Precious metals staged their first coordinated rally in nearly two weeks on Tuesday as the prospect of a diplomatic resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict continued to lift market sentiment and weaken the dollar.

Dalian iron ore was generally weak today. The most-traded contract, I2605, finally closed at 806.5 yuan/mt, down 1.83% from the previous trading session. Spot prices fell by about 10-15 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders actively offered quotes, while steel mills mainly made inquiries and purchases based on rigid demand, with cautious inquiries; overall, the spot market trading atmosphere was average. According to the latest SMM survey data, hot metal daily average production reached 2.4049 million mt this week, an increase of 15,000 mt WoW, with demand showing a steady improvement. In terms of supply, some iron ore originally planned for shipment to the Middle East began to be redirected to the Chinese market, including some ore grades used for direct reduced iron (DRI), increasing market supply options and putting some pressure on prices. From a macro perspective, the situation in the Middle East remained tense, and the escalation of war triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, driving up global inflationary pressure. Expectations for US dollar interest rate cuts weakened significantly, leading to a certain pullback in commodity prices, including iron ore prices. Overall, iron ore prices faced strong resistance in the short term, but downside room was limited, and the market is expected to continue moving in a sideways range.

SMM News on March 26: According to SMM, starting from March 26, Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. conducted a public tender sale of its high-purity tellurium head and tail materials. Specifically, according to official information, the quantity was 2,000 kg, the packaging was iron drums, the delivery method was self pick-up by the buyer, freight was borne by the buyer, and the buyer was required to pick up the goods before April 20, 2026. The delivery location was Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. (No. 11 Jinzheng Street, Shuidao Town, Muping District, Yantai, Shandong Province). Sales contact: Wang Peng Tel: 17616212861 At present, the official side did not provide a starting bid price for the tender; instead, the highest bidder would win. The buyer should fill in the quotation based on its own circumstances. If the buyer's quotation did not reach the seller's reserve price, the seller had the right to refuse the sale. To ensure timely quotations, please send back the inquiry sheet, a copy of the participating party's business license, and invoicing information (stamped with the official seal) to 17616212861@163.com before 11:30 a.m. on March 27, 2026, and contact Humon personnel in a timely manner for collection.

SMM Nickel News, March 26: Macro and Market News: (1) On March 25, COSCO SHIPPING Lines issued a service notice announcing the immediate resumption of new bookings for services from the Far East to the following Middle East countries (dry containers): the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq. The resumption of shipments did not mean that COSCO SHIPPING container vessels could pass through the Strait of Hormuz. (2) In the early hours of March 25, Tehran time, Iran's Permanent Mission to the United Nations said in a statement on social media that non-hostile vessels could safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with relevant Iranian authorities, provided that the countries to which they belong or with which they are associated neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran, and fully comply with the announced safety and security regulations. Spot Market: On March 26, the SMM price of #1 refined nickel rose by 1,550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In terms of spot premiums, the average premium for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 5,400 yuan/mt, down 750 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream electrodeposited nickel was at -400-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2605) opened sharply higher in last night's session and then fluctuated downward, closing the morning session today at 135,250 yuan/mt, up 0.50%. Policy expectations that Indonesia may impose a nickel export tax, together with firm ore prices on the raw material side and easing macro sentiment, jointly drove nickel prices to rebound. Nickel prices are expected to hold up well in the short term, with the core trading range of the most-traded SHFE nickel contract at 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

Dalian iron ore futures rose in early trading and pulled back in the afternoon. The most-traded contract, I2605, finally closed at 824 yuan/mt, up 0.55% from the previous trading session. Spot prices rose by about 2-5 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders were relatively active in offering quotes, while steel mills made fewer inquiries and purchased cautiously, with overall transactions in the spot market remaining average. In terms of fundamental data, blast furnace maintenance intensity continued to pull back this week, with maintenance affecting hot metal production by 1.65 million mt, down 206,500 mt WoW. It was expected to decrease by a further 180,000 mt next week to 1.4684 million mt, indicating a gradual improvement on the demand side. In terms of supply, tight supply still persisted in the market, and there was no news of any significant adjustment, which remained supportive for iron ore in the short term. However, some funds, out of concern over downstream risks, tended to stay on the sidelines, and overall wait-and-see sentiment was strong. In summary, iron ore prices were expected to hover at highs in the short term.

[China Iron Ore Brief Review: Iron Ore in Shandong May Continue to Edge Higher] This week, at mines and beneficiation plants in Shandong, the ex-mine quote for 64 grade alkaline fines on a dry basis, before tax and settled by bank acceptance, was 899, up 17 yuan/mt. Steelmakers raised prices in tandem, most miners maintained normal production, and some mines slightly increased output. Steel mills showed moderate willingness to purchase, mainly under long-term contracts, while shipments from small plants and traders were also relatively good, with overall transactions improving; after a large mine in Zaozhuang resumed production