China Steel Market: [Flat Products] Flat-product export prices steady, deals remain hard to close HRC and other flat-product export prices held broadly steady today, with HRC deals at 490-500 USD/tonne FOB. Northeastern mills said deals remain hard to close; North China mills offer lower prices, leaving the Northeast less competitive, with only small-lot transactions done. [Billet] Billet export quotes hold steady, Middle East inquiries up slightly but trading mild Billet export quotes were stable today, with workable FOB offers at 463-465 USD/tonne. The market noted that with geopolitics unsettled and strait passage repeatedly disrupted, Middle East inquiries rose slightly, but Chinese export billet offers held no clear edge; wary of future costs, mills showed limited willingness to discount, leaving trading mild. [Rebar] Rebar export quotes steady, some mills curb orders for maintenance Rebar export quotes were stable today, with workable FOB prices at 481-483 USD/tonne. Traders said export inquiries showed no clear change; some mills are under maintenance and deliberately curbing order intake to safeguard domestic supply. Off-season demand and overseas price pressure kept overall trading weak. International Steel Market: [Southeast Asia] Southeast Asia slab exports soften, Indonesian offers cut Southeast Asian slab trading was thin in June and regional export prices kept falling. Indonesian mills cut August-shipment HRCgrade slab offers to 495 USD/tonne FOB, down 15 USD/tonne week-on-week and 20 USD/tonne from early June on weak sales; Vietnamese slab is offered near 510 USD/tonne FOB with limited deals. On imports, Chinese slab recently traded at 510 USD/tonne CFR, with workable levels now no higher than 500 USD/tonne CFR. [European Union] Off-season and policy wait-and-see leave EU HRC hike unlikely EU local steel demand stayed weak on poor weather and extended summer holidays, pressuring HRC prices lower. Some mills quote around 775-781 USD/tonne EXW, but traders report actual deals are lower and vary by region. Earlier rumors that major mills planned a 57-80 USD/tonne hike in July-August look uncertain given current weakness. Buyers are sidelined, waiting for clarity after July 1, with the near-term outlook still under pressure. [India] India HRC prices hold, weak demand caps deals India's domestic HRC trade prices held this week at about 601 USD/tonne EXW in Mumbai and 617 USD/tonne EXW in Chennai. Monsoon-driven weak demand kept buyers restocking only as needed, with supply-chain inventories high. The market awaits mills' July base-price guidance, with any rise seen limited at about 8 USD/tonne. High prices, high stocks and rising Chinese finished-steel imports left sentiment bearish, with weakness possibly lasting through end-October. [United States] Nucor ends rally, US HRC mill price stays elevated Nucor held its HRC price unchanged this week, the first pause since late January, ending a 22-week run of increases. For the week ended June 29, Nucor's HRC was steady at 1245 USD/tonne EXW and California Steel Industries flat at 1300 USD/tonne EXW. Nucor's lead times are typically 3 to 5 weeks. Citing domestic and overseas HRC price trends and strong demand, Nucor still expects a robust HRC market in the coming months.

[Flat Products]Yuan Volatility Pressures Plate Export Quotes Lower Day-on-Day Pressured by yuan volatility, HRC and other plate export prices edged lower day-on-day today, with HRC export deals at 490-500 USD/tonne FOB. Inquiries showed no notable change; Turkey-bound interest persisted but local target CFR levels were low, well below current domestic FOB offers. [Billet]Billet Export Edges Up as Middle East Inquiries Rise but Buyers Press Prices Billet export prices edged up today, with workable FOB levels at 463-465 USD/tonne. Middle East inquiries increased but overseas buyers pressed hard on price, leaving few workable orders; additionally, some mills have upcoming maintenance plans and are slightly restraining order-taking. [Rebar]Rebar Export Prices Hold Steady, Off-Season Trading Stays Weak Rebar export prices held steady today, with workable FOB levels in the 481-483 USD/tonne range. Market participants noted that recent rebar export prices have trended down and deals improved slightly versus earlier, but constrained by off-season demand and overseas price pressure, overall trading remains weak. [India]Indian HRC Prices Hold Steady, Anti-Dumping Probe Lends Policy Support India's HRC market was relatively stable, with Mumbai HRC holding around 611 USD/tonne EXW as buyers purchased on demand to avoid building stocks. Although the monsoon season dampened trade, manufacturing demand stayed relatively steady. India has launched anti-dumping probes on hot-rolled flat products from China, Japan and Russia, and combined with the import price gap, HRC may prove more resilient than long products in the near term. [Vietnam]ASEAN HRC Prices Slide, Traders' Low Offers Fail to Move Vietnamese Buyers To stimulate buying, ASEAN HRC import prices fell to 550 USD/tonne CFR, with offers for Indian-origin SAE1006 HRC for Aug-Sep shipment down to about 540 USD/tonne CFR Vietnam (further below the weekly assessment). Amid slow trade and cautious buyers, these low offers may reflect short-selling by some traders betting on further declines, but Vietnamese buyers, expecting weakness, remain unwilling to accept them. On scrap, US West Coast HMS 80:20 offers fell to about 390 USD/tonne CFR with workable levels around 385-387, while Japanese H2 traded at about 370 USD/tonne CFR, flat week-on-week; weak residential construction demand keeps import scrap soft. [Turkey]Turkey Long Product Prices Fall Broadly as Mills Cut to Win Orders Dragged by weak fundamentals, Turkish rebar export prices assessed by MESTEEL fell to 580-590 USD/tonne FOB, while wire rod export prices likewise slid to 595-605 USD/tonne FOB. With demand showing no improvement, mills remain willing to concede on price in negotiations to secure enough forward export orders to sustain operations. [Iran]Iran Plate Exports Stay Sluggish as Rising Imports Pressure Domestic Prices Although temporary export curbs were lifted in late May, major mills' output remains constrained by the late-March attacks, with producers prioritizing domestic supply and shipping mainly from existing stocks. Slab demand was weak last week, with only about 18000 tonnes traded at 462 USD/tonne EXW. As the Strait of Hormuz reopened, freight fell and Chinese prices dropped, Iranian plate imports rose, with Persian Gulf import HRC down to 560-570 USD/tonne CFR; a roughly 30000-tonne mixed billet-and-HRC cargo arrived at BIK port via Iskenderun last week.

[Flat Products] HRC Holds Steady While Other Flat Products Edge Lower on Exports Today HRC export prices held broadly steady while other flat-product export prices edged lower day on day, with HRC concluded at 491-500 USD/tonne. With the Strait of Hormuz situation fluctuating, fresh inquiries for HRC, heavy plate and other products emerged from that region this week, but sellers report actual deals remain limited. Separately, about 10000 tonnes of Q195 HRC for re-export was sold to Vietnam recently at 500-503 USD/tonne CFR.

[Steel Billet] Today, export billet quotations were in the doldrums, with negotiable prices at $465-467/mt. Recently, the yuan has depreciated against the dollar, leading to a slight improvement in export advantage. Inquiries from outside China increased, but actual transactions remained moderate. Market rumors suggest steel billet orders have improved, with some cargoes flowing to domestic trade or exporter short-covering, while actual overseas demand still awaits the return of China's export price advantage. [Rebar] Affected by the exchange rate depreciation, export quotations for rebar edged down $2/mt today, with negotiable prices at $484-486/mt. According to feedback from market traders, inquiries from outside China increased slightly recently, but actual transactions remained moderate. At present, quotations from steel mills in South China continue to hold at high levels, with weak transactions. [Sheets & Plates] Affected by the afternoon plunge in Chinese futures, export prices for HRC and other sheets & plates edged down slightly on a day-on-day basis today, with HRC transaction prices at $491-500/mt. In recent days, market rumors have suggested that export orders are improving. According to SMM's verification, flows to the Middle East, although shipping has become somewhat smoother, still face high freight rates, and most clients expressed the need to wait and see; however, orders for sheets & plates and billets destined for Turkey have increased noticeably recently. It is understood that this may be due to fewer arrivals of other resources, leading to procurement shifting to China.

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[Billet] Today, export billet quotations remained stable. Currently, mill quotes were on the high side, generally above $470/mt, while market tradable prices were mostly at $465-467/mt. Steel mills had a strong willingness to hold prices firm due to cost considerations, making it quite difficult to close export billet orders. [Rebar] Today, rebar export FOB quotations were basically stable. According to market feedback, recently, some steel mills, due to maintenance of blast furnaces and associated construction steel rolling lines, controlled the pace of taking rebar export orders. Meanwhile, wait-and-see sentiment among overseas clients was strong, leading to a noticeable shrinkage in overall export rebar orders. [Sheets & Plates] Today, export prices of HRC and other sheets & plates edged down day-on-day but held steady, with HRC transactions at $492-501/mt. Recently, due to declines in domestic futures and adjustments in the yuan exchange rate, some distant countries began to increase inquiry and purchasing demand. In terms of semi-finished products, short-term inquiry and purchasing willingness was low due to high domestic prices and the fact that overseas buyers had already made a certain amount of purchases earlier.