SMM August 21 News: This week, spot prices along the cobalt industry chain largely remained in the doldrums. Refined cobalt prices continued to grind lower under the influence of weak market sentiment and demand. Although import data fell short of expectations, the rebound was limited. On the cobalt salt side, cobalt sulphate prices declined for five consecutive trading days, with cost support clearly shifting downward. Quotes for primary and recycled materials continued to ease, and downstream enterprises showed a strong desire to bargain down prices. The cobalt chloride and Co3O4 markets continued their sluggish pattern... SMM compiled the price movements of cobalt products this week, as follows: side: According to SMM spot quotes, refined cobalt spot prices fell notably this week. As of August 21, refined cobalt spot prices temporarily stabilized at 300,000-310,000 yuan/mt, with the average price at 305,000 yuan/mt, down 21,500 yuan/mt from 326,500 yuan/mt on August 14, a decline of 6.58%. 》View SMM cobalt-lithium spot quotes According to SMM, the refined cobalt futures continued to grind lower this week, with the spot price center further declining. On the supply side, mid-week, affected by market expectations before the release of customs data, some funds pre-traded a significant increase in China's cobalt intermediate product imports, causing a relatively large pullback in futures. Although the final imports were lower than market forecasts, leading to a slight rebound in prices, the rebound was very limited due to the current weak demand, and prices remained at low levels. After the rapid price decline, most smelters and traders have suspended external quotes, and the market is in a wait-and-see sentiment. On the demand side, downstream enterprises are still in the summer break period, with weak purchase willingness and only maintaining small-volume restocking for essential needs. Market transaction sentiment was generally sluggish. In the short term, SMM believes that the market is still in the off-season, demand support is limited, coupled with weak market sentiment, refined cobalt prices may continue to consolidate at lows. Future attention should be paid to changes in downstream restocking pace after the summer break. Cobalt intermediate product prices side: According to SMM spot quotes, cobalt intermediate product spot quotes remained stable this week. As of August 21, cobalt intermediate product (CIF China) spot quotes temporarily stabilized at $21-22/lb, with the average price at $21.5/lb. According to SMM, the cobalt intermediate product market remained in a stalemate this week, with prices lacking transaction guidance. July customs data showed that China's cobalt intermediate product imports were 16,100 mt in physical content (about 5,000 mt in metal content), slightly below market expectations, but had limited impact on the current supply-demand pattern. Miners' tender intentions remain at $21-22/lb, while downstream psychological price levels have pulled back to $17-19/lb, with no narrowing of the price spread, and tenders continue to be unsuccessful. Some miners started adjusting strategies, considering suspending direct sales and switching to toll processing to produce refined cobalt for sale. In the short term, the tug-of-war between upstream and downstream continues. SMM expects that stabilization of cobalt intermediate product prices still awaits substantial transactions. Cobalt salt side ( and ): : According to SMM spot price quotes, spot cobalt sulphate prices also could not escape the decline this week. After falling for five consecutive trading days, spot cobalt sulphate prices fell to 72,000-75,000 yuan/mt, with the average price at 73,500 yuan/mt, down 5,000 yuan/mt from 78,500 yuan/mt on August 14, a drop of 6.37%. In the spot market, according to SMM, the cobalt sulphate market continued in the doldrums this week, with cost support further moving down, and the psychological price spread between buyers and sellers not narrowing. Supply side quotations remained divergent: primary smelters, constrained by earlier high-priced raw material inventory, maintained quotations at 75,000-80,000 yuan/mt, but the MHP cobalt coefficient has recently pulled back to around 73% discount, and the immediate production cost has dropped to about 70,000 yuan/mt, significantly weakening cost support. Some enterprises may consider selling at a discount above 70,000 yuan/mt in the future. For recycling materials, mainstream quotations were at around 93-95% of SMM low-end prices. Some enterprises with financial constraints further lowered prices to 68,000-70,000 yuan/mt, and individual low-quality cargoes were heard at around 65,000 yuan/mt. Demand side remained sluggish. Cobalt tetroxide enterprises reduced their indicative prices for low-nickel cobalt sulphate to 68,000-70,000 yuan/mt, some ternary precursor enterprises pressed indicative prices for medium-high nickel cobalt sulphate to around 65,000 yuan/mt, but the actual price spread between buyers and sellers remained large, and transactions remained limited. In the short term, SMM believes that the cobalt sulphate market is still in a bottom-seeking phase, and price stabilization still awaits the release of downstream concentrated restocking demand. side: According to SMM spot price quotes, spot cobalt chloride prices remained stable this week. As of August 21, spot cobalt chloride prices held steady at 87,000-91,000 yuan/mt, with the average price at 89,000 yuan/mt, maintaining stable operation compared to August 14. In the spot market, according to SMM, the cobalt chloride market continued its sluggish pattern this week, with actual transactions showing little improvement. On the supply side, to alleviate cash flow constraints and loss reduction pressure, some enterprises have slightly softened their offer prices to seek destocking, but downstream purchasing sentiment was weak, and the transaction growth driven by price cuts was extremely limited. Demand side, Co3O4 enterprises remained constrained by high inventory, and with no signs of recovery in end-use consumption, the procurement pace remained stagnant. In the short term, SMM expects cobalt chloride prices to continue to drift lower. side: According to SMM spot quotations, after declining in the week before last, Co3O4 spot quotes stabilized this week. As of August 21, Co3O4 spot quotes were tentatively stable at 275,000-300,000 yuan/mt, with the average price at 287,500 yuan/mt, flat from August 14. In the spot market, according to SMM, the Co3O4 market sentiment remained sluggish this week, with sporadic transactions. On the supply side, most smelters continued low-load operations under the conditions of high inventory, thin margins, and lingering concerns over inventory buildup. On the demand side, although cathode material producers made sporadic inquiries, firm orders were scarce. Existing raw material inventory was moderate enough to meet short-term production, and there was no urgency to restock. On balance, SMM expects that the broad trend of Co3O4 prices under pressure to weaken in the short term is unlikely to change. On the news front, This week, cobalt product import and export data were released. According to customs data, China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate product imports in July 2026 were approximately 16,174 mt in physical content, up 48% MoM and up 17% YoY. Among them, imports from DRC were approximately 15,970 mt in physical content, up 48% MoM and up 21% YoY. The average import price of China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products in July 2026 was $17,915/mt in physical content, up 9.56% MoM. This month, about 10,046 mt in physical content of intermediate products imported from DRC entered Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces via Entrepot Trade by Customs Special Control Area, accounting for 62.9% of total imports; Ordinary Trade accounted for about 4,243 mt, or 26.6%; processing trade with imported materials accounted for about 1,681 mt, or 10.5%. In addition, China imported a total of 204 mt in physical content of intermediate products from Russia and Zambia via Ordinary Trade this month.

In summary, in H2 2026, China's prebaked anode export market will present the operating characteristics of "volume increase with stable prices, continued regional divergence, and overall mild growth."

SMM August 21 News: This week, Pr-Nd alloy prices first declined and then rebounded. At the beginning of the week, prices continued to be in the doldrums, before stopping falling and rebounding toward the weekend. As of 17:00 Friday, Pr-Nd alloy was reported at 880,000 yuan/mt, up 10,000 yuan/mt from Thursday afternoon, flat compared with Friday morning. Today, Pr-Nd alloy stopped falling and followed the upward trend driven by the sharp raise in Pr-Nd oxide prices. This was mainly due to a large enterprise's procurement of Pr-Nd oxide yesterday, which quickly tightened low-priced supply on the market. Suppliers successively raised their quotes, and alloy enterprises followed suit with upward adjustments under the support of oxide costs, making low-priced materials hard to find. However, inquiry activity in the afternoon declined from yesterday, and downstream magnetic material enterprises were cautious in procurement, with limited actual transactions following up. Reviewing the weekly trend, Pr-Nd alloy prices this week showed a pattern of "first declining then rebounding": prices moved steadily at the start of the week, then weakened slightly from Tuesday as Pr-Nd oxide prices pulled back, hitting the week's low of 870,000 yuan/mt on Thursday. Toward the weekend, driven by the large enterprise's procurement of Pr-Nd oxide, prices rebounded strongly on Friday, rising 10,000 yuan/mt in a single day. As of 17:00 Friday, Pr-Nd alloy closed at 880,000 yuan/mt, up 5,000 yuan/mt from last Friday (875,000 yuan/mt), a WoW increase of 0.57%, halting the previous several weeks of decline and turning losses into gains. From the cost side, the cash cost of Pr-Nd alloy this week fell about 1,655 yuan/mt WoW, a decrease of about 0.19%, as cost pressure continued to ease; calculated based on Friday's closing price, the net profit per mt was about 6,700 yuan/mt, significantly expanded from last week, and profitability continued to improve. During the week, downstream magnetic material enterprises remained cautious in inquiries and procurement, with sluggish market trading activity. In mid-week, raw material prices were in the doldrums; some traders sold at low prices, and although alloy enterprises lowered their quotes accordingly, they were determined to hold prices firm, which narrowed the actual declines. Toward the weekend, raw material prices stopped falling and rebounded; alloy enterprises raised quotes accordingly, low-priced materials were hard to find, and trading activity recovered somewhat. In the short term, on the demand side, the "high-temperature holidays" of end-user motor enterprises are gradually ending, and with the approach of the traditional September-October peak season, top magnetic material enterprises have favorable expectations for order production schedules. The market holds strong expectations for downstream restocking and stockpiling. However, it remains to be seen whether the peak season demand expectations will be realized, as well as the release pace of new capacity for Pr-Nd oxide on the cost side. Pr-Nd alloy prices are expected to drift higher in a range sideways.

SMM August 21, 2026 — China's praseodymium-neodymium (NdPr) oxide market followed a "weakened first, recovered later" pattern this week (August 17-21). From Monday to Thursday, spot prices drifted lower under pressure from volatile futures and cautious downstream purchasing, with the average price easing from around CNY 722,000/mt (about 107,400/mt) to roughly CNY 718,000/mt (106,800/mt). On Friday, major producers re-entered the market to buy, sentiment improved markedly and holders raised offers across the board, lifting the average price to CNY 726,500/mt (about $108,100/mt) — a sharp one-day rebound. (Exchange rate: 1 USD = 6.72 CNY, August 21, 2026) 1. Weekly market review NdPr oxide prices fell early in the week before rebounding on Friday. On Monday, the market opened stable: the quoted range held at CNY 720,000-724,000/mt (107,100-107,700/mt), flat with the previous Friday, though trading was thin. On Tuesday, futures volatility dragged spot offers down after midday and the market broke below the CNY 720,000/mt threshold, with the average easing to CNY 718,000/mt. Wednesday saw a stable but weak session at CNY 718,000-720,000/mt. On Thursday, prices continued to edge lower, hitting a weekly low of CNY 718,500/mt on average, with the range narrowing to CNY 717,000-720,000/mt. On Friday, major buyers' entry into the market quickly absorbed low-priced cargo, holders raised offers across the board and the average price jumped to CNY 726,500/mt, in a range of CNY 725,000-728,000/mt (107,900-108,300/mt) — a single-day gain of about CNY 8,000/mt (+1.1%) that largely recouped the week's losses. 2. Key drivers 1. Futures volatility remains the main transmission channel for spot sentiment. From the start of the week through midweek, fluctuations in NdPr oxide futures repeatedly shaped spot sentiment; Tuesday's afternoon pullback in the futures market directly dragged spot offers lower and turned the mood bearish. On Friday, news of major buyers' procurement pushed futures up and spot followed. Futures-spot linkage was the dominant price driver this week. 2. Cautious downstream buying met with traders' low-price sales. From Monday to Thursday, metal producers showed little appetite to purchase, inquiries were scarce and trading remained subdued, while some traders kept selling at low prices and capped any rebound. Once low-priced cargo tightened on Friday, holders' willingness to sell cheap fell sharply. 3. Major buyers' procurement was the turning point. On Friday, large producers entered the market for NdPr oxide, inquiries picked up notably, holders raised offers and low-priced cargo became hard to find — the direct catalyst behind the market's shift from weak to firm. 4. Upstream and downstream diverged. Rare earth ore circulation remained sluggish overall and ore prices kept easing, while the oxide segment stabilized and recovered on support from major buyers. Demand from magnet material makers was mixed through the week — "clearly improving" feedback on Monday faded thereafter, and by Friday buyers turned cautious again — suggesting downstream transmission is not yet solid. 3. Outlook In the near term, major buyers' procurement provides solid support for NdPr oxide prices: low-priced cargo has tightened, holders are quoting firmly, and the price center is likely to hold above CNY 725,000/mt. Two risks need watching, however. First, inquiry activity had already cooled by Friday afternoon, magnet makers remained cautious and actual transaction follow-through was limited. Second, futures volatility could return — if futures pull back, spot prices face downside risk again. Key factors to track: whether major buyers sustain their purchasing, the durability of the recovery in magnet material orders, and the direction of NdPr oxide futures. Until demand forms a clear uptrend, prices are expected to remain range-bound with a modestly firmer bias.

[SMM Analysis: July Imports Fell to a Year-to-Date Low; High-Grade NPI Cargoes May Be Delayed in Arrivals] According to customs data, China’s high-grade NPI imports in July 2026 extended the downward trend, falling for the third consecutive month and hitting a year-to-date low.

Ferrochrome Price Review Ferrochrome prices saw no adjustments this week. As of August 21, 2026: Inner Mongolia high‑carbon ferrochrome is RMB 7,850‑8,000 /50‑metric‑ton base unit; Sichuan and Northwest China high‑carbon ferrochrome is RMB 7,950‑8,050 /50‑metric‑ton base unit; East China high‑carbon ferrochrome is RMB 8,300‑8,400 /50‑metric‑ton base unit; Kazakh high‑carbon ferrochrome is RMB 9,200‑9,300 /50‑metric‑ton base unit; The high‑carbon ferrochrome steel tender expectation index registered RMB 8,030.23 /50‑metric‑ton base unit, with mainstream market expectations pointing to flat or modestly lower prices. Demand Side The downstream stainless steel market trended weakly this week. Futures slipped, and spot prices followed suit. Although the traditional peak consumption season of “Golden September & Silver October” is approaching, market confidence remains subdued. Steel mills show low willingness for pre‑stockbuilding, and there has been no material recovery in inquiries and procurement for ferrochrome. Most market participants take a wait‑and‑see approach and will formulate plans after major steel mills release tender prices next month. Supply Side Domestic ferrochrome production presents widening north‑south divergence. Smelters in southern regions such as Guangxi and Guizhou have cut output amid cost‑margin inversion, dragging down regional ferrochrome output. Inner Mongolia in the north maintains stable operation with output staying at high levels, and overall ferrochrome supply remains ample. On the import front, insufficient production resumption in South Africa and high costs in Zimbabwe keep imports low, exerting little near‑term market impact. Overall, supply surplus is the core theme, and ferrochrome prices are expected to run soft in the short term. Chrome Ore Price Review As of August 21, 2026, Tianjin Port quotations: South African 40‑42% chrome concentrate ore at RMB 53.5‑54.5 /dmtu; Zimbabwean 48‑50% chrome concentrate ore at RMB 58.5‑60 /dmtu; Turkish 40‑42% chrome lumpy ore at RMB 70‑71 /dmtu, flat week‑on‑week. Overseas offers: South African 40‑42% chrome concentrate ore at USD 285 /ton, flat week‑on‑week; Zimbabwean 48‑50% chrome concentrate ore at USD 365‑375 /ton, up USD 5 week‑on‑week; Turkish 40‑42% chrome lumpy ore at USD 340‑350 /ton, up USD 10 week‑on‑week. Supply Side Chrome ore port inventories fluctuate around the extremely high level of 5 million tonnes, keeping supply loose. South African chrome ore fines are sufficiently available. Major overseas mines have kept offers unchanged for two consecutive rounds, underpinning price floors while capping the upside for chrome ore prices. Supply of mainstream‑origin chrome ore and high‑grade chrome ore concentrates is tight. Rising ocean freight rates push up transportation costs; forward prices from overseas mines remain firm, increasing cost pressure for traders and reinforcing their price‑holding sentiment. Supported by the above factors, spot quotations remained stable this week amid stalemated bargaining between buyers and sellers, with limited physical concluded trades. Demand Side Entering a new round of steel tender bidding cycle, wait‑and‑see sentiment prevails across the market. Ferrochrome smelters stay prudent and avoid long‑term stockbuilding. In addition, ferrochrome supply surplus weighs on ferrochrome prices. Smelters are under heavy production‑cost pressure and inventory‑liquidation pressure, showing limited willingness to purchase raw‑material chrome ore, and no large‑scale bulk buying has taken place. Only sporadic small‑volume deals were closed this week, preventing sharp price swings.