![[SMM Analysis] Weak Nickel Caps Chinese Stainless Steel Futures in a Tight Range as Mill Price Discipline](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/votes/imagesLDoQB20260703182347.png)
SMM Weekly Stainless Steel Futures Review — week of June 29 – July 3, 2026. Weak nickel and a softening off-season demand backdrop offset firm mill pricing and low inventories, steadying the benchmark contract near RMB 14,655/mt
Jul 3, 2026 18:19[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: Disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls Trigger US Dollar Plunge, Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Tests 400,000 Yuan Level Again]
Jul 3, 2026 12:24"Tin" Guiding the Future: Industrial Transformation and Value Reshaping in a New Cycle Conference Background Currently, the global tin industry stands at a historic turning point. Traditional cyclical logic has been completely disrupted, and strategic value has become fully prominent. The tin market in 2026 presents unprecedented complexity and profound changes: I. Deep Restructuring of Supply-Demand Patterns, Unprecedented Strategic Significance The global static reserve-to-production ratio for tin resources is only 14 years, making scarcity increasingly evident. The supply side faces "triple pressures": recurring delays in production resumptions in Myanmar, persistently tightening policies in Indonesia, and elevated geopolitical risks in the DRC. Resource constraints have become a new normal. Meanwhile, the demand structure is undergoing a fundamental shift, as tin has become a strategic resource connecting traditional manufacturing with a digital future. II. Price Levels Breaking Historical Records, Industrial Ecosystem Facing Reshaping In early 2026, SHFE tin prices exceeded 470,000 yuan/mt, reaching an all-time high. This price breakthrough not only reflects supply-demand imbalances but also signals a revaluation of the tin industry's worth. Traditional trading models, risk management systems, and supply chain collaboration methods are all in urgent need of innovation and breakthroughs. III. Technology-Driven and Green Transformation Fostering a New Symbiotic Ecosystem Digital and intelligent technologies are deeply empowering the tin industry chain. The global green transition demands that the tin industry upgrade toward low-carbon operations and a circular economy. Recycled tin recovery and green smelting processes have become essential paths. All segments of the industry chain must shift from competition to collaboration, building an open, resilient, and innovative symbiotic system. Against this backdrop, the 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference will convene global industry elites for joint discussions on August 19-21, 2026, in Changsha, Hunan. Guangdong Huize Metals Trading Co., Ltd. will attend this grand event, joining industry peers in exploring development trends and jointly propelling the tin industry to new heights. Click the registration form to sign up now and witness and participate in this momentous, far-reaching industry gathering, co-creating a brilliant new chapter! Guangdong Huize Metals Trading Co., Ltd., located in Guangzhou—the core hub of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area—is a specialized trader focused on tin ingot trade. Since its establishment, the company has deeply cultivated the tin sector, based in South China while serving the entire nation, committed to providing upstream and downstream clients with high-quality, efficient, stable, and compliant metal trading and supply chain supporting services. We have established long-term, stable partnerships with numerous renowned smelters, tin ingot producers, and traders nationwide, forming a strong partner network and serving as a premium supplier to multiple state-owned enterprises and well-known companies. The company is also a member of the Tin Branch of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNIA) and a member of the Electronic Tin Solder Materials Branch of the China Electronic Materials Industry Association. Our company has always adhered to the principles of people-orientation, integrity, pragmatism, and innovation, and is willing to achieve mutual benefits and win-win outcomes with partners and clients across the upstream and downstream sectors of the tin industry chain. Contact Information Xie Zhichao: 13197537999 Wang Yongfu: 18889929433 Address: Room 1601, No. 4, Huitong Third Street, Nansha District, Guangzhou Long press or scan the code to register now 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference
Jul 3, 2026 11:30[7.3 Morning Meeting Minutes] US June ADP employment increased by 98,000, the smallest gain since March and below market expectations of 118,000. The most-traded SHFE nickel 2609 contract moved sideways in morning trading, closing the session at 125,880 yuan/mt, down 0.41%. A stronger US dollar and a shift in market expectations toward a more "hawkish" US Fed policy stance kept the macro environment challenging. Markets turned their attention to this week's US ADP and non-farm payrolls data. In the short term, nickel prices are expected to trade in the doldrums within the range of 125,000-135,000 yuan/mt.
Jul 3, 2026 09:44[SMM Aluminum Weekly Review: Macro Headwinds Remain Dominant; Short-term Aluminum Prices Need More Support]
Jul 2, 2026 18:26Today, the most-traded HRC contract drifted lower, closing at 3,283 at the end of the session, with an intraday decline of 0.33%. Spot HRC prices remained largely steady, edging down in some markets, while spot cold-rolled prices held stable for now. In terms of supply, HRC production increased by 7,700 mt WoW this period, with further increases expected. Demand side, end-users remained in the off-season, and the overall market atmosphere was relatively sluggish. Cost side, coke's 10th round of price increases is about to be initiated, and hot metal production fell by 4,700 mt WoW this week, weakening cost-side support somewhat but not yet causing it to collapse. Looking ahead, imbalances in sheets & plates continue to accumulate. Inventory increased by 179,500 mt WoW this week and may enter a sustained buildup channel subsequently. Fundamental support will remain weak going forward, but futures have already reached a relatively low level and will be in a phase of consolidating at lows in the short term. Going forward, close attention should be paid to steel mill maintenance to assess whether cost support can be sustained.
Jul 2, 2026 17:48SMM announces the discontinuation of two copper scrap smelter processing consumption ratios and updates to annual supply-demand balance data.
DataJun 16, 2026 22:22Regarding SMM: Copper Scrap Supply-Demand Balance: Annual Data Discontinuation Notice
DataApr 8, 2026 14:12Dear Customer, Dear Valued Client, To keep pace with the rapid development of the secondary copper industry and meet the market's need for in-depth analysis of the recycling industry and the supply-demand pattern of copper cathode, our company has conducted a deep optimization of our data models. We are now systematically upgrading and adjusting the standards and content of monthly supply-demand balance data related to China's copper scrap, and implementing the following treatment for historical data: I. Adjustments Made This upgrade primarily optimizes and updates the following indicators in the balance sheet: Discontinuation of "SMM Domestic Copper Scrap Supply" and "SMM Domestic Copper Scrap Supply - Forecasted Value," and adjustment of the two data points under "Domestic Copper Scrap Production": "Domestic Old Scrap Production (Metal Content)" and "Domestic Old Scrap Production (Metal Content) - Forecasted Value." (Data modification path: Database - Copper - Copper Scrap - Production) II. Treatment of Historical Data Historical domestic copper scrap production data will no longer be updated starting from September 2025. Subsequent data will be uniformly released according to the new standards, with the revised data retroactively applied from January 2025. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact the SMM customer service team at any time. Thank you for your continued support and trust! III. Effective Date Effective from February 1, 2026 SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. SMM Copper Research Team Liang Kaihui, 86-21-5159-5826 January 21, 2026
DataJan 21, 2026 13:54