[SMM Aluminum Express News] Alvance British Aluminium has boosted output by ~10% at its Lochaber smelter in Fort William, Scotland (UK’s only primary aluminium plant), thanks to recent US tariff changes. The GFG Alliance-owned facility (48,000 tpy capacity, hydro-powered) now exports about half its production to the US for the first time. Managing Director Tom Uppington: “We increased production in response to shifting trade flows after US tariffs, entering the US market while serving UK and European customers.” President Trump set a 50% global tariff on steel/aluminium imports, but the UK secured a preferential 25% rate (vs. 50% for Canada), making UK metal more competitive. The US still relies on imports for automotive and aerospace sectors.

[Volkswagen Group's 2025 Operating Profit Plunged 53%] Germany's Volkswagen Group announced on March 10 that group revenue in 2025 was 322 billion euros, almost stable compared with 324.7 billion euros in 2024; however, operating profit plunged 53% YoY from 2024 to 8.9 billion euros, mainly due to US tariff policies, exchange-rate fluctuations, and strategic adjustments at Porsche, one of its subsidiaries. Volkswagen Group said that, as US tariff issues and competitive pressure in China still persisted, it expected to continue facing a severe situation in 2026. Revenue this year was expected to edge up by 0% to 3%, with the operating margin at between 4% and 5.5%.

SMM Morning Brief: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,104.5/mt, then its center moved downward to a low of $13,003.5/mt. It then fluctuated upward, hitting a high of $13,096.5/mt near the close, and finally closed at $12,919/mt, up 1.37%. Trading volume reached 22,000 lots, down 9,254 lots from the previous trading day; open interest stood at 304,000 lots, up 1,035 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting long position buildup overall. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 101,430 yuan/mt. After dipping to 101,200 yuan/mt in early trading, it hovered at highs, hitting a high of 101,930 yuan/mt near the close, and finally closed at 101,860 yuan/mt, up 0.7%. Trading volume reached 28,000 lots, down 88,000 lots from the previous trading day; open interest stood at 193,000 lots, down 1,780 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting short position reduction overall.

【SMM Steel】On Feb 5, 2026, PM Carney announced a strategy to protect Canada's auto sector. Stakeholders can give feedback until April 13 on changes to the automotive remission framework. The goal is to align trade policy with local production and jobs. Currently, Canadian-based manufacturers can import US-made vehicles tariff-free within quotas. Since April 2025, Canadian-made vehicles face a 25% US tariff on non-US content. The sector supports 500,000+ jobs and CA$16bn GDP.

On February 26, local time in the US, the third round of indirect negotiations between the US and Iran took place in Geneva, Switzerland, mediated by Oman. The talks went through two stages with a break of several hours in between, and a new round of negotiations is expected to take place next week. On February 27, Beijing time, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs advised Chinese citizens in Iran to evacuate as soon as possible. The external security risks facing Iran have significantly increased, with multiple countries issuing advisories for their citizens to leave. Given the current security situation in Iran, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Chinese Embassy and Consulates in Iran reminded Chinese citizens not to travel to Iran and advised those already there to strengthen safety precautions and evacuate as soon as possible. The Chinese Embassies and Consulates in Iran and its neighboring countries will provide necessary assistance for the evacuation of Chinese citizens via commercial flights or land routes. On February 27, platinum and palladium showed a significant rise, with platinum's weekly gain reaching 19.29%, making it a standout in the precious metals futures sector. Market uncertainties brought about by US tariffs and geopolitical risks continue to support the performance of precious metals. Fundamentals side, tight supply provided fundamental support for platinum. Coupled with many market participants' bullish outlook, some suppliers held prices firm, providing sentiment support for the rise in platinum and palladium. As of around 3:58 PM on February 27, the main platinum contract rose 5.34% to 623.75 yuan/gram, with a weekly gain of 19.29%; the main palladium contract rose 2.77% to 464.85 yuan/gram, with a weekly gain of 10.86%. The A-share market responded in kind, with the precious metals sector closing up 3.55% on February 27. On February 27, spot platinum was quoted at 606~610 yuan/gram, with an average price of 608 yuan/gram, up 3.67% from the previous trading day. The post-holiday rise in platinum, besides being supported by macro factors and safe-haven demand, also benefited from tight supply, positive market expectations, and some suppliers holding prices firm. Due to some suppliers' optimistic outlook, they were unwilling to sell at low prices, making it difficult to find low-priced goods in the market. However, the supply-demand relationship has not changed significantly since before the holiday. The post-holiday rise was more driven by optimistic sentiment, with downstream players adopting a wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that platinum prices will continue to fluctuate in the short term. Future developments will need to focus on changes in the demand side. Throughout February 2026, platinum and palladium prices experienced a roller-coaster ride amid macroeconomic shocks and geopolitical risks. For the whole month, macro sentiment dominated the pace of fluctuations, with supply-side events reinforcing support, and the structural feature of "strong platinum, weak palladium" continued. At present, geopolitical and macro situations strongly support precious metals: the tense Middle East situation directly boosted safe-haven demand; the downward revision of US GDP coupled with stubborn inflation highlighted gold's value preservation function; the legal battle over tariff policies weakened the US dollar's credibility, and expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts, along with global central banks' gold buying spree, collectively provided a solid bottom for precious metal prices. Fundamentals side, the expansion elasticity of platinum and palladium supply is relatively weak. Since platinum's demand structure is less dependent on traditional fuel vehicle consumption compared to palladium, the supply-demand pattern for platinum is tighter, and it is expected to have strong upward momentum, while palladium is likely to follow platinum in a weaker trend. Risk Warning: US Economic Resilience Exceeds Expectations, US Tariff Adjustments on Platinum and Palladium Exceed Expectations, Geopolitical Risks in Major Production Areas, etc.

The US tariff reset is increasingly reshaping the ex-China battery market as a supply-chain design issue, not just a cost issue. With EV growth slowing and volatility rising, ESS—driven by project-based infrastructure demand—can provide a utilization and cash-flow buffer. As a result, “localization × ESS” execution and product-mix flexibility (including LFP) are becoming more central to competitiveness.