[SMM Nickel Flash] March 17 News. Supply side, some smelters held firm on quotations, but amid the futures decline and stainless steel finished product prices coming under pressure, some traders feared buying at elevated levels. Demand side, terminal demand remained weak and struggled to accept high prices for stainless steel finished products. Meanwhile, the cost advantage of steel scrap widened, and steel mills' willingness to procure high-grade NPI turned sluggish again.

SMM Nickel, March 17: Macro and Market News: (1) National Bureau of Statistics (NBS): In January-February, the national economy got off to a strong start and posted a good opening. Value-added industrial output of enterprises above designated size rose 6.3% YoY, total retail sales increased 2.8%, and real estate development investment fell 11.1% YoY. (2) Trump: The US Fed should immediately hold a special meeting to cut interest rate; the war will end soon, but not this week; once the war with Iran ends, oil prices will fall rapidly like a stone. Spot market: On March 17, the SMM price of #1 refined nickel increased by 1,250 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums, Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 6,550 yuan/mt, down 150 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; China mainstream brands of electrodeposited nickel were at -500-400 yuan/mt. Futures market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2605 contract fluctuated upward in early trading and closed the morning session at 137,150 yuan/mt, up 0.55%. Tensions in the Middle East pushed up oil prices and intensified inflation concerns. The market expects the US Fed may slow the pace of interest rate cuts, while the US dollar continued to strengthen, forming clear pressure on nickel prices. Despite significant macro pressure, the support logic at the industry level remained unchanged, and market concerns over tightening supply of nickel intermediate products persisted. In the short term, the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to move sideways in the 135,000-145,000 yuan/mt range.

[SMM Nickel Flash] News on March 17: The SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor was 2.23, down 0.03 MoM; the upstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 2.85, down 0.04 MoM; and the downstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 1.6, down 0.03 MoM.

On March 17, the SMM average price of battery-grade nickel sulphate remained unchanged.

[SMM Nickel Flash] March 16 News: Supply side, upstream cost support still remained. Demand side, downstream spot order procurement mainly focused on cargoes with higher nickel units. Amid declining stainless steel prices, downstream psychological price levels showed a downward trend. Overall, the stage of back-and-forth negotiations between upstream and downstream had not yet ended, and high-grade NPI prices were capped by finished stainless steel products on the upside.

[SMM Nickel Flash] March 16 News: The SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor was 2.26, down 0.06 MoM; the upstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 2.89, down 0.03 MoM; and the downstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 1.63, down 0.09 MoM.