[SMM Analysis: Looking back at H1 2026, the polysilicon market, due to prominent overcapacity issues compounded by historical inventory and other factors, although occasionally rebounding on the back of policy expectations, the overall downward "downtrend" persisted. Looking ahead to H2 2026, SMM believes that from the supply-demand or capacity side, it is difficult to see significant spontaneous improvement. Key focus areas are policy expectations and cost dynamics—cost determines the price floor, while policy determines the price trend.

Recently, the Exchange received the relevant application materials submitted by Yunnan Qiya Metal Co., Ltd. In accordance with the "Shanghai Futures Exchange Rules on the Administration of Deliverable Commodities for Nonferrous Metals" and other relevant regulations, and after due consideration, the Exchange has decided as follows: 1. To approve the registration of "QY" brand aluminum ingots produced by Yunnan Qiya Metal Co., Ltd. with the Exchange, with a registered capacity of 350,000 mt, and to apply the standard price. 2. The above-mentioned products are eligible for physical delivery against the Exchange's aluminum futures contracts as of the date of this announcement. The product specifications are as follows: Registered enterprise: Yunnan Qiya Metal Co., Ltd. Place of origin: Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Product name: Aluminum Ingot for Remelting Registered trademark: QY Dimensions: approx. 820*180*110 mm Piece weight: approx. 25 kg Bundle weight: approx. 1,100 kg Per delivery unit (25 mt): consists of approx. 23 bundles Packaging: 0.9×32 mm galvanized steel strapping, applied in a "#" pattern, tightly strapped. Applicable standard: as specified in the contract This announcement is hereby made. Shanghai Futures Exchange July 1, 2026

On July 3, JL MAG Rare-Earth's share price rose, closing 3.79% higher at 34.25 yuan per share. On the news front, JL MAG's H1 performance forecast released on July 1 showed: net profit attributable to parent for H1 2026 is expected to be 400 million to 460 million yuan, up 31.17% to 50.84% YoY. Regarding the reasons for performance changes, JL MAG stated in an announcement: 1. In H1 2026, the management adhered to the annual operating policy of "adhering to compliance and regulations, being customer-oriented, focusing on the magnetic materials main business, constructing 20,000 mt of new capacity on schedule, actively deploying embodied robot motor rotors, and reaching new heights." Through measures including technological innovation, organizational optimization, digitalization, and lean management, the company ensured full contract fulfillment and delivery to customers while achieving steady business growth. The company continued to strengthen its leading position in new energy and environmental protection sectors and actively explored emerging markets, with revenue expected to increase by about 30% YoY. Specifically, revenue from the NEV and auto parts sector rose about 30% YoY; in the robot and industrial servo motor sector, revenue rose about 90% YoY, with small-batch deliveries of embodied robot motor rotors already underway. 2. During the reporting period, non-recurring gains and losses are expected to impact net profit by approximately 32.00 million yuan, compared to 70.9405 million yuan (after tax) in the same period last year. 3. In this reporting period, due to A-share and H-share equity incentives as well as H-share convertible bond issuance, total related share-based payment expenses and financial expenses amounted to about 121 million yuan. There were no such expenses in the same period last year. A recent JL MAG announcement shows: to implement the company's development strategy and strengthen comprehensive competitiveness, it plans to acquire a 9.24% equity stake in Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange Co., Ltd. held by China Northern Rare Earth, through public listing and transfer on the Inner Mongolia Property Rights Exchange Center . According to the valuation report issued by Northern Yashi Asset Evaluation Co., Ltd., as of the valuation date December 31, 2025, the total equity value of the exchange under the market approach was 239.00 million yuan, representing an appreciation of 27.8551 million yuan, or 13.19%, over the net asset book value of 211.1449 million yuan. The expected transaction price for the subject equity is 22.0836 million yuan. Under the Shenzhen Stock Exchange ChiNext Listing Rules and the company's articles of association, this external investment falls within the CEO's approval authority. This investment does not constitute a related party transaction, nor does it constitute a material asset restructuring as defined in the *Administrative Measures for the Material Asset Restructuring of Publicly Listed Firms*. Regarding the company's main business and product applications, JL MAG Rare-Earth introduced in its 2025 annual report: The company is a high-tech enterprise integrating R&D, production, and sales of high-performance NdFeB permanent magnet materials, magnetic assemblies, embodied robot motor rotors, and comprehensive utilization of rare earth recycling. It is a leading supplier of rare earth permanent magnet materials in the new energy and environmental protection sectors. The company’s products are widely used in NEVs and auto parts, energy-saving variable-frequency air conditioners, wind power generation, robotics and industrial servo motors, 3C, low-altitude aircraft, energy-saving elevators, rail transit, and other fields, and it has established long-term and stable cooperative relationships with industry leaders both in and outside China in these sectors. The company actively positions itself in the robotics field. On one hand, it collaborates with internationally renowned technology companies to conduct R&D and capacity building for embodied robot motor rotors, with small-batch product deliveries already made. On the other hand, through direct investment or participation in industry funds, it strategically lays out key links in the relevant industry chain to accelerate industrial synergy and commercialization. Regarding the operating plan for 2026, JL MAG Rare-Earth introduced in its 2025 annual report: The company's operating policy for 2026: "Adhere to legal compliance, adhere to client orientation, focus on the magnetic material main business, build 20,000 mt of new capacity on schedule, actively position embodied robot motor rotors, and scale new peaks." Based on this operating policy and under the premise of legal compliance, the company will focus on advancing the following tasks: 1. Orderly release of capacity under construction. In 2026, some of the company's projects under construction will gradually release capacity. The specific release progress will consider factors such as equipment commissioning and market demand, advancing the commissioning and ramp-up of new capacity in an orderly manner. 2. Continuous improvement of R&D capabilities. 3. Continuous optimization of the product mix. The company will continue to enrich its product matrix for different application scenarios based on client needs, enhancing product structure resilience and client stickiness. Meanwhile, it will steadily advance the layout of projects such as magnetic assemblies and embodied robot motor rotors, equip dedicated production lines and professional teams, and drive the upgrade of small-batch pilot lines to large-scale, standardized manufacturing and quality systems. 4. Continuous improvement of operational capabilities. 5. Strengthening capital expenditure efficiency. 6. Improving incentive mechanisms and shareholder returns. 7. Advancing the construction of the ESG system. Regarding potential risks the company may face, when introducing the risk of rare earth raw material price fluctuations, JL MAG Rare-Earth stated: Rare earth metals are the main raw materials for producing NdFeB magnets. China is an important global supply base for rare earth raw materials, and wild swings in rare earth raw material prices will adversely affect the company's production and sales in the short term. Mitigation measures: The company has built production plants in Ganzhou, Jiangxi, the main production area for heavy rare earth, and in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, the main production area for light rare earth. The company has established long-term cooperative relationships with major rare earth raw material suppliers, including China Northern Rare Earth Group and China Rare Earth Group. Meanwhile, through measures such as procuring rare earth raw material in advance based on orders on hand, establishing price adjustment mechanisms with key clients, optimizing formulations, and improving processes, the company strives to reduce the adverse impact of rare earth raw material price fluctuations on its operating performance. A review of Pr-Nd alloy’s price performance in H1 this year shows : The average price of Pr-Nd alloy on June 30 was 905,000 yuan/mt. Compared with its average price of 735,000 yuan/mt on December 31, 2025, the increase in H1 this year was 23.13%. The annual daily average price of Pr-Nd alloy in H1 this year was 904,650.86 yuan/mt. Compared with its annual daily average price of 529,559.83 yuan/mt in H1 2025, the semiannual daily average price rose by 375,091.03 yuan/mt, up 70.83% YoY. According to SMM quotations: On July 3, the Pr-Nd alloy price was 920,000-930,000 yuan/mt, with an average of 925,000 yuan/mt, up 1.09% from the previous trading day. Currently, rare earth market prices overall are showing a broad upward trend. Driven by a marked increase in market trading activity on July 2, low-priced supply of Pr-Nd oxide tightened, and suppliers of oxides raised their quotations one after another. However, overall inquiry activity in the market declined somewhat compared with yesterday, and actual transactions were not ideal. In the metal market, supported by oxide costs, prices also rose. However, downstream magnetic material enterprises made fewer inquiries, and metal enterprises were not very proactive in offering quotations, resulting in a generally sluggish trading atmosphere and relatively strong wait-and-see sentiment. In the short term, affected by the tightening of low-priced supply in the market, Pr-Nd product prices are expected to drift higher amid consolidation. Recommended reading:

Nearly one year after China reopened qualified black mass imports, the market has evolved differently from initial expectations. While stronger linkages have emerged between China's domestic and overseas markets, water-soluble fluorine remains a key constraint on direct imports. Meanwhile, overseas intermediate processing has gained attention as an alternative supply chain model, reflecting the industry's growing focus on cross-border resource integration and supply chain optimization.

[Turkey] Domestic and export demand for Turkish rebar remained weak throughout this week, driving its export price down to 575 USD/tonne FOB, mainly due to continuous declines in mill inventories and a lack of firm buy orders, while HRC offers were lowered to 585 USD/tonne FOB. The domestic market remains sluggish with little expectation of a significant recovery in demand this summer. Due to the slow recovery in construction demand, large mills hold ample rebar inventories for delivery, whereas traders are hesitant to restock due to weak cash flow and high borrowing costs.

Since the start of the year, growth in the European solar market has slowed markedly. SMM expects total new solar installations in the European market to fall to around 68.5GW in 2026, a year on year decline of about 2 percent. Alongside softening demand, multiple EU level supply chain restriction policies continue to advance, including the Net Zero Industry Act (NZIA), the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA), and restrictive measures targeting inverters from so called high risk countries.

[China's ore shortage situation unchanged, July zinc concentrate TCs continue to decline]: From weekly data, the SMM Zn50 domestic weekly average TC fell 400 yuan/mt Zn WoW to -600 yuan/mt Zn, and the SMM imported zinc concentrate index fell $5.33/dmt WoW to -$82.83/dmt....

1. Tender Conditions The bid inviter for this tender project, July Heavy Titanium Iron Powder (PGWZMYHGZHD260701300677), is Pangang Group Materials Trading Co., Ltd. The project funds are from self-financing. This project has met the tender conditions and is now open for public tender. 2. Project Overview and Tender Scope 2.1 Project Name: July Heavy Titanium Iron Powder 2.2 If the tender fails, it will be converted to other procurement methods: negotiation procurement 2.3 For details on the tender content, scope, and scale, please refer to the attachment Material List Attachment.pdf. 3. Bidder Qualification Requirements 3.1 Joint bidding is not allowed in this tender. 3.2 Bidders are required to possess the following qualification requirements: (1) Production-type business license (2) Circulation-type business license 3.3 Bidders are required to meet the following registered capital requirements: Production-type registered capital: 2 million yuan and above Circulation-type registered capital: 2 million yuan and above 3.4 Bidders are required to have the following performance requirements: Bidders must provide relevant supply performance records for similar products (limited to the bid submission deadline, provide VAT invoices within 3 years). 3.5 Bidders are required to possess the following capability requirements, financial requirements, and other requirements: Financial requirement: Registered capital should be ≥ 2 million yuan. Capability requirement: Bidders should have been established for ≥ 1 year and possess legal business qualifications. Other requirement: If it is a sole proprietorship (partnership) enterprise, capital proof documents must be uploaded. 3.6 For projects that must legally undergo tender, bids from dishonest executees are invalid. 4. Obtaining the Tender Documents 4.1 All prospective bidders may log in to the Ansteel Smart Tender and Bid Platform at http://bid.ansteel.cn from 23:00 on July 2, 2026 to 08:45 on July 23, 2026 (Beijing time, the same hereinafter) to download the electronic tender documents. Click to view tender details:

This week, SHFE copper spot premiums flipped from discounts to premiums, climbing steadily overall. Early in the week, the pressure to sell off cargo at month-end was largely released, and destocking of social inventories supported a narrowing of discounts, with suppliers showing a stronger willingness to hold prices firm. Entering July, a new monthly procurement cycle began, downstream restocking demand was released intensively, and buying and selling sentiment picked up markedly, shifting the spot market from discounts to premiums. From mid-week to the weekend, inventories continued to destock, with social inventories in Shanghai and Jiangsu regions posting significant weekly declines, pushing the center of spot premiums further upward. SMM data showed that on July 2, Shanghai social inventory recorded by SMM stood at 126,500 mt, down 7,700 mt from the previous Thursday; Jiangsu inventory stood at 36,200 mt, down 5,000 mt from the previous Thursday, both showing a destocking trend. Looking ahead to next week, SHFE spot premiums are expected to maintain a relatively strong pattern, but the upside room may be limited by high price pressure. On the supply side, inventories have been continuously destocking recently, with tight available spot cargoes, while suppliers remain firm in holding prices, making low-priced sources hard to find. The import window remained closed, limiting replenishment from overseas sources, and the short-term tight supply situation is unlikely to reverse quickly. On the demand side, the early-month procurement cycle is still ongoing, with downstream rigid demand continuing to be released, but after copper prices rose, buying sentiment pulled back somewhat, weakening the willingness to chase higher prices. Regarding the price spread structure, the inter-month Contango spread maintained a certain width, supporting suppliers’ willingness to hold positions for delivery, which provides support for spot premiums. Overall, under the combined effect of inventory destocking and suppliers holding prices firm, SHFE spot premiums against the 2607 contract are expected to remain at premiums next week, with the overall strong trend continuing. However, further upside room for premiums will depend on downstream’s actual acceptance of high prices and subsequent inventory changes.

SMM July 3 News: In the metals market: As of the midday close, most domestic base metals rose. SHFE copper gained 0.76%, SHFE aluminum rose 1.45%. SHFE lead advanced 0.47%. SHFE zinc edged down 0.02%. SHFE tin climbed 0.66%. SHFE nickel increased 0.59%. Additionally, the most-traded cast aluminum futures rose 1.42%, while the most-traded alumina fell 1.62%. The most-traded lithium carbonate futures rose 1.87%. The most-traded silicon metal futures gained 0.18%. The most-traded polysilicon futures edged up. Ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore declined 1.41%. HRC, rebar, and stainless steel all fell within 0.4%. In the coking coal and coke markets, the most-traded coking coal contract rose 1.58%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 1.89%. In overseas base metals, as of 11:46, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper gained 0.96%, LME aluminum rose 1.04%, LME lead advanced 0.8%. LME zinc increased 0.81%, LME tin climbed 2.05. LME nickel rose 1.1%. In precious metals, as of 11:46, COMEX gold rose 1.64%, and COMEX silver gained 2.76%. In domestic precious metals, SHFE gold advanced 2.67%, and the most-traded SHFE silver futures contract surged 4.05%. Strategists at OCBC Bank Group Research said in a report that gold's medium-term role as a target for asset diversification remains valid, but its price may be dragged down by a more challenging macroeconomic environment. OCBC analysts said demand for gold may be supported by the official sector, with central banks indicating they intend to increase gold reserves in the next 12 months. However, they added that investors have already priced in expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes, and the short-term macro pressure from rising real yields and a stronger US dollar is unlikely to be fully offset. OCBC expects gold prices to reach $4,360 per ounce by the end of 2026 and $4,680 per ounce by the end of Q2 2027. (Jinshi Data APP) Furthermore, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures rose 3.81%, and the most-traded palladium futures gained 4.1%. As of the midday close, the most-traded European container shipping route futures contract rose 3.31% to 2,653 points. As of 11:46 on July 3, midday quotes for some futures: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today, spot #1 copper cathode in Guangdong against the front-month contract: high-quality copper quoted at 60 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; standard-quality copper quoted at 20 yuan/mt, up 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper quoted at a discount of 50 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 102,965 yuan/mt, up 625 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the average price of SX-EW copper was 102,875 yuan/mt, up 620 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In the spot market, Guangdong inventories have pulled back for two consecutive days… Macro Front On the domestic front: [This year's 200 billion yuan "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins" funding for equipment renewal has been fully allocated] The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has noted that this year's 200 billion yuan ultra-long-term special sovereign bond funding to support the "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins" for equipment renewal has been fully allocated. (CCTV News) [PBOC's open market operations resulted in a net drain of 168.5 billion yuan on the day, and a net drain of 1,587 billion yuan for the week] The PBOC conducted 63 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. With 231.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing today, this resulted in a net drain of 168.5 billion yuan for the day. For the week, the PBOC conducted 678.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 900 billion yuan of overnight reverse repos. With 2,265.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 900 billion yuan of overnight reverse repos maturing this week, this resulted in an aggregate net drain of 1,587 billion yuan for the week. (Jin10 Data APP) On the US dollar front: As of 11:46, the US dollar index fell 0.07% to 100.81. On Friday, the US dollar was on track for its biggest weekly loss in nearly three months, after a weaker-than-expected June payrolls report delayed market expectations for US Fed rate hikes and offered some respite to the ailing yen. A sharp slowdown in US employment growth in June prompted traders to scale back their expectations of near-term rate hikes by the US Fed, with the market now pricing in a 52% chance of a hike at the September meeting, down from 64% the previous trading day. US Treasury yields also pulled back from earlier highs, with the two-year yield snapping a three-day winning streak. OCBC currency strategist Sim Moh Siong said, "At the margin, the data is a bit dovish and helps ease concerns about an overheating labor market and the need for more aggressive policy tightening." However, he added that so long as expectations of Fed tightening remain in place, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains constructive, especially against low-yielding currencies. (Jin10 Data APP) According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged at the July meeting is 82.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%. For the September meeting, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 46.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 45.6% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 7.6%. Jin10 Data APP) CICC research report pointed out that the US added 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, below market expectations, indicating a cooling of the acceleration in job growth. After downward revisions to previous months, the average job gains over the past three months still reached 111,000, showing that the labour market is still expanding. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, and the labour force participation rate continued to pull back, reflecting steady labour demand coexisting with a contraction in labour supply, with overall unemployment pressure relatively small. CICC believes that this data gives the US Fed time to wait and watch, thus maintaining the judgement that there will be neither an interest rate increase nor a cut for the rest of the year. In the medium term, the improvement in US employment this year is more attributable to the economic cycle recovery driven by AI investment, rather than short-term factors such as the World Cup. This means that if total economic demand continues to expand boosted by AI, the possibility of the US Fed resuming interest rate hikes next year cannot be ruled out. Huatai Securities research report stated that the US nonfarm payrolls in June missed expectations, mainly due to a sharp pullback in leisure and hospitality and local government employment, which had been boosted earlier by the early Memorial Day and the World Cup. By sector, both services and government saw a marked slowdown in new nonfarm jobs, while the goods sector saw a small rebound. The June nonfarm report eased market concerns about overheating risks in the US labour market. Leading indicators suggest that employment levels will be around the equilibrium level of 0‒50,000 in the coming months, maintaining the view that the US Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in H2 and may need to raise rates next year. Data: Today, France's May industrial production m/m, France's June final services PMI, Germany's June final services PMI, Eurozone June final services PMI, UK June final services PMI, and other data will be released. In addition, China's refined oil products will open a new pricing window. European Central Bank President Lagarde will attend an economic forum, and Bank of England Governor Bailey will deliver a speech on fiscal and monetary policy coordination. Notably, on July 3, the US – NYSE will be closed for one day due to the US Independence Day holiday. The US – CME, due to the US Independence Day, will have trading in its precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, US Treasury, and equity index futures contracts close early at 01:00 Beijing time on July 4. July 3 (Friday) coincides with the US Independence Day holiday, and financial market trading hours will be adjusted accordingly. The holiday schedules for overseas exchanges are as follows: (all times are Beijing time) Crude oil: As of 11:46, both benchmarks rose, with WTI up 0.52% and Brent up 0.64%. Saudi Arabia’s crude exports have surged to near pre-war levels since it resumed loading and unloading tankers in the Persian Gulf, providing further evidence that oil supplies from regional producers are recovering following the US-Iran interim peace agreement. In the six days through Wednesday, the world’s largest oil exporter shipped a daily average of 6.3 million barrels of crude, according to tanker-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg. That pace is roughly in line with the average for 2025 and nearly 90% of February’s level, when the kingdom and its Gulf neighbors ramped up supply before the Iran war broke out. (Jin10 Data APP) Citigroup said the US-Iran memorandum of understanding is expected to remain in force in the coming months and eventually be converted into a formal agreement. The incentives for de-escalating the conflict outweigh the costs of returning to confrontation. The bank reiterated its recommendation to sell into any summer rally and forecast that Brent crude will fall to $60-65 a barrel by year-end. Additionally, "gasoline prices have been a bit sticky on the way down," US Treasury Secretary Bessent said in a CBS News interview. "We’re trying to put a little pressure on the gasoline retailers. We are telling them we’re watching closely," Bessent said, "We’ve gotten positive responses from some of the big-box retailers on doing something for the consumer." Bessent hopes the average gasoline price will fall to $3 a gallon by Labor Day and said he expects oil and energy prices to continue to pull back. (From Wall Street News APP) Separately, trading in Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Brent crude futures contracts will close early at 01:30 Beijing time on July 4 in observance of US Independence Day. Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►