[SMM Silicon-based PV Morning Meeting Minutes: Module Hold-Price Sentiment Edges Up, Polysilicon Prices Temporarily Stable] Last week, mainstream transaction prices in China changed little, but the price spread between high and low prices remained large. EXW prices from enterprises competing for orders have recently started approaching 0.65 Yuan/W, though trading volume was limited. Mainstream tax-inclusive delivered prices in China stayed above 0.7 Yuan/W, and current quotations from top-tier players are still relatively high. The market exhibited a situation where half are holding prices firm while the other half are selling at low prices. Currently, high-efficiency distributed Topcon 183, 210R, and 210N modules are quoted at 0.731 Yuan/W, 0.736 Yuan/W, and 0.739 Yuan/W, respectively; and centralized Topcon 182/183, 210N, and 210R high-efficiency modules are quoted at 0.7185 Yuan/W, 0.7385 Yuan/W, and 0.729 Yuan/W, respectively.

[Sichuan-Yunnan Silicon Enterprises’ Operating Rate Increase Puts Silicon Metal Market Under Pressure]: On the supply side, the rainy season production resumptions at silicon enterprises in Sichuan and Yunnan have pushed operating rates higher. From a supply-demand balance perspective, the silicon metal supply growth outpaces demand growth in June-July, leaving theoretical industry inventory in a buildup state. Fundamentals are weak, and coupled with a lack of recent positive news to provide a boost, the silicon metal market lacks sufficient upward momentum and has limited downside support from costs. Overall, prices are in the doldrums within a narrow range.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary] Silicon metal: SMM oxygen-blown #553 silicon in east China was at 9,100-9,200 yuan/mt yesterday, and #441 silicon was at 9,300-9,400 yuan/mt. The most-traded futures contract hovered around 8,500 yuan/mt. Silicon metal prices continued to move sideways in a narrow range. In recent days, the market has seen no new news disruptions, leading to a stalemate in price changes. Increasing supply put prices under pressure in the short term. Wafer: Market prices for 18X wafers were 0.86-0.9 yuan/piece, 210RN wafers were 0.96-1.00 yuan/piece, and 210N wafers were 1.16-1.2 yuan/piece. Smaller factories have already begun to see transactions at lower prices. 18X wafers are under the most severe pressure, and the high end of the overall price range is trending further downward.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Minutes] Polysilicon: The quotation for N-type recharging polysilicon is 32-34.2 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices remain generally weak. A few large-volume orders are currently under negotiation, with the market watching for subsequent outcomes and policy developments. Wafers: Market prices for 183mm wafers stand at 0.88-0.9 yuan/piece, 210RN wafers at 0.98-1.00 yuan/piece, and 210N wafers at 1.16-1.20 yuan/piece. The low-end prices of 183mm and 210N wafers also show a downward trend, widening the price range across all wafer sizes. Top-tier players are holding prices, while smaller enterprises have concluded deals at lower prices.

[SMM Silicon-based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Module Price-holding Sentiment Increases Somewhat, Polysilicon Prices Remain Stable Temporarily] Last week, distributed module prices in China were mostly stable, and enterprises' willingness to hold prices firm increased somewhat, especially among some second-tier companies that had previously seen larger price declines. On the centralized side, projects have increased recently, but prices have started to decline. The lowest ex-factory price for some orders under delivery has fallen to 0.68 Yuan/W, and new order prices have also dipped below 0.7 Yuan/W. Currently, quotes for distributed high-efficiency Topcon modules are: 183 (0.734 Yuan/W), 210R (0.740 Yuan/W), and 210N (0.7425 Yuan/W); for centralized, Topcon 182/183 (0.721 Yuan/W) and 210N (0.741 Yuan/W).

[Bullish Sentiment Prevailed in the Market This Week, with Solid Support for the Silicon Metal Bottom]: On the supply side, operating rates at northern silicon enterprises were basically stable, while those in Sichuan and Yunnan slowly improved. However, the pace of overall supply release was limited, with insufficient incremental elasticity. Combined with demand side keeping pace, supply and demand in the industry were broadly balanced recently. Recently, bullish sentiment dominated the market, providing strong support for the silicon metal bottom. Silicon metal prices were constrained in both upside and downside room and may continue to move sideways within a narrow range. Watch for fluctuations in macro expectations and changes in the PV industry, which may cause marginal disturbance to silicon metal.