SMM July 21 News: Entering late July, the Chinese tungsten market has entered a phase of consolidating at lows and repairing. After tungsten prices experienced a sustained deep pullback in the prior period, low-priced cargo became hard to find. Upstream mines and holding traders held back from selling and showed a strong willingness to hold prices firm, while the center of spot order transaction prices moved steadily higher. Coupled with the boost to market sentiment from long-term contract purchase quotes by leading tungsten enterprises, trading activity at the mine and APT ends has recovered somewhat. However, constrained by the traditional consumption off-season, downstream end-use demand has yet to visibly recover, leaving the overall market structurally divided, with upstream raw material prices rebounding on firm offers while downstream demand remains persistently weak. A tungsten enterprise lowered its long-term contract purchase prices for the second half of July A tungsten enterprise lowered its long-term contract purchase prices for the second half of July, as follows: According to a Chongyi tungsten enterprise, its long-term contract purchase prices for the second half of July are as follows: 1. 55% wolframite concentrates: 411,000 yuan/standard tonne, down 37,000 yuan/standard tonne from the previous round; 2. 55% scheelite concentrates: 410,000 yuan/standard tonne, down 37,000 yuan/standard tonne from the previous round; 3. APT (national standard grade 0): 605,000 yuan/mt, down 55,000 yuan/mt from the previous round. Tungsten prices stop falling and see two consecutive days of gains Reviewing the current round of market movements, after the average price of wolframite concentrates rebounded to a previous high of 527,500 yuan/standard tonne in early-to-mid June, the market continued to weaken. The key drag was persistently sluggish end-use demand, coupled with a period of continued destocking of raw material inventories following previous concentrated stockpiling by enterprises, which significantly weakened market price support. Tungsten prices thus embarked on an overall downward correction from June 17. Compared with the average price of 527,500 yuan/standard tonne on June 16, the average of 402,500 yuan/standard tonne on July 17 represented a decline of 125,000 yuan/standard tonne, or 23.7%, in just over a month. After the rapid pullback in tungsten prices, phased bottom support has gradually emerged for the tungsten market. Tightening upstream supply and warming sentiment to hold back from selling and hold prices firm helped tungsten prices stop falling and stabilize, and then they saw a rebound over two consecutive days. According to SMM quotes, the price of wolframite concentrates (≥65%) on July 21 was 410,000-415,000 yuan/standard tonne, with an average price of 412,500 yuan/standard tonne, up 1.23% from the previous trading day. At present, low-priced cargo is scarce in the market, and suppliers have generally stopped dumping at low prices. Combined with the fact that long-term contract purchase prices of leading tungsten enterprises are higher than mainstream spot transaction prices, market confidence has been effectively boosted, driving spot transaction prices to gradually converge toward long-term contract prices. Outlook In the short term, supported by tightening raw material supply and strong sentiment among suppliers to hold prices firm, the tungsten market in late July will primarily experience a slight rebound and consolidation at lows, with conditions not yet in place for a significant reversal. Any substantial recovery in the market still depends on the arrival of the traditional downstream peak consumption season from August to September, driven by a recovery in end-user orders and the release of concentrated restocking demand that pushes prices upward. Currently, the industry chain has relatively consistent expectations for a recovery in the peak season, and some enterprises may gradually begin pre-stockpiling on dips, which is expected to bring marginal improvement to tungsten market conditions. The tungsten market is now at a critical period of stopping falling and consolidating, with the recovery concentrated in upstream raw materials. Downstream sectors such as tungsten powder and cemented carbide remain deep in the traditional consumption off-season, with stable end-user operations and scarce new orders. Enterprises generally restock only to meet rigid demand, and there are no large-scale stockpiling activities, which is insufficient to support a sharp rise in raw material prices. However, the industry chain has formed a broad consensus on a market recovery after August, and pre-stockpiling on dips is gradually increasing, which is expected to drive marginal upward movement in the industry chain's market conditions ahead of time. Markets outside China, affected by the summer holiday, are experiencing sluggish trading, with high prices but no buyers. Prices continue to consolidate at highs, the risk of a sharp decline is extremely low, and the pattern of divergence between domestic and overseas markets is expected to persist. Going forward, focus on four key variables: first, the pace of domestic mine supply release and changes in suppliers' sentiment to hold prices firm; second, the pace of downstream cemented carbide end-user operation recovery and the intensity of concentrated restocking; third, the market guidance role of APT long-term contract quotations; fourth, the volume of scrap tungsten recycling and circulation, and the downstream procurement volume of recycled raw materials. Recommended reading:
Jul 21, 2026 19:42
In H1, the industry showed distinct characteristics: upstream raw material imports experienced a mix of hot and cold trends, while mid-and downstream aluminum processing product exports saw explosive growth. Diverging domestic and overseas demand, shifting overseas manufacturing orders, and changes in the overseas raw material supply landscape are jointly reshaping the trade pattern of China's aluminum industry chain.
Jul 21, 2026 18:10July 21 , 2026 Customs data shows that in June 2026, China's aluminum wire exports totaled 112,396 mt, up 76.03% MoM and up 379.7% YoY. In January-June 2026, China's aluminum wire exports amounted to 283,400 mt, up 109.76% YoY. (HS codes: 76141000, 76149000) Aluminum stranded wire (76149000): Monthly exports hit a new high of 96,000 mt For aluminum stranded wire, domestic exports reached 96,385 mt in June, up 91.9% MoM, with a net increase of 46,161 mt from May’s 50,224 mt. This figure far exceeded the upbeat forecast in the May analysis. The share of aluminum stranded wire in total exports climbed further from 78.7% in May to 85.8%, marking the third consecutive month above the 50% threshold and a continued rise, reflecting the concentrated delivery of orders secured during the earlier export profit window. ACSR (76141000): up 17.5% MoM For ACSR, June exports were 16,011 mt, up 17.5% MoM, with a net increase of 2,384 mt from May’s 13,627 mt. ACSR exports rebounded for the second consecutive month, but the growth rate was far behind the explosive growth of aluminum stranded wire, and its share of total exports contracted further from 21.3% in May to 14.2%. Export destination analysis for aluminum stranded wire: The June growth mainly came from two directions. First, volume expansion in traditional markets. South Korea (+16,763 mt) and Japan (+6,682 mt) together contributed 43.8% of the top 15 destinations’ incremental volume. Exports to Hong Kong, China surged 403% MoM, very likely driven by traders shipping goods in bulk via Hong Kong for re-export. Second, the emergence of new markets. Serbia (3,134 mt) and the UAE (2,498 mt) started from zero. Europe and the Middle East began to appear on the export map of aluminum stranded wire. Taiwan, China, although having a base of 99 mt in May, jumped to 2,506 mt in June, surging over 24-fold, which also deserves attention. Export destination analysis for ACSR: In June, ACSR was exported to 58 countries and regions, with export concentration remaining high: the top 10 destinations accounted for 14,385 mt, or 89.8% of total exports. Unlike the broad-based surge in aluminum stranded wire, ACSR exports were still dominated by traditional markets, with Saudi Arabia firmly in first place at 5,371 mt (33.5% share). SMM comments : June aluminum wire exports hit another new monthly record at 112,400 mt. The key driver remained the concentrated delivery in June of massive orders locked in during the earlier window of favorable price spread between Chinese and overseas markets. Looking ahead, some remaining orders secured at fixed prices will still be delivered in July, but many producers reported contract cancellations. Aluminum wire exports in July are expected to trend downward; although down sharply from June’s peak, they will remain above normal levels, reflecting the lagged delivery effect of earlier orders. If the price spread between Chinese and overseas markets does not recover significantly in August-September, the export window for aluminum stranded wire will be hard to reopen, and China's aluminum stranded wire exports will return to a normalized range of 20,000-30,000 mt per month. Overall, June 2026 is very likely to be the peak month for aluminum wire exports for the full year. H2 exports will undergo a transition from high levels to normal levels. With cumulative exports of 283,000 mt in January-June as the base, H2 exports will gradually return to a normal average of 20,000-30,000 mt per month. Full-year exports are expected to reach 420,000-480,000 mt, still representing significant growth over 2025, but the growth rate will slow markedly in H2.
Jul 21, 2026 17:19
In summary, the import dividends marginally faded in June, while exports experienced a periodical recovery. The narrowing of the import window in July will cause monthly imports to decline significantly, and the annual trade pattern will enter a new phase of reduced imports and export recovery.
Jul 21, 2026 15:21According to the latest customs statistics, China’s imports of die-cast zinc alloys reached 2,619.61 metric tons in June 2026, edging down 0.12% month-on-month (compared with 2,622.81 tons in May), a year-on-year drop of 43.38%. The total import volume for January–June stood at 15,878.56 metric tons, representing a cumulative year-on-year decline of 32.93%.
Jul 21, 2026 14:35[SMM Analysis]Divergent Trends in H1 Unwrought Aluminum Alloy Imports and Exports: Price Spreads Boost Exports While Inverted Profits Drag Down Imports
Jul 21, 2026 11:38To better serve the entire global energy storage supply chain and to help market participants accurately track FOB China price trends for DC‑side battery containers exported to Europe and India,
PriceJun 29, 2026 09:38[SMM Announcement] Launch of CIF Premiums by Lead Content for Lead Ingots from Vietnam and Malaysia
PriceApr 15, 2026 09:231. SMM 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne Methodology 1.1 General Principles of SMM Price Assessment Methodology SMM (hereinafter referred to as SMM) is a completely independent third-party service provider that does not participate in any substantive transactions. Instead, it maintains close communication with buyers or sellers in transactions as a market observer or organizer, and provides relevant services to the market. SMM continuously formulates, reviews, and revises its methodologies through communication with industry insiders, adopting the most common product specifications, trade terms, and trade conditions in the industry. It attaches equal importance to normal transactions that meet the specification standards. SMM reserves the right to exclude any price data information deemed to be of poor reliability or non-representative from its price assessments. SMM publishes daily spot metal prices (or price indices, including those for the Chinese market, markets outside China, and global markets), commonly referred to as SMM prices. For each published SMM price, SMM has established a corresponding methodology (all of which are available for reference on SMM’s official website, www.smm.cn). The methodology specifies the methods and procedures for generating and publishing SMM prices, and SMM strictly adheres to these provisions when producing and releasing SMM prices. To align with the actual conditions of the spot market, SMM may make necessary revisions to its price assessment methodology. Such revisions will be announced on SMM’s official website, www.smm.cn, 28 days prior to their formal implementation. For any questions or suggestions regarding SMM prices or their methodology, please contact SMM customer service (contact information can be found on SMM’s official website, www.smm.cn). This document outlines the standards for establishing SMM 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne. The purpose of SMM in developing this standard is to establish a transparent and verifiable mechanism for SMM price determination. The SMM Benchmark Management Committee also regularly reviews the methodology and its assessment and publication processes. This committee oversees SMM’s methodology and compilation process, ensuring that the prices or indices reflect, as accurately as possible, the objective conditions of the physical spot market for the relevant commodities. If the committee identifies any issues, it will promptly highlight them and propose external consultation and revisions to the current methodology or processes, thereby enhancing the quality of the prices or indices published by SMM. The committee may only propose modifications to the methodology and procedures used for future price or index assessments it cannot alter already published prices or indices. 2. Formation of SMM 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne 2.1 Significance of the Price Assessment In recent years, with the implementation of domestic and overseas NEV policies and the rapid expansion of NEV production, copper foil used as the anode carrier in lithium-ion batteries has shown a surge in demand. Meanwhile, the new infrastructure wave represented by 5G, along with rapid developments in artificial intelligence, big data, and automotive electronics, has driven increasing demand for copper foil in related electronic circuit industries. The copper foil industry is also advancing toward higher precision, density, and reliability. As industry capacity rises and develops, and enterprises expand into overseas markets such as South Korea, there is a growing need for a fair and standardized operating environment. Copper foil processing fees, beneficial for long-term risk control and management, play a crucial role in the industry's development. In light of this, SMM will officially launch weekly SMM 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne starting December 26, 2025, at which time SMM price members will be able to simultaneously access historical prices. 2.2 SMM 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne Price Assessment Methodology 2.2.1 Product Specifications and Standards Given the wide variety of copper foil specifications, SMM uses the 8μm with the largest market share for copper foil premium assessments. The premium assessment adopts 8μm thickness product width: 700-1,000 mm product type: Power Battery with Ordinary Tensile Strength. KS C 2211-2002 Electrolytic Deposit Copper Foil for Printed Circuits standard. 2.2.2 Price Terms The price is a VAT-excluded CIF price at major ports in Korea based on the premium over LME CSP, with a quotation period of M+0 (M M stands for arrival month), quoted in USD per metric ton. 2.2.3 Payment Terms The price assessment reflects payment terms for cash transactions in the month of the transaction. Reference is made to major international payment methods (including D/P documents against payment, D/A documents against acceptance, T/T telegraphic transfer, etc.). If significant deviations from this standard occur, SMM will consider whether to exclude individual samples based on trade volume. For forward payments or letter of credit payments, SMM will adjust based on prevailing interest rates to align with this standard. 2.2.4 Delivery Time Within 4 weeks. 2.2.5 Reference Transaction Volume Min 25 tonnes. 2.2.6 Delivery Location Major Ports in Korea. 2.2.7 Price Publication Time Weekly, last trading day of the week, by 1pm Seoul time. 2.2.8 Price Format The assessed price are presented as a range, indicating the lowest and highest prices. For example: 8μm Lithium Battery Copper Foil premium, cif Korea, $/tonne range 3,000-4,000 $/tonne, average: 3,500 $/tonne. 2.2.9 Price Collection Method SMM will, in accordance with the price collection confirmation agreement, have price analysts regularly collect price information from copper foil industry price contacts via phone, QQ, WeChat, fax, and email. This price information includes concluded transaction prices, the enterprise's expected most likely pending transaction prices, etc. All instant messaging content, email communications, and any records of face-to-face communications will be archived details of phone communications will be recorded and entered into the database. SMM analysts must comply with the Compliance System when reporting any forced or threatened communications from market participants, or any induced offers attempting to influence the assessment. Once published, SMM will not revise or adjust the price on the same day. 2.2.9.1 Assessment (Calculation) of Published Prices Step-1: The final dataset from the previous chapter, which exists as a processing fee range, is split into several lower limit values and several upper limit values for two different types of enterprise classifications in this methodology version: copper foil producers and downstream end-users. Arithmetic averages are calculated for both sets and rounded to the nearest whole number. Among these: - When both transaction information and offer/counteroffer information are present, the weight of transaction information is set at 60%, and offer/counteroffer information at 40%. - When transaction information, offer/counteroffer information, and other information are all present, the weight of transaction information is set at 50%, offer/counteroffer information at 40%, and other information at 10%. - When only offer/counteroffer information and other information are present, the weight of offer/counteroffer information is set at 90%, and other information at 10%. Step-2: The two price ranges derived from the previous step, which exist as processing fee states, are split into two lower limit values and two upper limit values. Weights are applied, and weighted averages are calculated, then rounded to the nearest whole number. In this methodology version, copper foil producers are weighted at 50%, and downstream enterprises at 50%. Step-3: The relevant calculation coefficients above will be adjusted every six months to ensure timeliness. 2.2.9.2 Data Standardization Although SMM has standardized definitions for our prices, diversity exists in market transactions. The price of each transaction is influenced by numerous factors, including order size, brand of goods, delivery time, payment terms, etc. SMM will comprehensively consider market offers, bids, and transaction information, aligning them with our standards. Each price datum will be electronically recorded or accompanied by written records. All electronic and paper records must be archived by price collection personnel and retained long-term (at least 5 years) in secure network and physical environments. For details, please refer to the SMM Data Retention Policy. 2.2.9.3 Price Assessment Process The specific process is as follows: 2.3 Methodology Changes All markets change, and SMM has a responsibility to ensure that the methodology for market reports evolves with the market. Therefore, SMM will regularly conduct internal reviews of the methodology's appropriateness based on industry feedback. For all substantive but non-urgent potential modifications, SMM will follow a formal external consultation process. Major changes will then be announced with a notice period of at least 28 days, inviting industry comments, unless special circumstances, particularly force majeure (natural disasters, war, exchange bankruptcy, etc.), necessitate a shorter notice period. SMM is committed to carefully considering all comments on proposed methodology changes, but in some cases, it may be necessary to proceed with changes contrary to the wishes of some market participants. Additionally, SMM has a formal methodology consultation process. SMM commits to holding a formal consultation on the methodology every three years. The date of the last consultation and the deadline for the next consultation committed by SMM are located at the top of the methodology document. 2.4 Compliance with SMM Policies All relevant SMM employees must not only comply with the methodology published by SMM but also adhere to SMM's internal standards and policies. These include: SMM Conflict of Interest Policy, SMM Whistleblower Policy, SMM Error Correction Policy, SMM Methodology Review Consultation and Change Policy, SMM Complaints Policy, etc. Welcome more relevant enterprises in the industry chain to participate and support SMM in better serving related enterprises in the copper foil industry chain. For inquiries, please contact: Shanghai Metals Market Copper Research Team, Shanyu Jiang Contact: 021-20707916, +86 15615750662
PriceDec 23, 2025 15:00