In January 2026, the European Union and India reached a historic Free Trade Agreement (FTA), with the elimination of steel tariffs of up to 22% becoming a major market focus. However, clearing the policy fog of "bilateral exemptions" and analyzing actual export and carbon emission data reveals that the steel industry faces a highly asymmetric trade reshaping. This seemingly fair reduction is actually Europe trading a "capped" ticket for India's "uncapped" massive incremental market.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Last Friday evening, LME copper opened at $13,474.5/mt, initially fluctuating rangebound and reaching $13,527/mt. Later, the center of copper prices gradually shifted downward, touching $13,290/mt near the end of the session, and finally closed at $13,296/mt, with a gain of 0.28%. Trading volume reached 25,300 lots, and open interest stood at 315,000 lots, down by 497 lots from the previous trading day, mainly due to bears reducing their positions. The most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 104,230 yuan/mt, quickly rising to 104,520 yuan/mt, then fluctuated downward, bottoming out at 103,100 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 103,280 yuan/mt, with a gain of 0.45%. Trading volume reached 77,700 lots, and open interest stood at 202,000 lots, down by 2,150 lots from the previous trading day, also characterized by bears reducing their positions.

Shenghe Resources (600392.SH) stated on the investor interaction platform that the Ngualla rare earth ore project in Tanzania, operated by its controlling subsidiary Peak Resources, has proven rare earth reserves of 18.5 million mt with an average grade of 4.8%, equivalent to 887,000 mt of REO. The company's rare earth smelting and separation capacity is subject to the approval and announcement by the competent industry authority, and its total rare earth metal capacity is approximately 34,000 mt.

Shenghe Resources (600392.SH) disclosed on the investor interaction platform that its majority-owned subsidiary Peak's Ngualla rare earth mine project in Tanzania has proven rare earth reserves of 18.5 million mt, with an average grade of 4.8%, translating to an REO content of 887,000 mt.

[Standard Lithium and Telescope Innovations Collaborate to Produce Next-Generation Solid-State Battery Materials] Standard Lithium Ltd. announced that, as part of its collaboration with Telescope Innovations, it has successfully produced battery-grade lithium sulfide. As previously mentioned, Standard Lithium has been working with its R&D partner, Telescope Innovations, to develop new and innovative conversion technologies for manufacturing next-generation battery materials. This new conversion process has now been successfully applied to convert lithium hydroxide, produced by Standard Lithium at its demonstration plant in southern Arkansas, into battery-grade lithium sulfide (Li(2)S). Samples of lithium sulfide have been shipped to solid-state battery companies in Asia and North America for ongoing testing and validation purposes. Lithium sulfide is a critical raw material required for many next-generation solid-state battery chemistries. However, despite its importance in next-generation battery technologies, lithium sulfide can only be produced commercially in very small quantities and at very high costs. The technological collaboration between the two teams has resulted in a novel, low-temperature, patented process with the following advantages: Raw material flexibility – Both lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate are viable raw materials; Impurity tolerance – Allows the use of technical-grade raw materials; Lower processing temperature (<100 °C) – Reduces equipment complexity and operating costs; and Enhanced manufacturing safety – Avoids high-temperature conditions and associated thermal risks. Source: juniorminingnetwork.com [Bolivian Court Suspends Sino-Russian Lithium Deal] It has been reported that Bolivia's plans to become a major lithium producer have hit a snag after a local court ordered the suspension of two major mining deals worth over $2 billion signed last year. These contracts were signed in 2023 and 2024 with China's CBC consortium (which includes battery manufacturer CATL) and Uranium One Group, a subsidiary of Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom, respectively. The deals were aimed at establishing direct lithium extraction (DLE) facilities at the Salar de Uyuni in southwestern Bolivia. This salt flat, which holds one of the world's largest lithium reserves, is part of a larger lithium triangle shared with Chile and Argentina. Last week, a mixed court in the village of Colcha K, located in the Potosí region, issued the suspension order following legal complaints from indigenous groups who argued that the projects violated their environmental rights and were allowed to proceed without formal consultation. Neither project has yet received legislative approval, but preliminary activities have already commenced on-site, which local groups claim were carried out without proper authorization or environmental assessments. Bolivia's state-owned lithium company, Yacimientos de Litio Bolivianos (YLB), holds a 51% stake in both enterprises. Omar Alarcon, the head of YLB, stated at a press conference last year that the proposed plant is expected to produce 35,000 mt of lithium carbonate annually. According to the Argentine newspaper Infobae , the court ruling will prohibit YLB and the Ministry of Hydrocarbons and Energy from taking any administrative or operational steps related to the contract until the judicial process is concluded. However, the Bolivian government insists that it has not yet officially received notification of the court ruling and maintains that the legislative process surrounding the contract will continue until official notification is received. Source: mining.com [Gabon Plans to Ban Manganese Ore Exports, Leading to a Decline in Eramet's Share Price] Eramet's shares plummeted on Monday after Gabon announced a ban on the export of unrefined manganese starting from 2029, which could disrupt the production of large-scale export-oriented steel raw materials by the French mining group in this West African country. The Gabon government announced the plan in a statement over the weekend, which comes as several African countries—including Guinea , with bauxite, Zimbabwe , with lithium, as well as Mali and Tanzania—are seeking to shift from raw material exports to local processing. Global demand for manganese, used in steel production and increasingly in EV batteries, has been growing. Eramet is the majority shareholder of Comilog, a Gabon-based manganese mining company whose Moanda mine is the largest in the world. In a statement, Eramet said it had taken note of the Gabon government's intention to ban the export of crude manganese starting from January 1, 2029, and would continue to cooperate with the authorities "in a spirit of constructive partnership and mutual respect." The group added that it is committed to safeguarding the 10,460 Gabon jobs maintained by Comilog and Setrag, Comilog's railway transport unit. Eramet's share price fell nearly 5.5% before recovering, ending the day down about 4% as of 0800 GMT. President Brice Oligui Nguema , who overthrew former President Ali Bongo in a coup in 2023 and was elected last month, is seeking to revive Gabon's beleaguered economy . This West African oil-exporting country holds some of the world's richest manganese deposits, primarily operated by Comilog and Chinese companies that export to China, Europe, and the US. Comilog, in which Gabon holds a minority stake, processes some manganese locally but primarily exports ore. In recent years, the Moanda mine and the Weda Bay nickel mine in Indonesia have driven Eramet's growth, while its historical nickel mining operations in New Caledonia have dried up due to losses and social unrest. In Indonesia, where nickel ore exports were previously banned to develop the local industry, Eramet signed a memorandum of understanding with sovereign fund Danatama last week to explore potential investments in nickel processing. Source: reuters.com [Rio Tinto revises costs for Serbian lithium project] Chad Blewitt, Managing Director of Rio Tinto's Jadar lithium mine, said on Wednesday that the company is revising the costs for its Serbian lithium project, which has been identified by the European Commission as one of 13 strategic new critical raw materials projects . The project has been questioned by environmental groups and many Serbs on environmental grounds and sparked massive street protests in 2022, leading to the government revoking all of Rio Tinto's exploration licenses. The Constitutional Court overturned this decision last year and restored the licenses. Rio Tinto is the only major mining company betting on lithium (used in EV batteries), accelerating its development pace through three new deals in the past six months: acquiring US-based Arcadium Lithium for $6.7 billion and two projects in Chile for over $1 billion. The lithium market has slumped as a wave of new supply overwhelms weaker-than-expected demand for EV batteries. While demand forecasts for the metal are more optimistic over the next decade, it will take years to know whether this bet will pay off. If implemented, Rio Tinto's Jadar project could meet 90% of Europe's current lithium demand. But protesters in Serbia have threatened to block highways and railways if the project proceeds. "Whatever happens next will involve multiple stages of review and public consultation," Blewitt said. "It (the project) will place Serbia at the forefront of the green and digital revolution." Source: reuters.com

The investor relations record recently announced by Shenghe Resources shows the following: 1. What are the main considerations for the company's proposed further acquisition of Peak's equity? Shenghe Resources responded: The company adheres to rare earth business as its core, while also considering zirconium and titanium. It leverages both domestic and international resources and markets, with the vision of becoming a responsible international supplier of key raw materials. To further consolidate the company's resource base for development, optimize its global business layout, and promote the rapid implementation and development of the Ngualla rare earth mine project, through friendly consultations, Chenguang Rare Earth, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, has agreed with Peak and intends to sign a "Scheme Implementation Deed" with the main content being the acquisition of all ordinary shares issued by Peak to external parties. 2. What is the latest progress of the Peak acquisition project? Shenghe Resources responded: After the official disclosure of the project plan, the relevant internal teams of the company are accelerating the submission of project regulatory approval applications. The company will maintain close contact with all parties involved, respond promptly, and provide timely communication and feedback to steadily advance the implementation of this project. 3. How do you view the future development prospects of the industry? Shenghe Resources responded: The company's current main products include rare earths, zirconium, and titanium. Rare earths are important strategic mineral resources. Rare earth elements possess rich magnetic, optical, and electrical properties, and can be used in materials such as permanent magnets, catalysts, hydrogen storage, polishing, precision ceramics, fluorescence, lasers, and optical fibers. They have very wide applications in fields such as new energy, new materials, energy conservation and environmental protection, aerospace, military industry, and electronic information. With the global energy transition and the development of downstream industries such as intelligent electric vehicles and energy conservation and environmental protection, the market prospects for the rare earth industry are broad. Zirconium has excellent physical and chemical properties and is mainly applied in consumer sectors such as zirconium silicate, zirconium chemicals, fused zirconium, precision casting, and refractory materials. The demand for zirconium products in the high-end manufacturing industry is gradually increasing, with the demand for markets such as metallic zirconium, composite zirconium, and nuclear-grade sponge zirconium rising year by year. Titanium is the metal element with the lowest density among refractory metals, possessing the two major advantages of high specific strength and strong corrosion resistance. It has a wide range of applications in fields such as aerospace, military industry, marine engineering, medicine, chemical pigments, metallurgy, and electric power. 4. What is the current capacity utilization rate of the company? Shenghe Resources responded: The capacity utilization rates of the company's rare earth smelting and separation, as well as metal processing, remain at a high level. 5. What is the company's current overall operating performance? Shenghe Resources responded: The company continues to strengthen market tracking and analysis, and scientifically formulates and implements business strategies. Since the beginning of this year, the company has demonstrated strong overall profitability, with a significant increase in gross profit margin compared to the same period last year. Taking the rare earth metal processing segment as an example, the company's production costs and material ratios are at the leading level in the industry, with indicators such as production volume, qualification rate, and labor efficiency all showing substantial improvements compared to the same period last year. Shenghe Resources disclosed its 2025 Q1 report on April 30, showing that in the first quarter of this year, the company achieved a total operating revenue of 2.992 billion yuan, up 3.66% YoY; and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 168 million yuan, turning from a loss YoY. Regarding the reasons for the increase in net profit, Shenghe Resources explained: Compared to the same period last year, the prices of major rare earth products have rebounded significantly this year, leading to an increase in sales gross profit, along with the reversal of some inventory impairment losses. Shenghe Resources' 2024 annual report shows that in 2024, the company achieved a total operating revenue of 11.371 billion yuan, down 36.39% YoY; and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 207 million yuan, down 37.73% YoY. The main reason for the substantial decline in net profit attributable to shareholders of publicly listed firms compared to last year is that in 2024, the market prices of major rare earth products declined significantly YoY, and the market prices of zirconium-titanium products were in the doldrums, resulting in a decrease in the average selling price and sales gross profit of the company's major products compared to the same period last year, leading to a decrease in the company's profit for this reporting period compared to the same period last year. Regarding the reasons for the change in operating revenue, Shenghe Resources stated that it was mainly due to the impact of market conditions in 2024, which led to a significant decline in the selling prices of rare earth and zirconium-titanium products compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, the scale of the company's trading business also decreased compared to the previous year. Regarding the company's business plan, Shenghe Resources stated in its 2024 annual report that in 2025, the company will strive to leverage the synergies among its various business segments, fully utilize its mineral resource advantages, tap into potential, continuously improve production and operation efficiency, and enhance the company's development quality. In 2025, the company plans to achieve a total operating revenue of 15 billion yuan for the whole year. The above targets are only the company's planned arrangements, which are significantly influenced by market supply and demand, and there is uncertainty about whether they can be completed as scheduled. In 2025, the company will orderly advance the Leshan 15,000 mt/year polishing powder project, overseas rare earth and zirconium-titanium resource projects, as well as other investment projects of the company. Through new construction, technological transformation, quality improvement, and efficiency enhancement, the company will continuously enhance its market competitiveness. Minsheng Securities issued a research report commenting on Shenghe Resources on May 21, pointing out that the company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Ganzhou Chenguang Rare Earth New Materials Co., Ltd., intends to acquire 100% of the equity of Peak Rare Earths Limited. Peak is an Australian publicly listed firm headquartered in Perth, Western Australia, and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (code: PEK). Its core asset is the Ngualla rare earth mine project in Tanzania (with an equity interest of 84%). Basic Information on Ngualla Rare Earth Mine: The Ngualla rare earth mine is located near Ngwala village in the Song region of Tanzania, approximately 1,000 kilometers west of Dar es Salaam (the former capital) and 150 kilometers from the city of Mbeya (near the Zambian border). It is one of the world's largest, highest-grade, and lowest-cost rare earth deposits. Mine Benefit Analysis: Upon completion of the acquisition, the company will hold 100% equity in Peak and an 84% stake in the core asset, the Ngualla rare earth mine project. The transaction is expected to be completed in early October 2025, with a total acquisition cost of AUD 158 million (RMB 743 million). According to Peak's FEED study, the total capital expenditure for the Ngualla mine is estimated at USD 287 million, including USD 182 million in direct capital expenditure and USD 105 million in indirect capital expenditure. The Ngualla project has a lifespan of 24 years, with an expected average annual REO production of 16,200 mt. The mine's annual operating cost is USD 64 million, and the total operating cost, including transportation expenses, is USD 76.7 million. Based on an annual REO production of 16,200 mt, the unit REO cost is USD 4,735/mt. Ngualla demonstrates excellent financial robustness, with all-in sustaining costs (AISC) maintained at a low level. According to the company's analysis, even as rare earth prices rise from USD 60/kg to USD 120/kg, the increase in Ngualla's costs remains insignificant. Therefore, the project can generate favorable profits even when rare earth prices are low. The company has formed a relatively complete industry chain, spanning from rare earth beneficiation, smelting and separation to deep processing, with abundant rare earth resource reserves. With the future commissioning of the company's existing projects and mines such as Ngualla, the company's rare earth production is expected to increase year by year. Coupled with the gradual stabilization and rebound of rare earth prices, the company's future performance is promising. Risk Warnings: Risks include the project acquisition and construction progress falling short of expectations, significant volatility in rare earth prices, and operational risks in overseas markets. It can be seen from Shenghe Resources' Q1 report this year and its 2024 annual report that changes in rare earth prices are closely related to the performance of rare earth enterprises. 》Click to view the SMM Rare Earth Industry Chain Database Taking the historical price trend of Pr-Nd oxide as an example: The price of Pr-Nd oxide generally increased in Q1 2025 compared to the end of 2024. Reviewing the price trend of SMM Pr-Nd oxide in Q1, it can be observed that the average price of Pr-Nd oxide on March 31 this year was RMB 444,500/mt, an increase of RMB 46,500/mt compared to the average price of RMB 398,000/mt on December 31, 2024, representing a Q1 increase of 11.68%. Comparing the daily average price of Pr-Nd oxide in Q1 2025 (RMB 429,605.26/mt) with that in Q1 2024 (RMB 381,646.55/mt), it can be seen that the daily average price in Q1 this year increased by 12.57% YoY. Reviewing the historical trend of the SMM average price of Pr-Nd oxide in 2024, we can see that the average price on December 31, 2024, was 398,000 yuan/mt. Compared to the average price of 442,500 yuan/mt on December 29, 2023, the average price in 2024 fell by 44,500 yuan/mt, representing a decline of 10.06%. The annual daily average price of Pr-Nd oxide in 2024 was 391,871.9 yuan/mt. Compared to the annual daily average price of 529,274.79 yuan/mt in 2023, the annual daily average price fell by 137,402.89 yuan/mt, a YoY decline of 25.96%. According to SMM quotes, the average price of SMM Pr-Nd oxide on May 26 was 435,000 yuan/mt, up 6,000 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, representing an increase of 1.4%. It is reported that recently, most rare earth mine suppliers are still reluctant to sell their inventory, with low enthusiasm for shipping goods, making it difficult for separation plants to purchase raw materials. Influenced by the recent procurement tenders from major producers with relatively high tender prices, the confidence of some suppliers in refusing to budge on prices has increased, leading to a tightening of low-priced supplies in the market, which in turn has supported the rise in rare earth prices. Currently, there is a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market, with downstream buyers being cautious in purchasing. For the future market, it is necessary to continue to monitor the sustainability of tenders from major producers and whether there will be a significant increase in downstream demand.