SMM, August 3 News: On August 3 early trading, the broader market was under pressure and consolidated, while high-end manufacturing segments moved independently. As of the close on August 3, the Motor II sector rose 2.67%, with individual stocks such as Jiangxi Special Electric Motor hitting the daily limit up, and Wolong Electric Group, Yifan Transmission, Bafang Electric, Keli Motor, MOONS', and Jiangsu Leili leading the gains. The strength in motor sector futures was supported by multiple drivers: first, Unitree Robotics is about to launch its subscription and Tesla raised its long-term capacity target for humanoid robots, heating up expectations for mass production of joint servo motors; second, the rare earth permanent magnet sector rose simultaneously, with upstream permanent magnetic material prices increasing, boosting profit expectations for high-performance motors; third, the replacement policy for IE4/IE5 high-efficiency motors continues to be implemented, opening up room for stock replacement of traditional industrial motors; combined with stockpiling expectations from downstream automakers and equipment manufacturers in mid-to-late August, some market funds favoured the motor sector, driving the collective rise. Market News [State Council Executive Meeting Decides to Approve Four Nuclear Power Projects Including Liaoning Zhuanghe Phase I] The State Council Executive Meeting decided to approve four nuclear power projects including Liaoning Zhuanghe Phase I. The meeting pointed out that nuclear power units should be built and operated to the highest global safety standards, with strengthened full-chain and all-domain safety oversight to ensure nuclear safety is absolutely risk-free. [China Approved 8 New Nuclear Power Units, with Total Project Investment Exceeding 170 Billion Yuan] In 2026, China opened the floodgates for new nuclear project approvals. According to CCTV News on July 31, the State Council Executive Meeting held that day decided to approve four nuclear power projects including Liaoning Zhuanghe Phase I. It is reported that the new projects approved at this meeting include Zhejiang Jinqimen Nuclear Power Plant Phase II (Units 3 & 4), Guangdong Taipingling Nuclear Power Plant Phase III (Units 5 & 6), Liaoning Zhuanghe Nuclear Power Plant Phase I (Units 1 & 2), and Shandong Laiyang Nuclear Power Plant Phase I (Units 1 & 2), totaling 8 new units. Nuclear power projects have historically been an important boost to expanding effective investment, and it is estimated that the total investment of these new projects will exceed 170 billion yuan. (Jin Shi Data) [State Administration for Market Regulation: '15th Five-Year Plan' to Foresightfully Deploy High-Level Detection Platforms for Strategic Emerging Industries such as Integrated Circuits, New Energy, Biomedicine, and Humanoid Robots] The State Administration for Market Regulation held a press conference on July 21 to introduce the development achievements of China's inspection and testing service industry during the '14th Five-Year Plan' period. During the '15th Five-Year Plan' period, the administration will implement the Innovation Pilot for Inspection Testing to Promote Industrial Optimization and Upgrading, and the Three-Year Action for National Quality Inspection Center Quality Improvement and Optimization, foresightfully deploying high-level detection platforms for strategic emerging industries such as integrated circuits, new energy, biomedicine, and humanoid robots, and using digital transformation to drive service model innovation. Strengthen deep collaboration with industry chain leaders and research institutes, jointly tackle a number of key core technologies, and promote the upgrading of inspection and testing from a single service to "industry chain synergy," shifting from being a "post-event quality gatekeeper" to a "full-process innovation enabler." Coordinate the capacity building for green and low-carbon, food safety, and high-risk industrial product testing, and build a solid quality defense line for industrial development and people's livelihood safety. [China's robot industry chain sees explosive orders; a robot company receives over 10,000 orders in a month] Currently, publicly listed firms are gradually releasing their semi-annual reports and earnings forecasts. In H1 this year, the robot sector reported widespread positive earnings. From core parts to complete machine integration, from motion control to AI computing hardware, the robot industry chain is shifting from "concept-driven catalysts" to a new phase of "order volume growth and profit realization." MIIT data shows that from January to May, the revenue of China's above-designated-size robot enterprises exceeded 90 billion yuan, up 26.9% YoY, with an average annual growth rate of over 20% over the past five years. A robot company just launched a new humanoid robot product at the end of last month and received over 10,000 orders in less than a month. Another company's head stated that their frameless motor is a core component for humanoid robot joint actuation, and in H1 this year, the company's orders on hand exceeded 1 million units, an increase of more than nine times compared to last year. (Jin10 Data) [General Administration of Customs: In H1, China's exports of lithium batteries, wind turbines, and other green energy-related products increased by 37.6% and 35.6% respectively] The State Council Information Office held a press conference today to introduce China's foreign trade performance since the beginning of this year. Currently, the global green and low-carbon transition is deepening, and the construction of new energy and rising consumer demand align well with China's green products. In H1, China's exports of lithium batteries, wind turbines, and other green energy-related products increased by 37.6% and 35.6% respectively; green mobility products such as EVs, electric railway locomotives, electric motorcycles, and bicycles grew by 68.7%, 45.1%, and 31.5% respectively. Tesla Optimus project lead Ashok Elluswamy announced on social media on July 30, 2026, that the long-term annual capacity target for Optimus had been revised to 10 million units. This figure is ten times the originally planned capacity of 1 million units, marking a comprehensive upgrade in Tesla's humanoid robot capacity planning. [Google DeepMind launches Gemini Robotics 2 robot AI model] Google DeepMind has launched the Gemini Robotics 2 model. According to the introduction, Gemini Robotics 2 enables robots to reason about every action, thereby unlocking a broad range of tasks. For example, it can enable a humanoid robot to walk, squat, stretch, and manipulate objects to clean a cluttered room. It can even collaborate with other robots to complete tasks faster. This deep intelligence can also run locally on devices while seamlessly adapting to entirely new robot bodies within just a few hours. Meanwhile, Google DeepMind also launched two other robotic AI models — Gemini Robotics ER 2 and On-Device 2. Gemini Robotics ER 2 is the most powerful embodied reasoning (ER) model, a vision-language model (VLM) that will enable robots to communicate with humans, understand the physical world, and plan multi-step tasks lasting several minutes. On-Device 2 is the most efficient vision-language-action model (VLA), optimized to run locally on robotic devices. The model can now quickly adapt to entirely new robot entities with just hours of data. [Dayang Motor: Plans to Repurchase Shares Worth 120 Million–160 Million Yuan] Dayang Motor announced that the company plans to repurchase shares worth 120 million to 160 million yuan for future employee stock ownership plans or equity incentive plans, with a repurchase price not exceeding 11.5 yuan per share. [Xiangtan Electric: Expected Significant YoY Growth in Revenue from Synchronous Condensers and Flywheel Energy Storage This Year] Xiangtan Electric stated on an interactive platform that the company has actively developed new products in recent years, advancing R&D in synchronous condensers, flywheel energy storage, marine power, aviation electrification, and high-speed motors , achieving notable results in market promotion of synchronous condensers and flywheel energy storage. Revenue from these products is expected to see significant YoY growth this year; marine power, aviation electrification, and high-speed motors have also made some progress in market promotion. [BYD Plans to Launch Humanoid Robot in August This Year] Recently, reports suggested that BYD's humanoid robot is about to be launched. On July 28, BYD responded that it plans to launch the humanoid robot at "Di Space" in August. (Jin10 Data) [Unitree Robotics' Wang Xingxing: The "ChatGPT Moment" for Embodied AI Could Arrive Within Two to Three Years] According to the World Internet Conference news, the 2026 World Internet Conference Digital Silk Road Development Forum, themed "Smart Convergence on the Silk Road, Digital Opening of a New Journey – Jointly Building a Community with a Shared Future in Cyberspace," held its opening ceremony in Xi'an, Shaanxi, on July 22. Wang Xingxing, founder and CEO of Unitree Robotics, attended the ceremony and delivered a speech. Over the past few years, humanoid robots have made rapid progress from walking to dancing, from kung fu combat to simple services. Wang Xingxing believes that the "ChatGPT moment" for embodied AI is expected to arrive within as soon as two to three years: by then, robots will be able to directly work and achieve many basic functions in most unfamiliar scenarios. Therefore, everyone should make various plans and arrangements in advance based on their actual situation, so as to seize new opportunities in the intelligent era. (Jinshi Data) [Unitree Robotics: Preliminary Inquiry Date Is August 5, Offline Subscription Date Is August 10] Unitree Robotics announced that the company is conducting its initial public offering and listing on the STAR Market. The offering will be conducted through a combination of strategic placement, offline issuance, and online issuance. The company plans to publicly issue 40,446,434 shares, accounting for 10% of the total share capital after the issuance, with the total share capital after issuance at 404,464,340 shares. The preliminary inquiry date is August 5, 2026, and the offline subscription date is August 10, 2026. The company has a special voting rights mechanism arrangement, under which the actual controller, Wang Xingxing, controls a total of 68.78% of the voting rights through a differentiated voting rights arrangement. [Unitree Robotics’ Chen Li: Core Technologies of Joint Motors Entirely Self-Developed, Upstream Only Relies on Copper Wire, Magnets and Other Raw Materials] From July 3 to 4, the 2026 Yabuli Forum Innovation Annual Conference was held in Shanghai. Chen Li, co-founder of Unitree Robotics, stated that the company has achieved independent R&D and production of core parts and has integrated the underlying technology architecture, possessing the capability to independently develop and produce a full range of products including quadruped robots, humanoid robots, robotic arms, pumps, dexterous hands, etc., covering diverse application scenarios. In response to the view that joint motors rely on external procurement, Chen Li said that the core technologies of Unitree’s joint motors are entirely independently developed, with the upstream only involving the supply of basic raw materials such as copper wire and magnets, achieving a completely independent and controllable supply chain. He stated that by independently developing the full set of core technologies, Unitree's products maintain industry-leading levels in cost-effectiveness, reliability, stability, and consistency. At the same time, the company continues to invest in the R&D of core technologies such as robot control, perception, navigation, and AI algorithms, and has cumulatively applied for multiple patents. (Jinshi Data) [Report: China’s Embodied AI Market Size Has an Average Annual Compound Growth Rate of 22% to 23%] The "China Embodied AI Industry Development Report (2026)" was released in Shanghai on July 2. The report states that China has become one of the fastest-growing embodied AI markets in the world. According to calculations by multiple research institutions, the market size of China’s embodied AI is expected to grow from approximately 213.3 billion yuan in 2018 to 1.09 trillion yuan in 2026, with an average annual compound growth rate of 22% to 23%. The report notes that China possesses the world’s only and most complete full-chain industrial support for embodied AI, spanning from core sensors, servo motors, and harmonic reducers to whole-machine assembly and algorithm adaptation, forming a highly clustered industrial ecosystem. The agglomeration effect of parts supply industries in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions allows new prototype iteration speeds to significantly outpace those in Western countries, and China’s embodied AI sector enjoys particularly prominent cost advantages, with overall manufacturing costs 30% to 50% lower than outside China. [Musk Elon: Optimus robot production will progress extremely slowly in the early stages because all technologies are being developed from scratch] Tesla CEO Musk Elon posted a photo of himself at the Optimus humanoid robot production line at the Fremont factory in California, US, on social media, sparking discussions about Optimus’ mass production progress. Some users noted that Tesla has recently reduced public demonstrations of Optimus, possibly because mass production progress has already exceeded market expectations. In response, Musk replied: “No, Optimus production is going to be extremely slow at the beginning because everything is brand new. It’s not like building cars.” [Bernstein: Japanese automakers’ interest in humanoid robots rekindled] Analysts at Bernstein said in a report that interest from Japanese automakers in humanoid robots appears to be reemerging. They pointed out that Mitsubishi Motors has said it signed a memorandum of understanding with a Japanese startup to jointly develop and mass-produce humanoid robots. The analysts noted that Japanese automakers have a long history of involvement in robotics. By 2050, global humanoid robot shipments could reach 49 million units, and the market would expand to approximately $729 billion. Given the overlap in core technologies (including actuators, sensors, batteries, control units, and AI software), this makes humanoid robots an attractive sector where automakers and suppliers have already accumulated expertise through vehicle deployment. Motor Spot Price To learn more about tax-inclusive weekly prices for various models such as three-phase asynchronous motors, variable frequency motors, DC brushed motors, flat motors, gear motors, linear motors, coreless motors, and motor cores, please click to view(). Voices from All Sides A research report from Huaxin Securities pointed out: Domestically, Yushu’s inquiry and subscription dates have been confirmed; outside China, the Optimus mass production process is accelerating toward implementation, Tesla has clarified capacity targets and issued parts procurement guidance, and the first mass production line is about to come online. We are bullish on the humanoid robot sector ushering in a definitive market trend. It is recommended to prioritize positioning in certain targets within the Tesla chain, which benefit from capacity ramp-up and are expected to drive order growth; at the same time, pay attention to quality enterprises with core parts R&D capabilities and adapted to the mass production needs of humanoid robots, and seize the beta opportunities in the sector. CITIC Securities pointed out that Tesla combines leading AI large model technology with large-scale manufacturing capabilities, and the company is in the top tier of the global embodied AI industry chain. It firmly believes in the mass production and application prospects of Tesla's robots. Tesla's Optimus is about to enter the production phase, and the Cybercab is undergoing testing as planned. It is recommended to focus on core players in the industry chain. A research report from China Securities stated that in July, different rare earth varieties exhibited significant differences in performance. Pr-Nd oxide rose first and then declined, terbium oxide jumped and then pulled back, and dysprosium oxide remained generally stable. Supply side, tight raw material supply issues at scrap plants led to a notable decline in production. According to SMM, Pr-Nd oxide production was down 11% MoM in July, and there may be marginal improvement in August, but overall production remains suppressed. Downstream, the high-temperature holiday season led to reduced operations at motor factories, with demand pulling back. August remains in the off-season, but the September-October peak season is a traditional peak consumption period. Market expectations for the start of demand recovery remain strong. In mid-to-late August, downstream stockpiling is expected to restart, breaking the supply-demand weakness and driving prices to stabilize and move upward. Wanlian Securities pointed out that the humanoid robot industry is currently at the dawn of transitioning from technological breakthroughs to large-scale commercialization. Supply side, Tesla, Unitree Robotics, Agibot, and UBTECH are steadily advancing the mass production pace. Demand side, an aging population and climbing labor costs serve as long-term drivers. Simultaneously, with policy and capital forces jointly boosting, AI large models continuously infuse soul into robots. Humanoid robots are expected to form an emerging industry, gradually moving from B-end to C-end, with vast future market space. Yingda Fund recently released the Q2 2026 report of its fund. The Q2 report of the Yingda Flexible Allocation Fund managed by fund manager Liu Yubin shows that, looking ahead, the fund remains optimistic about opportunities in the humanoid robot industry chain, particularly the Tesla Optimus supply chain. It holds positions centered on core Tier 1 suppliers and key parts top-tier players, strengthening a performance and order-driven approach, and focusing on the mass production progress of global leaders and the pace of commercialization of the domestic supply chain. Liu Yubin judges that data is the core foundation for the iteration of general embodied AI. Subsequently, he will increase allocation to quality targets that combine self-developed data acquisition hardware barriers and build complete end-to-end data closed loops, while continuously improving the portfolio framework. (Jinshi Data APP) Want to know more about the fundamentals, technicals, and policy aspects of the motor industry? Please participate in

Mercedes-Benz and Norsk Hydro have expanded their long-term partnership to accelerate the use of recycled aluminium in Europe. Under the agreement, Mercedes-Benz will become the first European automaker to use Hydro CIRCAL in serial production for its next-generation large electric vehicles. The material contains at least 75% post-consumer recycled (PCR) aluminium, up from the previous minimum of 25%. The companies will also expand the use of Hydro REDUXA low-carbon primary aluminium, aiming to reduce emissions, strengthen regional supply chains, and support circularity across the automotive value chain.

The year 2026 marks the official commencement of the 15th Five-Year Plan, ushering in a critical period of transformation and upgrading for the conductor wire and cable as well as electrical materials industry. Driven by the dual-carbon strategy, new-type power system construction, energy transition, and AI technology empowerment, sectors such as ultra-high voltage, new energy, computing centers, and NEVs are experiencing rapid development, effectively boosting the market demand for high-end copper and aluminum conductors and cable materials. The industry faces both opportunities and challenges, with tight supply and significant price fluctuations of copper and aluminum raw materials, compounded by geopolitical trade and cost volatility, leading to sustained pressure on enterprise operations and supply chains, as well as intensified industry competition. Meanwhile, the accelerated application of aluminum as a substitute for copper and new copper-aluminum composite materials, alongside continuous advancements in intelligent manufacturing and green low-carbon technologies, is driving industrial quality enhancement and upgrading. Against this backdrop, Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) will host the 2026 SMM (11th) Conductor Wire and Cable Industry Exhibition & Electrical Materials Industry Annual Conference on November 5-6, 2026 in , bringing together resources from the entire industry chain to establish a professional and efficient platform for cooperation and exchange. SMM joins hands with Jiangsu Daoming Chemical Co., Ltd. to invite industry peers to participate, collectively supporting enterprises in overcoming challenges and promoting high-quality industry transformation. Click the to sign up immediately. We look forward to meeting you at the conference. Daoming DCP, the trusted choice of global wire and cable factories! Jiangsu Daoming Chemical Co., Ltd. , established in March 2012, was invested by Shanghai Xintianhe Industrial Co., Ltd. The company is located at No. 168 Jianghai Road, Qidong Riverside Fine Chemical Park, Jiangsu Province, with its headquarters in Shanghai. The total project investment amounts to 530 million yuan, with a registered capital of 223.6 million yuan, covering an area of 155.4 mu and a total construction area of 73,536 m². The company implements an annual production capacity of 24,000 mt (Phase I: 12,000 mt, Phase II: 12,000 mt) of dicumyl peroxide (DCP). The DCP production process is mature, advanced, and features controllable safety measures. The entire process employs DCS control and ESD emergency shutdown systems. The oxidation reaction utilizes the currently advanced low-pressure dry oxidation process, with the system using DCS for process indication, alarm, and control, and SIS for safety interlock measures on critical processes. The production scale, process technology, and product quality all meet professional standards. The product is primarily used as a cross-linking agent in rubber and plastic processing, mainly applied in footwear (EVA), building insulation materials (EPS), and the wire and cable industry, with nearly 50% of the products exported to markets in Europe, the Americas, and beyond. The products are mainly supplied to internationally renowned enterprises such as Borouge, Hanwha, Wanma, and Wanhua Chemical. The company has a team of technical personnel with extensive production management experience. Currently, it has over 210 employees, including more than 100 with a college degree or above. The company has a professional R&D center, testing center, and production site. It advocates the philosophy of green ecology and clean production, strictly implements relevant national environmental protection standards, and has designed and built a regenerative thermal oxidizer (RTO) project in accordance with petrochemical regulations, along with wastewater treatment facilities and a hazardous waste storage warehouse. It has passed six system certifications: quality management, environmental management, occupational health and safety management, energy management, EcoVadis, and REACH. Daoming Chemical will follow the development direction of technology and environmental protection, adhere to the service philosophy of " Customer First, Consistent Always ", uphold the business policy of " Standardized Management, Market-Oriented Operation ", and strive hard to become a professional chemical enterprise in the industry. Contact Information Wang Jun 137 7351 1805 SMM Conference Contact Zhang Guolei 166 0190 0190 zhangguolei@smm.cn Scan the QR code to attend immediately

[Chery Group July Sales: 277,000 Units, Up 23.3% YoY] Chery Group announced that in July 2026, the group sold 276,820 vehicles, up 23.3% YoY. Of the total, exports reached 202,533 units, up 70.1% YoY, making it the first Chinese automaker to exceed 200,000 units in monthly exports. In July, the group sold 129,067 NEVs, up 97.5% YoY. From January to July, Chery Group's cumulative vehicle sales reached 1,634,353 units, up 10.1% YoY. Of the cumulative total, exports came to 1,146,350 units, up 71.2% YoY, and cumulative NEV sales were 604,305 units, up 42.3% YoY.

According to Yonhap News Agency, Hyundai Motor Company and Kia Corporation said on Sunday that the two South Korean automakers sold more than 100,000 EVs in Europe in H1 this year, strengthening their position in the region. Hyundai and Kia said they sold a total of 131,032 EVs in Europe in H1 2026, a sharp increase of 41.8% from 92,365 units in H1 2025. The two companies expect that if the current sales pace continues through year-end, their annual EV sales in Europe will exceed 200,000 units for the first time since entering the European EV market in 2014. As of May this year, their cumulative EV sales in Europe surpassed the 1 million unit mark.

[SMM Analysis: US Lyten's "Dip-Buying Acquisition" of Northvolt's European Assets Lithium-Sulfur Solid-State Battery Global Layout] Through successive acquisitions of the core assets of bankrupt European battery giant Northvolt, Lyten obtained 16 GWh of existing capacity, Europe's largest battery R&D center, and over 100 GWh of expansion space at a steep discount far below valuation. Meanwhile, leveraging its lithium-sulfur battery technology built on the patented 3D Graphene platform, Lyten's material system completely eliminates nickel, cobalt, manganese, and graphite, forging a technological path entirely different from traditional solid-state batteries.

Background: Pangkalpinang Case Triggers Tighter Regulation of Rare Earth Elements in Indonesia’s Mineral Exports Recently, the detection issues surrounding Indonesia’s rare earth elements, or Logam Tanah Jarang (LTJ) , primarily stemmed from stricter government oversight of related mineral product exports following the Pangkalpinang case. The initial case involved an anomalous export of approximately 390 mt of materials containing rare earth elements and implicated PT Putraprima Mineral Mandiri, PT Sucofindo, and the Pangkalpinang Customs Office. It raised a broader regulatory question: when a mineral product contains rare earth or radioactive elements as associated elements, should the product continue to be treated under its primary export commodity classification or be subject to rare earth-related export restrictions. This issue quickly rippled through Indonesia’s broader mineral export chain. High-grade NPI, NPI, MHP, alumina, and tin-related products are not themselves exported as rare earth products, but they may contain trace amounts of associated rare earth elements or radioactive elements. Consequently, with regulatory parameters not yet fully clarified, surveyors and customs tended to be cautious, causing a slowdown in LS report issuance and customs clearance for some shipments. For the nickel industry, the incident quickly became a market focal point, as exports of high-grade NPI, NPI, and MHP were all affected by additional testing requirements. Market feedback indicated that some cargoes experienced short-term port detentions or shipment disruptions, and the impact was not confined to a single enterprise. Some traders also reported that related cargoes faced shipment difficulties during the period of disruption. Why Rare Earth Elements Matter: Indonesia Strengthens Value Controls Over Critical Minerals Before Export Rare earth elements have drawn attention due to their extensive application in high-value-added fields such as EVs, permanent magnet materials, electronic products, new energy, and national defense-related materials. For Indonesia, this issue is not only about export customs clearance but also about resource value control. The Indonesian government is placing increasing emphasis on identifying, regulating, and protecting the value of critical mineral resources before they leave the country. The problem is that rare earth elements often do not exist as standalone products but appear as associated or trace elements in other minerals. If all products containing small amounts of rare earth elements were treated as restricted rare earth exports, normal mineral exports could be disrupted; yet if rare earth content is not identified or regulated at all, Indonesia could lose control over the value of strategic minerals. The commonly recognized 17 rare earth elements include: lanthanum, cerium, praseodymium, neodymium, promethium, samarium, europium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, holmium, erbium, thulium, ytterbium, lutetium, yttrium, and scandium . In recent market discussions, the testing scope mainly involved these 17 rare earth elements, while radioactive elements such as thorium and uranium also became items of inspection concern. Rare earth elements are often not produced as independent products but exist in other minerals in the form of associated elements . This also creates a regulatory gray area. If every export shipment containing trace rare earth elements were treated as rare earth exports, many normal mineral shipments could face delays. But if associated rare earth content is not tested at all, Indonesia risks the loss of strategic mineral value. Therefore, the market’s focus is not merely on whether nickel product exports are disrupted; the larger question is whether Indonesia is entering a new regulatory phase requiring more detailed chemical composition verification for mineral exports. What Happened in the Market: LS Report Delays and Additional Testing Disrupted Mineral Shipments According to SMM’s market understanding, the recent testing requirements temporarily affected the export of some processed mineral products from Indonesia. For nickel products, the impact was mainly reflected in three aspects. Delays in LS report issuance. LS reports are critical documents in the export process, and delays in their issuance directly affect customs clearance and cargo release. According to SMM’s understanding as of July 24, relevant authorities also noted that laboratory testing preparations remained relatively limited, and due to differing interpretations of how to handle rare earth elements during export verification, 102 LS survey reports were still pending. Short-term port detentions for some cargoes. Market feedback indicated that shipments of some NPI and MHP cargoes were affected, and some traders also mentioned that QMB-related cargoes faced shipment difficulties during the disruption. Export enterprises required to organize additional testing. The government required testing of 17 rare earth elements and radioactive elements in certain products, and some enterprises were still awaiting testing results or further clarity from surveyors and customs. Thus, this incident is not a direct export ban on nickel products but a short-term administrative and testing bottleneck arising from unclear regulatory parameters for associated rare earth and radioactive elements. Impact on the Nickel Market: NPI and Other Nickel Product Exports Mainly Affected by Shipment Pace Disruptions For the high-grade NPI and NPI market, the short-term impact was mainly on shipment pace rather than production. Some port cargoes experienced delays due to affected LS reports and customs clearance processes. According to SMM’s latest understanding, LS survey reports were being released in batches, and some high-grade NPI cargoes at ports had begun to be released progressively. As the current disruption primarily occurred in export documentation and customs clearance, the direct impact on NPI production was limited. If LS report issuance and customs clearance continue to normalize, the impact on the overall NPI market is expected to be limited. At this stage, the issue appears more as a short-term export process disruption rather than a confirmed structural restriction on NPI exports. For the MHP market, some cargoes were also affected by the rare earth-related testing requirements. According to market feedback, some MHP shipments faced short-term inability to ship smoothly during the disruption. Similar to NPI, the core issues centered on LS report issuance, testing requirements, and customs clearance, rather than direct restrictions on MHP production. The latest Indonesian government coordination outcome clarified that export procedures should refer to the primary mineral product and its derivative attributes, rather than automatically treating associated rare earth elements or radioactive elements in the product as grounds for export restrictions. Therefore, for MHP, the key lies in whether the product can continue to be classified and exported based on its primary product attributes. Market Feedback and Industry Concerns: Unclear Technical Standards Create Uncertainty for Export Enterprises Market feedback indicated that rare earth-related testing requirements had already caused real disruptions to Indonesia’s mineral product export chain. According to Arif Perdanakusumah, Chairman of FINI (Indonesian Nickel Smelting Association), at least 120 bulk commodity vessels were unable to sail or depart due to the need to test for rare earth content. He noted that this situation caused losses not only for enterprises but also for the government, primarily because there were still no clear regulations providing technical guidance on rare earth content thresholds. Industry associations generally understood that this policy was part of the government’s effort to improve mineral governance, but they also stressed that technical implementation still needed re-examination, particularly given that rare earth elements in many mineral products exist only as associated or trace elements rather than primary products. This distinction is especially important for commodities such as nickel, bauxite, tin, and copper, as enterprises' permits and processing designs are primarily centered on the main minerals, and rare earth elements may merely be naturally occurring by-products or associated elements. The bauxite industry also raised similar concerns. Ronald Sulistyanto, Chairman of ABI (Indonesian Bauxite Association), stated that the rare earth issue should be addressed based on its technical nature and handled by the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, as the ministry possesses the relevant mining and mineral expertise. He emphasized that the key question is whether rare earth elements are primary products or merely associated elements. If they are primary products, relevant export restrictions could apply; but if they are only associated elements, more detailed technical clarification is needed rather than causing widespread export disruptions. Sari Esayanti, Executive Director of IMA (Indonesian Mining Association), also pointed out that most mining enterprises still center on the primary commodities covered by their permits and existing processing designs. In multiple commodities such as tin, bauxite, nickel, and copper, rare earth elements are typically just associated elements. She also stated that most mining enterprises currently lack adequate facilities or technology to identify, separate, or economically utilize rare earth elements. Thus, new interpretations regarding rare earth element declarations or export obligations have created uncertainty for enterprises. From an industry perspective, the most urgent need currently is technical certainty. Enterprises require clearer parameters, testing methods, and declaration mechanisms so that all exporters, surveyors, and customs authorities can adopt uniform standards. Without consistent technical guidance, even if the current bottleneck gradually eases, similar shipment delays could still recur. Latest Government Developments and Resolution Direction: Primary Product Attributes Become the Core Clarification Point The most important development came from the Indonesian government’s coordination letter dated July 31, 2026. According to the document, the Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs convened a coordination meeting on July 30 to discuss export obstacles related to the presence of rare earth elements and/or radioactive elements in mineral products and their derivatives. Key points from the government coordination included: Exports of mineral products and their derivatives should still be conducted in accordance with existing trade regulations, including Minister of Trade Regulation No. 23/2023 on Export Policies and Arrangements and Minister of Trade Regulation No. 22/2023 on Prohibited Export Goods, with reference to subsequent amendments. Relevant regulations should be understood as applying to primary mineral products and their derivatives, rather than automatically applying to associated elements within these products. This is the most critical clarification for high-grade NPI, NPI, MHP, alumina, and other processed mineral products. If radioactive elements are present in the product, as long as they fall under naturally occurring radioactive material, i.e., NORM (Naturally Occurring Radioactive Material), exports can still proceed. This helps mitigate the risk of trace radioactive elements automatically causing export obstructions. Export enterprises, surveyors, and customs authorities should refer to the export attributes of the primary mineral product and its derivatives when handling exports. This provides a basis for the gradual resumption of LS report issuance and customs clearance. The Indonesian Attorney General’s Office will concurrently issue a legal opinion, to support the clarification of relevant regulatory interpretations. The government plans to accelerate the revision of relevant regulations, including Minister of Trade Regulation No. 23/2023, Minister of Trade Regulation No. 22/2023, and Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Regulation No. 25/2018. Relevant discussions are expected to commence on August 3, 2026, targeting completion of revisions within approximately one week. SMM View: Short-Term Export Disruption, but Medium and Long-Term Signal of Tighter Mineral Oversight Released SMM believes that this rare earth testing incident is a short-term disruption but also an important policy signal. In the short term, as LS reports are progressively issued and customs enforcement parameters become clearer, the impact on NPI and MHP exports is expected to gradually ease. If cargo clearance continues to normalize, the impact on the overall nickel market supply-demand pattern is expected to be limited. However, the incident also demonstrates that Indonesia is strengthening its oversight of critical mineral element content, export documentation, and resource value protection. Even if this round of disruption is resolved relatively quickly, export enterprises may still face stricter testing requirements, clearer declaration obligations, and tighter coordinated supervision among agencies such as surveyors, customs, ESDM, and the Ministry of Trade in the future. Subsequent market focus should include: whether all previously delayed LS reports can be fully released. whether future cargoes will need to undergo complete testing for rare earth elements and radioactive elements. whether the government will clarify specific thresholds for rare earth elements, thorium, uranium, and NORM classification. whether the revised regulations can clearly distinguish between primary export products and associated trace elements. whether high-grade NPI, NPI, MHP, alumina, and tin-related products will face different enforcement standards. Overall, this incident should not be interpreted as Indonesia directly banning NPI or MHP exports, but rather as a process of regulatory clarification under the backdrop of strengthened oversight of rare earth and radioactive elements. If the subsequent implementation details are clarified quickly, the market impact will largely remain at the short-term level; if rules remain unclear, similar shipment delays and administrative friction could still recur.

In H1 2026, South Korea’s NEV sales and exports posted double-digit growth, while domestic battery output declined. BEV sales rebounded from a low base, but export growth was led by hybrids, limiting the impact on large-format battery and NCM demand. NCM cell output continued to fall, while LFP capacity expanded. LFP-based ESS is emerging as a new growth driver, but remains too small to offset the NCM decline.

Mercedes-Benz will become the first automaker in Europe to use Hydro Circal recycled aluminum in series-production models, which will be its next-generation large EVs. The new material contains at least 75% post-consumer recycled aluminum, while the aluminum semis currently supplied by Hydro have a recycled content of around 25%.

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has issued the 15th Five‑Year Plan for Green and Low‑Carbon Industrial Development, which calls for consolidating and upgrading green competitive industries. It accelerates technological iteration and scenario expansion in key sectors such as new energy vehicles (NEVs), new energy equipment, and new‑type energy storage. It promotes innovative applications of next‑generation power batteries, automotive‑grade chips, and automotive operating systems, and expands the deployment of heavy‑duty NEV trucks in scenarios including trunk line transport, short‑and‑medium‑haul logistics, urban construction, and mining and port operations. It substantially increases the share of green electricity used in polysilicon production, breaks through design and manufacturing technologies for highly reliable wind turbines in desert‑Gobi‑wasteland, high‑altitude, and deep‑sea environments, and promotes the integrated application of wind‑solar‑storage equipment tailored to local conditions. It accelerates the development of large‑capacity, high‑safety, all‑climate, long‑life lithium‑battery products, extends high‑performance lithium batteries to applications in low‑altitude equipment, intelligent robots, electric vessels, electric construction machinery, and new‑energy agricultural machinery, and expands new‑type energy storage applications in areas such as coordinated power supply operation and grid stability support.