In March, square billet prices in Turkey on an Ex-Works basis increased by an average of $33 to reach $538 per metric ton. The upward trend was primarily supported by strong domestic demand for scrap, surging freight rates, and rising local rebar prices, which reached $590–$610 per metric ton. During the month, the Kardemir plant sold a volume of 70,000 metric tons of billets, raising its prices by $15/t following previous consecutive cuts. Mid-month tender prices settled at $505/t for S235JR grade and $510/t for B420 grade (excluding 20% VAT).

Inter-product price spreads are a segment of the rebar spread system characterized by complex logic and abundant trading opportunities. Unlike the spot-futures price spread, which reflects the spot-futures structure, and calendar spreads, which reflect near- and far-term expectations, the core of inter-product price spreads lies in macroeconomic structural adjustment and profit distribution across the industry chain. From the perspective of the industry chain, inter-product price spreads for long steel products are mainly concentrated in the following four areas:

This week, ferrous metals retreated after a rapid rise. At the beginning of the week, the market reported last week that Asia had shifted to coal-fired power generation due to a natural gas supply deficit, and that Indonesia would increase coal production and impose export taxes. The rise in international coal prices transmitted to China, with coking coal and coke leading the ferrous metals higher. Mid-week, the Middle East situation fluctuated, with the U.S. and Iran holding divergent attitudes toward war, and ferrous metals consolidated at highs. The pullback in the second half of the week was mainly driven by weakening cost-side logic. Market rumors suggested that iron ore long-term contract negotiations had been completed, expectations of iron ore supply tightening diminished, and raw materials shifted to a pullback-driven trend. Spot market side, speculative activity and end-user purchase enthusiasm improved in the first half of the week, while the second half continued to be dominated by rigid demand, and the spot-futures price spread widened somewhat...

This week, ferrous metals held up well within a narrow range. Over the weekend, turmoil in the Middle East and the escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict triggered wild swings in the international energy market, sending energy and precious metals sharply higher, while ferrous metals—except coking coal and coke—mostly retreated after rapid rise following the open; mid-week, although there were bullish expectations around the Two Sessions, no new news emerged, the steel market remained relatively stable, and the pattern of raw materials outperforming finished steel products continued; in the latter half of the week, the Two Sessions’ macro conclusions met expectations, but had already been priced in by futures earlier, and high-level fluctuations in international oil prices continued to support raw materials, in turn pushing ferrous metals to edge higher on a steady footing. In the spot market, in the second week after the holiday, the market gradually resumed work and resumed production, but with insufficient momentum from futures, overall willingness to purchase was not high, and transactions were mainly concluded at low prices......

Recycling Today reports that nonferrous markets began 2026 with notable volatility, with copper prices nearing record highs before moderating, while aluminum and zinc also saw fluctuating gains and retreats. In the copper scrap segment, global demand remains healthy despite softer U.S. demand. A Midwest scrap processor noted that high-grade scrap such as No. 1 bare bright copper fetched stronger prices, leading to unprecedented export volumes to India, Japan, and South Korea. Domestic consumers may soon recognize tighter apparent supply conditions.

This week, ferrous metals were in the doldrums. There were no significant macro disturbances during the week. The pullback in the US dollar index led to a rebound in nonferrous metals and the A-share market, but ferrous metals did not follow the trend noticeably. Instead, pressure from bears weighed on finished steel prices. On the spot market, most markets have already entered a holiday shutdown. Spot prices remained basically stable, while market transactions contracted sharply...