Recently, the Jinta Baishuiquan 300MW/1200MWh grid-side independent energy storage station project of Gansu Jiuquan Jinchu New Energy Co., Ltd. is accelerating construction. This project is invested in and constructed by Jiuquan Jinchu New Energy Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Beijing Hyperstrong Technology Co., Ltd., with a total investment of 900 million yuan. It is a planned integrated construction project for the first phase. The project will build a new 330kV booster station, connecting to the regional power grid through a combination of overhead lines and cables, with a total line length of 0.803 kilometers. The project plans for a total of 60 energy storage units of 5MW/20MWh each, along with complete supporting converter, substation, distribution, and secondary control equipment.

This week, the operating rate of China's downstream aluminum processing industry leaders was recorded at 64%, edging down 0.1 percentage point WoW, with significant divergence across sub-sectors. The operating rate of primary aluminum alloy edged up 1.2 percentage points WoW to 59.4%; although supply remained normal, demand recovery was slow, and the rate is expected to hold steady in the short term. The operating rate of aluminum plate/sheet and strip edged down 0.2 percentage points to 72.0%, with robust export orders offsetting weak domestic demand caused by high aluminum prices. The operating rates of aluminum wire and cable and aluminum extrusion held flat at 68.0% and 57.6% respectively; aluminum wire and cable benefited from a significant increase in aluminum stranded wire exports. Extrusion side, steady growth in home decoration orders partially offset the drag from weak real estate recovery, while industrial extrusion demand remained solid, expected to hold up well in the short term. The operating rates of aluminum foil and secondary aluminum producers declined 0.3 and 1 percentage point respectively to 73.3% and 53.9%, affected by multiple factors including fading peak season, air-conditioner foil drag, bill supervision tightening, and weakening demand, facing sustained downward pressure going forward. Overall, strong exports partially compensated for insufficient domestic demand, but high aluminum prices, cost pressure, and off-season factors continued to constrain the industry's upside room. Primary aluminum alloy: This week, the operating rate of China's industry leaders in primary aluminum alloy rose 1.2 percentage points WoW to 59.4%. Supply side, enterprises maintained normal production schedules overall. Some enterprises saw operating rates rebound recently as prior inventory had been largely depleted. Demand side, the aluminum price center shifted lower this month MoM, but downstream spot order quotes remained generally scarce, with the market primarily executing long-term contracts as usual. As downstream demand recovered slowly, primary aluminum alloy enterprises intensified competition for limited orders, leading to a slight increase in overall inventory. Overall, with aluminum prices maintaining current levels, the stimulus effect on downstream consumption remained limited. The operating rate of the primary aluminum alloy industry is expected to stay at current levels, likely remaining stable next week. Aluminum plate/sheet and strip: This week, the operating rate of aluminum plate/sheet and strip industry leaders edged down 0.2 percentage points WoW to 72.0%. Operations side, plate/sheet, strip and foil industry leaders maintained a generally stable production pace, but disrupted shipment pace had not yet eased due to persistently high aluminum prices and downstream speculative purchasing patterns. Orders side, stable domestic can stock packaging demand provided a floor; ESS sector battery casings, brazing materials and other products maintained high operating rates as downstream orders extended into Q3, forming a key support; auto sheets benefited from MoM rebound in new energy vehicle sales in May and strong exports, with orders recovering at the margin. Export side, a stronger overseas market significantly benefited China's exports, with enterprises reporting export orders already extended to late August and beyond, with full orders on hand. However, the domestic commodity plate market faced a severe situation: aluminum ingot average prices had long operated at a high level of 24,000 yuan/mt, civilian aluminum semis demand contracted sharply, fixed-price engineering orders were widely delayed as picking up goods meant immediate losses, and domestic orders showed signs of weakening. In the short term, although strong exports could offset some weak domestic demand, aluminum price fluctuation risks intensified, and enterprises tended to control production schedule pace while destocking simultaneously. The operating rate of aluminum plate/sheet and strip is expected to be under pressure in June. Aluminum wire and cable: The domestic aluminum wire and cable industry operating rate held steady at 68.0% this week, flat WoW. The industry operating rate stayed high during the week, mainly supported by strong export order activity. Resilient ex-China demand continued to drive enterprise production plans, and near-term industry orders remained focused on aluminum stranded wire export orders. In contrast, domestically, the pace of power grid construction project order placement was slower than expected at the beginning of the year. Recent power grid tenders were dominated by low-voltage and overhead lines, and the marginal boost from order production schedules to operating rates weakened. However, sustained volume growth in export orders effectively filled the gap in domestic demand, and the order structure continued to show a pattern of "strong exports, stable domestic." Under the current dynamic between high export growth and stable domestic demand, industry shipments maintained a dynamic balance, and operating rates are expected to remain resilient in the near term. Aluminum extrusion: The domestic aluminum extrusion operating rate held steady at 57.6% this week, with the industry continuing a mild operating trend overall. On the architectural extrusion side, home renovation orders maintained steady incremental growth recently. Combined with some enterprises having previously secured large-scale project orders such as supertall buildings and corporate headquarters, their volume advantage and longer delivery cycles provided sustained support for industry operations, partially offsetting the drag from weak real estate recovery. On the industrial extrusion side, demand in segments such as power systems, automotive lightweighting, and PV frames remained solid, supporting stable industry operations. Multiple large enterprises reported that May orders remained robust and held an optimistic outlook for June orders. However, some small and mid-sized industrial extrusion enterprises reported that to maintain healthy cash flow, they expect to moderately control order-taking to ease finished product inventory pressure. Some enterprises also proactively declined orders with low processing fees to maintain reasonable margins, leading to slight divergence in industry operations. Overall, off-season characteristics had not yet emerged, and the aluminum extrusion operating rate is expected to continue to hold up well next week. Aluminum foil: The operating rate of aluminum foil industry leaders pulled back 0.3 percentage points WoW to 73.3% this week. At the enterprise operation level, the traditional peak-season effect was gradually fading. Although orders on hand at industry leaders remained ample, structural divergence intensified. On the order side, demand for food packaging foil and pharmaceutical foil was at the tail end of the peak season, and domestic orders were set to face a seasonal pullback. Battery foil, on the other hand, benefited from robust battery end-use demand, with tight production schedules. However, the air-conditioner foil segment faced notable pressure: June household air conditioner domestic sales production schedules were sharply revised down YoY, downstream clients bargained aggressively, hydrophilic foil processing fees were running near cost, and the air-conditioner foil segment entered a downturn earlier than in previous years. In June, the packaging off-season effect and the drag from air-conditioner foil are expected to gradually dominate, with operating rates continuing to pull back. Secondary Aluminum: This week, the operating rate of secondary aluminum industry leaders fell 1 percentage point WoW to 53.9%, mainly weighed down by dual pressures from both the cost and demand sides. Cost side, invoice regulation continued to tighten with an expanded scope, and the shortage of compliant input invoices forced some secondary aluminum producers to cut production, significantly dampening their willingness to operate. Demand side, downstream consumption weakened further after June, with new orders for die-casting remaining sluggish. Although ADC12 prices were raised consecutively at the beginning of the week driven by costs, downstream buyers showed limited acceptance of high prices, restocking mainly on rigid demand with little willingness to rush to buy amid continuous price rise, and transaction volumes failed to increase in tandem. Overall, if invoice issues continue to escalate and the off-season deepens further, the industry operating rate still faces downward pressure.

SMM Weekly Stainless Steel Futures Review — week of May 25–29, 2026. Indonesian nickel ore and ferroalloy policy expectations and a low-inventory floor steady the benchmark contract near RMB 14,800/mt in the week of May 25 – May 29.

Tata Steel’s latest performance shows a company moving from a traditional volume-based steel business toward a more margin-focused and transformation-driven model. It is driving growth and profitability, financial performance is recovering through better margins and cost control, while the company’s key business activities are increasingly focused on downstream expansion, raw material security and low-carbon steelmaking.

China’s hydrogen market is showing clear divergence: alkaline electrolyzers are booming with frequent deliveries, PEM electrolyzers stay quiet, and AEM technology is quietly advancing. This “ice and fire” trend reveals competition over technical maturity and market selection. Meanwhile, breakthroughs in storage, transportation and refueling are reshaping the industry, marking a more rational and practical stage for China’s hydrogen sector. I. Alkaline Electrolyzers: Booming on Cost and Scale Alkaline electrolyzers dominate the market with surging deliveries and large-scale deployment. CRRC Zhuzhou Institute shipped 12 sets of 1200 Nm³/h alkaline electrolyzers for CHN Energy’s “Liquid Sunshine” project; CFHI delivered a 3,000 Nm³/h system; and PetroChina’s 2,000 Nm³/h unit successfully commissioned with hydrogen purity reaching 99.9995%.Sunshine Hydrogen won a 30,000 Nm³/h contract for a green methanol project, while EVE Hydrogen and Haozhen Hydrogen also completed deliveries. Driven by mature technology, low cost and a complete supply chain, alkaline electrolyzers have become the top choice for large-scale, cost-sensitive green hydrogen projects. II. PEM Electrolyzers: Silent Strategic Reserve PEM electrolyzers are largely absent from recent headlines mainly due to high costs from precious metal catalysts and proton exchange membranes. Its strength—fast response to wind and solar fluctuation—is not yet a must-have for most large projects, which prefer grid-supported alkaline systems.Yet PEM development has not stopped. Domestic firms are pushing for localization of core materials, waiting for cost declines and scenario maturity to unleash its advantages. III. AEM Electrolyzers: Laying Ground for Next-Gen Tech AEM combines the low cost of alkaline and high efficiency of PEM, seen as a promising next-generation route. It is still in pre-industrial phase, with focus on improving membrane durability and membrane electrode manufacturing. Enterprises are making steady breakthroughs in materials and processes for long-term competition. IV. Storage & Transportation: Key Breakthroughs for Scaling Large-scale gaseous hydrogen storage is moving forward: SPIC’s Da’an project plans six 1,850 m³ spherical tanks, greatly improving storage capacity.Liquid hydrogen sees a milestone: China’s first 5-ton/day hydrogen liquefaction plant started operation with 100% domestic equipment and 40% lower energy consumption, cutting costs for long-distance transport.Guofu Hydrogen built a hydrogen-natural gas blending platform supporting 0%–30% blending. SAMR launched safety standards for hydrogen refueling stations, filling gaps in liquid hydrogen refueling rules.Improved storage, transportation and standards expand the economic radius of green hydrogen and lay a foundation for large-scale application. Conclusion The divergence of hydrogen production routes reflects market choice based on technical maturity: alkaline leads for near-term economy, PEM reserves strength for flexible scenarios, and AEM targets next-generation innovation. The three routes are complementary rather than substitutive.Breakthroughs in storage and transportation are game-changers. With falling liquid hydrogen costs, better infrastructure and completed standards, the industry will enter a more diversified and dynamic era.

This insight follows panel discussions at SMM’s London H1 2026 seminar, where one theme stood out clearly: funds are trumping fundamentals in today’s copper market. At first glance, the setup looks contradictory. There is no clear physical shortage of copper: near-term time spreads are in contango, signalling adequate supply; SMM forecasts a small global refined surplus in 2026; global exchange stocks are rising. On traditional metrics, prices should be softer. Yet LME copper remains elevated at around $13,000/t. This leads us to believe that copper is no longer trading purely on market fundamentals. So What Is Driving Copper Higher? Financial flows dominate price formation Speculative inflows since the middle of last year have played a key role in pushing copper higher. The recent rally following the initial shock of the US-Iran war is no exception. While some capital has rotated into energy markets recently, inflows into copper and broader commodities have remained resilient, supported by macro funds and systematic positioning. Momentum-driven strategies (CTAs, macro funds) have reinforced upside moves, especially during periods of positive price signals and cross-asset risk appetite. This can be seen from the bottom right hand-side chart which shows speculative positions from the LME’s Commitment of Traders Report (COTR). There has also been selective physical support, particularly from China, where downstream buying and restocking have contributed to declining local inventories at times. However, this physical demand has been opportunistic rather than structural, and insufficient on its own to explain the persistence of elevated prices. Overall, barring the initial geopolitical shock, copper price strength has been largely investor-led rather than consumer-led, with financial capital remaining the dominant marginal driver of price formation. A persistent geopolitical premium Supply risks remain elevated across key producing regions; energy and input cost volatility (e.g. sulphuric acid and diesel) adds uncertainty to production; trade fragmentation and resource nationalism are reshaping supply chains; copper is increasingly priced as a strategic resource, not just a commodity. Policy distortions — particularly from the US Tariff expectations and US government policy aimed at securing domestic supply chains — including potential import tariffs on copper, incentives for local processing, and broader reshoring of manufacturing — have triggered regional stockpiling. This has tightened availability ex-US and distorted global trade flows, as material is increasingly drawn into the US market. In effect, policy is creating artificial tightness in specific regions, even as the global market remains broadly balanced. Structural narrative outweighs current balance Electrification, grid expansion, and AI infrastructure continue to anchor long-term demand; supply constraints (declining ore grades, permitting delays) remain unresolved. As such, the market is pricing future deficits today, not current surplus. Why Surplus Does Not Equal Lower Prices The key misunderstanding in today’s market is treating copper like a static balance sheet. The surplus is marginal and unevenly distributed. Inventories are not necessarily located where demand is strongest. The market reacts to marginal tightness and risk, not annual average. Most importantly, copper is a forward-looking asset — it prices sentiment and expectations, not just spot fundamentals. How Traders Think About Copper Now Copper price formation has evolved into a multi‑layered system according to our panellists: Price = Fundamentals + Financial Flows + Macro + Narrative By this, we mean that copper prices are driven by four interacting components — Fundamentals, Financial Flows, Macro, and Narrative — and traders now analyse each layer in more depth to anticipate price direction. They: Watch financial conditions — positioning, flows, momentum, correlations Traders look at who holds risk, how strong the flows are, and whether momentum is building or fading. Cross‑asset signals — especially from US equities and major commodity indices — show whether copper is trading as part of a broader risk‑on move or reacting to something more specific. Track macro drivers — interest rates, policy, USD, liquidity Copper reacts quickly to shifts in US real yields, Fed expectations, and the strength of the dollar. Easier financial conditions or a weaker USD can lift prices even when demand is soft. Global liquidity trends, including China’s credit cycle, influence how much speculative capital enters the market. Monitor policy and geopolitics — tariffs, sanctions, trade flows, disruptions Policy decisions now move copper as much as fundamentals. Tariffs, sanctions, and export controls reshape trade flows and create regional imbalances. Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions — from strikes to permitting delays — reinforce the market’s focus on future scarcity. Stay grounded in physical stress points — inventories, premiums, scrap Headline stocks matter less than where the metal sits. Traders watch regional inventory tightness, premiums, treatment charges, and scrap availability to understand real physical stress. These signals reveal whether the market is genuinely tight or simply trading a narrative. The consensus is that as long as capital flows remain strong, geopolitical risks persist, and the market prices future scarcity, copper can stay elevated — even in surplus. Where Next for Copper? As for immediate near-term dynamics, the copper market is treading water, increasingly driven by headline risk. Recent price action has been closely tied to developments around the Iran crisis, highlighting just how far copper has shifted into the macro arena. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz presents a two-sided risk for copper: On the bullish side , the Gulf is a major exporter of sulphur, a critical input for sulphuric acid used in leaching processes. With solvent extraction and electrowinning accounting for roughly a quarter of global refined output, continued disruptions to acid supply could tighten production, particularly in the DRC, and support prices. On the bearish side , higher energy prices risk triggering a broader slowdown in global manufacturing, weakening copper demand. The longer the disruptions persist, the greater the downside risk to consumption. With investors firmly in control of price formation, copper has effectively become part of a multi-asset macro trade on the trajectory of the Iran conflict. In this environment, both bulls and bears are less anchored to supply-demand balances and more dependent on the next geopolitical headline. Author: Shairaz Ahmed, Principal Market Analyst For more information or to discuss market dynamics, you can contact me on shairazahmed@smm.cn