The International Copper Association (ICA) announced that Indonesian mining and copper smelting company PT Amman Mineral Nusa Tenggara (AMMAN) has officially joined the association, becoming the first member headquartered in Southeast Asia. Indonesia has been accelerating downstream copper processing and domestic smelting expansion in recent years, strengthening Southeast Asia’s role in the global copper supply chain. Increasing investment in copper smelting, fabrication and energy-transition related sectors is also reinforcing the region’s importance in refined copper supply, copper product exports, and demand from AI infrastructure and power grid development.

Recently, disruptions caused by the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz have significantly pushed up logistics and raw material costs across the copper smelting supply chain in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Based on on-the-ground field visits, SMM has compiled a summary of the current operating conditions of copper producers in the DRC.

In March, total exports of copper wire rod (HS codes 74081100 and 74081900) weakened, showing a MoM decline but YoY growth. The specific data are as follows: According to customs data, in terms of total copper cathode wire rod exports, total exports of copper cathode wire rod (HS code 74081100, 74081900) in March were down 1.27% MoM but up 73.71% YoY. Among them, exports of refined copper wire with a maximum cross-section dimension >6mm were 13,600 mt, down 21.73% MoM but up 100.86% YoY. Exports of other refined copper wire were 11,900 mt per month, up 40.79% MoM and up 50.47% YoY. In March 2026, exports of copper wire rod (HS code 74081100, 74081900) declined MoM, primarily due to chain reactions triggered by escalating geopolitical conflicts, compounded by a cyclical pullback in the prior export pace. The escalation of geopolitical conflicts disrupted international shipping and drove up logistics costs, significantly increasing the difficulty and cost of exports. This, combined with the onset of the off-season following the concentrated release of earlier orders, collectively dragged down exports. By specific trade mode, in March 2026, processing trade with imported materials accounted for 58.55% of total copper wire rod exports, processing trade with supplied materials accounted for 26.9%, Entrepot Trade by Customs Special Control Area accounted for 11.83%, and Ordinary Trade accounted for 2.71%. By country, in March, copper wire rod was mainly exported to Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, and India, with combined exports accounting for over 70% of the national total. Notably, Saudi Arabia's ranking pulled back sharply from first to seventh place, with exports plunging 87.4% MoM. This was mainly due to the continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which weakened domestic demand in Saudi Arabia and slowed down the procurement pace in infrastructure, power grid, and other sectors. Compounded by disruptions in regional shipping, logistics, and customs clearance, trade flows were hampered, leading to a decline in exports. In summary, copper wire rod exports pulled back MoM in March, mainly due to the continued escalation of geopolitical conflicts and periodic disruptions in shipping logistics. Overseas trade channels were obstructed, shipping schedules were extended, and transport capacity was tight, causing the export pace to slow down significantly. Entering April, as geopolitical tensions gradually eased, shipping and trade conditions improved. Combined with the gradual recovery of downstream procurement demand outside China, overall copper wire rod exports in April are expected to rebound MoM.

In March 2026, China’s refined copper imports totaled 234,600 mt, up 53.33% MoM but down 24.03% YoY. Exports stood at 58,200 mt, down 25.60% MoM and 14.40% YoY.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,264.5/mt. After testing a low of $12,282.5/mt in early trading, its center fluctuated downward, nearing the close and hitting a low of $12,079/mt, before finally closing at $12,120/mt, down 1.33. Trading volume reached 18,000 lots, open interest stood at 296,000 lots, an increase of 326 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears adding positions overall. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 95,350 yuan/mt, tested a low of 95,900 yuan/mt in early trading, and then its center moved lower to a low of 94,950 yuan/mt, before finally closing at 95,150 yuan/mt, down 0.45. Trading volume reached 39,000 lots, open interest stood at 188,000 lots, a decrease of 2,104 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bulls reducing positions overall.

Data released by the online query platform of customs statistics showed that China’s copper cathode imports in February 2026 were 203,588.22 mt, down 18.78% MoM and down 33.28% YoY. The DRC was the largest origin, with China importing 70,661.8 mt of copper cathode from the DRC during the month, down 33.06% MoM and down 28.63% YoY. Chile was the second-largest origin, with China importing 25,429.03 mt of copper cathode from Chile during the month, up 8.18% MoM and down 32.18% YoY. The following is a breakdown of China’s copper cathode imports in February 2026, compiled based on data from the official website of the General Administration of Customs: Source: General Administration of Customs Note: 1. Including unwrought copper cathode with a copper content >99.9935%; unwrought other refined copper cathode; unwrought refined copper wire bars; unwrought refined copper cathode sections; unwrought refined copper billets; and other unwrought refined copper. 2. The total imports (grand total) also include data for some origins not listed in the table above. (Wenhua Composite)