June 8, 2026 Increased mine production, rising recycling, but declining overall demand—at first glance, not a typical environment for new price records. Nevertheless, the experts at Metals Focus forecast an average gold price of $4,920 per ounce for 2026, representing a 43 percent increase from the previous year. This apparent contradiction stems from a profound structural shift in the gold market that has far-reaching implications for the industry. Bullion and coins overtake gold jewelry for the first time The most significant change is taking place on the demand side: In 2026, physical investments in bullion and coins are expected to replace gold jewelry as the largest source of demand for the first time. This trend was already emerging in 2025, when physical investment demand climbed 16 percent to a twelve-year high—driven primarily by growth in China (up 28 percent) and India (up 17 percent). At the same time, global jewelry production plummeted by 19 percent to a five-year low of 1,646 tons. For 2026, Metals Focus anticipates a further decline of 11 percent. The historically high price level is forcing consumers and manufacturers to opt for lighter pieces, lower karat grades, or more affordable alternatives such as gold-filled materials. Consequently, gold is not disappearing from demand but is shifting its primary function from a consumer good to a pure investment product. Unlike jewelry purchases, this investment demand is far less price-sensitive and is primarily driven by motives such as asset protection, diversification, and hedging against currency risks and uncertainties. Lower overall demand—but a higher gold price Although overall demand is expected to decline in 2026 due in part to a slowdown in the jewelry sector, the high quality of buyers supports the projected price surge. Simply looking at total tonnage falls short in the current environment. As early as 2025, gold-backed exchange-traded products (ETFs) recorded their highest annual inflows since 2020, at 803 tons. The driving forces behind this were tariffs, growing U.S. government debt, doubts about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy independence, and geopolitical tensions. These factors will persist in 2026 and will be exacerbated by high stock market valuations and uncertainties regarding the long-term trajectory of the U.S. dollar. The precious metal is thus assuming an increasingly strategic role in investment portfolios. Central banks are buying less—but still at unusually high levels This strategic importance is also reflected in the behavior of central banks. Although net purchases fell by 22 percent to 848 tons in 2025, after having exceeded the 1,000-ton mark for three consecutive years, geographically broad-based demand remains well above pre-2022 levels. Sales were limited to a few countries and served primarily to rebalance portfolios following the recent gold rally. Despite headwinds such as the ongoing energy crisis, Metals Focus expects historically high net purchases in 2026 as well. While the pace of buying is slowing, the trend toward greater diversification of official reserves remains intact. Gold mines are producing more—but supply is slow to respond On the supply side, global mine production reached a new record of 3,817 tons (up 2 percent) in 2025. Growth was driven by new mines, expansions, and higher contributions from small-scale mining. A further increase of 2.4 percent to 3,907 tons is forecast for 2026, with all regions except Oceania and Europe expected to grow. Given the enormous price surge, this supply growth is nevertheless moderate and underscores that even strong price signals in the mining industry do not immediately lead to massive jumps in production. Compounding the issue is the fact that producers are grappling with significant cost increases: Global all-in sustaining costs (AISC) rose by 12 percent to $1,552 per ounce in 2025 due to inflation and taxes. For junior companies, this means that while a higher gold price improves the profitability of projects, factors such as grade, location, and infrastructure are increasingly decisive for success in light of cost trends. Why even record prices are barely triggering a recycling wave The supply of recycled gold is also responding sluggishly. In 2025, the volume rose by only 2.8 percent to 1,404 tons—a 13-year high that is, however, subdued relative to price trends. A 5.1 percent increase is forecast for 2026. This apparent contradiction can be explained by owners’ strong desire for security: precisely because of prevailing uncertainties, scrap gold is being sold less frequently. Paradoxically, the very factor driving prices is simultaneously limiting the additional supply that would normally cool the market. The Iran War Delays the Next Uptrend Short-term volatility remains a factor, however. Following new record highs at the start of 2026, a previously overbought market combined with shifting U.S. interest rate expectations led to a correction. The war in Iran is further fueling inflation, which limits the scope for interest rate cuts in the U.S. and drives up bond yields. In the short term, this is a headwind for gold, although geopolitical conflicts usually support the metal. Metals Focus, however, expects the rally to return once the situation calms down. The underlying premise: Policymakers are likely to tolerate slightly higher inflation rather than jeopardize economic growth through overly restrictive monetary policy. Conclusion: In 2026, it’s no longer just volume that counts in the gold market The market environment for 2026 is more complex than a purely quantitative analysis of supply and demand would suggest. The buyer structure is changing, strategic players are acting less price-sensitive, and structural drivers such as global debt and geopolitical risks remain. At the same time, supply from mines and recycling is growing only slowly. What is decisive, therefore, is not so much the absolute tonnage of total demand, but rather the fact that gold is undergoing a permanent shift from a consumer good to a strategic investment and reserve asset. The projected average price of $4,920 thus does not reflect mere exaggeration, but rather is an expression of a new, more resilient market structure. Source: https://goldinvest.de/en/gold-price-in-2026-new-market-structure-paves-the-way-for-a-rise-to-usd4-920

Jun 05, 2026, 02:40 AM Import duty hike and volatile prices keep Indian gold demand subdued. China premiums narrow as cautious sentiment weighs on physical buying. Analysts warn smuggling risk rises as domestic discounts widen sharply. India’s gold demand remains subdued as buyers stay cautious amid volatile prices and higher import duties, with premiums narrowing in China as well. Analysts warn that regulatory tightening and inflation risks could keep consumption weak through 2026. Domestic gold prices were trading around INR 158,400 per 10 grams on Friday. India is one of the largest consumers of gold in the world. Subdued demand in India Indian gold demand has slowed, with buyers hesitant due to volatile prices and elevated import duties, according to a Reuters report . Traders said consumers are reluctant to commit to purchases, particularly after the government raised the import duty to 15% in May, the steepest increase on record. “Demand is very weak. People are waiting for prices to stabilize,” one Mumbai-based dealer told Reuters. The World Gold Council (WGC) noted in its May update that jewellery and bar-and-coin demand could decline by 50–60 tonnes (10% year-on-year) in 2026 due to the duty hike. Domestic prices are trading at a deep discount to landed prices, widening from about $14/oz before the hike to nearly $150/oz afterwards, as ample supply and profit-taking weighed on premiums. Regulatory tightening and market impact The duty hike was part of broader measures aimed at conserving foreign exchange reserves amid geopolitical uncertainty and a weakening rupee. Banks paused bullion imports for over a month earlier this year due to delays in government notifications, further disrupting supply. Large chain jewellers reported panic buying immediately after the duty announcement but expect slower sales ahead. Smaller retailers, already pressured by high prices, are struggling with reduced volumes and margins. China premiums narrow The premiums in China, the world’s top consumer, have narrowed, reflecting cautious sentiment. Buyers are hesitant as global prices remain volatile, and local demand has softened. This trend mirrors India’s slowdown, suggesting broader regional weakness in physical gold consumption. The WGC’s May commentary noted that gold fell 1% in May, finishing at $4,546/oz, as positive risk sentiment and ETF outflows weighed on prices. Analysts warned that the Federal Reserve may need to hike rates later this year as inflation pressures mount, which could prolong headwinds for gold. “Gold is vulnerable, perched on its 200-day moving average, in what looks like a declining channel,” the WGC said. Smuggling concerns and outlook Past trends suggest that higher import duties increase unofficial inflows. After the 2013 duty hike, smuggled gold rose sevenfold within a year. A similar pattern was seen after the 2022 hike to 15%, when unofficial imports surged from 17 tonnes to nearly 50 tonnes. Analysts caution that the latest increase could again encourage smuggling, widening the domestic–international price gap. India’s gold demand is expected to remain muted in the near term, with jewellery purchases subdued outside of weddings and festivals. Investment demand is more sensitive to duty changes and could decline further if inflation persists. Globally, ETF flows remain lacklustre, and the possibility of Fed rate hikes poses additional risks. For now, the market is caught between regulatory tightening, volatile prices, and cautious consumers. Unless prices stabilize and policy pressures ease, India’s gold demand is likely to stay weak through the rest of 2026, with broader implications for global bullion trade. Source： https://invezz.com/news/2026/06/05/india-gold-demand-weakens-as-soaring-prices-keep-buyers-on-the-sidelines/

Jun 01, 2026, 00:43 AM Gold slips as stronger dollar and oil rally blunt haven demand. Traders await Trump decision on Iran ceasefire as Fed risks grow anew. Silver, platinum and palladium rise even as bullion loses fresh momentum. Gold fell in early trading on Monday as a stronger dollar and a jump in oil prices dulled demand for bullion, with investors weighing the prospect of a longer Middle East conflict and its implications for inflation and US monetary policy. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $4,518.09 an ounce as of 0306 GMT, leaving it down 0.1% for the week. US gold futures for August delivery dropped 1% to $4,548.90 an ounce. The move came as the dollar firmed, making bullion more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Oil also climbed more than 2% , trading above $93 a barrel, adding to concerns that energy-driven inflation could remain sticky if geopolitical tensions persist. Gold, which pays no interest, often comes under pressure when the dollar rises or when markets price in a firmer interest-rate outlook. That dynamic was on display on Monday, even as the metal retained support from geopolitical uncertainty. Traders await Trump decision The market’s attention is centred on US President Donald Trump’s expected decision on a proposal to extend a ceasefire between Iran and its regional enemies for several months. Negotiations between Iran and the US remain difficult, with the two sides still far apart on key terms. A longer ceasefire could ease some of the pressure on energy markets and reduce demand for defensive assets. Failure to reach an agreement, however, could keep oil prices elevated and reinforce inflation concerns. Tim Waterer, market analyst at KCM Trade, said investors were waiting for clearer signals from Washington before taking stronger positions in gold. The uncertainty has left bullion caught between competing forces. On one side, geopolitical risk continues to support demand for safe-haven assets. On the other, a stronger dollar and higher oil prices are prompting traders to reassess the path for US interest rates. Fed inflation risk in focus Federal Reserve officials are also watching the conflict for signs that higher energy costs could feed into broader inflation. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman has flagged the risk that a prolonged shock could make inflation more persistent, potentially affecting the central bank’s policy outlook. That matters for gold because expectations of tighter policy tend to raise bond yields and reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets. Any sign that the Fed may need to keep rates higher for longer, or even consider a more restrictive stance, could cap bullion’s gains. Still, analysts say the longer-term case for gold has not disappeared. They said that metal could still reach $5,500 by the end of 2026 if several supportive factors align, including lower oil prices, a weaker dollar, stronger central-bank buying and continued demand for gold as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risk. Other precious metals rise Elsewhere in precious metals, silver gained 0.4% to $75.58 an ounce and was up 0.6% for the week. Platinum rose 1.1% to $1,937.30 an ounce, taking its year-to-date gain to 13.3%. Palladium advanced 1.2% to $1,370.50 an ounce and was up 6.2% so far this year. For now, gold remains sensitive to shifts in the dollar, oil prices and developments around the Middle East ceasefire talks. Until investors have more clarity on the duration of the conflict and its inflationary impact, bullion is likely to trade less on safe-haven demand alone and more on how energy prices feed into the Fed’s rate debate. Source： https://invezz.com/news/2026/06/01/will-gold-hit-5500-as-oil-shock-and-fed-rate-risks-unsettle-markets/

Published on: May 29, 2026 Hong Kong is set to fire the starting gun on a gold clearing mechanism this July, a move that deepens its lead over Singapore and sharpens its challenge to London’s centuries-old grip on the global bullion trade. The clearing platform lies at the heart of Hong Kong’s push to set regional gold prices. By boosting liquidity and enabling a local benchmark, it marks the city’s most concrete step yet toward becoming a full-fledged international gold hub. Singapore, by contrast, has signalled similar ambitions but offered no timeline — leaving Hong Kong with a clear first-mover edge. Powering that ambition is mainland China, the world’s largest gold consumer. Massive, steady cross-border bullion flows already anchor Hong Kong’s hub status. Now a wave of retail-friendly moves by mainland banks — slashing risk ratings on gold products, extending night trading hours, cutting fees and upgrading investment plans — is lowering the bar for investors and funnelling fresh demand straight into the Hong Kong pipeline. On the ground, the city is rapidly stitching together a one-stop ecosystem spanning trading, refining and storage. A cluster of top-tier precious metals refiners already operates here. Mainland refiner Dianjin International is expanding its Hong Kong footprint with a new facility due online in 2026. That same year, logistics giant SF Holding plans to build a dedicated gold vault at Hong Kong International Airport, plugging a key storage gap. Singapore, with just a single London Good Delivery-accredited refinery, simply cannot match that industrial breadth. The two rivals are betting on different strengths. Singapore leans on high-capacity, ultra-secure vaults to attract gold storage and haven flows. Hong Kong, leveraging its position as the gateway to mainland China and North Asia, is drilling into the core of the value chain — trading, refining and circulation — to capture the pricing action. Analysts flag the summer lull in gold markets as an ideal window for Hong Kong to build reserves and iron out the new clearing system with minimal friction. Financial heavyweights are lining up behind the play. JPMorgan, UBS and Citigroup, alongside local Hong Kong banks, are actively building out their gold market presence, while Chinese banks continue to bulk up precious metals teams. Mainland securities houses, futures firms and fintech players are also streaming into the city, staffing trading desks and hiring talent — all chipping away at London’s historical lock on the global gold trade. Underpinning it all is Hong Kong’s broader financial firepower. The city recently leapfrogged Switzerland to become the world’s largest cross-border wealth hub. Fuelled by mainland inflows, deep equity markets and two-way capital channels, it has the raw ingredients to nurture a mature gold futures market — one that could pool global capital, offer price-risk hedges and amplify the city’s voice in regional gold pricing. The big picture is clear: the gold industry’s centre of gravity continues to tilt eastward. With unmatched mainland demand, a full-spectrum supply chain and deepening institutional muscle, Hong Kong is rapidly evolving from a regional trading post into an Asian nerve centre that combines trading, refining, distribution and pricing — bringing the vision of an Asian gold hub into sharp relief. Source： https://nai500.com/blog/2026/05/hong-kong-pulls-ahead-in-asias-gold-hub-race-with-july-clearing-launch/

The investor relations activity record of Yunnan Copper for May 26–27, 2026 shows: 1 What is the company's planned copper concentrate production from captive mines this year, and what is the approximate cost level of the mining enterprises? According to the company's 2026 financial budget and production plan, full-year self-produced copper concentrates are expected to contain 69,800 mt of copper metal content. The company's current mining enterprises mainly include Diqing Nonferrous, Liangshan Mining, Yuxi Mining, and Diqing Mining. Due to differences in resource endowment and the life cycle stage of each mine, cost levels vary, with Diqing Nonferrous, Liangshan Mining, and Yuxi Mining having relatively lower costs. Meanwhile, the company strives to maintain overall cost stability through measures such as lean operations and increasing mining volumes. 2 What is the progress of the Hongnipo copper mine construction project of Liangshan Mining? The Hongnipo copper mine is currently under construction, with cumulative verified resource reserves of 16.06 million mt of ore, an average copper grade of 1.42%, and copper metal content of 592,900 mt. The project is progressing in an orderly manner as planned and is expected to be completed and ready for commissioning in 2026. 3 Will the mine resources under the company's major shareholder be injected into the publicly listed firm? Asset injection involves complex systematic work that requires comprehensive consideration of development strategy, asset conditions, regulatory requirements, and shareholder interests. The company will continue to focus on and strive to enhance the quality of the publicly listed firm, and if there are any new relevant arrangements, it will strictly follow prescribed decision-making and disclosure procedures. 4 Has the company set a target for resource self-sufficiency rate? The company regards improving resource self-sufficiency rate as an important long-term strategic task, relying primarily on three paths: commissioning of projects under construction, tapping potential of existing mines, and external resource acquisitions. Regarding projects under construction, the company successfully completed the acquisition of 40% equity in Liangshan Mining in December 2025, and the Hongnipo project is expected to be completed and ready for commissioning in 2026. Regarding tapping potential of existing mines, the company leverages its major mines to continuously intensify deep and peripheral exploration efforts, steadily advancing resource succession and reserve additions. Regarding external resource acquisitions, while managing existing mines and smelters well, the company actively monitors quality mineral resource projects and prudently conducts field trips and evaluations based on strategic positioning and market demand. 5 What proportion can the company's copper smelting TC long-term contracts approximately reach? The company follows the principles of marketization and maximization of comprehensive benefits in externally purchasing raw materials. As one of the larger copper concentrate purchasers in China, the company has long maintained good, stable, long-term cooperative relationships with major suppliers, and actively negotiates with copper concentrate suppliers to stabilize long-term contract supply and ensure orderly production. 6 What were the company's sulphuric acid selling price and production in Q1 2026? According to the company's 2026 production plan, planned annual sulphuric acid production is 5.76 million mt. In Q1 2026, sulphuric acid production progressed in an orderly manner as planned. Price side, as a by-product of copper smelting, sulphuric acid selling prices are influenced by multiple factors including regional market supply and demand, transportation conditions, and industry prosperity. Since the beginning of this year, driven by robust downstream demand and tight supply in some producing areas, sulphuric acid selling prices have stayed high. The company seized market opportunities, reasonably arranged production and sales, and made positive contributions to operating performance. Meanwhile, the company will continue to monitor price changes and dynamically optimize production and sales pace. 7 Does the company have further cost reduction plans? The company's mining and smelting enterprises continuously pursue lean cost reduction to build low-cost competitive advantages. For example, the company is comprehensively advancing the "Three-Year Cost Reduction 3.0" initiative, continuously promoting cost reduction and efficiency improvement, and lowering unit production costs through technological upgrades, process optimization, and improved management efficiency. 8 What major capital expenditures are expected in the future? The company's future major capital expenditures will primarily focus on the following strategic directions: first, resource acquisition—continuously strengthening exploration and acquisition of quality copper mineral resources in and outside China to enhance resource security capabilities; second, intelligent manufacturing—advancing automation, digitalization, and intelligent upgrades of mines and smelting plants to improve production efficiency and safety levels; third, green and low-carbon development—increasing investment in environmental protection, energy conservation, and other areas to promote sustainable development. Performance side: Yunnan Copper's Q1 2026 report disclosed on April 24 showed that the company achieved total operating revenue of 52.959 billion yuan, up 49.62% YoY; net profit attributable to the parent was 675 million yuan, up 7.93% YoY. Regarding the reasons for the increase in operating revenue, Yunnan Copper stated that it was mainly due to higher product prices compared to the same period last year and increased sales volumes compared to the same period last year. Yunnan Copper's 2025 annual report showed that in 2025, the company firmly established market entity awareness, strengthened its lean operations system, and solidly carried out production organization, cost control, indicator optimization, marketing value creation, and other work, with main product production reaching record highs and key technical and economic indicators continuously optimized. Full-year production included copper cathode of 1.6411 million mt, gold of 26.04 mt, silver of 735.38 mt, and sulphuric acid of 6.189 million mt, with copper cathode, gold, and silver production all reaching record highs. Full-year operating revenue reached 79.542 billion yuan and net profit attributable to the parent was 1.301 billion yuan, with operating efficiency steadily improving. Cost and technical indicators were continuously optimized, with mine concentrate copper content and smelting copper cathode unit full cost outperforming annual cost reduction targets. Key technical indicators for smelting and mining remained stable with improvement. In 2025, the copper smelting total recovery rate exceeded the target by 0.07 percentage points, and slag flotation tailings copper content was optimized by 0.01 percentage points versus the target, both reaching industry-leading levels. Yunnan Copper announced that in 2025, the company's concentrate copper content production, on a consolidated statement basis, was 69,400 mt, up 26.64% YoY from 2024, mainly because the company issued shares to acquire 40% equity in Liangshan Mining held by Yunnan Copper Group during 2025, and Liangshan Mining was included in the consolidated statements as of December 31, 2025, with its full-year production included in the statistics. Regarding the company's main businesses, Yunnan Copper introduced in its 2025 annual report: The company's main businesses cover copper exploration, mining and beneficiation, smelting, extraction of precious metals and rare scattered metals, sulphur chemicals, and trading. It is an important copper, gold, silver, and sulphur chemical production site in China. The company has established a relatively complete industry chain in copper and related nonferrous metals and is a copper enterprise with deep industry heritage. Main products include copper cathode, gold, silver, industrial sulphuric acid, and rare and scattered metal products such as molybdenum, platinum, palladium, selenium, and tellurium. The company's main products are all produced according to international standardization organization standards, operating effectively under the international ISO9001 quality management system to ensure strict quality control. The company's main product, copper cathode, is widely used in electrical, light industry, machinery manufacturing, construction, national defense, and other fields; gold and silver are used in finance, jewelry, electronic materials, etc.; industrial sulphuric acid is used as raw material for chemical products and in other sectors of the national economy. The company's "Tiefeng" brand copper cathode is registered on the Shanghai Futures Exchange and the London Metal Exchange; "Tiefeng" brand gold is registered on the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) and the Shanghai Futures Exchange; "Tiefeng" brand silver is registered on the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE), the Shanghai Futures Exchange, and the London Bullion Market Association. Regarding the company's future development outlook, Yunnan Copper introduced in its 2025 annual report: Yunnan Copper adheres to the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, fully implements the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and its successive plenary sessions, and upholds and strengthens the Party's overall leadership. The company actively serves major national strategies, adheres to promoting high-quality development as the theme, fully, accurately, and comprehensively implements the new development philosophy, continuously enhances core functions and improves core competitiveness, and better plays its role in scientific and technological innovation, industrial control, and security support in building a modern industrial system and constructing a new development pattern. The company emphasizes "two guarantees" (important mineral resource guarantee and important metal material guarantee), "two innovations" (scientific and technological innovation and management innovation), "two constructions" (strengthening Party building, especially cadre team building), and "three unwavering commitments" (unwavering in accelerating structural adjustment, unwavering in deepening enterprise reform, and unwavering in international operations and increasing "going global" efforts). The company focuses on "digital-intelligent transformation, expanding resources, refining mines, optimizing smelting, solidifying recycled (copper), and detailing rare scattered (metals)," accelerating the construction of a world-class excellent copper company, and continuously opening new prospects for Yunnan Copper's high-quality development. Guosen Securities' research report commenting on Yunnan Copper on April 11 showed: Quality asset consolidation. Production side, the company's copper ore production was close to 70,000 mt, with major mines maintaining stable production. Copper smelting side, after Southwest Copper reached full production, the company's 2025 copper cathode production was 1.64 million mt, up 440,000 mt or 36% YoY. During the reporting period, the company purchased 40% equity in Liangshan Mining through share issuance to its major shareholder, achieving consolidation. Liangshan Mining is a quality asset, with its mines featuring open-pit mining, abundant reserves, higher grade than the publicly listed firm's existing copper mines, and lower costs than the publicly listed firm's existing copper mines. In H2 2025, profitability of major subsidiaries generally declined. Although copper, gold, and silver prices rose significantly in H2 2025, the company's mining operations saw profit decline QoQ. Smelting operations also declined significantly in H2 2025, which was related to the sharp drop in copper concentrate TCs. As sulphuric acid prices are expected to stay high, the company's smelting business profitability is expected to improve. Gross profit by product side, the company produces over 6 million mt of sulphuric acid annually. Benefiting from sulphuric acid price increases, sulphuric acid business gross profit in 2025 was 2.03 billion yuan, up 1.5 billion yuan YoY, representing a performance highlight. Since early 2026, sulphuric acid prices have continued to rise, and this is expected to further boost earnings. Leveraging the copper industry's high-prosperity cycle in recent years, the company's asset quality has improved, and during the reporting period it achieved consolidation of Liangshan Mining, a quality asset. As the sole copper publicly listed platform under Chalco Group, injection of other quality assets from the major shareholder is anticipated. Although the copper smelting business is under pressure in the short term, the government has issued policies to strictly control new copper smelting capacity, and the company benefits from global copper smelting capacity rationalization, with a favorable long-term industry landscape. Maintain "Outperform" rating.

25 May 2026 3:10PM Goldman Sachs reiterated its bullish view on gold, sticking with its forecast for prices to reach $5,400 per troy ounce by year-end as the bank lifted its expectations for central bank demand and projected stronger official-sector buying through 2026. The Wall Street bank revised its proprietary model tracking central bank gold purchases after determining that it had been consistently undercounting demand since August 2025. Under the updated calculations, its 12-month moving average estimate climbed to 50 tonnes per month in March, up from 29 tonnes previously. The revised data suggest central banks acquired 66 tonnes of gold in January, compared with an earlier estimate of only 12 tonnes. Goldman said the change was prompted by a widening disconnect between falling inventories in London vaults and official U.K. trade statistics. Although bullion outflows from London storage facilities continued to rise, British export figures no longer appeared to fully account for those movements, implying that some sovereign transactions were taking place outside recorded trade flows. “We therefore adjust our nowcast by adding the discrepancy between London vault outflows and UK net exports as unrecorded sovereign gold flows,” Goldman strategists Lina Thomas and Daan Struyven said in a note. The bank now expects central bank purchases to average 60 tonnes per month throughout 2026, citing survey results that showed “strong underlying interest in gold.” Goldman added that geopolitical developments “are likely to reinforce diversification over time — both for central banks and private investors.” Still, the strategists cautioned that gold could face short-term pressure during periods of market stress. “Gold’s high liquidity makes it a natural source of cash if private investors face liquidity needs,” they wrote, warning that equity market weakness tied to higher interest rates or slowing growth could trigger temporary selling. Goldman’s forecasting model relies heavily on U.K. customs data because London’s over-the-counter gold market remains the main hub for sovereign bullion transactions. With minimal domestic production in the U.K., all gold traded there must first be imported before being stored or exported, making trade flows an effective proxy for tracking the final destination of global gold demand. This article was written by the editorial team at InvestorsHub/ADVFN and is provided for informational purposes only. In some cases, editorial staff may use artificial intelligence–based tools to assist in the research, drafting, or editing of content, under human review and oversight. This article does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. The views expressed are based on publicly available information believed to be reliable at the time of publication, but accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Readers should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Source： https://uk.advfn.com/market-news/article/16208/goldman-reiterates-bullish-gold-forecast-on-stronger-central-bank-demand