SMM June 4 update: This week, the aluminum fluoride tender price from downstream benchmark enterprises was finalised, and aluminum fluoride prices declined. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 11,280-11,700 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: This week, China's 97% fluorite wet powder market remained stable, with mainstream delivered transaction prices concentrated at 3,100-3,400 yuan/mt, and regional price spreads remained notable. Supply side, as mine operating rates in northern major producing areas continued to recover, domestic spot supply steadily increased; meanwhile, Mongolian imported fluorite cargoes arrived at ports successively and flowed into the market, further exacerbating the loose supply pattern. However, recent coal mine safety accidents in Shanxi triggered market expectations of stricter mine safety and environmental protection supervision, which may cause periodic disruptions to production pace at some mines going forward, and the market still held certain wait-and-see sentiment toward the supply side. Demand side performance remained weak. Downstream hydrofluoric acid enterprises, constrained by insufficient operating rates in end-use industries such as refrigerants and fluoropolymers, maintained just-in-time procurement for raw materials, with limited follow-up on large orders, and overall market trading atmosphere was sluggish. Affected by weak raw materials and insufficient end-use demand, the hydrofluoric acid market price center continued to shift downward, further weakening support for the fluorite market. Overall, under the combined influence of multiple bearish factors including domestic supply recovery, continuous supplementation of low-priced imported cargoes, and weak downstream demand, the overall supply-demand pattern remained loose, and fluorite prices are likely to continue weak consolidation in the short term. This week, China's aluminum hydroxide market held up well within a narrow range, with SMM aluminum hydroxide weighted average price at 1,656 yuan/mt, up 0.3% WoW. Upstream cost supported spot quotes, while downstream made purchases on demand with limited transaction volume growth. This week, domestic sulphuric acid stayed high and held up well. High sulphur costs combined with concentrated maintenance at multiple facilities and tight spot supply; although phosphate fertiliser downstream was in the traditional off-season, suppressing room for price increases, just-in-time chemical demand provided a floor, and short-term sulphuric acid prices are expected to continue fluctuating at highs with an overall firm pattern. Overall, this week aluminum fluoride's main raw materials were generally stable with slight rise. Rising aluminum hydroxide and sulphuric acid prices drove the industry's comprehensive cost center upward, and raw material price increases were difficult to pass through smoothly downstream, intensifying pressure on enterprise production costs. Supply side continued the pattern of "rigid high costs—sustained profit pressure—low operating rates." This week, sulphuric acid and aluminum hydroxide prices rose, the industry was generally in a state of losses, enterprise maintenance and flexible production increased, and the industry operating rate remained at a low level of around 40%, with limited effective incremental supply. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at high levels, providing rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride, but aluminum enterprise procurement was dominated by just-in-time restocking and pushing for lower prices with a wait-and-see approach, with no additional incremental demand for now. Brief comment: Recently, the raw material market was generally stable with a strengthening trend. Within the week, the industry's comprehensive cost center rose, enterprise profit margins continued to be squeezed, and sustained losses dampened production enthusiasm. On the demand side, downstream aluminum enterprises still maintained just-in-time procurement. Within the week, the June benchmark aluminum enterprise aluminum fluoride tender price was officially finalised, down 200-220 yuan/mt WoW. Driven by the tender price reduction, market transaction price center shifted downward accordingly. Going forward, close attention should be paid to dynamic changes on the raw material cost side, as well as marginal adjustments in downstream aluminum enterprise procurement pace.

Overall market trading activity was sluggish. At month-end, the market maintained a steady posture, watching for the outcome of the new round of aluminum fluoride tender prices. However, as the raw material side showed signs of easing, prices are expected to be slightly under pressure next month. Going forward, close attention should continue to be paid to dynamic changes on the raw material cost side, as well as marginal adjustments in the procurement pace of downstream aluminum enterprises.

【SMM Aluminum Brief】This week, trends in the core raw materials market for aluminum fluoride diverged. Fluorite prices continued to weaken, the aluminum hydroxide market remained stable, while sulfuric acid prices stayed elevated due to cost support and tight supply. Amid mixed movements in raw material prices, overall cost support for the aluminum fluoride industry has eased slightly compared with earlier periods, though the overall cost base remains relatively high and production-side pressure on enterprises has not yet significantly eased.

【SMM Aluminum Brief】The current market continues to face multiple bearish factors, including the recovery of domestic supply, ongoing inflows of low-priced imported material, and sluggish downstream demand. As a result, the overall supply-demand balance in the fluorite market remains loose, and fluorite prices are expected to continue fluctuating weakly in the short term.

SMM May 21 update: This week, trading activity among China's aluminum fluoride enterprises turned sluggish, with aluminum fluoride prices holding steady. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 11,480-12,000 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, while overall cost support remained relatively firm. This week, delivery-to-factory prices of 97% fluorite powder in China trended downward, with mainstream transactions concentrated at 3,300-3,500 yuan/mt. Low-priced sources in the north dipped to around 3,100 yuan/mt, with regional price spreads remaining pronounced. Supply side, operating rates at mines in major northern producing areas rebounded steadily, domestic spot supply continued to increase, and Mongolian imported fluorite cargoes kept arriving at ports and flowing into the market, further easing overall resource supply. Under these circumstances, resistance to transactions at high quoted prices intensified. Demand side, a strong wait-and-see sentiment prevailed among downstream industries, with insufficient follow-through on new orders. Downstream producers mainly focused on executing previously contracted orders, and actual trading activity in the spot market remained weak. Although the recent rise in hydrofluoric acid prices provided some positive sentiment for the fluorite market, coupled with delayed resumption of operations at Zhejiang mining areas and minor support from low inventory levels in certain regions, ample overall market supply combined with sluggish end-user procurement demand meant that fluorite powder prices were expected to remain slightly in the doldrums in the short term. Aluminum hydroxide prices edged down slightly, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,651 yuan/mt, down 0.30% from last Thursday. The sulphuric acid market continued to rise. Currently, raw material sulphur circulation remained tight with prices continuing to climb. Supply side, some enterprises underwent maintenance shutdowns, tightening supply, while demand gradually weakened. Overall, sulphuric acid prices hovered at highs, with the market remaining relatively strong. In summary, prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, the industry's comprehensive cost center fluctuated at highs, and production pressure on enterprises remained difficult to alleviate. Supply side, the negative cycle of rigid high costs — deep losses — low operating rates continued. This week, raw material prices diverged, with fluorite pulling back slightly while sulphuric acid remained firm. Comprehensive costs stayed elevated, with widespread losses across the industry intensifying. Enterprise maintenance and flexible production increased, with the industry operating rate remaining at a low level of around 40%, limiting effective incremental supply. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at high levels, providing rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride. However, aluminum enterprises' procurement was mainly limited to restocking for essential needs while pushing for lower prices, with no additional incremental demand for the time being. Brief comment: This week, aluminum fluoride raw material trends diverged, with comprehensive costs staying high and continuously squeezing enterprise profit margins. The industry continued under the triple pressure of "high costs, low profits, and low operating rates," making it difficult to boost production enthusiasm. The market currently lacked clear directional guidance, with a tug-of-war between upstream and downstream remaining stagnant. Transactions relied solely on rigid demand support, and a strong wait-and-see sentiment pervaded the market. Prices were expected to remain stable in the short term. Going forward, close attention should be paid to dynamic changes in raw material costs, as well as marginal adjustments in the procurement pace of downstream aluminum enterprises.

SMM, May 14: This week, trading activity among China's aluminum fluoride enterprises was moderate, with aluminum fluoride prices remaining stable. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 11,480-12,000 yuan/mt. Cryolite prices also remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride showed mixed performance, while overall cost support remained relatively firm. This week, delivery-to-factory prices of 97% fluorite powder in China remained stable in a transitional pattern, with mainstream transactions in the range of 3,200-3,500 yuan/mt and notable regional price spreads persisting. Supply side, operating rates in northern producing areas rebounded steadily, coupled with continued arrivals of Mongolian imports at ports, further easing overall market supply. As a result, high-priced cargoes faced notable pressure on transactions, and some traders remained willing to cut prices to ship out goods in order to recoup funds. Demand side, wait-and-see sentiment in the downstream market had yet to dissipate after the holiday, with insufficient momentum for new orders. Enterprise procurement mainly focused on digesting earlier contract orders, and spot trades remained sluggish. Although rising hydrofluoric acid prices provided sentiment support for fluorite, and delayed resumption of mining operations in Zhejiang along with locally low inventory levels still offered some support, the combination of ample supply and sluggish spot trades kept the overall market in the doldrums with slight weakness. Aluminum hydroxide prices edged down slightly, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,656 yuan/mt, down 0.24% WoW. The sulphuric acid market continued to rise. Currently, raw material sulphur supply remained tight with prices continuing to climb. Supply side, some enterprises halted for maintenance, tightening supply, while demand gradually weakened. Overall, sulphuric acid prices hovered at highs, and the market remained relatively strong. In summary, prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride showed mixed performance, with the overall cost center fluctuating at highs, and production pressure on enterprises remained difficult to alleviate. The supply side exhibited a negative cycle of rigid cost increases, deeply pressured profitability, and low willingness to operate. Recently, overall raw material costs for aluminum fluoride remained elevated, with the industry mired in deep losses and cost inversion. Enterprise production enthusiasm was significantly dampened, and the industry's overall operating rate dropped to a low of around 40%. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at high levels, providing rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride. Brief comment: This week, raw material prices in the aluminum fluoride market showed mixed performance, but comprehensive calculations indicated that raw material costs remained in a high range, significantly suppressing operating profits for producers. The industry overall maintained a "triple pressure" pattern of high costs, low profits, and low operating rates, making it difficult to effectively boost production enthusiasm among enterprises. Overall, the market currently lacked clear trend-driven factors for price movements, with a stalemate in the tug-of-war between sellers and buyers. Transactions were dominated by rigid demand, and wait-and-see sentiment was relatively strong. In the short term, prices were expected to remain stable, with limited room for wild swings. Going forward, it is necessary to continue closely monitoring the dynamic changes on the raw material cost side, as well as the marginal adjustments in the procurement pace of downstream aluminum enterprises.

[SMM Aluminum News Flash] After the holiday, China's 97% fluorite powder delivery-to-factory prices continued to edge lower, with mainstream transaction ranges maintained at 3,200–3,500 yuan/mt and notable regional price spreads. Although earlier rises in hydrofluoric acid prices provided sentiment support for fluorite, and delayed resumption of operations at Zhejiang mines along with locally low inventory still offered some support, loose supply combined with sluggish spot trades meant the overall market remained mainly in the doldrums with slight weakness.

SMM April 30: This week, aluminum fluoride enterprises mainly focused on fulfilling existing orders. As month-end approached, the market awaited new price guidance, trading atmosphere was sluggish, and prices remained stable. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 10,980-11,900 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, but overall cost support remained relatively firm. This week, China's 97% fluorite powder delivery-to-factory prices weakened slightly, with mainstream transaction range at 3,300-3,500 yuan/mt and significant regional price spreads. Influenced by the steady recovery of operating rates in northern producing areas and continuous supplementation from Mongolian imports, the fluorite market's overall supply trended looser, with high-priced sources clearly under pressure in transactions. Demand side, some traders' bearish sentiment intensified, actively cutting prices to facilitate shipments and recover funds; coupled with the approaching holiday, wait-and-see atmosphere in the market was strong, in-market quotations became cautious, new orders lacked follow-through, and the focus was on digesting earlier orders. However, the significant rise in downstream hydrofluoric acid prices boosted fluorite producers' willingness to hold prices firm to some extent. Delayed resumption of operations at Zhejiang mine areas due to safety incidents and periodically low inventory also provided localized support, offsetting some downward pressure, but this was insufficient to counteract the bearish pressure from loose supply and sluggish trading, and fluorite prices overall showed small fluctuations with a weak bias. Aluminum hydroxide prices were under pressure, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,660 yuan/mt, down 0.42% WoW. The sulphuric acid market was affected by Middle East geopolitical disruptions, with raw material sulphur circulation tight, coupled with firm downstream demand, sulphuric acid prices hovered at highs, and the market performed strongly. Overall, prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, the overall cost center fluctuated at highs, and production pressure on enterprises remained difficult to alleviate. The supply side exhibited a negative cycle of rigid cost increases—deeply pressured profitability—low willingness to operate. Recently, overall raw material costs for aluminum fluoride remained elevated, the industry fell into deep losses with cost inversion, enterprise production enthusiasm was significantly dampened, and the industry's overall operating rate dropped to a low of around 40%. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at highs, forming rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride. Brief comment: This week, the aluminum fluoride market operated steadily overall, with prices maintaining the level after mid-month raises. Raw material side, fluorite and aluminum hydroxide prices weakened slightly, sulphuric acid prices fluctuated at highs, and comprehensive raw material costs remained elevated, continuously exerting significant operational pressure on producers. The supply side remained suppressed by high costs, with industry operating rates staying low and overall output unlikely to see significant increases; the demand side, although rigid demand from aluminum provided some support, downstream enterprises had limited ability to absorb costs, aluminum fluoride price increases faced resistance in passing through to downstream, elevated comprehensive production costs were difficult to effectively transfer, and most enterprises in the industry remained in losses. Currently, sulphuric acid prices remained on the strong side, cost pass-through to downstream still showed obvious lag, and industry profit recovery remained challenging. The current weak pattern of high costs, low profits, and low operating rates in the aluminum fluoride industry continued, the tug-of-war between sellers and buyers intensified, and under strong support from high raw material costs, producers showed clear willingness to raise ex-factory prices. Aluminum fluoride prices are expected to show a broad upward adjustment next month.

SMM April 29: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic market base metals mostly rose, with SHFE copper down 0.29%. SHFE aluminum edged up. SHFE lead rose 0.18%, SHFE zinc edged down. SHFE tin rose 0.81%. SHFE nickel rose 1.37%, hitting an intraday high of 152,230 yuan/mt, the highest since January 26. Additionally, the most-traded casting aluminum futures were flat at 23,175 yuan/mt, and the most-traded alumina contract fell 0.45%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 0.6%. The most-traded silicon metal contract rose 1.57%. The most-traded polysilicon futures rose 1.08%. Ferrous metals all rose, with iron ore up 0.77%, rebar up 0.31%, hot-rolled coil up 0.3%, and stainless steel up 0.55%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 0.47%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.22%. Overseas market base metals, as of 11:40, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper rose 0.79%. LME aluminum rose 0.49%, LME lead rose 0.49%, LME zinc rose 0.61%. LME tin rose 1.14%. LME nickel rose 0.18%. Precious metals, as of 11:40, COMEX gold edged up 0.07%, COMEX silver rose 0.65%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract fell 1.36%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract fell 1.46%. Additionally, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 1.07%, and the most-traded palladium futures fell 0.29%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract rose 1.13% to 2,252.9 points. As of 11:40 on April 29, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today in Guangdong, #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract: high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 320 yuan/mt, flat with the previous trading day; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 240 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a premium of 180 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 101,540 yuan/mt, down 780 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; the average price of SX-EW copper was 101,440 yuan/mt, down 775 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Guangdong inventory rose for two consecutive sessions, mainly due to weak downstream consumption... Macro front China: [31 World Firsts: China's Mineral Resource Inventory Published, with Continued Increase in Exploration Investment Planned for the 15th Five-Year Plan Period] On April 29, the Ministry of Natural Resources released China's latest mineral resource inventory. China ranked first in the world in reserves of 14 minerals, including rare earths, tungsten, tin, molybdenum, antimony, gallium, germanium, indium, fluorite, and graphite. In 2025, China ranked first in the world in the production of 17 minerals, including coal, vanadium, titanium, zinc, rare earths, tungsten, tin, molybdenum, antimony, gallium, indium, gold, and tellurium. Currently, China's mineral production and smelting processing scale ranks firmly first globally. In 2025, the national mining output value was approximately 32.7 trillion yuan, accounting for over 23% of GDP. Resource reserves grew significantly, laying a solid foundation for resource self-sufficiency and controllability. Xiong Zili, Director of the Geological Exploration Management Department of the Ministry of Natural Resources, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the state will continue to deeply implement a new round of strategic actions for mineral exploration breakthroughs. The Ministry of Natural Resources will further improve the coordinated system for exploration, production, supply, reserves, and sales of strategic mineral resources, and strengthen security risk monitoring and early warning for strategic mineral resources. In terms of key directions, efforts will focus on scarce strategic minerals such as copper, iron, lithium, cobalt, and nickel, while consolidating the resource position of advantageous minerals such as rare earths, tungsten, and tin. In terms of spatial layout, land-sea coordination will be strengthened, with active expansion of survey, exploration, and development space, and increased efforts in basic geological surveys. The goal is to submit a number of mineral sites ready for development by 2030 and form new capacity as soon as possible. The PBOC conducted 25.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations in the open market at an interest rate of 1.40%. Today, 6 billion yuan of reverse repos matured. US dollar: As of 11:40, the US dollar index rose 0.03% to 98.66. US Fed watchers did not expect significant changes to the Fed's statement, but they noted there could be some subtle adjustments. For example, officials might revise their description of the labour market to acknowledge that recent data suggested the labour market had stabilized despite less hiring activity. Some officials also wanted the Fed to make clear that the next policy move could be a rate hike—rather than an interest rate cut—as the Iran situation had intensified existing inflationary pressures. To signal this view, officials could slightly adjust the wording of "the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the benchmark rate." Deutsche Bank economists wrote in a report: "A hawkish statement might remove the word 'additional,' as it implies a dovish lean and effectively signals a continuation of a series of interest rate cuts." The US Fed made three interest rate cuts at year-end 2025. Roger Ferguson, former Vice Chairman of the US Fed and economist, stated, "In terms of the dual mandate, the Fed would say that the labour market is roughly in a stable state at present. Regarding the inflation mandate, (as inflation remains elevated at 3%), there is still much work to be done." He expected the US Fed to say: "We will stay put for now and see how all this plays out." Similarly, Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle expected the post-meeting statement to acknowledge improved labor market conditions and rising inflation data, but maintain existing policy guidance. We expect a majority will still support keeping rates unchanged, with only one dissent, same as in March. According to CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged in April was 100%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate cut by June was 2.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 97.4%. (Jin10 Data) Data: Data to be released today include Australia's March non-seasonally adjusted CPI year-on-year, Switzerland's April ZEW investor confidence index, Eurozone April industrial confidence index, Eurozone April economic sentiment index, Germany's April preliminary CPI month-on-month, US March annualized housing starts, US March durable goods orders month-on-month, US March building permits, and Bank of Canada interest rate decision through April 29. Also noteworthy: Bank of Canada to release its rate decision and monetary policy report; US Senate Banking Committee to vote on advancing Waller's Fed Chairman nomination, with a full Senate confirmation vote to follow if passed; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers to hold a monetary policy press conference. Crude oil: As of 11:40, both benchmarks declined, with WTI down 0.77% and Brent down 0.47%. Both WTI and Brent continued to pull back in the short term, fully erasing gains since the news that Trump planned to extend the blockade on Iran. According to the Wall Street Journal, US officials said Trump had instructed aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade on Iran, a high-risk attempt aimed at striking Iran's fiscal revenue and forcing concessions on the nuclear issue. Officials said that in recent discussions, including a Monday White House Situation Room meeting, Trump decided to continue suppressing Iran's economy and oil exports by blocking shipping to and from Iranian ports. On April 28 local time, satellite imagery showed multiple oil tankers in waters near Iran's Chabahar Port, including 8 very large crude carriers and several small and medium-sized vessels, with a total capacity of approximately 14 million barrels of crude oil. Chabahar Port is located on the Gulf of Oman coast in southeastern Iran. Although the port is located outside the Persian Gulf, it is already close to the blockade line set by the US. Analysts noted that as traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly dropped to zero, rerouting some oil exports is one of the measures Iran has taken to minimize disruptions to its oil exports. (Jin10 Data) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

[SMM Aluminum News Flash] This week, China's 97% fluorite powder delivery-to-factory prices remained stable, with the mainstream transaction range at 3,300-3,550 yuan/mt, and notable regional price spreads. In terms of supply, safety inspections in China's major producing areas continued to tighten, compounded by the impact of earlier safety incidents, resulting in tight market supply circulation and an overall rigid contraction pattern. Demand side, downstream hydrofluoric acid enterprises saw profit margins squeezed by high-priced sulphuric acid, and most enterprises primarily restocked on an as-needed basis, with limited willingness to chase higher prices in bulk. Overall, SMM expects the fluorite market to maintain a fluctuating trend in the short term.