[Macro and Fundamental Crosscurrents Keep SHFE and LME in Fluctuating Trend] Early in the week, the US-Iran memorandum of understanding lifted macro sentiment, but a rising US dollar index kept LME zinc fluctuating at highs. Subsequently, LME zinc inventory rose markedly to above 120,000 mt, weighing on zinc prices and sending LME zinc lower. Then, ahead of the US Fed’s rate decision, wait-and-see sentiment grew notably, putting a temporary brake on the decline as LME zinc moved sideways...

[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Downstream Purchasing Weakness and Insufficient Export Orders, Magnesium Ingot Market Remained Weak] This week, the overall market for dolomite and magnesium-related products was stable, presenting a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. Quarries in Wutai, Shanxi, halted production due to environmental protection requirements, leading to localized tightness in high-grade dolomite, but nationwide inventory remained ample. Downstream users purchased as needed, and prices stayed stable. In major production areas, magnesium ingot supply was plentiful, and downstream only made just-in-time procurement. The market was in a stalemate, with sluggish export orders and strong wait-and-see sentiment. Magnesium powder followed the raw material trend; the industry was in the off-season, and both domestic and export transactions were mediocre. Magnesium alloy production was steady, but enterprises experienced divergent order situations. Inventories at some producers rose, and the increase in low-priced supply widened price spreads. The tug-of-war between sellers and buyers intensified across the entire industry chain. In the short term, price fluctuations for each product will be limited, and the market will continue to run steadily.

[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: SHFE tin swung wildly throughout the week at 394,000-411,000 yuan/mt; amid a supply-demand stalemate, it is expected to continue consolidating at highs.]

[Geopolitical Risks Dominate Market, SHFE and LME Both Move Lower] At the start of the week, the situation in the Middle East remained volatile, and LME zinc fluctuated; subsequently, the US dollar index declined, and LME zinc rose; however, as market expectations for the US Fed to maintain higher interest rates for longer intensified and the US struck Iran, the center of LME zinc shifted lower; then, Trump announced the resumption of “heavy strikes” against Iran, the US-Iran ceasefire agreement was disrupted, and LME zinc quickly moved lower...

[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Intensified Supply-Demand Tug-of-War, Magnesium Ingot Market Remains in Stalemate and Consolidation This Week] This week, the overall market for dolomite and magnesium products remained stable, with the market showing a supply-strong, demand-weak pattern. Dolomite quarries in Wutai, Shanxi, were shut down due to environmental protection measures, leading to localized tight supply of high-grade dolomite. However, national inventory remained ample, and downstream users purchased as needed, keeping prices stable. Magnesium ingot supply in major production areas was abundant, while downstream buyers only made just-in-time procurement, resulting in a stagnant market. Export orders were sluggish, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment. Magnesium powder followed the raw material trend, and the industry was in the demand off-season, with mediocre domestic and foreign trade transactions. Magnesium alloy production was steady, but enterprise orders diverged. Some producers saw rising inventory, an increase in low-priced supply, and a widening price spread. The supply-demand tug-of-war across the industry chain intensified, and short-term price fluctuations for various product categories remained limited, with the market expected to continue running steadily.

[Geopolitical News Disruptions Continue, SHFE and LME Maintain Fluctuating Trend] At the beginning of the week, mixed news on Middle East peace talks rekindled short-term risk-averse sentiment in the market. Sporadic conflicts persisted, the tariff outlook remained unclear, and LME zinc continued to rise......