Lead concentrate TCs were lowered by 50 yuan/mt Pb overall this week. The average weekly TC for domestic Pb50 was reduced to 200 yuan/mt Pb, while some silver-lead ores rich in copper and zinc were still quoted with high TCs above -2,000 yuan/mt Pb due to reasons such as non-pricing or low pricing of contained metals. Overall, lead concentrates remained in tight supply. Due to low arrivals of imported ore, the average weekly TC for imported Pb60 was reduced to -145 $/dmt, and the mainstream quotation range for smelters was lowered to -160 to -130 $/dmt. A few smelters accepted quotations above -200 $/dmt for imported silver-lead ores with good richness due to by-product revenue needs and other reasons. Some smelters have not yet finalized their prices for this month. In terms of negotiations and expectations, lead concentrates exhibited a polarization trend: smelters paid less attention to low-richness ores, but were still willing to accept high-metal-richness silver-lead ores. Additionally, the decline in imported zinc ore, to some extent, fueled the tight supply sentiment for lead ore, making lead concentrate TCs more likely to fall than rise. Meanwhile, the silver coefficient in lead concentrates remained unchanged, mainly because silver prices stayed range-bound and the coefficient had already risen to a relatively high level, thus remaining largely stable overall.

Lead concentrate TCs were flat overall this week. The weekly average TCs for domestic Pb50 concentrates held steady at 250 yuan/mt Pb. Some silver-lead ores rich in copper and zinc still quoted TCs far below market transaction prices because the contained metals were either not valued or priced at low levels. Overall, the lead concentrate market remained tight, with limited traded volumes of imported ore. The weekly average TCs for imported Pb60 concentrates stood at -$135/dmt. Smelters maintained mainstream quotations in the range of -$150 to -$130/dmt, while some individual smelters, due to by-product revenue needs and other factors, were still willing to accept quotations of -$180 to -$200/dmt for high-grade imported silver-lead ore. This week was in the period of price negotiations for next month's deliveries. Smelters remained willing to accept silver-lead ore with high payable metal content. Coupled with the reduction in imported zinc ore, which to some extent fueled tightness sentiment in lead ore, it is expected that lead ore TCs still have some downside room ahead. As the silver payable coefficient in lead concentrates has risen to a relatively high level, and silver prices continued to trade in a range, the payable coefficient for silver remained unchanged for now.

This week, smelters in some regions mentioned that lead concentrate TCs showed signs of further decline. The weekly average TC for domestic Pb50 was lowered to 250 yuan/mt Pb. Some silver-lead ores rich in copper and zinc were quoted with TCs far below market transaction prices because the contained metals were not paid or had low payable indicators. The supply of imported ore remained tight, with limited transactions. The weekly average TC for imported Pb60 was reported at -$135/dmt. Smelters continued to maintain a mainstream quotation range of -$150 to -$130/dmt. A few individual smelters could still accept quotations of -$180 to -$200/dmt for imported silver-lead ores with good content due to by-product revenue needs and other reasons. Silver prices continued to move sideways this week. Buyers and sellers had not yet reached a consensus on the silver price rebound trend. However, silver-bearing lead ores remained scarce, and the payable indicator for silver maintained a trend of being more likely to rise than fall.

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According to SMM, both supply and demand in the lead concentrate market declined in February. Smelters in Hunan and Yunnan suspended raw material procurement offers due to maintenance shutdowns during the Chinese New Year holiday. Some producers adopted a cautious purchasing approach towards silver in silver-bearing lead ores, fearing a price decline. The short-term unilateral bullish sentiment for silver has significantly faded. The payable indicator for silver contained in lead concentrates remained stable in the near term. Should silver prices enter a downward trend, smelters may consider negotiating a lower coefficient. Although extreme offers, where smelters actively reduce TCs to "snap up" silver-bearing lead concentrate raw materials, have almost disappeared after the holiday, a few small-scale, low-silver lead mines slightly increased lead concentrate TCs to hedge against silver price downside risks. However, smelters generally indicated that it remains difficult to raise mainstream lead concentrate TC offers in March.

According to customs data, the imports of lead concentrates in April 2025 were 111,046 mt, down 4.3% MoM but up 22.1% YoY. As of 2025, the cumulative imports of lead concentrates were approximately 448,700 mt, up 41% YoY. In terms of source countries, Russia, the US, and Peru were the major suppliers of lead concentrates.