in early trading, then fluctuated rangebound within the 16,425-16,460 yuan/mt range, with an intense tug-of-war between longs and shorts. As downstream battery enterprises showed low willingness to restock and consumption remained weak, SHFE lead fell further in the afternoon session, hitting a low of 16,385 yuan/mt, before rebounding slightly near the close to end at 16,460 yuan/mt. It posted a small bearish candlestick, down 35 yuan/mt, with a gain of 0.21%. On the supply side, quotes for primary lead smelter cargoes self-picked up from production site held steady, while secondary lead producers held prices firm, leading to tight circulating cargoes. On the demand side, downstream players remained on the sidelines, with long-term contract and purchasing as needed proceeding in parallel. SMM expects lead prices to maintain a sideways movement in the short term. Data source statement: Except for public information, all other data is derived by SMM through processing based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, and is for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.

[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] Supply side, costs increased further, losses at most coke producers widened, and willingness to push for a coke price hike strengthened, but a coke price hike is expected to be implemented, while coke production remained stable. Demand side, finished steel shipments improved somewhat, steel inventories began to decline, steel mills became more willing to produce, and daily average hot metal production continued to increase, raising acceptance of higher coke prices. In summary, coke fundamentals have turned tighter, and the coke market may remain generally stable with slight rise in the short term, with a coke price hike expected to be implemented.

[SMM Silicone Weekly Review: Silicone Market Transaction Center Stabilized, Downstream Purchased as Needed on Price Dips] This week, the transaction range in China's silicone DMC market was 13,800-14,300 yuan/mt, stable WoW. By regional quotes, monomer enterprises in Shandong quoted 14,000 yuan/mt, while mainstream monomer enterprises in other regions mostly quoted 14,300 yuan/mt. After the phased price fluctuations last week, the main transaction range gradually stabilized.

This week, prices in the second-life battery market were generally stable, while the market's structural divergence remained evident. Cost side, trends in various raw materials diverged, with overall costs rising slightly. Lithium carbonate prices increased, pushing up battery cell recycling and processing costs; nickel sulphate and cobalt sulphate prices remained stable, easing one-sided cost pressure, and costs edged up mildly over the week. Supply side, supply of popular energy storage battery cell models was tight, with limited spot availability; conventional models were sufficiently available, and no broad-based shortage emerged in the market. Demand side, the gap between energy storage and the EV market remained wide. Demand in the EV sector stayed sluggish, with low purchasing enthusiasm and insufficient support for prices; energy storage demand remained the mainstay of the market, with stable rigid demand. However, prices were currently at high levels, downstream purchasing became more rational, willingness to purchase at high prices declined, and further price increases were currently facing resistance.