Price
News
- US Consumer Sentiment Drops to 2025 Low Amid Rising Gas Prices and Market Volatility
[SMM Aluminum Flash News] Joanne Hsu, Director of the University of Michigan’s consumer survey, said that the US consumer sentiment index fell 6 in March, reaching its lowest level since December 2025. Consumer confidence declined across age groups and political affiliations. Middle- and upper-income consumers and those with stock market wealth were affected by continuously rising gasoline prices and volatile financial markets following the Iran conflict, with their confidence posting particularly notable declines. Overall, the short-term economic outlook fell 14, expectations for personal finances over the next year declined 10, while the decline in long-term expectations was relatively mild.
Mar 29, 2026 14:22 - Multiple Bearish Factors Stall the Uptrend; Short-Term Correction in the Tantalum Market, with Solid Medium and Long-Term Support [SMM Analysis]
[Multiple Bearish Factors Stall the Uptrend; China’s Tantalum Market Undergoes Short-Term Adjustment While Medium and Long-Term Support Remains Solid] Recently, the sustained upward momentum in China’s tantalum products market came to a halt, with the overall market entering a phase of temporary consolidation and adjustment. Upward momentum slowed markedly in the short term, mainly due to three core factors: the transmission of macro sentiment, changes in circulating supply, and weakening raw material costs.
Mar 29, 2026 13:36 - CMOC: 2025 Net Profit up 50.3% YoY, Copper Production at 741,100 mt; Niobium, Cobalt, Molybdenum, and Tungsten Output Exceeded Expectations
According to CMOC’s official WeChat account: On March 27, CMOC released its 2025 annual results report, which showed that the company’s operating revenue reached 206.684 billion yuan, standing firmly above the 200 billion yuan mark for the second consecutive year; net profit attributable to shareholders came in at 20.339 billion yuan, up 50.30% YoY and setting a new record for the fifth consecutive year; net operating cash flow reached the second-highest level in its history at 20.843 billion yuan; and total assets exceeded 200 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 200.932 billion yuan, up 18.03% YoY. In particular, in Q4, the company recorded operating revenue of 61.198 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.059 billion yuan, and copper production of nearly 200,000 mt, all setting record highs for a single quarter. In 2025, with organisational upgrading as its main focus, the company built a “specialised, internationalised, and younger” team, refined its operations, and, together with rising prices for major products and strong production and sales, pushed its performance to a new peak. Specifically— Operating quality continued to improve. Revenue from the mining segment reached 77.713 billion yuan, accounting for 38% of total operating revenue, with the “mining” share up about 7 percentage points from 2024. Among this, revenue from copper products was 55.096 billion yuan, accounting for 27% of total operating revenue and 71% of mining-segment revenue. Both “copper” share indicators increased by about 7 percentage points YoY. This was attributable to the continued debottlenecking of two world-class copper mines, TFM and KFM, based on their existing six production lines. During the reporting period, the company’s copper production reached 741,100 mt, setting another record high and consolidating its position among the world’s top 10 copper producers. Based on the midpoint of production guidance, the completion rate was 118%, while maintaining double-digit growth of 13.99% YoY. Sales were 730,200 mt, up 5.90% YoY. Together with higher prices, copper revenue increased 31.63% YoY. Production of other products also exceeded expectations: niobium production hit a record high of 10,348 mt, with a completion rate of 103%; phosphate fertiliser production was 1.2135 million mt, with a completion rate of 106%; cobalt production was 117,500 mt, with a completion rate of 107%; molybdenum production was 13,906 mt, with a completion rate of 103%; and tungsten production was 7,114 mt, with a completion rate of 102%. In addition, the company recorded physical trading volume of 4.71 million mt, with a completion rate of 111%; IXM’s gross margin under IFRS was 2.11%, a recent high. The results of “cost reduction and efficiency improvement” became even more evident. Full-year operating costs were 157.229 billion yuan, down 11.56% YoY. In 2025, mining areas worldwide focused on key words such as innovation, technological transformation, and process optimisation, putting the concept of “refined operations” into practice. In Q4, TFM’s overall copper beneficiation and smelting recovery rate, equipment operating rate, and raw ore throughput all exceeded the calendar schedule; KFM established an ore characteristics database and ore blending model, lifting grinding efficiency by more than 30% YoY; at CMOC Brazil’s niobium segment, the recovery rates of two beneficiation plants rose by about 2 percentage points from the previous year, setting record highs; in China, recovery rates at Shangfanggou molybdenum and Sandaozhuang molybdenum and tungsten increased by 3.24 and 2.65, and 3.17 percentage points YoY, respectively, also reaching record highs. Centered on “multiple products, multiple countries, and multiple stages,” the company built a “copper + gold” dual-pole structure in 2025, adding gold resources last year. Together with the greenfield gold mine in Ecuador and four operating gold mines in Brazil, the company will have gold production capacity of 20 mt in South America by 2029. The Ecuador gold mine is expected to start production in 2029, with land acquisition and power supply assurance advancing rapidly; the Brazil gold mines achieved output above target in the first two months, and are expected to produce 6-8 mt of gold this year. Targeting copper production of 800,000-1 million mt in 2028, the company is building Phase II of the KFM project, which is expected to add annual copper capacity of 100,000 mt after coming into operation in 2027; TFM identified resource potential in relevant deposits, and preliminary preparations for Phase III construction are accelerating. In addition, the company completed the issuance of a $1.2 billion one-year zero-coupon convertible bond, broadening financing channels to support the implementation of its strategy. Alongside earnings growth, the company consistently practiced high-standard ESG principles. During the reporting period, ESG governance was further improved and digitalisation advanced; environmental performance led globally: the carbon emission intensity of its copper products was lower than that of 70% of mining companies worldwide, while the shares of renewable energy and water recycling increased further from 2024 to 38% and 89%, respectively; total global economic contribution reached 182.42 billion yuan, and global community investment was 488 million yuan. 2026 is a critical year for the company to fully implement its new development strategy and deepen platform-based operations and refined management. The company will further build a platform-based organisation: with the global supply chain centre as the pioneer, it will enhance synergies and cost competitiveness; relying on the “622” model, supplemented by multinational mine management experience and standardised business processes, it will improve its global control system. Centered on the “copper-gold dual poles,” the company will further transform its resource advantages into capacity and production advantages, while continuing to seek high-quality targets. With the goal of becoming a “globally leading, distinctive world-class mining company,” the company will continue to forge ahead in the mining industry.
Mar 28, 2026 11:05 - [SMM Analysis] Aluminum Wire and Cable Exports Exceeded 50,000 mt, January-February, Up 37% YoY!
This week, the weekly operating rate of leading downstream aluminum processing enterprises in China rebounded 1.1 percentage points MoM to 64%.
Mar 27, 2026 19:45 - Ferrous Metals May Continue Trading at Elevated Levels in the Short Term [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report]
This week, ferrous metals retreated after a rapid rise. At the beginning of the week, the market said that Asia had shifted to coal-fired power generation due to a natural gas supply deficit, while Indonesia would increase coal production and impose export taxes. The rise in international coal prices was transmitted to China, and coking coal and coke led the gains in ferrous metals; mid-week, the Middle East situation remained volatile, and the U.S. and Iran held differing attitudes toward war, with ferrous metals consolidating at high levels; the pullback in the second half of the week was also mainly due to the weakening of the cost-side logic, as market rumors said long-term iron ore contract negotiations had been completed, expectations for tightening iron ore supply declined, and raw materials turned into the main driver of the pullback. In the spot market, speculative trading and end-user purchase sentiment improved in the first half of the week, while rigid demand remained dominant in the second half, and the spot-futures price spread widened somewhat......
Mar 27, 2026 18:45 ![[SMM Analysis] Domestic Weakness Meets Overseas Strength, Scrap Tungsten Drags on Sentiment](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/news/cn/thumb/gsyYF20180628085444.jpeg?imageView2/1/w/176/h/110/q/100)
[SMM Analysis] Domestic Weakness Meets Overseas Strength, Scrap Tungsten Drags on SentimentThis week, the tungsten market showed a divergent trend with mild corrections in domestic prices and a contrarian rise in overseas APT prices. Domestic tungsten concentrate and midstream product prices remained relatively firm, while scrap tungsten prices dropped sharply as profit-taking emerged. Supported by a tight supply-demand balance, overseas markets strengthened, further widening the price gap between domestic and international markets.
Mar 27, 2026 18:37
Announcements
Dear User, Greetings! The PV industry is currently accelerating its transition to N-type technology, with TOPCon modules emerging as a core product in major global markets due to their superior power density. Meanwhile, against the backdrop of increasingly complex global trade conditions and fluctuating international logistics costs, the market is demanding greater transparency in pricing information. Standalone FOB prices can no longer adequately meet the needs of upstream and downstream players in the industry chain for accurately calculating overseas landing costs. As CIF prices more directly reflect the actual competitiveness of products in target markets, their importance as a basis for trade settlement and a tool for risk hedging has become increasingly prominent. To better understand the actual CIF market conditions for module exports to Southeast Asia and help enterprises reduce transaction risks and costs amid complex trade dynamics, SMM, after a period of market observation and surveys, plans to officially add the following product prices starting January 23, 2026, as references for market transactions: TOPCon Module-182mm-CIF Malaysia TOPCon Module-210mm-CIF Malaysia TOPCon Module-210R-CIF Malaysia The published prices are all CIF prices for major ports in Malaysia. Specific specifications and descriptions are as follows: Price Point Names: TOPCon Module-182mm-CIF Malaysia TOPCon Module-210mm-CIF Malaysia TOPCon Module-210R-CIF Malaysia Price Description: Price Type: CIF Major Ports in Malaysia Tax Standard: Tax-excluded Definition: CIF Price for Major Ports in Malaysia Unit: $/W Leading Brands: LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd., Jinko Solar Co., Ltd., Trinasolar Co., Ltd., JA Solar Co., Ltd., CSI Solar, CHINT Group Co., Ltd., etc. Minimum Trading Volume: 10 MW Delivery Period: Within 3 months Release Time: Every Friday at 11:00 AM Beijing Time Payment Terms: Cash, and other payment methods standardized to cash SMM PV Research Team January 13, 2026
PriceJan 13, 2026 09:38SMM Clarification Statement SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM" or "the Company"), as a professional spot market price reporting agency and information provider, has recently noticed the circulation of false information regarding the fairness of SMM's price assessment. To avoid market misunderstandings, maintain a healthy and transparent market environment, and protect the Company's legitimate rights and interests, SMM hereby makes the following solemn clarification and statement: I. The Difference Between Spot Prices and Futures Prices is a Normal Reflection of Market Mechanisms According to basic economic principles, spot prices reflect the immediate supply-demand relationship and deliverable transaction conditions of the underlying asset, while futures prices reflect market expectations for future supply and demand, including factors such as capital cost and carrying costs. Both follow the principle of "convergence at maturity," meaning that futures prices gradually converge towards spot prices as the contract expiration date approaches. Therefore, during the life of the contract, the difference between spot prices and futures prices, especially with far-month contracts, is a normal phenomenon under the market pricing mechanism. II. Historical Data Proves the Rationality of the Price Spread Structure To objectively present the facts, SMM has made a price spread analysis chart based on publicly available market data: The chart clearly shows that from September 2023 to 2025, the monthly price spread between the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate average price and the GFEX lithium carbonate futures contract prices fluctuated between positive and negative territory, always remaining within a reasonable range, and exhibited a significant convergence trend as the contract expiration date approached. This fully aligns with the market rule of futures and spot price convergence. Comparing a certain periods' futures prices (especially those of far-month most-traded contracts) with spot assessment prices and concluding that there is a "consistent significant deviation" is fundamentally flawed in methodology and can easily mislead market judgment. Any behavior that selectively highlights short-term trends in the price spread without considering the broader context is partial and irresponsible, failing to reflect the overall market situation. III. Recent Market Risk Control Measures Recently, to maintain the stable operation of the lithium carbonate futures market and prevent potential risks, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, in accordance with its risk management rules, issued multiple notifications consecutively between November and December 2025, implementing a series of risk control measures for relevant contracts, including adjustments to transaction fee standards and trading limits. These measures represent the exchange's commitment to fulfill its self-regulatory duties in accordance with the law during specific market periods, aiming to promote the steady development of the market. IV. The Emergence, Nature, and Harm of False Information It is noteworthy that during this sensitive period, when the aforementioned risk control measures were being intensively implemented, a significant amount of false information began circulating on the Internet. While such information varies in content, it shares an identical core narrative: False claims have been made that SMM’s prices "consistently and significantly deviate from fair value and futures prices" and that "there are illegal benefit-related connections with certain institutions". These claims are entirely groundless. The timing and manner of their dissemination indicate that their purpose is not professional discussion but rather an attempt to exert improper pressure on SMM by confusing the price logic of spot and futures markets, interfere with the neutrality of spot price assessments, and consequently potentially mislead market expectations and disrupt the normal relationship between futures and spot prices. SMM hereby solemnly declares that SMM is always committed to price discovery in the spot market, does not participate in any futures market trading operations, and resolutely maintains market order. V. The Compliance, Neutrality, and Supervision Mechanisms of SMM's Price Assessment As a professional market price assessment agency, SMM always adheres to the principles of neutrality, objectivity, and fairness. SMM's price assessment methodology strictly follows the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) "Principles for Financial Benchmarks" and is subject to audits by independent third-party audit firms. In terms of internal governance, SMM has established a comprehensive firewall system to ensure that personnel and management involved in the price assessment process do not hold any related futures or spot positions, thereby eliminating conflicts of interest at an institutional level. SMM also has no history of any penalties from securities regulatory authorities for violations. We consistently maintain an open attitude towards market supervision based on facts. VI. Appeal to the Public SMM strongly condemns the recent malicious fabrication and dissemination of false information in the market, which damages SMM's commercial reputation and attempts to disrupt the order of the futures and spot markets, and has initiated legal proceedings to protect its rights. Currently, SMM is comprehensively and continuously collecting and preserving evidence related to the infringements. For suspected infringing acts, the Company will take all legal measures, including but not limited to reporting to relevant regulatory authorities and filing complaints with relevant online platforms, to resolutely pursue the legal liability of the infringing parties. SMM reserves the right to pursue all legal consequences against the relevant responsible parties. We once again call on all market participants to enhance their legal awareness and professional discernment capabilities, obtain information from authoritative channels, analyze the market rationally, resolutely resist and refuse to spread any unverified and unfounded rumors, and jointly maintain a fair, orderly, and healthy development environment for the industry chain. SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Dec 26, 2025
Dec 26, 2025 17:30Dear Industry Peers, Imported manganese ore is a key raw material for manufacturing products such as silicomanganese alloy and ferromanganese alloy, with high-quality manganese ore being particularly favored by the market. Australian manganese ore is a mainstream and high-frequency oxide ore globally, serving as an important reference standard for global manganese ore pricing, and its price fluctuations directly impact the cost chain of global manganese-based alloys. Tianjin Port and Qinzhou Port are the main unloading ports for imported manganese ore in China. Equipped with complete storage facilities, these two ports feature high single-vessel unloading efficiency and large manganese ore reserve capacity. The formed complementary pattern of "Tianjin in the north and Qinzhou in the south" has enhanced China's bargaining power in global manganese ore trade. Prices at Tianjin Port (north) and Qinzhou Port (south) serve as benchmarks for global manganese ore pricing, which are referenced by both domestic and foreign ore merchants. To actively respond to market changes, meet the urgent demand of users for understanding the prices of Australian Mn42% manganese ore at Tianjin Port and Qinzhou Port, and improve the transparency of market information, SMM has decided: Commencing December 31, 2025, SMM will officially launch two new price: SMM Mn Ore, Australia Block 42%, In-whs-Tianjin Port, Yuan/ton-degree SMM Mn Ore, Australia Block 42%, In-whs-Qinzhou Port, Yuan/ton-degree Details of this price point are as follows: Description: SMM Mn Ore, Australia Block 42%, In-whs-Tianjin Port, Yuan/ton-degree Quality: Mn 42% Quantity: Min 100 tonnes Definition: EX-warehouse-Tianjin Port Brand Listing: South 32,etc Timing: Prompt Unit: Yuan/ton-degree Payment Terms: Cash on same day, other payment terms normalized Pulication: Daily, by 11am Beijing Time (i.e., before 4:00 AM London Summer Time before 3:00 AM London Winter Time) Description: SMM Mn Ore, Australia Block 42%, In-whs-Qinzhou Port, Yuan/ton-degree Quality: Mn 42% Quantity: Min 100 tonnes Definition: EX-warehouse-Qinzhou Port Brand Listing: South 32,etc Timing: Prompt Unit: Yuan/ton-degree Payment Terms: Cash on same day, other payment terms normalized Pulication: Daily, by 11am Beijing Time (i.e., before 4:00 AM London Summer Time before 3:00 AM London Winter Time) SMM Nickel Industry Research Department December 26, 2025
PriceDec 26, 2025 11:19