SMM February 12: Today, spot prices of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong against the front-month contract were at a discount of 100 yuan/mt to a premium of 20 yuan/mt, with the average discount at 40 yuan/mt, an increase of 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. SX-EW copper was quoted at a discount of 180 yuan/mt to a discount of 140 yuan/mt, with the average discount at 160 yuan/mt, up 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 102,005 yuan/mt, rising 830 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the average price of SX-EW copper was 101,885 yuan/mt, up 780 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Inventory in Guangdong ended three consecutive days of increases and declined again, mainly due to increased shipments. As truck fleets also entered the holiday period, many downstream users made restocking purchases yesterday, but few continued to restock today. Moreover, suppliers, seeing no hope for transactions, did not further reduce prices but actively held prices firm, leading to a slight increase in premiums. Today, procurement sentiment for copper cathode in Guangdong was 1.87, down 0.17 from the previous trading day, while shipment sentiment was 3.01, down 0.2 from the previous trading day (historical data can be queried in the database). As of 11:00, high-quality copper against the front-month contract was quoted at a premium of 20 yuan/mt, standard-quality copper at a discount of 100 yuan/mt, and SX-EW copper at a discount of 160 yuan/mt. Overall, downstream users basically completed restocking, but suppliers still held prices firm for shipments, resulting in sluggish overall trading.

In mid-February 2026, the CAAM and the China Power Battery Industry Innovation Alliance successively released data related to the automotive and power battery markets for January 2026. According to analysis by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, in January 2026, the automotive industry overall operated steadily, the passenger vehicle market experienced some decline, the commercial vehicle market continued its positive trend, the new energy vehicle market operated smoothly, and auto exports maintained growth.......SMM compiled relevant data for the automotive market and power battery market in January 2026 for readers' reference. Automotive Sector CAAM: Auto Production and Sales Both Exceeded 2 Million Units in January 2026, Production Edged Up YoY In January, auto production and sales reached 2.45 million and 2.346 million units respectively, with production up 0.01% YoY , while sales fell 3.2% YoY, and dropped 25.7% and 28.3% MoM respectively. CAAM: China's NEV Production and Sales Reached 1.041 Million and 945,000 Units Respectively in January 2026, Up 2.5% and 0.1% YoY In January, NEV production and sales reached 1.041 million and 945,000 units respectively, increasing 2.5% and 0.1% YoY respectively , with NEV new car sales accounting for 40.3% of total new car sales. CAAM: Auto Exports Continued Growth in January, NEV Exports Saw Rapid Growth In January, auto exports reached 681,000 units, up 44.9% YoY , but down 9.5% MoM . NEV exports were 302,000 units, doubling YoY and rising 0.5% MoM ; traditional fuel vehicle exports were 380,000 units, up 18.8% YoY , but falling 16.1% MoM. Regarding the January auto market, CAAM stated that the automotive industry overall operated steadily, the passenger vehicle market saw some decline, the commercial vehicle market continued its positive trend, the NEV market operated smoothly, and auto exports maintained growth. The main factors contributing to the market decline were: first, the transition adjustment of the NEV purchase tax policy; second, many local car purchase subsidy policies were at the annual transition period; third, some consumer demand was released in advance during 2025. In the first month of 2026, the state intensively introduced a series of policies benefiting people and enterprises to support people's livelihoods and economic development. Among these, the "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins" policy transitioned smoothly and orderly, with various regions successively following up and releasing implementation rules; the "Work Plan for Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points in Service Consumption" focused on key areas such as the automotive aftermarket service to stimulate market vitality. With the refinement and implementation of relevant policies, it is expected to help stabilize and rebound market demand, supporting the stable operation of the industry. According to CAAM, the 15th Five-Year Plan period is a critical window for China's automotive industry to transition towards high-quality development, requiring the industry to focus on improving quality and efficiency while maintaining stable market operations. In terms of power batteries, China's cumulative sales of power and ESS batteries in January reached 148.8 GWh, up 85.1% YoY In January, China's sales of power and ESS batteries totaled 148.8 GWh, down 25.4% MoM , but up 85.1% YoY . Among these, power battery sales were 102.7 GWh, accounting for 69.0% of total sales, down 28.6% MoM but up 63.2% YoY; ESS battery sales were 46.1 GWh, accounting for 31.0% of total sales, down 17.0% MoM but up 164.0% YoY. In January, China's combined exports of power and ESS batteries reached 24.1 GWh, down 26.0% MoM but up 38.3% YoY , accounting for 16.2% of that month's sales. Among these, power battery exports were 17.7 GWh, accounting for 73.3% of total exports, down 7.1% MoM but up 59.3% YoY; ESS battery exports were 6.4 GWh, accounting for 26.7% of total exports, down 52.6% MoM but up 1.4% YoY. In January, domestic power battery installations totaled 42.0 GWh, up 8.4% YoY In January, domestic power battery installations reached 42.0 GWh, down 57.2% MoM , but up 8.4% YoY . Among these, ternary battery installations were 9.4 GWh, accounting for 22.3% of total installations, down 48.6% MoM but up 9.6% YoY; LFP battery installations were 32.7 GWh, accounting for 77.7% of total installations, down 59.1% MoM but up 8.1% YoY. New automakers showed divergent YoY growth performances in January, with Leap Motor continuing to "lead the pack," while Xiaomi Auto delivered over 39,000 units in its first month According to statistics compiled by a CLS reporter on the January sales of 15 A/H-share listed automakers, nine companies achieved YoY growth, accounting for 60% of the total. The increase in NEV sales and expansion into overseas markets were key drivers of overall growth for these automakers. SAIC sold 327,000 units in January, up 23.94% YoY, returning to the top sales position. The NEV segment continued to gain momentum, with SAIC selling 85,000 NEVs in January 2026, up 39.7% YoY, placing its sales volume in the industry's leading tier. As for Geely, which ranked second, its January sales reached 270,200 units, up 1.29% YoY and 14.08% MoM, making it the only automaker to achieve positive growth both year-on-year and month-on-month. Geely stated, "2026 is a major product year for Geely Auto. The company will launch 1-2 new products each quarter, covering multiple new hybrid car models and a new generation of methanol-hydrogen energy models, aiming to hit the full-year sales target of 3.45 million units." On the export front, Geely has set its 2026 export sales target at 640,000 units, representing a YoY increase of over 50%. In the new energy vehicle market for January, based on the delivery figures released by major automakers, deliveries MoM from December 2025 saw varying degrees of decline across companies. Among them, Leap Motor continued to lead in 2026, ranking first among new automakers with deliveries of 32,059 units, up 27.37% YoY but down 46.94% MoM. To stabilize the market, Leap Motor accelerated its channel development, recently adding 85 new stores. As of January 5, the total number of stores nationwide reached 1,068, ensuring more users can conveniently experience Leap Motor’s products and services. On February 2, Leap Motor launched new car purchase benefits for February, including a New Year cash discount of 11,000 yuan, a New Year friends reward offering up to 10,000 energy points, and a New Year financial benefit with up to 5 years of zero interest. Li Auto regained momentum in January, ranking just behind Leap Motor with 27,668 units delivered, down 7.55% YoY and 37.47% MoM. As of January 31, 2026, Li Auto’s cumulative historical deliveries reached 1,567,883 units. On February 5, Li Xiang, Chairman of Li Auto, stated on social media that the new Li L9 will be launched in 2026, describing it as “not just a car, but a pioneering work of embodied AI robots.” Caixin reporters learned that Li Auto has established an AI company structure, including teams for computing power and data, base models, software, and hardware, to build capabilities for creating “silicon-based humans.” As of January 31, 2026, Li Auto had 547 retail centers nationwide, covering 159 cities, along with 547 after-sales service and authorized service centers, covering 221 cities. The company has put into use 3,966 Li Auto supercharging stations across the country, equipped with 21,945 charging piles. NIO’s January deliveries totaled 27,182 units, up 96.08% YoY but down 43.53% MoM. On the afternoon of February 1, the 60,000th new ES8 was delivered in Guangzhou, taking 134 days to achieve this milestone. On the same day, the NIO brand launched an ultra-low-interest car purchase plan for the new ET5, ET5T, ES6, and EC6, while the Ledao brand introduced a similar plan for the Ledao L60 and L90, featuring a 7-year term with a 0.49% annualized fee rate, zero financial service fee, and zero penalty for early repayment. The Firefly brand also rolled out a 7-year ultra-low-interest car purchase plan, with locked orders receiving a special Year of the Horse New Year surprise gift pack. XPeng Motors delivered 20,011 new vehicles in January, down 34.07% YoY and 46.65% MoM. During the same month, the XPeng X9 continued its strong sales performance, with 4,219 units delivered, up 413.9% YoY. By the end of January, its cumulative deliveries reached 51,897 units, making it the fastest model among domestic new automakers' MPVs to exceed 50,000 units in deliveries. Also in January, the 2026 XPeng X9 all-electric version opened for reservations. As the "world's longest-range 5C all-electric large seven-seater," the new model aligns fully in product strength with the popular super range-extended version. From now until the new car's launch, a 2,000 yuan deposit can be used to offset 7,000 yuan of the car purchase price. Additionally, for Xiaomi Auto, official Weibo data showed that January deliveries exceeded 39,000 units, even surpassing Leap Motor, which had been leading among new automakers. On the same day, Xiaomi also announced related car purchase benefits for the Xiaomi SU7 and Xiaomi SU7 Ultra. The entire Xiaomi YU7 series is eligible for a "7-year low-interest" offer! A new low-monthly-payment option is available, with a down payment starting at 99,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as under 2,000 yuan. For orders placed before 24:00 on February 28, a "3-year zero-interest" option is also available, with a down payment starting at 74,900 yuan and monthly payments from 4,961 yuan. At the same time, customers can enjoy up to 66,000 yuan in limited-time car purchase benefits. Regarding store expansion progress, Xiaomi Auto stated that it added 9 new stores in January, bringing the total to 484 stores across 139 cities nationwide. In February, it plans to add 6 more stores, expected to cover two new cities: Jiangmen and Zhoukou. As of January 31, there were already 270 service outlets nationwide, covering 159 cities. As for BYD, the leading power battery manufacturer, its January sales reached 210,051 units, with cumulative new energy vehicle sales exceeding 15.3 million. BYD exported a total of 100,482 new energy vehicles in January. Notably, there is new progress in BYD's solid-state battery development. According to a Cailianshe reporter from BYD's investor relations department, BYD is exploring multiple routes in the solid-state battery field, with sulfide solid-state batteries as a key technical direction, achieving breakthroughs in battery lifespan and fast charging. Small-scale production is expected by 2027. In the sodium-ion battery sector, BYD is already in the development phase of the third-generation product technology platform and has developed sodium-ion battery products capable of 10,000 cycles. The mass production period will be determined based on actual market and client demand. Cui Dongshu, Secretary General of the Passenger Car Association, commented that, given the vehicle purchase tax exemption policy has just ended, only some provinces and cities have currently launched vehicle replacement and renewal subsidy policies; coupled with the fact that mid-January last year was the peak sales period before the Chinese New Year, the relatively weak auto retail performance in January was reasonable due to the timing shift of the Chinese New Year holiday. He predicted that subsequently, as local replacement subsidy details are gradually refined, subsidy application channels become smooth, and coupled with the gradual release of potential car purchase demand before the Spring Festival, the auto retail market is expected to gradually recover and improve. National and Local Policies Promoting Auto Consumption Mentioned in Early 2026; Over 20 Regions Launch New Trade-in and Car Purchase Subsidy Policies Entering 2026, with the phase-out of national subsidies, multi-pronged policies to promote consumption are being intensively rolled out from the national to local levels. According to incomplete statistics, over 20 provinces, cities, and autonomous regions, including Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Zhejiang, and Sichuan, have so far released details for activities such as automobile trade-ins, retirement and renewal, or car purchase subsidies. On December 31, 2025, the General Office of the Ministry of Commerce and seven other departments issued the "Detailed Implementation Rules for Automobile Trade-in Subsidies in 2026," which officially took effect on January 1, 2026. It mentioned that in 2026, a one-time subsidy will be provided to individual consumers who retire gasoline passenger cars registered before June 30, 2013, diesel or other fuel passenger cars registered before June 30, 2015, or new energy passenger cars registered before December 31, 2019, and purchase new energy passenger cars included in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's "Catalog of NEV Models Eligible for Vehicle Purchase Tax Reduction and Exemption" or fuel-powered passenger cars with a displacement of 2.0 liters or below. For retiring the aforementioned eligible old vehicles and purchasing a new energy passenger car, a subsidy equivalent to 12% of the new car's selling price (including tax, the same hereinafter) will be granted, with the subsidy amount (rounded up to the nearest whole yuan, the same hereinafter) capped at 20,000 yuan. For retiring the aforementioned eligible fuel-powered passenger car and purchasing a fuel-powered passenger car with a displacement of 2.0 liters or below, a subsidy equivalent to 10% of the new car's selling price will be granted, with the subsidy amount capped at 15,000 yuan. The Passenger Car Association analyzed that the key words for the 2026 trade-in policy are not "further increase" but "more sustainable, more balanced, and more manageable." Changing the subsidy amount to a percentage of the car price with an upper limit aims to use subsidies more balancedly, avoiding situations where subsidies are suspended later due to rapid depletion of funds early on. The algorithm adjustment will also have a certain impact on the automobile market structure: the stimulus for low-priced car models is significantly weakened, while models priced between 160,000 and 200,000 yuan can fully utilize the subsidy, which is more favorable for upgrade replacement purchases. Producers need to meet market demand with product strength and financial schemes, emphasizing "long-term value" such as driving range, intelligence, and refueling/charging experience, rather than being driven by one-time subsidies. The China Automobile Dealers Association also issued a statement indicating that the 2026 automotive trade-in policy would strengthen overall coordination and promote the efficient and direct allocation of subsidy funds. This aims to allow limited funds to benefit more consumers, particularly meeting the needs of essential demand groups. The scope of benefiting vehicle owners is expected to further expand, with support priorities more clearly focused on encouraging the retirement of old vehicles and the purchase of energy-efficient and new energy vehicles. Implementation will emphasize leveraging market mechanisms to make subsidies more aligned with actual needs. The application process is clear and convenient, with improved supervision and management mechanisms. Overall, the policy is expected to continuously stimulate consumer vitality, adding new momentum for the transformation, upgrading, and high-quality development of the automotive industry. Since the beginning of 2026, according to incomplete statistics, multiple provinces and cities including Shanghai, Beijing, Sichuan, and Shandong have successively released detailed rules for automotive trade-ins, continuously promoting local automotive consumption: [Shanghai 2026 Automotive Trade-In Policy Implemented, Maximum Subsidy of 20,000 Yuan] Shanghai's 2026 automotive trade-in policy has been implemented. The Shanghai Municipal Commission of Commerce and seven other departments jointly released the "Detailed Implementation Rules for Shanghai's 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy Policy," officially launching subsidy activities for vehicle retirement renewal and replacement renewal. Individual consumers can receive a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan. The policy has been in effect since January 1, 2026, with applications accepted until January 10, 2027. [Hubei 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy Rules Implemented, Maximum Subsidy of 20,000 Yuan] The Hubei Provincial Department of Commerce, together with the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, Department of Economy and Information Technology, and five other departments, officially issued the "Detailed Implementation Rules for Hubei's 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy." It specifies that special subsidies will be provided to individual consumers purchasing new energy and small-displacement fuel passenger vehicles through two main methods: retirement renewal and replacement renewal, with a maximum subsidy amount of 20,000 yuan. The policy officially took effect on January 1, 2026. [Xi'an 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy Rules Implemented, Up to 20,000 Yuan Subsidy for Retiring Old Vehicles for NEVs] Xi'an released the "Detailed Implementation Rules for Xi'an's 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy," clarifying that special subsidies will be provided to individual consumers purchasing new vehicles through two models: retirement renewal and replacement renewal. The policy covers the entire year, with subsidy applications accepted until January 10, 2027, further reducing citizens' car purchase costs and aiding the upgrade of the automotive consumer market. [Beijing 2026 Automotive Trade-In Subsidy Launched on February 9, Maximum Subsidy of 20,000 Yuan] The 2026 Beijing automotive trade-in subsidy policy has been officially announced. On February 6, reporters learned that Beijing officially released the "Beijing 2026 Automobile Trade-in Subsidy Implementation Plan," which is expected to launch two types of subsidies: "retirement and renewal" and "replacement and renewal." The application system will open at 10:00 on February 9. Eligible car purchase consumers can receive a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan. Among them, "retirement and renewal" refers to retiring an old vehicle and purchasing a new one. Consumers who purchase passenger NEVs can receive a subsidy of 12% of the new car's selling price, with a maximum subsidy amount of 20,000 yuan; those purchasing fuel-powered passenger vehicles with a displacement of 2.0 liters or below can receive a subsidy of 10% of the new car's selling price, with a maximum subsidy amount of 15,000 yuan. [Sichuan: Supports Automobile Replacement and Renewal, Maximum Subsidy of 15,000 Yuan] The Sichuan Provincial Development and Reform Commission and Department of Finance issued a notice on printing and distributing the "Sichuan Province 2026 Policies and Measures for Implementing Large-Scale Equipment Renewal and Consumer Goods Trade-in." The notice mentioned supporting automobile replacement and renewal. In 2026, individual consumers who sell passenger vehicles registered under their name and purchase new energy passenger vehicles included in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's "Catalog of NEV Models Eligible for Vehicle Purchase Tax Reduction and Exemption," or fuel-powered passenger vehicles with a displacement of 2.0 liters or below, will receive a one-time subsidy. For trading in for a new energy passenger vehicle meeting the above conditions, a subsidy of 8% of the new car's selling price will be provided, with a maximum subsidy amount of 15,000 yuan; for trading in for a fuel-powered passenger vehicle meeting the above conditions, a subsidy of 6% of the new car's selling price will be provided, with a maximum subsidy amount of 13,000 yuan. Cui Yan, Deputy Director of Guolian Minsheng Research Institute and Chief Automobile Analyst, stated that as various regions successively launch 2026 trade-in subsidies, coupled with the gradual launch of new car models after the Chinese New Year and before auto shows, auto sales are expected to stabilize and rebound. Regarding January's auto market sales, she mentioned that overall end-use demand for automobiles in January was relatively mediocre, primarily due to local subsidies on the policy side not yet being officially launched, and on the supply side, fewer new models being introduced by automakers. "Currently, these two factors have improved. Since mid-to-late January, local governments have successively launched trade-in subsidies; supply side, after the Chinese New Year and before auto shows, automakers will gradually launch new cars or begin pre-launch warm-up activities for new models." It is expected that automobile demand after the Chinese New Year is likely to stabilize and rebound. According to CCTV News, in 2026, the Ministry of Commerce, together with various regions and relevant departments, will further promote consumer goods trade-in work, focusing on areas like automobiles to further optimize policy implementation and continuously release consumption potential. According to big data from the Ministry of Commerce, as of February 5, 2026, 335,000 applications had been submitted for automobile trade-in subsidies, driving new vehicle sales of 53.77 billion yuan. This has effectively promoted the development of the automotive market and resource recycling, facilitating industrial quality improvement, upgrading, and green transformation. In January, the average price of new vehicles participating in the trade-in program exceeded 160,000 yuan, significantly higher than the previous year. Nationwide, 659,000 end-of-life vehicles were recycled, up 50.2% YoY. On February 9, the Ministry of Commerce held a symposium with automakers to discuss matters related to automobile distribution and consumption. Representatives from relevant automotive industry associations, research institutions, and enterprises attended the meeting. Vice Minister Sheng Qiuping was present and engaged in exchanges. Sheng Qiuping pointed out that China's ultra-large market has a solid foundation, the automotive consumption chain is long with great potential, and the sequential implementation of policies provides stable support, making it highly promising to expand automobile consumption across the entire chain. In 2026, the Ministry of Commerce will work with relevant departments to simultaneously pursue policy support and reform innovation, integrate the efforts of existing measures and incremental policies, optimize the implementation of automobile trade-ins, carry out pilot reforms in automobile distribution and consumption, improve industry management systems, and take multiple measures to promote the expansion and quality enhancement of automobile consumption. On February 12, as the Chinese New Year approached, the General Office of the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Notice on Effectively Implementing the Trade-in Program for Consumer Goods During the 2026 Chinese New Year Holiday." It mentioned that all regions should strengthen funding guarantees for trade-in subsidies on consumer goods during the Spring Festival, leverage the advantages of different channels, ensure policy implementation, and better meet consumer demand. In line with Spring Festival customs and to enhance the festive atmosphere, consumers are encouraged to go out for shopping. During the 9-day Chinese New Year holiday in 2026 (February 15–23), consumers will be fully supported to apply for subsidies on home appliance trade-ins, as well as purchases of new digital and smart products through offline channels. Consumers who purchase new vehicles during the 9-day holiday can apply for automobile trade-in subsidies in accordance with policy requirements.

Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,965/mt, fluctuating downward during the Asian session; it dipped to $1,948.5/mt upon entering the European session, but then rose due to a weakening US dollar index, touching a high of $1,976.5/mt before finally settling at $1,974.5/mt. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2603 contract opened at 16,665 yuan/mt, briefly touched a low of 16,560 yuan/mt early in the session, then rebounded as bears reduced positions, reaching a high of 16,680 yuan/mt before finally settling at 16,665 yuan/mt, up 0.48%, forming a doji star. On the macro front: As markets awaited a series of US economic data, a weaker US dollar made dollar-denominated commodities more attractive to overseas buyers; spot gold extended gains. The White House's Hassett predicted worsening employment: AI boosts productivity, reduces labor demand. Alphabet planned to raise about $15 billion by issuing US dollar bonds. China's Ministry of Commerce held a symposium with automakers: Multiple measures to promote the expansion and quality improvement of auto consumption. The Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Stock Exchanges announced a package of measures to optimize refinancing. Seven departments including the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security provided administrative guidance on employment to leading platform companies and courier firms. Three departments including the Ministry of Finance issued an announcement on tax incentives for re-exported cross-border e-commerce goods. : SHFE lead stopped falling and stabilized, but as the Chinese New Year holiday approached, logistics vehicles halted in some regions, leading to reduced shipments and quotations from suppliers. Only some cargoes self-picked up from primary lead smelters were quoted at premiums of 0-50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price ex-works. In the secondary lead sector, more smelters were on holiday and reluctant to sell at low prices, with most enterprises suspending quotations; a few secondary refined lead offers were at discounts of 25 yuan/mt to premiums of 50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price ex-works. Downstream enterprises generally entered the year-end wrap-up phase, with minimal inquiries, resulting in thin trading in the spot market. Inventory: On February 9, LME lead inventory decreased by 100 mt to 232,750 mt. As of February 9, SMM lead ingot social inventory across five regions rose to a five-month high. Today's lead price forecast: With previously in-transit lead ingots by rail concentratedly arriving at warehouses, social inventory of lead ingots increased significantly, mainly reflected in Jiangsu and Zhejiang region warehouses. Last week, lead prices fell, prompting lead-acid battery enterprises to conduct relatively concentrated stockpiling of lead ingots, leading to a noticeable decline in lead smelters' in-factory inventory. This week being the last before the Chinese New Year, the final batch of lead-acid battery enterprises will enter the holiday state, further weakening lead consumption. Meanwhile, with the start of the Spring Festival travel season, migrant workers have returned to their hometowns, and the number of vehicles in operation has gradually decreased. Currently, some regions no longer support road transportation. It is expected that the growth momentum of social inventory for lead ingots will slow down, and the inventory buildup of lead ingots is anticipated to be more reflected in the smelters' plant inventories. Overall, lead prices are in the doldrums ahead of the holiday. Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, other data are processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making advice.

SMM February 12: Overnight, LME lead opened low at $1,974.5/mt, fluctuating upward during the Asian session; it then climbed to a high of $1,996/mt during the European session, ultimately closing at $1,994.5/mt, up 0.86%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2603 contract opened at 16,800 yuan/mt, briefly touching a high of 16,805 yuan/mt at the start of the session. It weakened and fell to a low of 16,700 yuan/mt due to a decline in both supply and demand fundamentals, ultimately closing at 16,725 yuan/mt, down 0.09%. As the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, spot quotations continue to decrease. Downstream battery producers have largely entered the holiday period, resulting in weak purchase willingness for lead ingots. Supply and demand in the spot market have both declined. Some producers are offering pre-sale quotations for post-holiday cargo pick-up, but spot order transactions are thin. Downstream battery producers are expected to resume operations around late February to early March. Post-holiday attention will focus on lead ingot inventory buildup and the impact of secondary lead national standard delivery matters on lead price sentiment. Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, other data are processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model, and are for reference only, not constituting decision-making advice.

[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes: Overall Warm Macro Front Contends with Inventory Buildup Reality, Aluminum Prices Under Pressure and Fluctuating in the Short Term] In summary, aluminum prices are expected to continue their fluctuating trend under pressure in the short term, constrained above by the reality of inventory buildup and supported below by macro expectations. They are anticipated to remain in the doldrums with limited room for a rebound.

[Market Activity Remains Low, Post-Holiday GO Silicon Steel Prices Expected to Remain in the Doldrums] Futures side, HRC futures fluctuated downward this week, exerting some downward pressure on the cost side of silicon steel, with some traders adopting a cautious wait-and-see approach. Demand side, affected by the approaching Chinese New Year holiday, downstream enterprises gradually suspended operations for the holiday, leading to a significant contraction in procurement demand. Market transactions were largely stagnant in the latter part of the week, with only minimal just-in-time procurement sustaining market activity.

Utah paid $30 million for a bankrupt magnesium plant—but not the $100 million cleanup. Its toxic legacy seeps toward the Great Salt Lake, unpaid. Across the Atlantic, Austria’s LKR cracked magnesium’s code: alloy ZAX210 now shapes into wire for medical implants and 3D printing. Two faces of the same metal: one buried in liability, the other alight with possibility.

Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened low at $1,974.5/mt, fluctuated upward during the Asian session; climbed to a high of $1,996/mt during the European session, and finally closed at $1,994.5/mt, up 0.86%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2603 contract opened at 16,800 yuan/mt, touched a high of 16,805 yuan/mt early in the session, then weakened and probed lower to 16,700 yuan/mt due to the dual decline in fundamental supply and demand, finally closing at 16,725 yuan/mt, down 0.09%. On the macro front: US January seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000, significantly exceeding market expectations and marking the largest increase since April 2025; the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.3%, hitting a new low since August 2025; following the non-farm data release, traders lowered expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts. The Central Bank of Kenya joined African gold accumulation efforts, planning gold purchases to strengthen buffer capacity. Indonesia plans to cut production at the world's largest nickel mine by 70%. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council is promoting central state-owned enterprises to actively expand effective investment in computing power. Ministry of Commerce: The prize pool for the lottery invoice event during the 9-day Chinese New Year holiday will exceed 1 billion yuan. : The Chinese New Year atmosphere is strong in the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai market, most suppliers have suspended quotations, only a few can offer primary lead cargoes self-picked up from production site, but currently vehicles are scarce, except for a very few ultra-short distances that can barely manage delivery, the vast majority of lead ingots require pick-up after the holiday. Secondary lead spot order prices are sporadic, enterprise transaction willingness is weak, most enterprises have entered the holiday and suspended shipments and quotations. Simultaneously, most downstream enterprises have entered the holiday break, the final batch of lead-acid battery enterprises will also start their holiday this Saturday, downstream inquiries are minimal, and trading in the spot market is light on both sides. Inventory: On February 11, LME lead inventory increased by 200 mt to 232,950 mt. As of February 9, the SMM lead ingot five-region social inventory increased to a five-month high. Today's Lead Price Forecast: Approaching the Chinese New Year holiday, spot quotations continue to decrease, downstream battery enterprises have largely entered the holiday, and lead ingot purchase willingness is sluggish. Supply and demand both decline in the spot market, individual producers offer pre-sale post-holiday pick-up prices, spot order transactions are thin. Downstream battery producers are expected to resume production by late February to early March; post-holiday focus will be on lead ingot inventory buildup and the impact of secondary lead national standard delivery matters on lead price sentiment. Data Source Statement: Data other than public information is processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.

[Market Daily: Futures Rise but Market Structure Unchanged, High-Grade NPI Price Rises Slightly] February 11 (SMM) - The average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI was 1,043 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), up 2 yuan/mtu MoM from the previous working day.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: LME copper opened at $13,357/mt overnight, fluctuated upward initially and touched a high of $13,480/mt, then the center of copper prices gradually moved downward to a low of $13,115/mt, before rebounding to close at $13,239/mt, up 1.06%, with trading volume reaching 26,500 lots and open interest at 326,000 lots, an increase of 893 lots from the previous session, overall showing bulls increasing positions. The most-traded SHFE copper contract 2603 opened at 103,620 yuan/mt overnight, climbed to 103,730 yuan/mt at the beginning of the session, then experienced wide swings and touched a low of 101,840 yuan/mt, before fluctuating upward to close at 102,190 yuan/mt, up 0.26%, with trading volume at 69,800 lots and open interest at 152,000 lots, a decrease of 6,478 lots from the previous session, overall showing bears reducing positions.