SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $14,142/mt. Early in the session, the copper price center gradually shifted lower to $14,058/mt, then swung wildly upward to touch a high of $14,175/mt, before fluctuating downward to finally close at $14,083/mt, up 0.02%, with trading volume at 22,600 lots and open interest at 275,000 lots, an increase of 1,876 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at and touched a low of 108,110 yuan/mt, then fluctuated upward to probe 10,980 yuan/mt, followed by wild swings to finally close at 108,520 yuan/mt, up 0.38%, with trading volume at 45,000 lots and open interest at 201,000 lots, a decrease of 3,326 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, copper prices continue to fluctuate at highs, and downstream purchasing sentiment remains subdued. Both buying and selling sentiment pulled back during the day, with spot discounts continuing to widen. According to SMM, downstream orders continued to decline from the previous day, with procurement driven mainly by rigid demand and limited willingness to chase higher prices. In terms of market structure, the inter-month Contango price spread between futures contracts remained in the range of 90-20 yuan/mt. As the 05 contract delivery date approaches, suppliers are increasingly willing to ship to delivery warehouse, and the delivery logic is expected to provide bottom support for spot discounts, limiting further significant downside. Overall, Shanghai spot copper prices against the SHFE copper 2605 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow, with a generally weak tone but limited downside room.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at and dipped below $13,693.5/mt, moved sideways at the beginning of the session, then the copper price center fluctuated upward and probed up to $13,969/mt near the end of the session, before fluctuating downward to finally close at $13,920/mt, up 2.84%, with trading volume at 26,800 lots and open interest at 272,000 lots, an increase of 1,201 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at 105,500 yuan/mt, dipped to 105,390 yuan/mt at the beginning of the session, then the copper price center gradually shifted upward and touched a high of 107,350 yuan/mt near the end of the session, before fluctuating downward to finally close at 106,770 yuan/mt, up 2.35%, with trading volume at 75,900 lots and open interest at 209,000 lots, an increase of 4,829 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls adding positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,380.5/mt and then hovered at highs, touching a high of $13,449.5/mt before the center fluctuated downward. Near the end of the session, it tested a low of $13,283/mt and ultimately closed at $13,323.5/mt, down 0.51%, with trading volume at 17,000 lots and open interest at 272,000 lots, an increase of 4,370 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at 103,300 yuan/mt, initially rising to 103,400 yuan/mt before the center fluctuated downward. Near the end of the session, it dipped to 102,580 yuan/mt and ultimately closed at 102,720 yuan/mt, down 0.27%, with trading volume at 37,700 lots and open interest at 197,000 lots, a decrease of 2,022 lots from the previous trading day, primarily indicating bulls reducing positions.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, on the inventory side, SMM data showed that social inventory in the Shanghai area registered 188,300 mt after the holiday, up 6,500 mt WoW, while inventory in the Jiangsu area was 41,700 mt, down 1,000 mt WoW. The destocking trend in social inventory saw its first inflection point, shifting to a slight inventory buildup during the holiday period, though the increase was not yet significant, and attention should be paid to the sustainability of subsequent inventory buildup. Supply side, although the import window remained profitable, logistics disruptions in Africa led to reduced import arrivals, limiting short-term incremental spot cargo circulation. Demand side, after the rise in copper prices, end-user purchase willingness weakened, compounded by suppliers holding back from selling, spot premiums rose, and market trading was thin on both sides. Overall, under the multiple factors of high prices suppressing demand, the initial emergence of an inventory inflection point, suppliers holding back from selling, and reduced import arrivals, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2605 contract are expected to maintain a premium tomorrow.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,073.5/mt, fluctuated upward to a high of $13,098/mt in early trading, then the copper price center gradually declined to $12,967/mt, and finally closed at $12,989/mt, down 0.35%, with trading volume at 19,400 lots and open interest at 276,000 lots, an increase of 42 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at 101,190 yuan/mt, rose to 101,390 yuan/mt in early trading, then fluctuated downward throughout the session to a low of 100,790 yuan/mt near the close, and finally closed at 100,820 yuan/mt, down 0.43%, with trading volume at 37,700 lots and open interest at 195,000 lots, a decrease of 896 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions.