SMM, June 26: Metals market: As of the midday close, base metals on the domestic market almost all fell. SHFE copper edged down, SHFE aluminum fell 0.38%, SHFE lead rose 0.15%, SHFE zinc fell 1%, SHFE tin dropped 1.7%, and SHFE nickel declined 1.81%. In addition, the most-traded foundry aluminum futures fell 0.4%, the most-traded alumina contract dropped 1.41%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract tumbled 5.26%, the most-traded silicon metal contract lost 0.89%, and the most-traded polysilicon futures fell 3.53%. Ferrous metals all fell. Iron ore dropped 0.67%, rebar lost 0.64%, hot-rolled coil slipped 0.51%, and stainless steel dipped 0.21%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract fell 0.92%, and the most-traded coke contract fell 1.21%. Overseas base metals: as of 11:43, LME metals all fell. LME copper dropped 1.55%, LME aluminum fell 0.97%, LME lead lost 0.39%, LME zinc declined 1.38%, LME tin tumbled 1.99%, and LME nickel fell 1.36%. Precious metals: as of 11:43, COMEX gold fell 0.9% and COMEX silver plunged 3.4%. Domestic precious metals: SHFE gold edged down 0.11%; the most-traded SHFE silver contract extended losses from the previous five trading days, falling another 2.72%, and hit an intraday low of 13,513 yuan/kg, the weakest since December 2025. Additionally, as of the midday break, the most-traded platinum futures rose 0.31%, while the most-traded palladium futures fell 0.85%. As of the midday close, the most-traded container shipping (Europe route) futures added 0.7% to 3,686.5 points. Selected futures midday quotes as of 11:43, June 26: Spot and fundamentals Aluminum: The futures market stopped falling and edged up today. Spot aluminum in South China gradually weakened amid divergence. Low aluminum prices and strong destocking continued to support suppliers holding prices firm in selling... Macro front China: [National Energy Administration: During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, it will continue to open up energy projects and issue investment guidelines for private enterprises to participate in large and medium-sized hydropower projects] Wan Jinsong, deputy director and spokesperson of the National Energy Administration, stated at a State Council Information Office press conference that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the administration will persist in the approach of open construction and service-driven investment, increasing support for private enterprises to engage in building a new-type energy system. For major energy projects, it will expand the investment space for private enterprises. For major projects with certain returns, such as nuclear power, hydropower, and oil and gas storage and transportation facilities, the feasibility of private enterprise participation will be assessed on a case-by-case basis. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, we will continue to open up energy projects, issue investment guidelines for private enterprises to participate in large and medium-sized hydropower projects and others, so that their investments have direction and returns are guaranteed. We will further improve the electricity market and pricing mechanism, and support private enterprises in investing in projects such as virtual power plants, charging facilities, and new-type energy storage. [Wang Hongzhi, Director of the National Energy Administration: China's installed power capacity is expected to reach 5.4 billion kW by 2030] Wang Hongzhi, member of the Party Leadership Group of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and Director of the National Energy Administration, stated at a press conference of the State Council Information Office that China's installed power capacity has now exceeded 4 billion kW and is expected to reach 5.4 billion kW by 2030. Among this, new energy will account for over 50% of installed capacity, becoming the mainstay of power capacity, while non-fossil fuel power generation will account for 50% of total electricity output, becoming the main source of electricity. Coal and oil consumption will have peaked. The PBOC conducted a 231.5 billion yuan 7-day reverse repo operation today at an interest rate of 1.4%, unchanged from the previous rate. No reverse repos matured today. The PBOC injected a net 329.7 billion yuan into the open market this week. (From Wallstreetcn APP) US dollar aspect: As of 11:43, the US dollar index rose 0.01% to 101.47. According to CME "FedWatch": the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 69%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 31%. For September, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 36.6%, cumulative 25-bp hike is 48.8%, and cumulative 50-bp hike is 14.6%. Fed Williams stated that the current monetary policy stance is well positioned to bring inflation back to the Fed's 2% target while acknowledging that risks to achieving its dual mandate remain. Williams said, "Given that inflation is elevated, we must bring it back sustainably to the 2% longer-run goal. The current stance of monetary policy is fully capable of achieving that." Williams noted that inflation is "clearly elevated" and well above the Committee's 2% objective. He expects inflation data to pull back slightly over the next few quarters, although significant risks remain. Fed Goolsbee said on Thursday that while the latest US inflation report showed a glimmer of hope for improvement in services inflation, underlying inflation pressures remain too high and concerning. In an interview with CNBC, Goolsbee declined to offer specific views on whether the Fed should raise rates or keep them unchanged. He said he agreed with Fed Chairman Warsh's view that fueling speculation about future interest rate paths should be avoided. (Jin10 Data APP) US data sent mixed signals while oil prices fell below pre-conflict levels. The May PCE inflation YoY matched average expectations, accelerating from 3.8% to 4.1%. Lower energy costs are expected to cool future inflation. May durable goods orders fell 4.5%, versus average expectations for a 4% decline. Meanwhile, Q1 real GDP annualized quarterly rate was revised up from 1.6% to 2.1%, compared to expectations of 1.7%. Initial jobless claims for the week fell to 215,000, against average expectations of 223,000. (Jin10 Data APP) A CITIC Securities research report said the US dollar index has strengthened rapidly in recent days, driving gold prices below the $4,000/oz mark. Fading inflation concerns did not push the dollar lower. We believe political “re-dollarization” may partly explain the dollar’s recent strength, but a more important driver likely comes from expectations of tightening dollar liquidity. We expect the dollar index to find support this year but struggle to sustain a strong rally, and the next US inflation data could be a catalyst for the market to adjust trading strategies. On the data front: The final US June University of Michigan consumer sentiment index and final June one-year inflation expectations will be released today. Also to watch: FOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech; 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks; 2026 FOMC voter and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari speaks. On the crude oil front: As of 11:43, both crude benchmarks fell, with WTI down 1.67% and Brent down 1.54%. As shipping through the Strait of Hormuz resumed, supply concerns eased somewhat. However, a cargo vessel was attacked near Oman on Thursday, and markets will closely monitor geopolitical developments. S&P Global Energy reported on the 25th that 78 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on the 24th, the highest single-day tally since the outbreak of the Iran war. The daily average number of vessels transiting the Strait this month has recovered to about 57% of pre-conflict levels. As of the 24th, a cumulative total of 551 vessels had transited the Strait this month, putting it on track to be the busiest month since the war began. The report noted that recent departures from the Strait included vessels that had been stranded for long periods due to the conflict as well as recent arrivals, signaling early signs of normalization in shipping activity. However, whether the rebound in transit volumes can be sustained remains to be seen, and related agreements still need further consolidation and implementation. ((Xinhua News Agency) US Secretary of Energy Wright expects Iran's daily crude oil exports to reach up to 2 million barrels. Additionally, market sources say that crude oil exports from the Persian Gulf have rebounded to 75% of pre-war levels; in the past three days through Wednesday, the region exported 13 million barrels of crude oil. (Jin10 Data App) An earlier Wallstreetcn article reported that the UAE formally withdrew from OPEC on May 1, and Iraq subsequently threatened to follow suit unless granted greater production freedom. Meanwhile, a series of geopolitical shocks—including the US takeover of Venezuelan oil assets and US-Israeli military actions against Iran—have significantly eroded OPEC's market control capability. Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

When asked, "What are the technological content and barriers of the company's rolled copper foil? Who are the domestic and international competitors? Which companies are downstream clients?" North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 25: The technological content and barriers of the company's rolled copper foil are reflected in: 1. The long process flow of rolled copper foil, involving disciplines such as smelting, rolling, metal heat treatment, and electrochemistry, requires continuous trial production to accumulate a process database. This represents a long-term experiential barrier that cannot be quickly reverse-engineered. 2. Capital and hardware thresholds, with extremely high equipment investment, high barriers for equipment installation, commissioning, and operation, and severe limitations on product width and ultra-thin gauge. 3. Barriers in rolling and forming processes, which are also the highest thresholds—covering product thickness, sheet flatness, internal structure, and mechanical properties, as well as the synergistic barriers of dozens of interconnected processing steps. The consistency control across the entire process is far more demanding than the single-step electrodeposition process for copper cathode foil. Regarding the statement, "The CCL construction portion of the company's 50,000 mt high-performance rolled copper foil and 2 million m² copper clad laminate (CCL) project has not yet commenced due to insufficient relevant technology and talent reserves, out of prudence. Next, the company will decide on the CCL investment and construction plan based on thorough market surveys and scientific validation," North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 25: The CCL construction portion of the company's 50,000 mt high-performance rolled copper foil and 2 million m² CCL project has not yet commenced due to insufficient relevant technology and talent reserves, out of prudence. Next, the company will decide on the CCL investment and construction plan based on thorough market surveys and scientific validation. North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 25: The company seizes market opportunities, closely monitors downstream market demand, focuses on R&D for mid-to-high-end copper strip products and structural adjustments for rolled copper foil products, and is committed to filling gaps in its process lines and reaching its capacity standard, striving to turn losses into profits as soon as possible. Regarding the question, "When will the company's semi-annual report performance forecast announcement be released?", North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 25: The company has scheduled the disclosure of its 2026 semi-annual report for August 27. If the conditions for a performance forecast are met, the company will release the announcement within the stipulated time. When asked, "After the implementation of the 'Regulations on the Implementation of the Mineral Resources Law of the People's Republic of China', has the related work on applying for the mining permit for the newly added copper ore at the Tongkuangyu Mine been accelerated? Could you discuss the company's near-term plans? If progress goes smoothly, based on the ore's copper grade and after deducting relevant costs, how much profit is this expected to bring to the company?" North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 24: The detailed survey of deep-seated replacement resources at the Tongkuangyu Mine is a project to add reserves outside the current mining right's boundary at depth (elevation range: 80m to -325m), which is conducive to increasing the company's copper resource reserves and extending the mine's service life. Given that the replacement resources identified by the detailed survey have reached a large scale, according to reserve review and filing requirements, the exploration level must be achieved for resource reserve filing and for initiating the transition from exploration to mining. As the mine's production level shifts downward, the company will conduct further exploration work for deep-seated replacement resources at the next production level. The company currently has no relevant deep exploration plans. Regarding the question, "As a third-generation core substrate material for IC lead frames, could you briefly introduce the production and latest order status of your company's 5,000 mt chromium zirconium copper alloy product?", North Copper responded on the investor interaction platform on June 23: Our company has completed the casting ingot product for C18150 (chromium zirconium copper alloy); the subsequent copper strip process is currently under trial production. There are no orders at present. On June 17, North Copper stated on the interaction platform in response to an investor's question that the company has not yet established a cooperative relationship with NVIDIA. On June 17, North Copper stated on the interaction platform in response to an investor's question that the company has a comprehensive market cap management system, consistently centering market cap management on enhancing intrinsic value. Through methods such as focusing on core business growth, optimizing governance structures, strengthening information disclosure, and implementing shareholder return plans, it is committed to achieving long-term alignment between the company's value and its market performance. Should there be arrangements such as share buybacks or capital increase plans, the company will promptly issue relevant announcements. On June 15, North Copper stated on the interaction platform in response to an investor's question that, relying on scientific research breakthroughs at the Shanxi Provincial Key Laboratory of New Copper-based Materials, the company's copper strip and foil product structure is undergoing further adjustment and optimization. All production and operation activities are proceeding in an orderly manner, and product orders are growing steadily. On June 4, North Copper stated on the interaction platform in response to an investor's question that the company's management places high importance on extending the industry chain and has made positive progress in deep copper processing. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the company will rely on its existing copper strip and foil production lines to achieve new breakthroughs in scientific research, product structure adjustment, and capacity enhancement, thereby empowering the company's high-quality development. Performance: North Copper's previously released 2026 Q1 report showed that in Q1, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.044 billion yuan, up 46.89% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 615 million yuan, with a YoY increase reaching 65.74%. Regarding the reasons for the increase in operating revenue, North Copper stated in its Q1 report that it was mainly due to an increase in product sales volume and rising prices. Additionally, North Copper's 2025 annual performance report showed that the company achieved operating revenue of 27.916 billion yuan in 2025, up 15.80% YoY; net profit attributable to the parent company was 791 million yuan, up 29.01% YoY. 2025 main product production: copper cathode produced was 300,300 mt, sulphuric acid 766,000 mt, gold ingots 6.4 mt, and silver ingots 68.5 mt. In its 2025 annual report, North Copper described: The company's main business is the mining, beneficiation, smelting, and rolling processing of copper metal. Currently, its captive mine has an annual ore processing capacity of 9 million mt and self-produced copper content of 43,000 mt. Its copper smelting capacity is 320,000 mt, along with gold ingots 10.8 mt, silver ingots 170 mt, and sulphuric acid 1.22 million mt, while it also comprehensively recovers valuable metals like platinum, palladium, selenium, and bismuth. Deep copper processing products include high-performance copper and copper alloy strips, rolled copper foil, etc., of which copper alloy strip capacity is 25,000 mt/year and rolled copper foil capacity is 5,000 mt/year. The company already possesses an integrated industry chain from mining, beneficiation, and smelting to rolling processing. The company's 'Zhongtiaoshan' brand Grade A copper is registered on the Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Shanghai International Energy Exchange, and its 'Zhongtiaoshan' brand gold and silver ingots are registered on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. The mineral exploration situation disclosed in North Copper's 2025 annual report showed that the company completed the detailed survey project of deep-seated replacement resources at the Tongkuangyu Copper Mine (below 80m elevation), with primary completed workloads: prospecting roadway 140.6m, 12 drill chambers/2,823.6m³, 12 drill holes (including 3 hydrogeological holes), drilling footage 7,268.62m, 1:2000 special hydrogeological, engineering geological, and environmental geological survey 6㎢, geophysical logging 2,065.61m, and pumping tests for 3 holes; 8,091 samples analyzed and tested, 46 rock/mineral test groups, 99 small-weight samples, 20 copper phase analysis samples, 10 complete chemical analysis samples, and 12 complete water quality analysis samples. On February 20, 2025, the Shanxi Mining Association organized the completion of supervision and field acceptance work for the resource detailed survey project, issuing supervision and field acceptance reports. In early March, the company completed the compilation of the 'Special Hydrogeological, Engineering Geological and Environmental Geological Detailed Survey Report for the Deep Part of the Tongkuangyu Mine'. On March 17, the Shanxi Mining Association organized an expert review which was passed. In May, the company completed the compilation of the 'Detailed Survey Report on Deep-seated Replacement Resources at the Tongkuangyu Copper Mine in Yuanqu County, Shanxi Province' (hereinafter referred to as the report). On May 23, the Shanxi Mining Association organized an expert review which was passed, and an review opinion was issued. According to the report, as of December 31, 2024, within the 80m to -325m elevation range of the Tongkuangyu mining area, cumulative identified industrial orebody (No. 5) resources amounted to 103.718 million mt of copper ore with an average grade of 0.84% and a metal content of 869,600 mt. Associated gold metal content was 8,930 kg at an avg. grade of 0.09g/t; associated molybdenum metal content was 3,727 mt at an avg. grade of 0.011%. Low-grade copper ore resources amounted to 34.625 million mt with an avg. grade of 0.25% and a metal content of 88,200 mt. The scale of discovered resources reached large-size, marking a significant prospecting achievement and providing a solid resource guarantee for the company's industry chain layout. Regarding the company's copper ore resource reserves, North Copper announced in its annual report, As of year-end 2025, the Tongkuangyu Mine had retained copper ore resources above 80m elevation of 204.664 million mt, with a copper metal content of 1.2501 million mt. Additionally, below 80m elevation at the base of the Tongkuangyu Mine's current mining right, the cumulative identified industrial orebody (No. 5) copper ore resources was 103.718 million mt, with an average grade of 0.84% and a metal content of 869,600 mt. For the 2026 production and operation plan, North Copper mentioned in its 2025 annual report: Main product production: copper cathode 300,000 mt, sulphuric acid 800,000 mt, gold ingots 6 mt, silver ingots 60 mt, to maximize economic benefits. A research report from Huaxi Securities on June 14 pointed out: In the medium and long term, copper, as a key metal for energy transition, possesses strategic allocation value under the policy guidance of the 15th Five-Year Plan. On the supply side, entering 2026, major mines globally have continued to experience strikes and production halts this year, keeping the supply profile relatively tight. From a macro perspective, the probability of a US Fed interest rate cut during the year still exists. In the long term, the macro environment supports copper prices, and the US dollar is expected to continue depreciating, supporting a positive outlook on copper prices. Furthermore, strong supply-demand fundamentals support copper prices. China's macro policies are expected to continue exerting force, and stimulus measures in sectors like electric power infrastructure, NEVs, and home appliance consumption could further expand. Beneficiary stocks: [Zijin Mining], [CMOC], [JCHX], [Jiangxi Copper Corporation], [Western Mining Co., Ltd.], [North Copper], [Tongling Nonferrous Metals], [Yunnan Copper].

SMM, June 25: Metal markets: As of the noon close, base metals on the domestic market fell across the board, with SHFE copper down 1.82%, SHFE aluminum down 2.75%, SHFE lead down 0.7%, SHFE zinc down 1.64%, SHFE nickel down 0.92%, and SHFE tin down 1.76%. Additionally, the most-traded cast aluminum futures fell 2.08%, the most-traded alumina contract fell 1.29%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract fell 1.75%, the most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.29%, and the most-traded polysilicon futures rose 0.33%. Ferrous metals mostly rose, with only stainless steel down 0.75%. Iron ore rose 0.2%, rebar rose 0.1%, and hot-rolled coil edged up. In the coking coal and coke segment: the most-traded coking coal contract inched up 0.08%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.28%. In overseas base metals, as of 11:38, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper rose 0.82%, LME aluminum rose 0.24%, LME lead rose 0.6%, LME zinc rose 0.31%, LME tin rose 2.02%, and LME nickel rose 0.77%. In precious metals, as of 11:38, COMEX gold fell 0.48%, and COMEX silver fell 2.02%. In domestic precious metals: SHFE gold declined 2.81%, hitting an intraday low of 868.34 yuan/g; the most-traded SHFE silver contract fell 7.1%, with an intraday low of 13,560 yuan/kg. Additionally, as of the noon close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 4.39%, and the most-traded palladium futures fell 3.54%. As of the noon close, the most-traded containerized freight index (Europe) futures fell 2.45% to 3,665.5 points. As of 11:38 on June 25, midday quotes for selected futures: Spot and fundamentals Silver: In the spot market, downstream consumption recovered somewhat after silver continued to decline. Morning quotes in Shanghai were mainly at TD parity to +20 yuan/kg... Macro front Domestic front: [China's power generation capacity exceeds 4 billion kW] On June 25, the National Energy Administration announced that as of the end of May 2026, China's power generation capacity reached 4.01 billion kW, ranking first globally. Non-fossil energy capacity became the absolute mainstay of capacity additions, and the energy mix continued to improve. The share of coal-fired power capacity fell from 61% in 2010 to 32% in May 2026; the share of non-fossil energy capacity rose from 25% in 2010 to 62% in May 2026; and the share of renewable energy capacity rose from 24% in 2010 to 61% in May 2026. (Xinhua) [PBOC reverse repo net injection of 322.5 billion yuan today] The PBOC conducted 370.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 500 billion yuan of 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations today. With 300 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 248 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing today, this resulted in a net injection of 322.5 billion yuan. ((Jin10 Data APP) US dollar: As of 11:38, the US dollar index fell 0.07% to 101.51. All large US banks passed the Fed's annual stress test, paving the way for banks to boost share buybacks and dividends by tens of billions of dollars. The stress test aims to assess how Wall Street lenders would fare under hypothetical financial system shocks. Unlike in previous years, the 2026 test results will not affect capital requirements, as the Fed is continuously revising the test to make it more friendly to banks. This year's test examined how 32 large lenders would withstand a severe global shock amid greater stress in commercial and residential real estate markets and corporate debt markets. The hypothetical scenario included a severe global recession, a 39% drop in commercial real estate prices, and a 30% decline in residential prices. The unemployment rate also surged to a peak of 10%, with a corresponding decline in economic output. The regulators said, "Despite absorbing over $708 billion in loan losses under this year's hypothetical scenario, total capital fell by just 1.6 percentage points, still above the minimum capital requirement." According to CME FedWatch, the probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the chance of a cumulative 25bp rate hike is 34.2%. By September, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 33.6%, of a cumulative 25bp hike is 49.7%, and of a cumulative 50bp hike is 16.7%. US Treasury Secretary Bessent praised Fed Chairman Warsh for eliminating forward guidance, and said no one should make dot plot forecasts. On the economy, he expects real wage growth to return to the pace seen before April and expects the economy to accelerate for the rest of the year without fueling inflation. He stressed that the dominance of the US dollar is crucial. He believes that once the situation in Ukraine is over, Russia will want to return to the dollar system, while a new Venezuela is returning to that system. During a period of rate cuts, the dollar can still remain strong, and the US is willing to take the right measures to keep the dollar strong. (Jin10 Data APP) On the data front: Today will see the release of Australia's May seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Germany's July GfK Consumer Confidence Index, US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20, US May core PCE price index year-on-year, US May personal spending month-on-month, the final reading of US Q1 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter, the final reading of US Q1 real personal consumption expenditures quarter-on-quarter, the final reading of US Q1 core PCE price index annualized quarter-on-quarter, US May core PCE price index month-on-month, US May durable goods orders month-on-month, and other data. Additionally, attention should be paid to: Nvidia's annual shareholder meeting; the Bank of Canada's release of monetary policy meeting minutes; the US Federal Reserve's release of annual bank stress test results; Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo's attendance at a central bank lecture event hosted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF); Micron Technology's fiscal 2026 Q3 earnings call; and 300 billion yuan in 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) and 248 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos maturing today. Crude oil: As of 11:38, oil prices on both exchanges continued to decline, extending losses from the previous three trading days, with WTI falling 1.69% and Brent falling 1.53%. Oil prices pulled back their wartime gains on Thursday as the market bet on improving global crude supply, with tankers that had been stranded in the Persian Gulf for months beginning to sail out of the Strait of Hormuz. According to data from maritime analytics firm Kpler, more than 20 tankers carrying approximately 35 million barrels of crude oil have passed through the Strait of Hormuz since a US-Iran agreement reopened this critical shipping lane. These non-Iranian tankers had been stuck in the Persian Gulf for over three months after Tehran effectively blockaded the waterway early in the conflict. Most of these tankers are expected to arrive at Asian destinations by early August. Citigroup stated that the worst may be over for commodity futures carry trade strategies, which suffered massive losses during the US-Iran war as short positions in near-month contracts were hit hard by soaring prices, while long positions in forward contracts were bought. Citi noted that the current base case is for significant de-escalation, and predicts that as Strait of Hormuz shipping normalizes, Brent crude prices will fall to $60-$65 per barrel over the next 6 to 12 months. (Jin10 Data APP) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,278.5/mt, touched a high of $13,289/mt right after opening, then its center moved downward to hit $12,988/mt, and finally closed at $13,026.5/mt, down 2.59%. Trading volume reached 36,000 lots, open interest stood at 248,000 lots, a decrease of 4,061 lots from the previous trading day, reflecting long position liquidation. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2608 contract opened at 102,200 yuan/mt, edged up slightly to 102,260 yuan/mt in early trading, then fluctuated downward to touch a low of 100,500 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 100,880 yuan/mt, down 2.58%. Trading volume reached 93,000 lots, open interest stood at 162,000 lots, an increase of 5,968 lots from the previous trading day, reflecting bearish position additions.

SMM June 24 – Metals market: As of the midday close, all domestic base metals fell, with SHFE copper down 0.95%, SHFE aluminum down 1.11%, SHFE lead down 0.12%, SHFE zinc down 1.7%, SHFE nickel down 1.94%, and SHFE tin down 4.64% to a session low of 388,220 yuan/mt. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum contract fell 1.01%, the most-traded alumina contract rose 0.52%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 1.67%, the most-traded silicon metal contract edged down, and the most-traded polysilicon contract rose 0.28%. Ferrous metals showed mixed performance, with iron ore up 0.68%, rebar edging down, HRC edging up, and stainless steel down 1.27%. On the coking coal and coke front: the most-traded coking coal contract fell 0.64%, and the most-traded coke contract was at parity with 1,953.5 yuan/mt. On the overseas base metals front, as of 11:38, LME metals were nearly all lower. LME copper rose 0.24%, LME aluminum fell 0.67%, LME lead fell 0.44%, LME zinc and LME tin fell within 0.5%, and LME nickel edged down. On the precious metals front, as of 11:38, COMEX gold fell 1.86% and COMEX silver fell 1.34%. On the domestic precious metals front: the most-traded SHFE gold contract extended its losing streak from the previous four trading days, falling another 2.37% to a session low of 886.34 yuan/g; the most-traded SHFE silver contract extended its losing streak from the previous three trading days, falling another 5.08%. Additionally, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 0.6% and the most-traded palladium futures fell 1.41%. As of the midday close, the most-traded European container shipping futures contract rose 0.79% to 3,745 points. As of 11:38 on June 24, some futures midday market data: Spot and Fundamentals Copper: Today, Guangdong #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract: high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 80 yuan/mt, flat from the previous trading day; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 20 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a discount of 60 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 103,310 yuan/mt, down 975 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average SX-EW copper price was 103,200 yuan/mt, down 970 yuan/mt. Spot market: Guangdong inventory rose for the fourth consecutive trading day, mainly due to increased arrivals... Macro Front Domestic Side: [Three Ministries Implement 2026 Insurance Compensation Policy for First (Set of) Major Technical Equipment] The MIIT General Office, the Ministry of Finance General Office, and the National Financial Regulatory Administration General Office issued a notice on implementing the 2026 insurance compensation policy for the first (set of) major technical equipment. The notice stated that complete equipment is generally supported based on the number of units (sets); core systems, key parts, key supporting components for major technical equipment, and basic components are generally supported based on the number of batches. For complete equipment such as high-end industrial machine tools, specialized electronic equipment, new-type agricultural machinery, and precision instruments and meters, which have relatively low per-unit value, support can be provided on a batch basis; for high-value core systems and key components like aircraft engines and marine engines, support can be provided on a per-unit basis. [Ultra-long special government bonds have helped upgrade over 360,000 elevators] On June 24, it was learned from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development that since the state included the upgrading of old residential elevators into the scope of ultra-long special government bond funding support, various localities have actively relied on policy support to vigorously promote the upgrading of old residential elevators, facilitating residents' convenient travel. To date, a total of over 360,000 old residential elevators have been upgraded. (CCTV News) [PBOC reverse repo net injection of 242.2 billion yuan today] The PBOC today conducted 662.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations at an operation rate of 1.4%, unchanged from the previous. Today, 420.3 billion yuan of reverse repo matures. US Dollar: As of 11:38, the US dollar index rose 0.1% to 101.47. On the data front: on June 24, S&P Global released data showing that the US June composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) flash reading rose to 52.2, higher than the previous 51.5 and market expectations of 52.1, hitting a five-month high and indicating continued expansion in US business activity. By sector, manufacturing stood out. New orders grew at the fastest pace in over four years, driving a marked pickup in factory production. The US June manufacturing PMI flash reading rose to 55.7, the highest since May 2022, exceeding the expected 54.6 and the prior 55.1. Meanwhile, the service sector also maintained expansion, with the June services PMI flash reading climbing to 51.3, a four-month high, above the expected 51.1 and the prior 50.7. At the same time, easing cost pressure expectations due to the de-escalation of Middle East tensions also boosted business confidence. However, the survey also showed that issues such as supply chain delays, rising raw material costs, and slowing employment persist, and the foundation for economic recovery is not solid. (From Wall Street Insight APP) According to CNBC, as the search for the next president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta enters its seventh month, the hiring process is being closely watched. Observers hope to see how the new Fed chief Warsh will reshape the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is responsible for setting interest rate policy. As Warsh began to exert his personal influence within the Fed, the selection process shifted. During former Fed Chairman Powell’s tenure, the Fed had already been scouting candidates for the Atlanta Fed president job title, according to two people familiar with the hiring process. However, to allow Warsh to take the lead on the appointment, the selection process was temporarily suspended. Because the search is still ongoing, both sources requested anonymity. They noted that Michael Faulkender, who previously served as a senior Treasury official under President Trump, was subsequently added to the list of candidates for the Atlanta Fed presidency. It remains unclear whether Faulkender is still a candidate. (Jin10 Data App) According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability that the Fed holds rates steady in July is 62.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25bps hike is 37.4%. The probability that the Fed holds rates steady through September is 29.8%, with a 50.6% chance of a cumulative 25bps hike and a 19.6% chance of a cumulative 50bps hike. In other currencies: Data released on Wednesday showed that Australia’s CPI slowed in May, weighed down by lower fuel costs and reduced holiday travel demand. Still, core inflation came in above expectations, suggesting that further rate hikes cannot be ruled out. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics data, the CPI fell 0.7% MoM in May, while the YoY growth rate slowed to 4%, down from the previous reading of 4.2% and compared with market expectations of a 0.4% MoM decline and 4.3% YoY growth. However, core inflation, which strips out volatile items, rose 0.4% MoM in May—topping expectations of 0.3%—pushing the annual rate to 3.6%. The RBA has already hiked rates three times this year as it seeks to pull core inflation back into its 2%–3% target range. The Bank of Japan signaled in the minutes of last week’s board meeting that there is a need to further raise the benchmark interest rate. At that meeting, the BOJ lifted the policy rate to its highest level since 1995. According to the minutes released on Wednesday, one member stated: “Given that core CPI inflation is close to 2% and financial conditions remain accommodative, the Bank should continue raising the policy rate in response to the current economic, inflation and financial environment.” While the BOJ’s move last week marked its first rate hike since last December and signaled clearly that more increases are ahead, the minutes offered no explicit guidance on the timing of the next hike. Even so, they reinforced market expectations for another rate increase before the end of the year. The day after the meeting concluded, a survey of economists showed that about 90% of respondents expected another rate hike before December, with over one-third projecting October as the next adjustment window. Economists now expect the benchmark rate in this hiking cycle to reach 1.75%, up from the 1.5% forecast in the survey earlier this month. (Jin10 Data App) Data: Today will see the release of Australia's unadjusted May CPI y/y, Germany's June IFO business climate index, Switzerland's June ZEW investor sentiment index, the Q1 US current account, and US new home sales (annualized) for May, among other data. Also on watch: the Bank of Japan publishes a summary of opinions from the board members on the June monetary policy meeting; the 2026 Shanghai Mobile World Congress runs through June 26. Crude Oil: As of 11:38, oil prices on both exchanges fell, with WTI down 1.08% and Brent off 0.87%. Following a temporary peace agreement between the US and Iran, tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resumed, keeping international crude prices under pressure. (Wall Street News) Iran's ambassador in Geneva stated that the Strait of Hormuz is fully open to commercial vessels, and a significant volume of oil has been transported through the waterway in recent days. (Jin10 Data App) On June 23 local time, US President Trump said the United States is "working toward a fair agreement with Iran" to end the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. He noted that 19 million barrels of oil were transported through the strait just the previous day (June 22). Trump reiterated that "Iran cannot have nuclear weapons" and indicated that work on the matter is progressing well. (CCTV) Spot Market at a Glance: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

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