SMM February 27: This week, LME lead opened at $1,964.0/mt. At the beginning of the week, affected by the short-term tug-of-war between sellers and buyers, pre-holiday inventory buildup, and limited post-holiday destocking, it fluctuated downward, hitting a weekly low of $1,949.5/mt. Subsequently, sentiment recovered, and it fluctuated upward, touching the weekly high of $1,996.0/mt. After a slight pullback from the high, it held up well. As of February 27, it finally closed at $1,986.5/mt, up $20/mt WoW, a gain of 1.02%. This week, the most-traded SHFE lead contract opened at 16,855 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the week, driven by post-holiday sentiment, it surged to 16,980 yuan/mt. Later, pressured by the dual decline in spot supply and demand, it pulled back to 16,620 yuan/mt. In the latter half of the week, with the gradual resumption of work in the industry chain, it stabilized and rebounded, consolidating in the range of 16,750-16,800 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 16,840 yuan/mt, up 140 yuan/mt for the week, a gain of 0.84%. 》Order to view SMM metal spot historical prices
Feb 27, 2026 16:43[Shanghai Zinc Ingot Inventory Buildup Significant, Awaiting Subsequent Downstream Production Resumptions]: Spot discounts in Shanghai widened this week, with the average price down by 10 yuan/mt compared to pre-holiday levels. As of Friday, spot discounts for common domestic brands against the 2603 contract were 30-20 yuan/mt, while the premium for the high-priced brand Shuangyan against the 2603 contract was 80-90 yuan/mt.
Feb 27, 2026 15:53This week, the price of 304 stainless steel scrap off-cuts in east China remained stable, quoted at 9,600-9,700 yuan/mt; in Foshan, the same specification of stainless steel scrap off-cuts rose slightly, with a price range of 9,500-9,800 yuan/mt. From the raw material production cost perspective, the current cost of producing stainless steel entirely using stainless steel scrap is approximately 13,417.11 yuan/mt, while the cost of using entirely high-grade NPI is 14,551.22 yuan/mt. This week, stainless steel scrap prices maintained stable operation. As the first week after the Chinese New Year holiday, the market was in a gradual recovery phase, with some stainless steel scrap yards and downstream enterprise practitioners still on holiday leave, resulting in a slow return-to-work progress. This led to low market trading activity, with overall weak transactions during the week, not yet returning to normal levels, and full resumption of work still requiring some time. On the futures side, stainless steel futures fluctuated higher this week driven by market sentiment and macro factors, coupled with the continued fermentation of relevant policy news from Indonesia, further strengthening expectations of tightening raw material supply, driving a significant increase in high-grade NPI prices and strong market bullish sentiment. However, due to the lag in recovery, transactions in the stainless steel scrap market have not fully recovered, and quotations remained stable, without fluctuating in sync with futures and high-grade NPI prices. From a cost-economy perspective, the advantage of stainless steel scrap relative to high-grade NPI further expanded this week, providing support for subsequent price trends. Additionally, domestic stainless steel mills' production schedules for March increased significantly, combined with rising expectations for the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March, Silver April," downstream demand is expected to gradually release, and stainless steel scrap procurement demand will increase accordingly. Overall, this week, the stainless steel scrap market presented a pattern of "slow recovery, weak transactions, stable prices." Subsequently, with the full resumption of market operations and gradual recovery of demand, coupled with cost advantages and peak season expectations, stainless steel scrap prices are expected to gradually strengthen.
Feb 27, 2026 16:04Next week, key macroeconomic data releases include the US February ISM Manufacturing PMI, US February ADP employment figures, and China's official February Manufacturing PMI; additionally, the US Fed will release the Beige Book. Meanwhile, overseas geopolitical tensions remain prominent, with uncertainties in US-Iran conflicts fueling strong market risk-off sentiment. On the LME lead front, overseas lead inventory surged by over 50,000 mt during the Chinese New Year holiday. Although stocks declined post-holiday, the high inventory base continued to significantly suppress lead prices, preventing them from breaking above $2,000/mt. Recently, widespread power outages in the US due to winter storms boosted heating demand, driving natural gas prices higher. This, to some extent, increased smelting costs for lead ore and lead ingots, providing short-term support for lead prices. LME lead is expected to trade between $1,950-2,000/mt next week. For SHFE lead, post-holiday inventory buildup in the lead market was severe, with stocks rising simultaneously at smelters and social warehouses, becoming a major drag on prices. Notably, scrap battery prices rose steadily after the holiday, widening losses for secondary lead producers and prompting some smelters to delay resumption plans, which will ease future lead ingot inventory pressure. Meanwhile, as downstream enterprises resume operations, focus will be on lead consumption recovery digesting lead inventories. The most-traded SHFE lead contract is forecast to fluctuate between 16,650-17,000 yuan/mt next week. Spot price forecast: 16,500-17,500 yuan/mt. Next week, lead-acid battery enterprises are expected to largely resume production, and with pre-holiday lead ingot inventories gradually being consumed, rigid demand restocking is anticipated. On the supply side, secondary lead smelters delayed resumption and face significant losses, limiting spot discounts for secondary refined lead. For primary lead, supplies will re-enter the market after delivery next week, and with high smelter inventories, spot discounts may widen.
Feb 27, 2026 16:53[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: SHFE Aluminum Fluctuates at Highs, Post-Holiday Consumption Recovery Remains Slow] Spot side, A00 aluminum price rebounded by 140 yuan/mt to 23,520 yuan/mt compared with the previous trading day, while SMM ADC12 price rose slightly by 50 yuan/mt to 23,800 yuan/mt. Boosted by the stronger futures, market sentiment improved slightly. However, secondary aluminum enterprises remained generally cautious about following the upward trend, with most maintaining stable quotations or raising prices by no more than 100 yuan/mt. Post-holiday downstream consumption recovery pace was relatively slow, with downstream users making just-in-time procurement, and some enterprises still focusing on digesting inventories. Overall market transaction atmosphere was sluggish. In the short term, ADC12 price is likely to continue moving sideways in the initial post-holiday period. For the medium term, the trend still requires close monitoring of the supply-demand matching situation as production resumptions are gradually implemented, as well as the impact of primary aluminum price movements on aluminum scrap costs.
Feb 27, 2026 09:07[SMM Analysis] New National Standard for Secondary Lead and Inclusion in Delivery on the Agenda, Market to Shift to "Primary + Secondary Dual-Track Pricing" SMM February 27: Starting March 1, 2026, the "Secondary Lead Ingot GB/T 21181-2025" (hereinafter referred to as the "new national standard") will replace the "Secondary Lead and Lead Alloy Ingot GB/T 21181-2017" (hereinafter referred to as the "old national standard") and officially come into effect.
Feb 27, 2026 15:55SMM Clarification Statement SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM" or "the Company"), as a professional spot market price reporting agency and information provider, has recently noticed the circulation of false information regarding the fairness of SMM's price assessment. To avoid market misunderstandings, maintain a healthy and transparent market environment, and protect the Company's legitimate rights and interests, SMM hereby makes the following solemn clarification and statement: I. The Difference Between Spot Prices and Futures Prices is a Normal Reflection of Market Mechanisms According to basic economic principles, spot prices reflect the immediate supply-demand relationship and deliverable transaction conditions of the underlying asset, while futures prices reflect market expectations for future supply and demand, including factors such as capital cost and carrying costs. Both follow the principle of "convergence at maturity," meaning that futures prices gradually converge towards spot prices as the contract expiration date approaches. Therefore, during the life of the contract, the difference between spot prices and futures prices, especially with far-month contracts, is a normal phenomenon under the market pricing mechanism. II. Historical Data Proves the Rationality of the Price Spread Structure To objectively present the facts, SMM has made a price spread analysis chart based on publicly available market data: The chart clearly shows that from September 2023 to 2025, the monthly price spread between the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate average price and the GFEX lithium carbonate futures contract prices fluctuated between positive and negative territory, always remaining within a reasonable range, and exhibited a significant convergence trend as the contract expiration date approached. This fully aligns with the market rule of futures and spot price convergence. Comparing a certain periods' futures prices (especially those of far-month most-traded contracts) with spot assessment prices and concluding that there is a "consistent significant deviation" is fundamentally flawed in methodology and can easily mislead market judgment. Any behavior that selectively highlights short-term trends in the price spread without considering the broader context is partial and irresponsible, failing to reflect the overall market situation. III. Recent Market Risk Control Measures Recently, to maintain the stable operation of the lithium carbonate futures market and prevent potential risks, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, in accordance with its risk management rules, issued multiple notifications consecutively between November and December 2025, implementing a series of risk control measures for relevant contracts, including adjustments to transaction fee standards and trading limits. These measures represent the exchange's commitment to fulfill its self-regulatory duties in accordance with the law during specific market periods, aiming to promote the steady development of the market. IV. The Emergence, Nature, and Harm of False Information It is noteworthy that during this sensitive period, when the aforementioned risk control measures were being intensively implemented, a significant amount of false information began circulating on the Internet. While such information varies in content, it shares an identical core narrative: False claims have been made that SMM’s prices "consistently and significantly deviate from fair value and futures prices" and that "there are illegal benefit-related connections with certain institutions". These claims are entirely groundless. The timing and manner of their dissemination indicate that their purpose is not professional discussion but rather an attempt to exert improper pressure on SMM by confusing the price logic of spot and futures markets, interfere with the neutrality of spot price assessments, and consequently potentially mislead market expectations and disrupt the normal relationship between futures and spot prices. SMM hereby solemnly declares that SMM is always committed to price discovery in the spot market, does not participate in any futures market trading operations, and resolutely maintains market order. V. The Compliance, Neutrality, and Supervision Mechanisms of SMM's Price Assessment As a professional market price assessment agency, SMM always adheres to the principles of neutrality, objectivity, and fairness. SMM's price assessment methodology strictly follows the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) "Principles for Financial Benchmarks" and is subject to audits by independent third-party audit firms. In terms of internal governance, SMM has established a comprehensive firewall system to ensure that personnel and management involved in the price assessment process do not hold any related futures or spot positions, thereby eliminating conflicts of interest at an institutional level. SMM also has no history of any penalties from securities regulatory authorities for violations. We consistently maintain an open attitude towards market supervision based on facts. VI. Appeal to the Public SMM strongly condemns the recent malicious fabrication and dissemination of false information in the market, which damages SMM's commercial reputation and attempts to disrupt the order of the futures and spot markets, and has initiated legal proceedings to protect its rights. Currently, SMM is comprehensively and continuously collecting and preserving evidence related to the infringements. For suspected infringing acts, the Company will take all legal measures, including but not limited to reporting to relevant regulatory authorities and filing complaints with relevant online platforms, to resolutely pursue the legal liability of the infringing parties. SMM reserves the right to pursue all legal consequences against the relevant responsible parties. We once again call on all market participants to enhance their legal awareness and professional discernment capabilities, obtain information from authoritative channels, analyze the market rationally, resolutely resist and refuse to spread any unverified and unfounded rumors, and jointly maintain a fair, orderly, and healthy development environment for the industry chain. SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Dec 26, 2025
Dec 26, 2025 17:30Dear User: Hello! In recent years, China has formed multiple consumption centers for spot aluminum ingot trading. With the development of the aluminum industry chain in the Southwest region, market attention to the Southwest region has gradually increased. Among them, Guangyuan is an important hub for aluminum trading in Sichuan, Shaanxi, Gansu, and Chongqing, and is also the location of the designated settlement warehouse for aluminum futures of the Shanghai Futures Exchange , where aluminum product trading has become increasingly frequent. Therefore, there is an urgent need to compile and release a price index that can fully reflect the spot price of A00 aluminum ingots in the Guangyuan region of our country, so as to objectively, truthfully, and timely reflect the supply and demand situation of the A00 aluminum ingot Spot Market in our country. Based on this, SMM will start to newly release the SMM A00 Aluminum (Guangyuan) and Premium Spot Price Points from November 20, 2025. 1. General Principles of SMM Price Methodology Shanghai Metals Market (hereinafter referred to as SMM) is a completely independent third-party service provider that does not participate in any substantial transactions. Instead, it maintains close communication with the buyers or sellers of transactions as a market observer or organizer and provides relevant services to the market. SMM continuously formulates, reviews, and revises its methodology through communication with industry insiders, adopts the most common product specifications, trade terms, and trade conditions in the industry, and equally values normal transactions that meet the specification standards. SMM reserves the right to exclude any price information deemed to be of poor reliability or unrepresentative from its quotation judgment. SMM publishes daily metal spot prices (or price indices, including those for the Chinese market, markets outside China, and the global market), commonly referred to as SMM Prices. SMM has developed corresponding methodologies for all published SMM Prices (which will be published on SMM's official website www.smm.cn for reference), and the methodologies specify the methods and procedures for the generation and publication of SMM Prices, with SMM Prices being generated and published strictly in accordance with the provisions of the methodologies. To align with the actual situation of the Spot Market, SMM will make necessary revisions to the SMM Price Methodology and announce them on the SMM official website prior to formal implementation. If you have any questions or suggestions regarding SMM prices and their methodology, please contact SMM Client Server staff (please check the contact information on the SMM official website www.smm.cn). 2. Formation of the Spot Price Point of SMM A00 (Guangyuan) 2.1 Definitions The SMM A00 (Guangyuan) Spot Price is an indicative price generated and published by SMM in accordance with this methodology, which can be adopted by both trading parties as a reference basis for the settlement of spot trade of A00 aluminum ingots in the Guangyuan region. This price reflects the most likely range of spot transaction prices before the release time of the SMM A00 aluminum ingot spot quotation on each complete working day. This price is based on the trading conditions in the Guangyuan region on the day, and other regions can adjust the actual settlement price during trading based on the market correlation between different regions on the basis of this price. 2.2 Price Generation Method SMM obtains information on the spot price of local A00 aluminum ingots in Guangyuan through standard price benchmarking methods, including the indicative transaction price provided by the price benchmarking unit, the existing transaction spot premium or discount, and the indicative transaction spot premium or discount, etc. 2.3 Product Standards A00 Aluminum Ingot: Complies with the requirements for the "Al99.70" grade in GB/T 1196-2023 Aluminum Ingots for Remelting. 2.4 Pricing Unit and Presentation Form Unit: (Renminbi) Yuan/ton. Presented in interval form, it is a tax-inclusive price (including 13% Value Added Tax) Daily quotations include the highest, lowest, and average prices of SMM A00 Aluminum (Guangyuan) and its premium or discount. 2.5 Delivery Method Same-day delivery, pick up by the buyer at Guangyuan Warehouse 2.6 Release Time 10:15 AM every working day (excluding legal holidays and weekends) 3. Methodology Changes All markets are changing, and SMM has the responsibility to ensure that the methodology for market reports changes in tandem with the market. Therefore, SMM will conduct internal reviews of the appropriateness of the methodology on a regular basis based on industry feedback. For all potential modifications that are substantial but not urgent, SMM will follow the formal external consultation process. Then, significant changes will be announced, with a notice period of at least 28 days provided to invite industry professionals to comment, unless special circumstances, especially force majeure (natural disasters, wars, exchange bankruptcies, etc.), result in a shortened notice period. SMM commits to carefully reviewing all comments regarding the proposed methodological changes, but in some cases, may have to make changes to the methodology against the wishes of some market participants. In addition, SMM has a formal methodology consultation process. SMM commits to conducting a formal consultation on the A00 aluminum quotation once every year. The date of the last consultation and the deadline for SMM's commitment to hold the next consultation are located at the top of the methodology document. In addition, SMM has a formal methodology consultation process. SMM is committed to serving enterprises in the aluminum industry chain and reducing their transaction costs. The newly added price points will be updated at 10:15 a.m. every working day. Please stay tuned. If you have any feedback, please send it to 021-51595811 (Howard Yang). Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Network Information Technology Joint Stock Company Aluminum Business Unit 2025.11.14
PriceNov 14, 2025 18:13Indonesia holds over 60% of the world's nickel reserves and plays a central role in nickel resource supply and processing. In 2023, Indonesia achieved a breakthrough in refined nickel exports, increasing from zero to substantial volumes, with exports reaching 43,600 mt in 2024. New refined nickel projects are currently under construction, and Indonesia's refined nickel capacity is expected to increase to 180,000 mt by 2026. Future exports are anticipated to expand further, making Indonesia's refined nickel price trends significantly influential in the global nickel market. To actively respond to changes in the Indonesian refined nickel market, meet the urgent needs of users for Indonesian refined nickel FOB prices, and enhance market information transparency, SMM has decided: Starting from September 19, 2025, to publish the‘SMM Indonesia Refined Nickel, FOB Indonesia, USD/tonne’price Price details are as follows: Description: SMM Indonesia Refined Nickel, FOB Indonesia, USD/tonne Quality: Ni 99.80% min Definition: FOB Indonesia main ports Unit: USD/tonne Quantity: Min 30 tonnes Timing: 1-3 months Payment Terms: L/C/TT at sight in USD , or other payment terms normalized Publication: Weekly, Friday 10:30 AM Jakarta Time
PriceSep 11, 2025 16:48