[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Weak Demand, ADC12 Spot Continued to Weaken] Spot side, the ADC12 market continued in the doldrums yesterday. Affected by aluminum prices being in the doldrums and poor demand-side performance, market sentiment turned cautious. Most market participants slightly lowered their quotes, while a few enterprises held prices steady and took a wait-and-see approach. Currently, low-priced resources increased, the transaction center shifted downward, and prices showed a passive pullback pattern. In the short term, against the backdrop of marginally weakening cost support and limited demand improvement, ADC12 prices are expected to remain in the doldrums.

South Korea's Economic Daily reported on Thursday that Samsung Electronics is expected to supply OpenAI with its next-generation high-bandwidth memory (HBM4) chips for the latter's first in-house artificial intelligence processor. Last year, Samsung signed a memorandum of understanding, committing to supply memory chips for OpenAI's data centers to meet the growing demand of its "Stargate" project.

[SMM SHFE Copper Flash News] According to the SHFE warrant daily report, copper futures warrants decreased by 11,264 mt during the day, the largest daily decline so far in 2026. Among them, Shanghai fell by 4,750 mt, breaking the previous trend of लगातार increases; Guangdong fell by 447 mt; Jiangsu fell by 5,867 mt; and Zhejiang fell by 200 mt. As copper prices declined during the week, downstream restocking demand emerged, copper cathode social inventories had already begun a slight destocking, and Shanghai spot copper also shifted from discounts to premiums.

[SMM Copper Flash] During the day, the SHFE warrant daily report showed that copper futures warrants increased by 3,599 mt to 319,087 mt. The increase was mainly in the Shanghai area; data showed that the Shanghai area increased by 4,103 mt to 167,865 mt, while the Jiangsu area decreased by 504 mt to 95,150 mt.

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Report] Futures side, the most-traded aluminum alloy 2604 contract first fell then rose today. It opened higher in the morning session but moved sideways and dropped to 22,600 yuan, then stabilized and rebounded in the afternoon, eventually closing at 22,710 yuan/mt, up 60 yuan/mt or 0.26% from the previous close. Spot side, the SMM ADC12 price rose slightly by 50 yuan/mt to 23,800 yuan/mt. Boosted by the stronger futures performance, market sentiment improved somewhat. However, secondary aluminum enterprises remained generally cautious about following the increase, with most keeping their offers steady or raising them by no more than 100 yuan/mt. Post-holiday downstream consumption recovery was slow, with downstream users making just-in-time procurement, and some

SMM Alumina Morning Comment 2.26 Futures: The most-traded alumina 2605 futures contract opened at 2,879 yuan/mt overnight, hit a high of 2,883 yuan/mt, touched a low of 2,850 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 2,874 yuan/mt, up 4 yuan/mt from the previous day. Open interest increased by 8,601 lots to 314,000 lots. The phased tightness of spot cargo in certain regions provided some confidence to the market, but the industry surplus persists, and trading overall remains cautious. Technically, the closing price was above the MA5 (2,833.40), MA10 (2,838.10), and MA30 (2,795.20), indicating continued upward momentum. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator's DIF (23.59) crossed above the DEA (17.07), sustaining a golden cross at low levels, with the histogram at 13.06. Alumina futures are expected to be in the doldrums in the short term. Industry Dynamics: 1) According to a report by Ghana Web on February 14, Ghanaian President Mahama announced that Ghana plans to stop exporting unprocessed ore by 2030. The President stated that this move aims to support local processing enterprises, enabling them to lead the government's flagship industrial development and job creation plan. On February 13, 2026, President Mahama emphasized the importance of halting the export of unprocessed resources in a speech delivered in Addis Ababa. He advocated for enhancing the capacity of local processing enterprises to increase production and strengthen the value chain. Ore Side: As of February 25, 2026, the SMM imported bauxite index was reported at $61.33/mt, flat from the previous trading day. The SMM Guinea FOB average price was $37/mt, unchanged from the previous day. The SMM Guinea bauxite CIF average price was $60/mt, flat from the previous day. The SMM Australia low-temperature bauxite CIF average price was $58.5/mt, unchanged from the previous day, while the SMM Australia high-temperature bauxite CIF average price was $54.5/mt, down $1/mt from the previous day. The Malaysia bauxite CIF average price was $47/mt, unchanged from the previous day, and the Malaysia bauxite CIF (washed) average price was $59/mt, flat from the previous day. The Ghana bauxite CIF price was reported at $73/mt, unchanged from the previous day. The bauxite CFR (Turkey) price was $71.5/mt, flat from last Friday. According to an SMM survey, during the Chinese New Year holiday, some domestic mine mouths halted shipments, and current supply is slowly recovering. However, bauxite inventory at various alumina refineries remains above safe levels, leading to weak purchase willingness from alumina refineries. Prices continue to be contested, and further downside room is expected. For imported ore, no spot transactions were heard; however, against the backdrop of declining ore prices, alumina refineries maintain cautious sentiment towards bauxite procurement. Absolute inventory remains high, and overall purchase demand is weak. Additionally, some alumina refineries in north China reported that, amid tightening environmental protection policies, current ore storage must strictly comply with the requirement of using enclosed storage silos or covered stockyards. As a result, alumina refineries are controlling the pace and volume of bauxite transfers from port inventories to stockyards. It is expected that in the near term, imported ore prices will remain under pressure with fluctuations. SMM will continue to monitor the impact of domestic and overseas mine production, port shipments, and policy changes on prices. Spot prices: As of February 25, 2025, the SMM alumina index was reported at 2,618.49 yuan/mt, up 1.45 yuan/mt MoM; the SMM Shandong alumina index was reported at 2,548.51 yuan/mt, up 3.17 yuan/mt MoM; the SMM Henan alumina index was reported at 2,616.24 yuan/mt, up 0.52 yuan/mt MoM; the SMM Shanxi alumina index was reported at 2,602.39 yuan/mt, up 0.38 yuan/mt MoM; the SMM Guizhou alumina index was reported at 2,697.01 yuan/mt, up 2.25 yuan/mt MoM; and the SMM Guangxi alumina index was reported at 2,670.41 yuan/mt, up 0.74 yuan/mt MoM. Daily spot-futures price spread report: According to SMM data, on February 25, the SMM alumina index was at a discount of 234.51 yuan/mt against the latest transaction price of the most-traded contract at 11:30. Warehouse warrant daily report: On February 25, the total registered alumina warehouse warrants increased by 19,000 mt to 347,000 mt compared to the previous trading day. The total registered alumina warehouse warrants in Shandong remained unchanged at 17,701 mt, in Henan at 6,011 mt, in Guangxi at 12,613 mt, and in Gansu at 36,048 mt. In Xinjiang, the total registered alumina warehouse warrants increased by 19,000 mt to 275,000 mt compared to the previous trading day. Overseas market: As of February 25, 2026, the FOB Western Australia alumina price was $311/mt, with an ocean freight rate of $20/mt. The USD/CNY selling rate was around 6.89, and the converted domestic mainstream port selling price was approximately 2,656.47 yuan/mt, which is 37.98 yuan/mt higher than the SMM alumina index price. According to SMM model calculations, the import window remained closed. Summary: Before the holiday, domestic alumina market inventory continued to rebound, and the oversupply situation persisted. Supply side, alumina refineries in various regions gradually resumed production, driving up the overall industry operating rate. Weekly production increased by 11,000 mt WoW. In terms of inventory structure, aluminum smelters' raw material inventory increased by 18,000 mt WoW due to the arrival of previously purchased spot cargoes. In-factory inventory at alumina refineries increased slightly by 10,000 mt WoW, as production remained relatively stable and daily shipments were maintained. Meanwhile, warehouse warrants continued to grow due to strong futures performance and active point-price deliveries. Recent shipments have remained generally stable, with relatively small fluctuations in shipments under long-term contract, increasing by only 2,000 mt. Due to maintenance initiated by some enterprises and the shutdown of roasting operations in north China, short-term production has declined, leading enterprises to consume their in-factory inventory. It is expected that alumina inventory will show a slight destocking trend in the short term. [Except for publicly available information, other data are processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model, and are for reference only, not constituting decision-making advice.]

[SMM Copper Express] According to the SHFE futures daily report, copper futures warrants increased by 10,717 mt to 287,806 mt on February 25 compared to the previous day. Notably, the increase in warrants was mainly in Guangdong, which rose by 12,089 mt within the day, while Shanghai and Jiangsu showed signs of warrant outflows. Social inventory was expected to remain in a state of continued inventory buildup this week.

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Report] Futures side, the most-traded aluminum alloy 2604 contract opened at the day's low of 22,275 yuan/mt, and the futures rose steadily, hitting a high of 22,740 yuan/mt during the session. In the afternoon, prices pulled back from the highs, but the overall decline was limited, with prices remaining above the moving average. Spot side, secondary aluminum market quotations were mostly stable, with the SMM ADC12 price holding at 23,750 yuan/mt. Downstream inquiries and actual transactions recovered today, but the overall trading atmosphere remained cautious, and market sentiment was relatively mediocre.

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Report] Futures side, on the first trading day after the holiday, Aluminum Alloy 2604 opened at the day's low of 22,070 yuan/mt. Early session saw strong capital sentiment, pushing the price up to a high of 22,460 yuan/mt. Subsequently, the futures pulled back amid fluctuations, closing at 22,320 yuan/mt, up 1.27% from the last trading day before the holiday. Throughout the day, bears mainly reduced positions, with the overall market still in a consolidation phase following the previous decline. Spot side, today's SMM ADC12 price was raised by 100 yuan/mt to 23,750 yuan/mt. The strong performance of the futures on the first day after the holiday boosted market sentiment, but secondary aluminum enterprises showed some divergence in their quotations. Some enterprise

[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: High Aluminum Prices Suppress Stockpiling Demand for Chinese New Year, Alloy and Downstream Die-Casting Plants Extend Holiday Periods] Spot market, A00 aluminum price dropped back slightly by 420 yuan/mt to 23,340 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while SMM ADC12 price was lowered by 200 yuan/mt to 23,600 yuan/mt. Futures turned weak again, and secondary aluminum market quotations generally followed the decline, with most enterprises cutting prices by about 200 yuan/mt; driven by the price pullback, downstream buyers mainly restocked on dips, and transactions improved slightly. Supply side, as the Chinese New Year approaches, secondary aluminum plants have successively clarified their production plans for the holiday, with most enterprises suspending production between February 5 and 13, and resuming operations concentrated after the eighth day of the first lunar month or after the Lantern Festival. The expected furnace shutdown period is 8–20 days, with the average suspension time extending by about 2 days YoY, mainly affected by factors such as recent intensified aluminum price fluctuations, widespread production cuts downstream, and tightening policies along with ongoing environmental protection-related controls. Overall, downstream demand continues to contract, and fundamental support for prices is marginally weakening. In the short term, secondary aluminum alloy prices are expected to hover at highs, with the price center dropping back slightly.