The US Department of Commerce and the US International Trade Commission (USITC) have announced the full continuation of existing anti-dumping (AD) and countervailing duty (CVD) orders on prestressed concrete steel wire strand (PC strand) imported from Argentina, Colombia, Egypt, the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan. This extension follows a formal sunset review initiated on December 1, 2025, where the agencies determined that revoking the duties would directly lead to a recurrence of material injury to the domestic industry within a short-term timeframe. The existing duty rates, which include restrictive punitive customs margins varying by origin, will remain in force for an additional five-year period. The market impact outlines a prolonged protective environment for North American structural wire and long product manufacturers. By maintaining these strict trade friction barriers, the US continues to insulate its domestic construction supply chain from non-FTA competitive inflows, compelling global PC strand producers to redirect their surplus capacities to more accessible regional markets.

The UK Business Secretary is set to meet the EU Trade Commissioner in Brussels, raising concerns over the EU's plan to cut duty-free steel import quotas for non-EU countries by 47% from 2024 levels, effective July 1. The move threatens UK steel exports significantly. Meanwhile, the EU steel association has pushed back against the UK's own quota reductions, with products including hot-rolled coil, tinplate, and rebar at risk. Both sides are tightening steel trade protections in response to Chinese competition and global overcapacity, but the quota adjustments risk deepening bilateral trade friction.

SMM News, May 29: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals rose nearly across the board. SHFE copper was up 0.86%, SHFE aluminum up 0.19%, SHFE lead down 0.45%, SHFE zinc up 1.05%, SHFE tin up 1.31%, and SHFE nickel edged down. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures edged up, the most-traded alumina contract was up 1.08%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract up 0.9%, the most-traded silicon metal contract up 0.12%, and the most-traded polysilicon futures contract up 0.45%. Ferrous metals mostly rose. Iron ore was up 0.77%, rebar up 0.38%, hot-rolled coil up 0.47%, and stainless steel down 0.57%. Coking coal and coke: coking coal edged up, and the most-traded coke contract was up 0.42%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:41, LME metals fell nearly across the board. LME copper was down 0.41%, LME aluminum down 0.68%, LME lead down 0.12%, LME zinc up 0.18%, LME tin down 1.61%, and LME nickel down 0.52%. Precious metals, as of 11:41, COMEX gold was down 0.1% and COMEX silver down 0.26%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract was up 1.59% and the most-traded SHFE silver contract up 1.86%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures contract was up 0.89% and the most-traded palladium futures contract down 1.45%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight contract was up 0.62%, closing at 3,016 points. As of 11:41 on May 29, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot cargo and fundamentals Aluminum: On May 29, SMM A00 aluminum (Foshan) was quoted at 24,060, up 50, at a discount of 225 to the current-month contract, narrowing by 5. Futures edged up today, and spot cargo in South China was generally stable with slight fall. Absolute prices remained at relatively low levels and inventory saw significant drawdowns. In the morning, most holders continued to hold prices firm for shipments... Macro front China: [ CCPIT: Global Trade Friction Index Remained at High Level in March ] This morning (May 29), the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT) held a press conference to release the latest Global Trade Friction Index. Data showed that in March this year, the global trade friction index remained at a high level. Composite index, the global trade friction index stood at 104 in March 2026, remaining at a high level. The value of trade involved in global trade friction measures fell 29.1% YoY but rose 2.8% MoM. Country-specific indices, among the 20 countries (regions) monitored, the top 3 were the US, India, and the EU. The US accounted for the largest amount involved in global trade friction measures, ranking first in 11 out of the past 12 months. Wang Yifei, spokesperson of the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT), stated that in terms of industry indices, among the 13 major industries within the monitoring scope, trade friction measures were concentrated in the electronics, chemicals, transportation equipment, and machinery equipment industries, with the electronics industry ranking first in the trade friction index. (CCTV News) [PBOC Reverse Repo Operations Achieved a Net Withdrawal of 30 Billion Yuan for the Day and a Net Injection of 104.4 Billion Yuan for the Week] The PBOC conducted 123 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 153 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net withdrawal of 30 billion yuan was achieved for the day. This week, the PBOC conducted 908.9 billion yuan of reverse repo operations. As a total of 500 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 304.5 billion yuan of reverse repos matured this week, a net injection of 104.4 billion yuan was achieved for the week. (Jin10 Data APP) US Dollar: As of 11:41, the US dollar index rose 0.1% to 99.1. Fed's Musalem said on Thursday that, like several other Fed policymakers, he believed the "easing bias" language should have been removed from the post-meeting statement last month, thereby creating the possibility of an interest rate hike. "I supported the rate decision, but I believe the easing bias no longer aligns with the economic outlook and the balance of risks," Musalem said. Blerina Uruci, chief US economist at T. Rowe Price, said the market may still be underestimating the likelihood of further policy tightening by the US Fed. In her report, Uruci noted that since early May, the Iran conflict has lasted longer than expected, oil prices have risen, and US economic growth has remained resilient. While the US Fed can look through a temporary energy shock, sustained oil and import price pressures could affect inflation expectations, wage dynamics, and enterprise pricing behavior. Uruci shifted her base case to the federal funds rate remaining unchanged over the next 12 months. She assigned a 45% probability to rates staying unchanged, a 35% probability of an interest rate hike by year-end or early 2027, and a 20% probability of an interest rate cut. According to the CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through June was 99.4%, with a 0.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike. The probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through July was 93%, with a 6.9% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike. (Jin10 Data APP) A series of economic data confirmed market concerns about US inflation, while economic activity sent mixed signals. US durable goods orders rose 7.9% in April, easily surpassing the Wall Street Journal's market consensus expectations of 3.5%; however, this figure was largely driven by a surge in non-defense aircraft equipment orders. The second estimate of Q1 GDP growth was unexpectedly revised down from 2% to 1.6%. Weekly initial jobless claims rose more than expected, increasing from an upwardly revised 210,000 to 215,000, suggesting an acceleration in the pace of enterprise layoffs. PCE inflation accelerated as expected, rising from 3.5% to 3.8%. (Jin10 Data APP) Data: Today will see the release of France's preliminary May CPI m/m, France's final Q1 GDP y/y, Germany's seasonally adjusted May unemployment change, Germany's seasonally adjusted May unemployment rate, Germany's preliminary May CPI m/m, Canada's March GDP m/m, and the US May Chicago PMI, among other data. In addition, attention should be paid to: 2027 FOMC voter and Richmond Fed President Barkin participating in a fireside chat at a conference hosted by Johns Hopkins University Carey Business School; 2026 FOMC voter and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participating in an exchange event at Korea University; Bank of England Governor Bailey delivering a speech; 2028 FOMC voter and Kansas City Fed President Schmid delivering a speech; US Fed Governor Bowman delivering a speech; and 2026 FOMC voter and Philadelphia Fed President Paulsen delivering a speech on the economic outlook. Crude oil: As of 11:41, both benchmarks declined, with WTI down 1.26% and Brent down 0.85%. The market expected a possible US-Iran ceasefire extension agreement, putting oil prices under pressure. Meanwhile, the back-and-forth nature of bilateral agreement negotiations also led to heightened volatility in oil prices. The US and Iran are nearing a historic 60-day ceasefire and maritime corridor unblocking agreement, but contradictory statements from senior officials on both sides indicate that core disagreements over Iran's nuclear plan and control of the Strait of Hormuz persist, leaving significant uncertainty over whether a final deal can be reached. According to Xinhua News Agency, US officials stated that US-Iran negotiators had largely reached agreement on the terms of a memorandum of understanding on the 26th, pending approval from senior leadership on both sides. The Iranian side stated it had obtained the necessary approval and was ready to sign. US negotiators briefed Trump on the details of the memorandum of understanding. "The President told the mediators that he would like to take a few days to consider the matter." Meanwhile, according to CCTV News, the Iranian side stated that as of now, Iran has not agreed to any memorandum of understanding, nor has it confirmed to Pakistani mediators that it has approved the memorandum. In addition, Iran explicitly stated that it had not made any commitments on the nuclear issue during negotiations with the US. (Wallstreetcn) US Treasury Secretary Bessent: Oil prices will be lower than pre-conflict levels. Nearly 2,000 ships are waiting for port departures in the Gulf, and supply on the other end of the oil market will be very ample. (Jin10 Data APP) South Korean government officials said on the 28th that the South Korean government decided to ease mandatory oil reserve requirements for private enterprises starting from the 29th to release private oil reserves to the market. The country has not yet decided when to release national oil reserves, keeping them as a "last card" to deal with potential oil crises. Yang Ki-wook, an official from South Korea's Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, announced on the same day that starting from the 29th, the government will reduce the mandatory oil reserve requirement for private oil companies from 40 days to 20 days, releasing oil reserves equivalent to 20 days of consumption. He stated that this measure was to fulfill commitments made to the International Energy Agency. (Jin10 Data APP) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

[Easing China-U.S. Trade Tensions Combined with Ex-China Supply Gap — LME Outperforms SHFE in Aluminum Prices] The macro front received positive signals as China-U.S. trade negotiations yielded preliminary results. Both sides agreed to continue implementing prior tariff arrangements and to establish a Trade and Investment Council, which is expected to facilitate tariff reductions on certain products. The marginal easing of trade frictions is set to improve export expectations for aluminum semis and end-use products, providing bullish support for market sentiment. However, inventory at high levels in China remains the core factor suppressing significant price rallies. Coupled with weak spot market trading performance, this further limits the upside room for aluminum prices. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to continue the pattern of LME outperforming SHFE, fluctuating at highs.

05 May 2026 Silver has exhibited even greater volatility than gold in Q1 2026. Prices briefly surged to around $120/oz on 29 January, roughly four times higher than a year earlier, before dropping sharply to the mid-$60s within days, easing further to around $61/oz by mid-March. The metal continues to display a strong sensitivity to moves in gold, and we expect that relationship to remain the dominant driver of direction. Industrial demand At January’s price spike, the key concern was that elevated prices could begin to undermine industrial usage. Given that roughly half of total silver demand comes from industrial applications, this remains the most critical component of the market. With prices having moderated, the risk to demand has eased somewhat. Even so, after peaking in 2024, industrial demand softened in 2025 and may edge slightly lower again in 2026. A large part of this dynamic is tied to the solar sector. Installation activity was brought forward ahead of changes to China’s power pricing regime, which is likely to weigh on deployment this year. At the same time, manufacturers continue to reduce the amount of silver used per unit through efficiency gains and material substitution. Industry estimates suggest that these technological improvements have cut silver intensity meaningfully, meaning that even where installations grow, silver demand does not necessarily follow. Despite these headwinds, the long-term backdrop remains supportive. Solar remains one of the cheapest sources of electricity, and structural demand for power continues to rise globally. However, growth is not unconstrained with grid bottlenecks and permitting delays continue to limit the pace of expansion in many regions. Geopolitics may also play a role. The conflict involving Iran could accelerate efforts in Europe and Asia to diversify energy sources and reduce reliance on imported hydrocarbons. While renewable supply chains carry their own risks, these are largely front-loaded in the build phase. Once operational, renewable assets provide domestically generated energy, which enhances energy security. As such, while our base case is for softer solar-related silver demand, there is scope for upside if policy shifts accelerate deployment. Beyond solar, demand linked to data infrastructure, electrification of transport, and investment in power networks should remain supportive. In addition, usage tied to ethylene oxide catalysts is expected to recover following last year’s decline. Figure 1: Industrial silver demand Source: Metals Focus, WisdomTree. 2026. (F) = Forecasts. Forecasts are not an indicator of future performance, and any investments are subject to risks and uncertainties. Investor demand Investor flows were a major feature of 2025. Exchange-traded products (ETPs) saw strong inflows from March through year-end, broadly tracking the rise in prices and reaching one of the highest annual totals on record in volume terms. That trend has reversed in 2026. Outflows have been notable, with investors taking profits even before prices reached their peak in late January. The shift in positioning helps explain the sharp price correction. As participation broadened and leveraged exposure increased into early 2026, the market became more susceptible to rapid deleveraging. When geopolitical tensions escalated, many investors reduced risk and raised cash, leading to a wave of long position closures rather than the build-up of new bearish bets. Physical investment trends have been more mixed. Demand for coins and bars rose strongly in 2025, supported not only by traditional markets such as India, Germany, and Australia, but also by a pickup in East Asia and the Middle East. In these regions, higher gold prices appear to have encouraged substitution into silver. In contrast, US demand weakened significantly, falling to its lowest level in many years. More recently, volatility has dampened appetite across Western markets, with investors taking a more cautious approach during February and March. Figure 2: Silver in Exchange-traded products Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. September 2020 to April 2026. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value. Jewellery demand The sharp rise in prices through 2025 and early 2026 has weighed heavily on jewellery demand. Global fabrication fell by 8% in 2025, reflecting broad-based declines. India saw the most pronounced drop, as affordability pressures curtailed demand, while Europe was affected by weaker export activity linked to trade frictions. East Asia proved more resilient, with modest growth in China supported in part by substitution away from gold, and stronger export performance in Thailand. Looking ahead, continued price strength is likely to further suppress demand, while ongoing instability in the Middle East may also weigh on regional consumption. Recycling Higher prices encouraged an increase in recycling last year, with volumes reaching their highest level in over a decade. Gains were most evident in jewellery and silverware, where selling back into the market is more price sensitive. However, the response was not unlimited. Processing constraints within the refining system restricted the amount of material that could be brought back to market, particularly for higher-grade scrap. Industrial recycling moved in the opposite direction, declining due to weaker recovery rates from electronic waste. In 2026, recycling is expected to increase further, supported by a full year of elevated prices. Mine supply Global mine output rose by 3% in 2025, supported by stronger production in countries such as Peru and Russia. At the same time, production costs declined for a second consecutive year, boosting margins for primary silver producers. For 2026, supply is expected to remain broadly stable, with a marginal decline as gains in some regions are offset by weakness elsewhere, particularly in operations linked to lead and zinc mining. It is important to note that the majority of silver supply is produced as a secondary output from other metals, including gold, copper, lead, and zinc. As a result, silver supply is influenced not only by its own price but also by broader dynamics in base and precious metals markets. While higher prices and improved margins may incentivise increased activity, disruptions at both the mine and refining level, along with geopolitical complications, could limit supply growth in the near term. Market balance The silver market is expected to remain in deficit in 2026, with the shortfall broadly similar to that seen in 2025, though significantly smaller than in recent years. Weaker demand from industrial and jewellery segments has helped narrow the imbalance. At the same time, strong inflows into ETPs last year effectively absorbed available supply, tightening underlying conditions more than headline balances suggest. With investor demand likely to moderate this year, some of that pressure should ease, bringing the market closer to equilibrium. Figure 3: Silver market balance Source: Metals Focus, WisdomTree. 2025. (F) = Forecasts. Forecasts are not an indicator of future performance, and any investments are subject to risks and uncertainties. Price outlook We retain a positive outlook for gold and expect silver to move in the same direction. Even with softer demand across several segments, the strength of this relationship should provide support. Based on our modelling assumptions, and assuming gold rises by around 18% between Q1 2026 and Q1 2027, we estimate that silver could increase by roughly 24% over the same period. Much of this upside is driven by gold’s trajectory rather than silver-specific fundamentals. There are, however, constraints. Increased investment in mining capacity last year may translate into higher supply, limiting upside potential. In addition, while economic indicators such as PMIs 1 remain in expansionary territory, geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on the strength of the recovery. Figure 4: Forecast attribution Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg. Forecasts are not an indicator of future performance, and any investments are subject to risks and uncertainties. Conclusion Silver’s outlook is shaped less by its own fundamentals and more by its relationship with gold. Although weaker industrial and jewellery demand, along with more moderate investment flows, may create near-term headwinds, these factors are unlikely to outweigh the support provided by a favourable macro backdrop for precious metals. With the market still in deficit and structural demand drivers intact, silver remains well positioned to participate in further upside, albeit with continued volatility. Source： https://www.wisdomtree.eu/en-gb/blog/2026-05-05/silver-surfing-on-golds-coattails

During the 2026 Labour Day holiday (May 1–5), the Chinese SHFE market was closed, and LME copper exhibited a fluctuating trend of initial decline followed by recovery......