March 16, 2026: The average warrant price rose by $1/mt from the previous trading day, closed at $47/mt (price range $42-52/mt); the average B/L price rose by $1/mt from the previous trading day, closed at $46/mt (price range $41-51/mt); the average EQ copper (CIF B/L) price rose by $4/mt from the previous trading day, closed at $25/mt (price range $19-31/mt), with quotations referencing cargoes arriving from late March to mid-April. During the day, a large number of buyers sought EQ and OG copper B/L cargoes arriving in the near term. It was heard that a small volume of pyrometallurgy B/L cargoes arriving in late March was offered at $50-60/mt, QP April; EQ B/L offers for arrivals in late March and early April were quoted at $35/mt, and EQ B/L for arrivals in mid-to-late April was quoted at $35/mt, QP May. General ER copper warrants for delivery within the week were quoted at $50/mt, QP April.

In mid-March 2026, CAAM and the China Automotive Power Battery Industry Innovation Alliance successively released relevant data on the auto and power battery markets for February 2026. According to CAAM’s analysis, auto production and sales declined YoY under the combined impact of multiple factors, including policy transition adjustments, front-load demand release, the timing shift of the Chinese New Year holiday, insufficient willingness to consume, and a high base in the same period last year. Among them, the passenger vehicle market and NEV market both declined YoY, while the commercial vehicle market continued to improve, and auto exports grew rapidly. .......SMM compiled the relevant data on the auto market and power battery market for February 2026 for readers’ reference. Automobiles CAAM: February Auto Output and Sales Reached 1.672 Million and 1.805 Million Units, Respectively In February, auto output and sales totaled 1.672 million and 1.805 million units, down 31.7% and 23.1% MoM, and down 20.5% and 15.2% YoY, respectively. From January to February, auto output and sales totaled 4.122 million and 4.152 million units, down 9.5% and 8.8% YoY, respectively. CAAM: February NEV Sales Reached 765,000 Units; January-February NEV Output and Sales Reached 1.71 Million Units In February, NEV output and sales totaled 694,000 and 765,000 units, down 21.8% and 14.2% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 42.4% of total new vehicle sales. From January to February, NEV output and sales totaled 1.735 million and 1.71 million units, down 8.8% and 6.9% YoY, respectively. NEV sales accounted for 41.2% of total new vehicle sales. CAAM: Auto Exports Continued to Grow in February; NEV Exports up 1.1x YoY In February, NEV exports were 282,000 units, down 6.6% MoM, up 1.1x YoY ; traditional fuel vehicle exports were 391,000 units, up 2.8% MoM and up 26.2% YoY . From January to February, NEV exports were 583,000 units, up 1.1x YoY; traditional fuel vehicle exports were 769,000 units, up 22.2% YoY . Regarding the auto market in February, CAAM said that this year’s Chinese New Year fell in mid-to-late February, and the holiday was extended. As a result, there were only 16 effective working days in February, which had a certain impact on enterprise production and operations, and overall market activity declined. Judging from industry performance from January to February, auto production and sales declined YoY under the combined impact of multiple factors, including policy transition adjustments, front-load demand release, the timing shift of the Chinese New Year holiday, insufficient willingness to consume, and a high base in the same period last year. Among them, the passenger vehicle market and NEVs declined YoY, while the commercial vehicle market continued to improve and auto exports grew rapidly. This year’s government work report explicitly proposed to stimulate the endogenous momentum of household consumption and advance consumption-promoting policies in parallel, continue to amplify the effect of the policy package, further rectify “involution-style” competition, and foster a sound market ecosystem. It is believed that, as detailed local subsidy measures are fully implemented after the holiday, spring auto show sales promotions begin, and automakers roll out new models one after another, this will help boost consumer confidence, energize the auto market, and promote the healthy and stable operation of the industry. Subsequently, the CPCA also released data on the passenger vehicle market for February 2026. From February 1 to 28, retail sales in China’s passenger vehicle market reached 1.034 million units, down 25.4% YoY and down 33.1% MoM. Cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year totaled 2.578 million units, down 18.9% YoY. As market factors have become more complex, the pattern of “low at the beginning and high at the end” in annual sales has become more evident in recent years. Affected by disruptions such as Chinese New Year, February retail sales have seen wild YoY swings over the years, for example: 2019 (-19%), 2020 (-79%), 2021 (373%), 2022 (5%), 2023 (10%), 2024 (-21%), and 2025 (26%). Therefore, the -25.4% in 2026 was at the lower-middle end of the range of sharp fluctuations in February growth rates over the years. NEVs, retail sales in the passenger NEV market were 464,000 units in February, down 32.0% YoY; from January to February, retail sales in the passenger NEV market were 1.06 million units, down 25.7% YoY. Retail sales of conventional fuel passenger vehicles were 570,000 units in February, down 19% YoY. In February, passenger NEV producer exports were 269,000 units, up 124.7% YoY and down 7.0% MoM; from January to February, passenger NEV producer exports were 559,000 units, up 114.7% YoY, while exports of conventional fuel passenger vehicles were 290,000 units in February, up 21% YoY. NEV exports, as the scale advantages of China’s new energy vehicles become more apparent and market expansion demand grows, more and more China-made new energy brand products are going outside China, and their recognition outside China continues to improve. Among them, PHEVs accounted for 38% of NEV exports (38% in the same period last year). Although they have recently been affected by some disruptions from external countries, exports of independently developed PHEVs to developing countries have grown rapidly, with bright prospects. In February, passenger NEV exports were 269,000 units, up 124.7% YoY and down 7.0% MoM. They accounted for 48.5% of passenger vehicle exports, up 14.8 percentage points YoY; BEVs accounted for 58% of NEV exports (59% in the same period last year), and A00- and A0-class EVs, the core focus, accounted for 55% of BEV exports (56% in the same period last year). The CPCA stated that after the NEV purchase tax exemption policy, which had been implemented since September 2014, was formally phased out at the end of December 2025, the NEV market in 2026 entered a recovery period amid adjustments to tax subsidies. Some consumers brought forward purchases to 2025 to benefit from the policy, resulting in a certain pull-forward effect in January-February this year. This was an expected short-term fluctuation and does not represent the market’s long-term trend. However, with Chinese New Year falling later this year, making it a major consumption year, growth in the auto market diverged, and NEVs did not perform strongly, indicating that more policy support is still needed. Key features of the passenger vehicle market in February 2026: 1. In February, passenger vehicle producers’ daily average exports hit a record high for the month, fully demonstrating the steadily improving competitiveness of China’s automotive industry in the global market and continued robust demand outside China; 2. The retail pullback after the expiration of the vehicle purchase tax exemption was evident, but structural changes were also clear, namely a higher share of high-end NEVs and a lower share of entry-level consumption, which is conducive to the industry’s transition toward high-quality development; 3. New vehicle launches were steady in 2026, and together with the advance of anti-involution efforts curbing disorderly price cuts, NEV sales promotions stayed at 10.4% in February, remaining around 10% for six consecutive months. No vicious volume discount competition emerged, helping maintain market order; 4. The historical pattern of internal combustion engine vehicles outperforming NEVs before Chinese New Year continued again. In February, retail sales in China of internal combustion engine vehicles fell 19% YoY, while pure electric vehicle retail sales fell 35% YoY, range-extended vehicles fell 16% YoY, and PHEVs fell 31% YoY. As time goes by, consumers are expected to gradually adapt to the normalization of NEV taxation, and the NEV market is expected to return to a track of positive growth; 5. This February was still a pre-Chinese New Year consumption phase dominated by internal combustion engine vehicles. NEV penetration rate in retail sales in China was 44.9%, and export penetration rate was 48.5%, which was a relatively good performance; 6. In February 2026, exports of self-owned-brand internal combustion engine passenger vehicles reached 247,000, up 21% YoY, while exports of self-owned-brand NEVs reached 231,000, up 110% YoY. NEVs accounted for 48.4% of self-owned-brand exports. In particular, the high growth of NEV exports in Europe, Southeast Asia, and other regions marked the expanding influence of China’s NEV brands in the international market, laying a solid foundation for future export growth. Power Battery In February, China’s cumulative sales of power and ESS batteries reached 113.2 Gwh, up 25.7% YoY In February, China’s sales of power and ESS batteries reached 113.2 Gwh, down 23.9% MoM, up 25.7% YoY . Of this, power battery sales were 74.5 Gwh, accounting for 65.9% of total sales, down 27.4% MoM and up 11.4% YoY; ESS battery sales were 38.6 Gwh, accounting for 34.1% of total sales, down 16.2% MoM and up 67.3% YoY. From January to February, China’s cumulative sales of power and ESS batteries were 262 Gwh, up 53.8% YoY . Of this, cumulative power battery sales were 177.2 Gwh, accounting for 67.6% of total sales and up 36.5% YoY; cumulative ESS battery sales were 84.8 Gwh, accounting for 32.4% of total sales and up 108.9% YoY. From January to February, cumulative power battery installations were 68.3 Gwh, with LFP installations accounting for 77.9% In February, China’s power battery installations were 26.3 Gwh, down 37.4% MoM and down 24.6% YoY. Of this, ternary battery installations were 5.7 Gwh, accounting for 21.7% of total installations, down 39.1% MoM and down 11.4% YoY; LFP battery installations were 20.6 Gwh, accounting for 78.3% of total installations, down 36.9% MoM and down 27.5% YoY. From January to February, cumulative power battery installations in China were 68.3 Gwh, down 7.2% YoY. Of this, cumulative ternary battery installations were 15.1 Gwh, accounting for 22.1% of total installations and up 0.6% YoY; cumulative LFP battery installations were 53.3 Gwh, accounting for 77.9% of total installations and down 9.2% YoY. More Than 60% of A/H-Share Automakers Achieved YoY Growth, March Auto Market Production and Sales Will See Rapid MoM Growth Earlier, CLS compiled the January-February sales performance of 14 A/H-share listed automakers, of which 9 achieved YoY growth, accounting for more than 60%, and 3 automakers recorded February sales outside China exceeding those in the Chinese market. Among emerging EV makers, Leap Motor still firmly held the top spot in deliveries, with 28,067 units delivered in February, up 10.99% YoY; cumulative deliveries in 2026 reached 60,126 units, up 19.16% YoY. While releasing its February delivery figures, Leap Motor said its March car purchase incentives had gone live, with discounts of up to 46,000 yuan for in-stock vehicles. Li Auto delivered 26,421 units in February, up 0.6% YoY. Cumulative deliveries in 2026 reached 54,089 units, down 3.74% YoY. As of February 28, 2026, Li Auto’s historical cumulative deliveries totaled 1.594 million units. Li Auto said that as of February 28, 2026, it had 539 retail centers nationwide, covering 160 cities; 548 after-sales repair centers and authorized service centers, covering 223 cities. Li Auto had put into use 4,054 Li Auto supercharging stations nationwide, with 22,447 charging piles. NIO delivered 20,797 new vehicles in February, up 57.65% YoY. Cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 reached 47,979 units, up 77.34% YoY. To date, NIO has delivered a total of 1,045,571 new vehicles. At 22:33:18 on February 6, NIO completed its 100 millionth battery swap; during the 2026 Chinese New Year holiday, NIO provided a cumulative 2,073,500 battery swapping services, with daily average services up 29.4% YoY versus the Chinese New Year holiday last year. From February 15 to February 23, NIO Energy's cumulative highway charging and battery swapping volume exceeded 25.28 million kWh, accounting for 15% of the national highway charging and battery swapping total. Starting from February 18 (the second day of the Chinese New Year), NIO battery swapping set new single-day service records for five consecutive days. XPeng Motors delivered a total of 15,256 new vehicles in February, bringing cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 to 35,267 units, down 42% YoY. In February, the all-new XPeng G6 launched in the UK, with the entire lineup equipped as standard with an 800V high-voltage platform and a new-generation LFP battery, while introducing an all-wheel-drive performance black edition for the first time. The XPeng G6 has now been exported to more than 40 countries and regions worldwide, covering Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, and Latin America, and continues to win favour among an increasing number of overseas consumers. As for Xiaomi Auto, its deliveries exceeded 20,000 units in February, while January deliveries exceeded 39,000 units, bringing cumulative deliveries in the first two months of 2026 to 59,000 units. Notably, the Xiaomi YU7 continued to rank first in sales in February and has now held the top spot for six consecutive months. In February 2026, Xiaomi YU7 sales reached 20,196 units, ranking among the top three passenger vehicle models nationwide for the month. As for BYD, China's "EV king," February sales reached 190,190 units, retaining its position as China's NEV sales champion. In January-February 2026, BYD Group's cumulative sales reached 400,241 units, while cumulative overseas sales of passenger vehicles and pickups totaled 200,160 units, and cumulative new energy vehicle sales exceeded 15.5 million units. On March 5, BYD unveiled the second-generation blade battery. Wang Chuanfu, Chairman of BYD Group, said that the second-generation blade battery can charge from 10% to 70% in 5 minutes, and from 10% to 97% in just 9 minutes. The second-generation blade battery offers 5% higher battery energy density than the first-generation blade battery. Car models equipped with the second-generation blade battery include the Yangwang U7, Denza N9, Fangchengbao Tai 3, Seal 07, Datang, Sea Lion 06, Song Ultra, Fangchengbao Tai 7, Denza Z9GT, and Yangwang U8L, among which the Denza Z9GT has a driving range of 1,036 km. Regarding auto industry sales in February 2026, Cailian Press quoted an executive at a new carmaker as saying, "Affected by the longest-ever nine-day Chinese New Year holiday in February, the auto industry's effective production and sales period was significantly shortened, making it a typical off-season for auto consumption. Combined with the phased reduction in the vehicle purchase tax incentive, the auto industry as a whole remained subdued and full of challenges.” Looking ahead to the passenger vehicle market in March, the CPCA said that March this year had 22 working days, one more than the 21 working days in March 2025. As industries across the board rapidly returned to normal operations after the Chinese New Year holiday, production and sales growth in March is expected to rise sharply MoM. The post-Chinese New Year period is an important window for new product launches, and many producers rolled out a large number of new vehicles. Driven by national pro-consumption policies, many provinces and cities introduced corresponding measures to stimulate consumption, while the full resumption of offline activities such as auto shows will also accelerate the return of foot traffic. As prices of lithium carbonate, copper, and other materials have remained high recently, coupled with the continued anti-involution trend, producers are expected to launch relatively few new energy car models offering better-than-expected value for money, leaving limited potential for an explosive rebound in auto consumption. Although the recent Middle East crisis caused some transportation disruptions, China’s complete vehicle enterprises shifted from “chartering vessels and waiting for shipping space” to “building ships and controlling transport,” with rapid expansion of their own fleets, greater autonomy and control over shipping capacity, and significant optimization in cost and efficiency. Our sales support capabilities are stronger than those of other international automakers, and if the crisis does not last long, export transportation will not be significantly affected. As the national trade-in policy is fully implemented, the consumer potential for replacement and upgrade purchases will be gradually released, helping the auto market strengthen steadily in March. In 2026, policy subsidies and structural optimization in the auto industry will become key factors in leveraging overall market prosperity and accelerating the premiumization of new energy vehicles. Although the 2026 consumer goods trade-in subsidy fund of 250 billion yuan was down 50 billion yuan from 2025, the 100 billion yuan in special fiscal and financial coordinated funding to boost domestic demand can reduce financing costs for residents’ car purchases and automakers through loan interest subsidies and financing guarantees, effectively stimulating endogenous consumption momentum and expanding new room for domestic demand. Huachuang Securities pointed out that since March, the passenger vehicle retail market has begun to improve, with foot traffic and transactions gradually recovering, mainly due to the digestion of deferred wait-and-see demand from last year and the launch of new models. Attention should be paid to market acceptance of new vehicles after price increases and to dynamic adjustments by automakers. Although the subsidy amount per vehicle declined this year, coverage may expand. Combined with the low base in H2 last year, industry retail sales growth in H2 is expected to turn positive, with full-year retail growth expected at 1%, including +5% for EVs. Export data for January-February exceeded expectations, and full-year exports are expected to surpass 7.1 million units, boosting wholesale growth by about 3%, including +8% for EVs. In February, due to weaker demand during the Chinese New Year, the new energy penetration rate remained firm at 48%. Current total channel inventory is about 3.4 million units, an increase of about 600,000 units compared to the same period last year. Rising Prices of Memory Chips and Precious Metals, Some Automakers Warn of Cost Pressure It is worth noting that as memory chip and precious metal prices have fluctuated upward recently, some automakers in the market have begun trying to respond to supply chain cost pressure through “price increases.”Monitoring data from TrendForce showed that since H2 2025, prices of DDR4 memory used in automotive-grade DRAM have risen by more than 150% cumulatively, while DDR5 memory prices have surged by 300%. Data provided by UBS showed that over the past three months, automotive-grade DRAM prices as a whole increased by 180%. According to incomplete statistics, since the start of 2026, multiple automakers, including NIO, Li Auto, VOYAH, Xiaomi, and Zeekr, have issued warnings or been reported to be facing cost challenges brought by chip price increases. In a livestream, Deepal Chairman Deng Chenghao said that current production costs have risen by several thousand yuan compared with earlier levels, with the pressure mainly coming from wild swings in power battery and in-vehicle memory chip prices; Li Auto Vice President of Supply Chain Meng Qingpeng even warned that the supply fulfillment rate for automotive memory chips in 2026 may be less than 50%; Xiaomi Chairman Lei Jun mentioned in a livestream in January that the new Xiaomi SU7 is facing memory cost pressure that is jumping quarter by quarter, with memory cost per vehicle expected to increase by several thousand yuan. However, according to the latest news from NIO on March 11, NIO founder and chairman Li Bin said that rising prices of memory and other raw materials have impacted the cost of high-end new energy car models by 3,000 to 5,000 yuan respectively, with the total impact nearing 10,000 yuan. At present, NIO’s existing system can support the pressure brought by rising costs, and the company currently has no plan to adjust prices. At the Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings call, Li Auto President Ma Donghui said that in response to the impact brought by the current increase in parts prices, Li Auto will strengthen coordination with supply partners and sign long-term LTA agreements with relevant suppliers to lock in prices or allocations in advance. If there is a price adjustment mechanism, it will be strictly implemented in accordance with the contract; where there is no price adjustment mechanism, the company will also share costs with suppliers. It will absorb as much of the pressure from external price increases internally as possible, including through its self-developed range extender and self-developed chips. “Li Auto will comprehensively consider parts costs and user value in determining the pricing of new car models, and is confident that through a series of measures it can keep the impact of raw materials within a reasonable range,” Ma Donghui said. UBS warned that chip shortages may begin disrupting global auto production as early as Q2 this year, with EV manufacturers that are highly dependent on advanced chips expected to be affected the most.

On March 10, 2026, Lynas and Japan’s JARE signed a long-term deal featuring PrNd floor prices, profit-sharing, and heavy rare earth priority. Analyzing 2025 production data, this report evaluates the partnership’s commercial terms, operational progress, and downstream demand security.

We all know the relationship between Gold and US Dollars in the financial markets. When the USD rises, gold tends to fall and vice versa. It sounds simple to you, right? But understanding why this happens, and how to actually trade it like a pro trader, takes more than knowing that the pattern exists.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Module Prices Have Softened Somewhat, While Polysilicon Prices Remain Temporarily Stable] Recently, transaction prices for modules in China have softened somewhat. As demand outside China declines and domestic projects are at the point of being about to start, module enterprises have shown differing attitudes in their quotations. Some enterprises have begun offering concessions in advance to take orders, and distributors have also recently started shipments at low prices, thereby leading to a decline in the market transaction price center. At present, quoted prices for distributed Topcon183, 210R, and 210N high-efficiency modules are 0.752 Yuan/W, 0.767 Yuan/W, and 0.77 Yuan/W, respectively, while quoted prices for centralized Topcon182/183 and 210N high-efficiency modules are 0.727 Yuan/W and 0747 Yuan/W, respectively.

[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary: Geopolitical Premiums Persist, Aluminum Prices Remained Fluctuating at Highs] Against the backdrop of continued tightening LME liquidity, LME aluminum still had upward momentum, with strong support from prices outside China, and was expected to maintain a backwardation structure in the short term. China, meanwhile, was in a phase of high inventory plus weak spot fundamentals, with upward momentum clearly weaker than outside China. Amid divergent domestic and external drivers, the SHFE/LME price ratio was expected to continue weakening, and aluminum prices were expected to remain fluctuating at highs in the short term.

This week (March 6–12), the operating rate of SMM copper wire and cable enterprises was 66.59, up 5.69 points MoM and down 10.62 points YoY. The operating rate steadily rebounded this week, mainly due to a slight correction in copper prices that drove order release, coupled with support from concentrated power grid deliveries, though the current pace of order recovery remained weaker than in the same period last year. By sector, orders from the power segment continued to support enterprise production schedules, orders from the new energy segment also improved, while construction project orders remained weak, dragging on overall operating rates. Inventory side, the correction in copper prices drove enterprises to restock for rigid demand, but as enterprises maintained production schedules, days of raw material inventories fell 0.31 days MoM this week; for finished product inventories, the correction in copper prices boosted downstream consumption, but high copper prices still restrained end-user purchase willingness, so days of finished product inventories fell 0.41 days MoM. Looking ahead to next week, current orders on hand from the power and new energy sectors will continue to provide the main support for production scheduling. SMM expects the operating rate of copper wire and cable next week (March 13–19) to increase 3.45 points MoM to 70.04, down 4.49 points YoY.

[SMM Platinum and Palladium Weekly Review] This week (March 9–March 13), the most-traded platinum futures contract PT2606 opened at 534 yuan/gram and closed at 541.6 yuan/gram, down 15.7 yuan/gram WoW from last week’s settlement price, a decline of 2.82%. The weekly highest price was 577.85 yuan/gram, and the weekly lowest price was 522.6 yuan/gram; the most-traded palladium futures contract PD2606 opened at 408.75 yuan/gram and closed at 408.1 yuan/gram, down 13.8 yuan/gram WoW from last week’s settlement price, down 3.27% WoW from last week’s settlement price. The weekly highest price was 430 yuan/gram, and the weekly lowest price was 397 yuan/gram. Futures trading: The most-traded platinum futures contract PT2606 recorded total trading volume of 31,227 lots during the week, with total turnover of 17.368 billion yuan and open interest of 19,989 lots; open interest decreased by 1,894 lots WoW. The most-traded palladium futures contract PD2606 recorded total trading volume of 11,077 lots during the week, with total turnover of 4.616 billion yuan and open interest of 7,612 lots; open interest increased by 11 lots WoW. At present, the US–Iran conflict remained dominated by political expectations, while the reality on the ground was still unresolved. On the political-expectations front, Trump frequently released marginal de-escalation signals to curb oil prices, saying the Iran issue was only a short-term military operation and expressing willingness to engage in dialogue with Iran; the TACO trade pulled oil prices back to around 90. On the reality front, Mojtaba, son of Khamenei, formally succeeded to power, and Iran entered the “Era of Avengers,” beginning to threaten the Strait of Hormuz; its foreign minister said the new leadership would refuse to negotiate with Trump. If the US–Iran conflict continues to escalate, it will push up oil prices and trigger concerns over imported inflation in the US, thereby delaying the Fed’s progress on interest rate cuts. On tariffs, after reciprocal tariff was overturned by the Supreme Court, the Trump administration will seek a more solid legal basis to rebuild the tariff framework. The risk of re-inflation remained relatively high, and disputes over new tax rates and tax rebates lifted policy uncertainty to some extent. In the short term, Trump filled the tariff-rate vacuum through the 122 temporary tariff; in the medium and long-term, he may maintain a high-tariff framework via 232 and 301. In addition, the massive tax rebate pressure brought about after reciprocal tariff was ruled illegal will further increase the US fiscal burden, thereby reinforcing the logic of a weaker US dollar and providing support to precious metals overall. Supply side, NERSA announced it had formally approved Eskom’s electricity price adjustment plan for the next two years: electricity prices will be raised by 8.76% in April this year and raised again by 8.83% in April 2027. As South Africa’s PGM mining is highly dependent on electricity, rising electricity prices will continue to lift the cost center for platinum and palladium. The US Department of Commerce issued an announcement, making an affirmative preliminary anti-dumping determination on unwrought palladium imported from Russia, preliminarily determining the dumping margin for all Russian exporters/producers at 132.83%. In terms of valuation, watch changes in the US dollar index, which involve the relative strength of currencies such as the euro and the yen. Pay attention to details on the new administrator announced by the LME. Pay attention to the March 19 FOMC meeting, changes in economic data, and the impact of Wosh’s remarks on monetary policy expectations. The precious metals sector mainly benefited from the policy and political-environment tug-of-war during the US Fed’s midterm-election time window. From a medium- and long-term perspective, the foundation for a bull market in platinum and palladium remained intact. In the short term, be alert to the risk of a phased adjustment driven by a delay in expectations for an interest rate cut; pullbacks should be viewed as medium- and long-term opportunities to add long positions. Amid high fluctuations in platinum and palladium, pay attention to position sizing. As domestic and overseas markets are not continuous, the opening price of platinum and palladium often references the overseas night session; investors should monitor trading prices in international markets and be wary of opening gaps. Spot market, this week most traders holding cargo actively quoted prices. Some traders reported that supply was currently relatively ample while the market was relatively sluggish. Most downstream clients had sufficient inventory and mainly stayed on the sidelines, with only some downstream buyers making small, negotiated purchases to meet order demand. Along with continued cooling in investment demand, transactions were relatively difficult and price involution was severe. Overall, spot market trading this week was generally subdued.

[Magnesium Alloys Lead New Quality Productive Forces, Hydrogen Storage Goes Global + Vehicle Weight Reduction Reaches New Peaks] China’s magnesium alloy sector achieved two major breakthroughs, demonstrating the strong capabilities of indigenous innovation. On the one hand, a large-scale magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage device equipped with proprietary technology was successfully loaded at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Port and shipped to Malaysia, addressing longstanding pain points in traditional hydrogen storage and transportation and filling a gap in international maritime transport technology. On the other hand, the semi-solid injection-molded magnesium alloy seat frame assembly of FAW Hongqi was successfully installed, marking a key upgrade in vehicle lightweighting, with significant weight reduction achieved for each assembly. Spanning the two core fields of hydrogen storage and transportation and vehicle lightweighting, these achievements accelerated the scaled-up application of the magnesium alloy industry.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary] Silicon metal: Yesterday, SMM east China oxygen-blown #553 silicon was at 9,100-9,300 yuan/mt, and #441 silicon was at 9,300-9,600 yuan/mt, down 50 yuan/mt from the previous day. Yesterday, the futures market fluctuated rangebound near 8,600 yuan/mt and closed at 8,625 yuan/mt late in the session, down 45 yuan/mt from the previous close. Market and macro sentiment caused large fluctuations in futures prices, while downstream inquiries were subdued and transactions were mainly concluded for rigid demand orders. Silicon metal prices faced resistance on the upside and were supported by costs on the downside. Polysilicon: N-type recharging polysilicon was quoted at 44.7-53 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices have fallen sharply recently, mainly affected by wafer price cuts and market sentiment. At present, some manufacturers continued to lower polysilicon prices, and some small-volume orders were concluded at relatively low market prices. Market sentiment remained bearish.