SMM News, March 25: In early trading, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated downward, but was slightly higher than the previous trading day. Overall market buying sentiment was good, and sellers held prices firm as aluminum prices remained at relatively low levels. Later in the morning, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated upward, with its center running higher than the previous trading day. Some sellers still did not quote prices, while some showed a notably stronger willingness to hold prices firm. Overall market buying sentiment was good. Today’s mainstream transaction prices were concentrated around the average price of the SHFE aluminum 04 contract to a premium of 10 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipment sentiment index was 2.64, up 0.01 WoW; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.42, up 0.02 WoW. Today, aluminum prices stopped falling and rebounded. Affected by the fear of further declines over the previous two days, traders and downstream processing enterprises in central China showed slightly improved buying sentiment today from the previous day, but overall transactions had not yet returned to a fully active state, and buyers tended to purchase at wider discounts. Ultimately, actual transaction prices in the central China market ranged from a discount of 20 yuan to a premium of 10 yuan against the central China price. Today, the central China market shipment sentiment index was 2.64, up 0.01 WoW; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.42, up 0.02 WoW. Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption regions increased by 4,000 mt from the previous period today, with Guangdong being the main source of destocking. In the short term, aluminum ingot continued its post-Chinese New Year seasonal inventory buildup. Supported by bullish sentiment, premiums are expected to remain on a narrowing trend.

[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Aluminum Prices Halted Their Decline, but Wait-and-See Sentiment Remained Unchanged; Rangebound Movement May Continue in the Short Term] Spot market, yesterday the overall ADC12 market continued to hold prices steady. Aluminum prices showed signs of halting their decline, but market sentiment recovered only limitedly, and enterprises generally chose to postpone price adjustments and mainly adopt a wait-and-see stance. Demand side, downstream orders did not improve significantly, and just-in-time procurement remained the main approach, with mediocre transaction performance. Against the backdrop of easing cost-side fluctuations and insufficient demand support, ADC12 prices may continue to fluctuate within a range and remain relatively stable in the short term, with relatively limited momentum for price adjustments. Further attention should still be paid to aluminum price trends and the recovery of end-use demand.

[Overnight, LME Aluminum and SHFE Aluminum Edged Up Slightly, but Aluminum Prices Faced Short-Term Pressure at High Levels] Continued destocking in LME inventory provided bottom support for LME aluminum, but amid tightening fund liquidity and profit-taking by bulls, upward momentum remained insufficient, and the backwardation structure weakened somewhat. China’s social inventory rose to a high for the same period in nearly five years, and the inventory buildup cycle had yet to end, with high inventory and weak spot fundamentals jointly weighing on upward momentum. The divergence between domestic and overseas drivers continued, the SHFE/LME price ratio kept weakening, and prices were mainly under pressure in the short term.

Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran tensions are driving up aluminum prices and premiums. Aluminium Bahrain and Qatalum have cut output, while feedstock is tight. Rerouting via Port of Sohar or Saudi ports raises costs and delays. Buyers are turning to China, India, Russia, Canada, and scrap to offset risk. Prolonged disruption could reduce Middle East market share and reprice it as higher-risk supply.

SMM News, March 24: Aluminum ingot: On March 24, SMM A00 aluminum (Foshan) was reported at 23,440, up 30, at a discount of 170 against the current-month contract, narrowing by 5 (unit: yuan/mt) The SHFE aluminum 04 contract generally stabilized today. Supported by aluminum prices halting their decline and edging up slightly, the South China spot market stabilized and improved, and buyers generally showed good purchasing sentiment today. Spot prices were significantly below the monthly average price, and sellers firmly held prices firm. However, amid weekend inventory buildup and ample circulating cargo, overall support for firm prices was clearly constrained under high inventory pressure. Mainstream transaction prices in the market today were concentrated at premiums of -175 yuan/mt to -165 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum 04 contract.

SMM, March 24: SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated downward in early trading, slightly higher than the previous trading day. Overall market buying sentiment was relatively good, and sellers held prices firm as aluminum prices remained at relatively low levels. Today’s mainstream transaction prices were concentrated at SHFE aluminum 04 contract +10 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipments sentiment index was 2.79, up 0.07 MoM; the purchasing sentiment index was 3.34, up 0.04 MoM. As aluminum prices extended their decline, traders in the central China market showed weak purchase sentiment. With the month-end settlement date approaching, suppliers made heavy shipments and showed limited willingness to hold prices firm. Downstream processing enterprises were wary of further price declines, with no expectation of large-scale stockpiling at low prices for now. Overall market purchase activity was sluggish, and prices showed a continued price collapse trend. Ultimately, actual transaction prices in the central China market were concentrated in the range from a premium of 20 yuan over the central China price to a discount of 20 yuan to the central China price. Today, the central China market shipments sentiment index was 2.63, flat MoM; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.4, down 0.08 MoM. Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption areas increased by 6,500 mt MoM today, with destocking mainly coming from Gongyi and Guangdong. In the short term, after the Chinese New Year, aluminum ingot inventory continued to see seasonal inventory buildup. Affected by bullish sentiment, premiums are expected to remain on a narrowing trend.

SMM News, March 23: Aluminum ingot: On March 23, SMM A00 aluminum (Foshan) was reported at 23,410, down 650, at a discount of 175 against the current-month contract, narrowing by 5 (unit: yuan/mt). After plunging in the night session, the SHFE aluminum 04 contract rebounded slightly. Affected by aluminum prices remaining in the doldrums, the South China spot market stayed barely firm, while buyers' overall purchasing sentiment today was overall satisfactory. Current prices were significantly below the monthly average price, and sellers generally held prices firm, but with inventory buildup over the weekend and ample circulating supply, overall price support was clearly constrained by shipment pressure. Today, mainstream transaction prices in the market were mainly concentrated at premiums of -180 yuan/mt to -170 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum 04 contract.

SMM News, March 23: In the morning session, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated upward, while the price center fell sharply from the previous trading day. Affected by the decline in aluminum prices, overall buying sentiment increased today, prompting sellers to hold prices firm. Today’s mainstream transaction prices were concentrated at SHFE aluminum 04 contract +10 yuan/mt to +20 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipment sentiment index was 2.72, down 0.58 MoM; the purchasing sentiment index was 3.3, up 0.07 MoM. Today, aluminum prices extended their decline, and premiums in central China remained in positive territory. Traders’ willingness to purchase and stockpile was somewhat lower than in the previous two days. Although downstream processing enterprises showed some willingness to buy the dip, they still did not make large-scale concentrated purchases, and overall market purchase sentiment weakened somewhat. In the end, actual quotes and transaction prices in the central China market declined all the way, from a 50 yuan premium over the central China price before the opening to near parity with the central China price, while suppliers showed no obvious willingness to hold prices firm. Today, the central China market shipment sentiment index was 2.63, up 0.01 MoM; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.48, down 0.03 MoM. Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption regions increased by 8,000 mt MoM today, with destocking mainly coming from Wuxi and Guangdong. In the short term, aluminum ingot inventory continued its post-Chinese New Year seasonal buildup. Affected by bullish sentiment, premiums are expected to maintain a narrowing trend.

Recently, Mingyang Hydrogen’s MYH-K-1000 electrolyzer completed the authoritative evaluation under the China Hydrogen Alliance’s “Leader Program” and received the official test report. With multiple industry-leading performance indicators, it has established a new benchmark for alkaline electrolyzers adapted to fluctuating new energy scenarios, marking a major technological milestone for the company in the field of hydrogen energy equipment. This product is the first 1,000 Nm³/h-class alkaline electrolyzer on the China Hydrogen Alliance’s field-testing platform to achieve the “15th Five-Year Plan” target of 20%–120% ultra-wide flexible load regulation . At the 20% minimum load, it can stably control hydrogen content in oxygen to within 1.5%, enabling long-term stable operation. It also features rapid load response capability of 5%/s to 10%/s. Its core performance is industry-leading and perfectly suited to the flexible operating conditions of wind and solar power generation, providing robust support for the development of the green fuel industry. The test certification presentation ceremony was held at Mingyang Hydrogen’s Beijing Center. Yu Tianxiao, Director of the Quality Value Center at Guoneng Hydrogen Innovation and Deputy General Manager of Hydrogen Testing Technology, presented the certification report to Pan Yongle, Executive Director and CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, and both parties witnessed this important moment together. Rigorous Field Testing Validates Outstanding Performance, Strong Results Under Extreme Cold Conditions According to the alliance’s field-test data, under 100% rated load, the MYH-K-1000 kept hydrogen content in oxygen below 0.5% and successfully passed load ramp-up and ramp-down tests at 3%/s and 5%/s. Under the ultra-low load of 20%, hydrogen content in oxygen remained compliant, while DC power consumption was as low as 3.85 kWh, achieving efficient and stable operation. This long-duration test was conducted throughout in an outdoor environment at minus 20°C . The product still demonstrated excellent cold and hot start capabilities, as well as high reliability, high safety, and fully flexible operating characteristics, overcoming the longstanding low-temperature operating limitations of traditional electrolyzers and enabling adaptation to more extreme application scenarios. Breakthroughs in Core Technology Innovation Set a New Industry Benchmark This electrolyzer adopts advanced integrated die-casting technology, delivering high consistency in its internal structure. The area of its electrolysis unit is 75% larger than that of traditional designs, and it overcomes sealing challenges on the basis of zero-electrode-gap technology, significantly improving product performance and production efficiency and setting a new technological benchmark for the industry. Company Statement: Continuous Innovation-Driven Development and Deepening Commitment to Hydrogen Energy Equipment Pan Yongle, CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, stated that this certification is the result of the team’s technological breakthroughs. The company will continue to uphold the philosophy of “innovation-driven, green future,” further increase R&D investment, launch more high performance products, provide global clients with high-quality hydrogen energy solutions, and support the industry’s high-quality development.

[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Futures Extended Losses, While Trading Sentiment Recovered Slightly] Market quotes generally moved lower last Friday, with the SMM ADC12 price down 300 yuan/mt to 25,000 yuan/mt. Driven by the price pullback and weekend restocking demand, market trading sentiment recovered somewhat from the previous period, and downstream purchase willingness to buy the dip strengthened, improving transactions for some enterprises. However, overall demand still mainly reflected rigid demand, end-users remained sensitive to price fluctuations, and the pace of restocking stayed cautious. In the short term, ADC12 prices are expected to remain in the doldrums. The pattern of demand being under pressure is unlikely to change in the short term; downstream acceptance of high prices is limited, and coupled with the weak trend in primary aluminum weighing on market sentiment, prices struggled to rise. But with cost support, downside room is also limited. Going forward, close attention should be paid to the trend in primary aluminum and the pace of downstream consumption release.