Silver has seen one of the sharpest pullbacks in recent years within just a few weeks. From the high of US$97.30 on March 2, the price fell to US$61.21 by March 23, losing around 37%. For the market, this was an abrupt break from the previous momentum.

This week, prices in the second-life battery market were generally stable, while the market's structural divergence remained evident. Cost side, trends in various raw materials diverged, with overall costs rising slightly. Lithium carbonate prices increased, pushing up battery cell recycling and processing costs; nickel sulphate and cobalt sulphate prices remained stable, easing one-sided cost pressure, and costs edged up mildly over the week. Supply side, supply of popular energy storage battery cell models was tight, with limited spot availability; conventional models were sufficiently available, and no broad-based shortage emerged in the market. Demand side, the gap between energy storage and the EV market remained wide. Demand in the EV sector stayed sluggish, with low purchasing enthusiasm and insufficient support for prices; energy storage demand remained the mainstay of the market, with stable rigid demand. However, prices were currently at high levels, downstream purchasing became more rational, willingness to purchase at high prices declined, and further price increases were currently facing resistance.

[Silicon Metal Market Sees Rising Bargaining Sentiment, Focus on Changes in Supply-Side Operating Rates]: This week, the silicon metal market held steady, with the price center of some specifications edging up slightly. As of March 26, SMM east China oxygen-blown #553 silicon was at 9,100-9,300 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt WoW. #441 silicon was at 9,300-9,500 yuan/mt, flat WoW, and #3303 silicon was at 10,200-10,400 yuan/mt, also flat WoW. In the futures market, affected by sentiment and expectations around supply-side factors such as “self-discipline among silicon enterprises and anti-involution,” the most-traded silicon metal futures contract continued to hold up well over the past week, closing at 8,735 yuan/mt late on Thursday with a notable gain. In terms of quotations, silicon enterprises mostly kept shipment quotes stable, with some quotes testing slightly higher; the quote center of trading firms engaging in both spot and futures market rose markedly, and low-priced cargoes disappeared. As downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, high-priced transactions were difficult to conclude in the market.

This week, the cobalt chloride market atmosphere saw no significant improvement, and the stalemate continued. Top-tier enterprises remained firm in their willingness to hold prices firm, with mainstream quotations continuing to stay above 116,000 yuan/mt and the highest quotations still at 120,000 yuan/mt. However, downstream procurement sentiment remained cautious, and market inquiries showed no recovery. Overall downstream demand was relatively pessimistic, leading Co3O4 enterprises to become more cautious in raw material procurement. Actual transactions were still mainly sporadic restocking, with the transaction center stable at around 115,000 yuan/mt. Overall, the market still lacked a direct driver to break the deadlock in the short term, and prices were expected to remain stable. SMM New Energy Research Team Wang Cong 021-51,666,838 Ma Rui 021-51,595,780 Feng Disheng 021-51,666,714 Lv Yanlin 021-20,707,875 Zhou Zhicheng 021-51,666,711

This week, the Co3O4 market maintained a stable trend, with overall activity still relatively weak. Quotations from top-tier enterprises remained at a high level of around 370,000 yuan/mt, while the tight inventory of cobalt intermediate products continued to provide cost support for prices. However, downstream LCO material plants did not accelerate their procurement pace, mostly conducting small-scale restocking based on orders on hand, and market inquiry sentiment improved slightly WoW. Going forward, the pace of end-use demand will become the key variable determining the procurement intensity of cathode materials. In the short term, the Co3O4 market will still mainly remain stable, awaiting further clarity on the demand side.

Dalian iron ore rose in the morning session today and then slowly pulled back. The most-traded contract I2605 finally closed at 817 yuan/mt, up 0.18% from the previous trading session. Spot prices rose by about 5-8 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders were moderately active in offering quotes, while steel mills maintained a steady procurement pace; overall spot market transactions were limited. Morning gains in futures were driven more by market rumors that core suppliers were about to cut production. According to this week’s SMM data, hot metal production steadily rebounded to 2.4049 million mt this week, up 15,000 mt WoW, indicating strong price support from the demand side. In terms of supply, IOCJ fines and PB lump continued to see relatively large destocking, while Newman fines and MAC fines inventories kept rising, indicating that structural tightness at ports still existed. However, due to elevated prices and mixed market news, with rumors surrounding long-term contract negotiations and production cuts remaining confusing, market risks intensified, and most funds chose to stay on the sidelines. Overall, iron ore prices were more likely to break upward, with relatively solid support at the bottom, and ore prices are expected to fluctuate at highs in the short term.