[Price Review] During the Chinese New Year holiday, overseas precious metals were affected by multiple factors including US macro policies and Middle East geopolitical conflicts. Silver prices showed a V-shaped reversal trend, falling first and then rising. As of the closing on February 23, spot silver in London closed at $88.17 per ounce, up approximately 13.8% compared to the pre-holiday closing price of $77.46 per ounce on February 13. A pre-holiday decline in US stocks, combined with weakened liquidity, dragged down overseas precious metal prices, which continued to fall in the early part of the Chinese New Year holiday week. Subsequently, the US released its Q4 GDP growth for last year, which fell short of expectations, leading precious metals to stop falling and rebound. Last Friday (February 20), the US Supreme Court ruled to repeal most of the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration last year, and Trump immediately announced an additional 10% tariff on all global imports to the US over the next 150 days. This news reignited market concerns about trade conflicts and economic downturn. Additionally, stalled US-Iran negotiations, which could lead to a worsening situation in the Middle East, stimulated safe-haven demand. Precious metals surged significantly during the session, recovering previous losses, with silver leading the gains sharply. After the Chinese New Year holiday this week, uncertainties around tariff policies and geopolitical impacts continued to ferment. Domestic silver prices opened higher and extended their strong upward trend. After SHFE deliveries concluded on Thursday, spot cargo flowed out, and previously imported crude silver materials entered the market after processing, temporarily alleviating the tight supply of national standard silver ingots. Approaching the weekend, silver prices showed some weakness in continuing their rally. Regarding the gold/silver ratio, as silver led the precious metals gains during the holiday against a backdrop of low inventory levels, the gold/silver ratio dropped back slightly below 60 times. As of February 25, the LBMA gold/silver ratio pulled back to about 57 times. [Important Data] Bullish: US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending February 13 were -9.014 million barrels, lower than the previous value and expectations. The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for February was 56.6, lower than the previous value and expectations. Bearish: US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 14 were 206,000, lower than the previous value and expectations. The US core PCE price index annual rate for December was 3%, higher than the previous value and expectations. US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending February 20 were 1,598.9, higher than the previous value and expectations. Data and macro news releases to focus on next week include: This Friday, the US will release the January core PCE price index, the inflation indicator most closely watched by the US Fed, which will directly impact monetary policy expectations. On March 6 (Friday) at 21:30, the US will release the February seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls data and unemployment rate, key indicators for assessing the US labour market conditions and the US Fed's policy direction. Next week, Fed Chairman Powell and several governors and voting members will deliver speeches, requiring attention to their latest statements on inflation, the job market, and the impact of tariff policies. U.S.-Iran situation: The third round of indirect talks between the U.S. and Iran was held on February 26, with both sides reaching consensus on the guiding principles for negotiations, but core disagreements remain. The U.S. military has deployed two aircraft carriers to the Middle East, and the period from March to July 2026 is a high-risk window, requiring vigilance against risks of negotiation breakdown or escalation of military friction. [Price Forecast] Silver prices have ended the wild swings in the short term. As London silver prices break through the 50-day daily average and stabilize above key support levels, bulls are expected to return to the market. Overall, overseas silver prices may move sideways next week, but risks of high fluctuations due to further escalation of U.S.-Iran negotiation outcomes and Trump's tariff policies still require caution. On the domestic spot price front, despite robust downstream demand, previously imported crude silver and large ingots have been processed and refined and are gradually entering the market. Some suppliers have slightly lowered their premium quotes, and further narrowing of domestic silver ingot premium is expected.
Feb 26, 2026 17:03[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes: AI Concerns Triggered a Broad Decline in Risk Assets, Aluminum Prices Under Pressure and in the Doldrums] Overall, the bullish sentiment in the nonferrous metals market cooled down, coupled with high inventory pressure on the fundamentals, aluminum prices were in the doldrums this week. During the Chinese New Year holiday, the domestic market was closed, while the LME market continued trading. Be cautious of fluctuations in the macro market and the LME market during the holiday, which may cause volatility in aluminum prices after the holiday.
Feb 13, 2026 08:58As reminded by a Caixin article on Tuesday evening, overnight and into the morning, overseas markets have been busy reassessing the prospects of the Middle East conflict, with the three major US stock indices collectively under pressure and declining. As of Tuesday's close, the S&P 500 fell 0.84% to 5,982.72 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.91% to 19,521.09 points; and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.7% to 42,215.8 points. As a bellwether for the Middle East conflict, international oil prices surged again. (Daily chart of Brent crude oil, source: TradingView) According to CCTV News, as the military conflict between Israel and Iran continues, the market's focus has shifted to whether the US military will intervene. According to reports, US President Trump met with his national security team in the White House Situation Room on Tuesday to weigh whether to further intervene in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. US Treasury bond prices also rose simultaneously, though this was also related to weak US retail, housing, and industrial output data. Later on Wednesday (early Thursday Beijing time), the US Fed will announce its latest interest rate decision and hold a press conference. The market generally expects that before a series of uncertainties that could trigger inflation are resolved, Fed officials will have no room to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, Andrew Tyler, head of global market intelligence at JPMorgan Chase, who successfully predicted the April rebound, said this week that despite the success of investors' strategy of buying the dip in the US stock market this year, with negative news always being rewarded after fading away, it is now best to reduce risk exposure. Regardless of the Israel-Iran situation, the US stock market itself is already ripe for a correction. The latest Bank of America Fund Manager Survey also shows that about 54% of institutional investors expect international stocks to be the best-performing asset class over the next five years, while only 23% choose US stocks. Performance of Popular Stocks Tech giants generally fell on Tuesday, with Apple down 1.4%, Microsoft down 0.23%, Amazon down 0.59%, Nvidia down 0.39%, Google-A down 0.46%, Tesla down 3.88%, and Meta down 0.7%. Chinese ADRs also weakened due to market sentiment, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closing down 1.77%. As of the close, Alibaba was down 0.8%, JD.com was down 0.93%, Baidu was down 1.42%, Pinduoduo was down 0.25%, Bilibili was down 2.6%, NIO was down 2.27%, NetEase was down 1.12%, and Futu Holdings was down 1.47%. The "Traditional Chinese Medicine + Brain-Computer Interface" concept stock that captured market attention yesterday, Brain Regeneration Technology, continued to rise by 30%, reaching a market capitalization of $38.5 billion, with a cumulative increase of 59,900% since the beginning of the year. It should be emphasized that the core reason for the stock's speculative surge lies in its extremely small free float. Company News [Amazon CEO Issues Warning on "AI Taking Jobs"] On Tuesday local time, Andy Jassy, CEO of Amazon, the world's largest e-commerce and cloud computing platform, publicly wrote that as the company widely adopts AI to enhance efficiency, it is expected that the overall workforce will be reduced. [US Energy Giant Chevron Officially Enters Lithium Industry] US energy giant Chevron announced on Tuesday its entry into the lithium industry. The company acquired two oilfield areas with the intention of building a "commercial-scale" lithium business in the US. Chevron stated that in the future, it will utilize the "Direct Lithium Extraction" (DLE) process at oilfields to extract lithium from brine. [Coinbase to Seek SEC Approval for Tokenized Equities] Paul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer of Coinbase, a cryptocurrency exchange and newly added member of the S&P 500 Index, revealed that the company is seeking approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a "tokenized equities" service. [Eli Lilly to Acquire Gene-Editing Startup Verve for $1.3 Billion] On Tuesday Eastern Time, US pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly announced that it would acquire gene-editing startup Verve Therapeutics for up to $1.3 billion. In response to this news, Verve's stock price closed up 81.50% on Tuesday. [JPMorgan Chase Launches Deposit Token JPMD, Emphasizing It's Different from Stablecoins] JPMorgan Chase stated on Tuesday that it plans to launch a so-called deposit token, JPMD, on Coinbase's public blockchain Base, which is built on the Ethereum network. The token will provide customers with 24/7 settlement services and the ability to pay interest to holders. The Wall Street giant stated that this is a so-called "permissioned token," meaning it is limited to JPMorgan Chase's institutional clients only—different from most publicly circulating stablecoins. [Tesla's Stock Falls Due to Temporary Production Halt News] Tesla's stock price fell by 3.88% on Tuesday amid news that the company would suspend production of the Cybertruck and Model Y car models at its Austin, Texas, factory for a week. It is reported that the production halt for maintenance will begin on June 30, marking the third similar shutdown at the Austin factory in the past year. [Meta to Launch AI Glasses in Collaboration with Prada and Oakley] Market news on Tuesday reported that Meta and its AI glasses partner EssilorLuxottica plan to launch new AI glasses products under the Prada and Oakley brands. Meta had already announced on Monday that it would unveil a new collaboration with Oakley this week, focusing on sports scenarios. [Intel Reportedly to Cut Up to 20% of Employees in Its Foundry Division] An internal memo disclosed by the media on Tuesday revealed that Intel plans to reduce its workforce in the foundry business unit by 15% to 20% starting from July. It remains unclear how many employees will be directly affected by this move. Regulatory filings indicate that as of the end of last year, Intel had a total of 108,900 employees.
Jun 18, 2025 08:54Macro News 1. On June 17 local time, during his attendance at the second China-Central Asia Summit in Astana, President Xi Jinping met with Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. The two heads of state exchanged views on the current situation in the Middle East. Xi Jinping stated that Israel's military actions against Iran have suddenly intensified tensions in the Middle East, and China is deeply concerned about this. China opposes any actions that infringe upon the sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity of other countries. Military conflict is not the way to resolve issues, and the escalation of regional tensions does not serve the common interests of the international community. All parties should work to de-escalate the conflict as soon as possible and prevent further escalation of tensions. China is willing to work with all parties to play a constructive role in restoring peace and stability in the Middle East. 2. Li Bin, Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange and spokesperson, stated that in May, the overall supply and demand of foreign exchange at home and abroad were balanced, and the foreign exchange market operated smoothly. In May, the net inflow of cross-border funds from non-bank sectors, including enterprises and individuals, amounted to $33 billion. Among them, the net inflow of funds from trade in goods remained at a relatively high level, and foreign investors' holdings of domestic stocks increased further compared to the previous month. The net outflow of funds from services trade, dividend distributions by foreign-invested enterprises, and outward direct investment remained generally stable. 4. Yesterday, a reporter asked whether there were plans to evacuate Chinese citizens in Iran and Israel amid the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated that some Chinese citizens have already been safely evacuated to neighboring countries. The Foreign Ministry and relevant embassies and consulates are working with relevant departments to fully ensure the safety and protection of Chinese citizens in Iran and Israel and to organize the evacuation of Chinese citizens promptly. 6. At yesterday's regular press conference of the Foreign Ministry, a reporter asked about the Financial Times report that the EU had canceled the high-level China-EU economic dialogue, believing that discussions with China were meaningless without progress on trade issues. Guo Jiakun responded by saying to inquire with the competent Chinese authorities. Guo Jiakun stated that strengthening strategic communication and deepening dialogue and cooperation between China and the EU are beneficial to the world. Industry News 1. Zhang Guoqing, Member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, conducted a survey on industrial innovation and the promotion of the healthy development of the platform economy in Guangdong from the 15th to the 17th. He emphasized the need to thoroughly implement the important instructions and directives of General Secretary Xi Jinping, implement the decisions and deployments of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, promote the deep integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, continuously shape new momentum and advantages for development, adhere to the principle of equal emphasis on development and regulation, focus on improving the governance system of the platform economy, and create a fair and orderly environment for the development of the platform economy. 2. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) of the State Council held the second thematic promotion meeting for the 2025 Action Plan for Deepening and Enhancing the Reform of State-owned Enterprises in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, on the 17th. The meeting called for efforts to improve the quality of technological innovation supply, take on responsibilities in building a modern industrial system, make tangible progress in collaborative innovation and the application of research outcomes, and achieve breakthroughs in improving the innovation evaluation and incentive mechanisms. It also urged active promotion of AI-led transformations in the scientific research paradigms of state-owned enterprises, as well as the creation and opening up of strategic, high-value application scenarios. The meeting emphasized that completing the deepening and enhancement action plan with high quality should be the top priority for this year's state-owned enterprise reforms, with a focus on achieving tangible results. 3. The International Energy Agency's new medium-term outlook indicates that global oil supply growth will far exceed demand growth in the coming years. 4. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced that starting today, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be increased by 260 yuan/mt and 255 yuan/mt, respectively. In terms of price per liter, 92-octane gasoline will increase by 0.2 yuan, while 95-octane gasoline and 0-diesel will both increase by 0.22 yuan. After this price increase, filling up a 50L fuel tank of a family car with 92-octane gasoline will cost an additional 10 yuan. 5. According to a survey report titled "The New Silver Hair Economy Will Become Another 'Strategic Opportunity' for Upgrading Consumption Quality" released by the Shanghai Consumer Council, the new silver hair economy will become an important engine for upgrading consumption quality. The consumption demands of the new silver hair group are highly concentrated in areas such as "health and wellness," "travel and socializing," and "hobbies and interests." 6. The commencement ceremony for the EPCI project of the Shanghai Lingang Submarine Data Center Demonstration Project, participated in by the Second Company of CCCC Third Harbor Engineering Co., Ltd., was held in Nantong. As the world's first zero-carbon new infrastructure benchmark for offshore wind power-integrated submarine data centers, this project will help Shanghai reach the international forefront in the field of green and low-carbon computing infrastructure. 7. During an inspection of a shipment of children's toys and plastic cups, customs officers from Beilun Customs, under the jurisdiction of Ningbo Customs, discovered that a plush toy was suspected of infringing on the copyright of the "Labubu Spring Elf Series." After contacting the rights holder for confirmation, it was determined that the entire shipment was infringing. Upon inventory, it was found that there were 20,240 infringing children's toys. 8. Relevant officials from the Guangdong Provincial SASAC stated at the second thematic promotion meeting for the 2025 Action Plan for Deepening and Enhancing the Reform of State-owned Enterprises that Guangdong Province has increased its investment in strategic emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, establishing the Guangdong Advanced Manufacturing Industry Investment Fund and the Strategic Industry Promotion and Development Fund, with a total subscribed capital of approximately 70 billion yuan and 52 investment projects. Company News 1. New World Development stated on an interactive platform that its shopping malls have POP MART vending machines. 2. PetroChina Capital announced its plan to invest 655 million yuan to increase the capital of Kunlun Capital for investment in controllable nuclear fusion projects. 3. SmartSens Technology announced that the shareholding ratio of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund Phase II has decreased to 6.99%. 4. BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. announced its plan to acquire a 30% stake in CHOT. 5. RemeGen announced that Telitacicept has been granted orphan drug designation by the European Union. 6. Dematic announced its strategic cooperation intention with Zhiyuan Xinchuang to explore innovative applications of embodied intelligent robots in logistics scenarios. 7. GCoreLab announced the successful internal testing of its new anti-quantum cryptographic card, which has been sampled to multiple customers. 8. Yuanlong Yatu stated on the interactive platform that its revenue from IP-related businesses with POP MART in 2024 was approximately 2.21 million yuan. 9. Eastcompeace Technology announced that in recent years, the company has actively deployed R&D and applications in fields such as blockchain, but faces risks of new technology R&D and commercial applications not meeting expectations. 10. Asian Paints announced that Runhe Tongcai intends to passively reduce its shareholding in the company by 3% due to the triggering of a mandatory liquidation procedure. Global Markets 1. US stocks opened lower and closed lower, with all three major indices ending in the red. The Nasdaq fell 0.91%, the S&P 500 fell 0.84%, and the Dow fell 0.7%. Major tech stocks generally declined, with Tesla falling nearly 4% and Apple falling over 1%. Most popular Chinese ADRs closed lower, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling 1.77%. Major European stock indices also closed lower, with the German DAX30 index falling 0.86%. 2. International crude oil futures settlement prices rose sharply by over 4%. WTI crude oil futures for July rose 4.28%, and Brent crude oil futures for August rose 4.4%. 3. COMEX gold futures fell 0.37%, while COMEX silver futures rose 1.97%. Investment Opportunities Reference 1. China's annual cross-border e-commerce export scale exceeds 2 trillion yuan, with leading sellers expected to continue increasing market share According to media reports, at the 2025 China Langfang International Economic and Trade Fair, which opened on June 16, the Statistical Analysis Department of the General Administration of Customs introduced China's cross-border e-commerce import and export situation in 2024, stating that China's cross-border e-commerce export scale exceeded 2 trillion yuan in 2024, reaching 2.15 trillion yuan, a 16.9% increase from 2023, setting a new historical high for cross-border e-commerce scale. A survey of enterprises by the customs showed that over 70% of enterprises expected cross-border e-commerce import and export to remain stable or grow in 2025. Cinda Securities believes that the increasing penetration of online channels in overseas consumer markets will continue to be an important opportunity for Chinese brands to go global. Leading sellers in cross-border e-commerce are focusing on brand strategies and leveraging their core supply chain advantages, and are expected to continue increasing their market share. 2. Ten new low-altitude logistics routes have been added in the region, and 2025 is expected to be the first year for the commercial application of the low-altitude economy to take root. According to media reports, the Hanshang Low-Altitude Port, which connects the core areas of the three towns of Wuhan (Wuchang, Hankou, and Hanyang) through flight service routes, has officially commenced operations. It is understood that the Hanshang Low-Altitude Port is constructed and operated by Hanshang Low-Altitude Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Hanshang Group. Currently, it has formed a specialized low-altitude logistics operation system comprising one digital real-time dispatching platform, two intelligent command centers, ten low-altitude routes, and 22 intelligent parking aprons. It primarily serves the distribution and emergency support of commodities such as seafood, fresh-cut flowers, and pharmaceuticals. Galaxy Securities believes that 2025 is expected to be the first year for the commercial application of the low-altitude economy to take root, with infrastructure such as air traffic control systems and takeoff and landing sites accelerating in construction. Kaiyuan Securities further analyzed that the low-altitude economy has ushered in vertical implementation from the macro level (national-level industrial planning) to the meso level (local subsidies in various regions) and then to the micro level (infrastructure mainframe tenders and application scenario creation). It is recommended to pay attention to the subsequent market trends of the low-altitude economy sector. 3. The region's first project of this kind has officially landed! Policy dividends are emerging, injecting strong momentum into foreign trade growth. According to media reports, recently, the Macun Port Customs under Haikou Customs successfully handled the customs clearance procedures for a cross-border bonded lease of a "Lancang" electric multiple unit (EMU) trainset declared by a leasing company within the Haikou Integrated Free Trade Zone, marking the official landing of Hainan Free Trade Port's first cross-border railway EMU leasing project. Currently, the EMU trainset has been delivered to Laos-China Railway Co., Ltd., effectively enhancing the passenger transport supply capacity of the Lao section of the China-Laos Railway and driving regional economic development. "Unlike previous direct sales and exports, the bonded lease approach significantly reduces the investment and operating costs for foreign enterprises. It also helps promote international cooperation and optimal resource allocation, providing more foreign enterprises with access to China's manufacturing resources and market opportunities," said a relevant person in charge of the leasing company. This business represents an important milestone in the company's cross-border leasing business layout. A relevant person in charge of Haikou Customs stated that the customs will strengthen communication and exchanges with various parties, including the Haikou Integrated Free Trade Zone and leasing companies, to further leverage the policy advantages of the Hainan Free Trade Port. By facilitating financing and customs clearance, it will promote industrial development and accelerate the "going global" of large-scale rail transit equipment made in China. According to statistics from Haikou Customs, as of late May this year, the import value of goods under Hainan Free Trade Port's three "zero-tariff" lists reached 22.69 billion yuan, with tax exemptions and reductions totaling 4.32 billion yuan. The early policy dividends of the Hainan Free Trade Port are emerging, injecting strong momentum into foreign trade growth. 4. Hard to Get a Ticket! Number of Scottish Premiership Sponsors Surges to 20 It was reported that as of June 16, the number of Scottish Premiership sponsors had reached 20, more than three times the number at the start of the season. Amid sustained high popularity, the sponsorship fees for the "Scottish Premiership" had soared to 3 million yuan, and it was hard to get a ticket. Meanwhile, according to booking data from Meituan Travel, the booking volume for cultural and tourism activities in Jiangsu Province during the summer vacation had increased by 41% YoY. Over the past weekend, the tourism order volume in Jiangsu Province had surged to the top nationwide, with the order volume for dining in restaurants in Jiangsu contributed by out-of-town consumers increasing by over 49% YoY. The tourism order volume in Nanjing, the provincial capital, led the country, while Suzhou and Yangzhou had both ranked among the top 10, showing a booming trend of "full bloom". The "Scottish Premiership Effect" was amplified by policy support and the platform economy, driving comprehensive growth in the cultural, tourism, sports, and commercial sectors in Jiangsu. The ongoing Jiangsu Provincial City Football League has recently attracted a large number of fans to attend the games. According to Future Report data, the global football market size reached $55.97 billion in 2024 and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 3.9%, reaching $70.29 billion by 2030. Fang Guangzhao from Kaiyuan Securities believes that driven by both policy support and market demand growth, the Chinese football industry is expected to usher in a period of rapid development, and it is recommended to actively pay attention to investment opportunities related to the football industry chain. The development of the football industry is expected to drive demand for derivatives such as trading cards and sports lotteries. As a core component of the upstream events in the football industry chain, football clubs are expected to see their value continue to rise. In addition, with the rapid development of the football industry, the demand for high-grade football equipment and materials may increase significantly.
Jun 18, 2025 08:50Macro News 1. The spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that, at the invitation of President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev of the Republic of Kazakhstan, President Xi Jinping will attend the second China-Central Asia Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, from June 16 to 18. 2. Li Qiang chaired a State Council executive meeting to deploy the replication and promotion of pilot measures in the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone, hear reports on the construction of a new model for real estate development and the promotion of high-quality housing, and study measures to optimize the centralised procurement of pharmaceuticals and medical consumables. 3. According to data from the People's Bank of China, at the end of May, the balance of broad money (M2) was 325.78 trillion yuan, up 7.9% YoY. The balance of narrow money (M1) was 108.91 trillion yuan, up 2.3% YoY. The balance of currency in circulation (M0) was 13.13 trillion yuan, up 12.1% YoY. Net cash injection in the first five months was 306.4 billion yuan. The increase in aggregate social financing in January-May was 18.63 trillion yuan, 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. RMB loans increased by 10.68 trillion yuan in the first five months. 4. On June 13, the People's Bank of China announced again that it would conduct 400 billion yuan of outright reverse repo operations on June 16 with a term of six months (182 days), indicating that the central bank would achieve a net injection for the entire month. 5. The World Trade Organization held the second annual meeting of the Council for Trade in Services in Geneva, Switzerland, on June 13. China pointed out the misleading narrative and erroneous logic of the US's "reciprocal tariff" and urged the US to comply with WTO rules, resolve differences through multilateral cooperation rather than unilateral measures, and jointly maintain the stability of the global trading system with all parties. 6. The New Zealand government's official website announced that starting from November 2025, Chinese passport holders entering New Zealand from Australia with valid Australian tourist, work, student, or family visas will be exempt from visa requirements for stays of up to three months. Industry News 1. Eight departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, are soliciting public comments on the "Guidelines for the Security of Outbound Automobile Data (2025 Edition)". Automobile data processors shall declare a security assessment for outbound data if they provide automobile data overseas under any of the following circumstances: (1) providing important data overseas; (2) cumulatively providing personal information (excluding sensitive personal information) of more than 1 million individuals overseas since January 1 of the current year; (3) cumulatively providing sensitive personal information of more than 10,000 individuals overseas since January 1 of the current year; (4) operators of critical information infrastructure providing personal information overseas; (5) other circumstances requiring a security assessment for outbound data as specified by relevant state regulations. 2. On the 15th, the official WeChat account of the Shenzhen Municipal Committee of the Revolutionary Committee of the Chinese Kuomintang (RCCCK) published an article by He Jie, Chairman of the Shenzhen Municipal Committee of the RCCCK, discussing Shenzhen's new mission in comprehensive reform. He Jie stated that relevant departments in Shenzhen are currently formulating relevant listing rules, with the expectation of piloting the secondary listing of red-chip stocks, which will provide more convenient and efficient listing channels for science and technology innovation enterprises. He Jie emphasized that the blueprint for comprehensive reform "2.0" has already been drawn up, and the key lies in effective implementation. Many reforms are still framework-based and directional in nature, requiring integration with practical needs, particularly achieving an organic combination of "top-level design and local initiatives." 3. According to statistics from Choice, as of June 14th, 105 public offering products (with multiple share classes combined) have been liquidated since the beginning of this year. In terms of termination reasons, 83 products were terminated due to the net asset value of the fund falling below contractual limits, 21 products were terminated with the consent of the fund holders' meeting, and 1 product was terminated due to contract expiration. Among these, equity liquidations accounted for 70%, with industry-themed funds in sectors such as new energy, pharmaceuticals, and consumption becoming the "hardest-hit areas." 4. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued an administrative penalty decision. During the period in question, the account group controlled by Tu Wenbin had significant capital advantages, manipulating the prices of multiple stocks through continuous trading, driving up stock prices, large-volume limit-up orders, and false order placements and cancellations. The CSRC decided to impose penalties, with the total amount of fines and confiscations reaching nearly 77 million yuan. 5. On June 15th, a reporter learned from China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) that yttrium-90 glass microspheres irradiated by Qinshan Nuclear Power's "Hefu No. 1" reactor were successfully removed from the reactor and passed relevant detections, marking China's successful mastery of the technology for producing yttrium-90 in commercial reactors, enabling mass production. 6. The opening forum of the Golden Goblet Film Forum at the 27th Shanghai International Film Festival was held on June 15th. Participants unanimously agreed that the current film market has reached a moment for a fresh start. Facing industry challenges, chairmen and executives of multiple listed film companies discussed solutions, with directions such as increasing non-ticket revenue, reducing the number of films produced, and lowering production costs emerging as potential solutions. Corporate News 1. Kweichow Moutai announced an adjustment to its 2024 annual profit distribution plan, increasing the dividend per share to 27.673 yuan/share. 2. On June 14th, POP MART Korea issued an announcement stating that due to concerns about potential safety accidents at recent offline sales venues, the company has decided to temporarily suspend offline sales of the entire LABUBU plush toy and LABUBU plush keychain series. 3. GAC Group issued a commitment announcement, stating that it will ensure the fulfillment of dealer rebates within two months from today. 4. Guotai Haitong Securities announced that it has received an administrative licensing decision from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) for the issuance of 15 billion yuan in science and technology innovation bonds. 5. Yong'an Pharmaceutical announced that the company's stock price has risen significantly in the short term, severely deviating from the overall market trend, and there is a high risk of speculation. 6. *ST Tongzhou announced that the company's stock will be suspended for one day on June 16, and starting from June 17, the delisting risk warning and other risk warnings will be revoked, with the stock abbreviation changing to Tongzhou Electronics. 7. Haimo Technologies announced that the controlling shareholder and actual controller are proposed to be changed to Fan Zhonghua, and the stock will resume trading from June 16. 8. *ST Haiyue announced that it will repurchase company shares worth 30 million to 50 million yuan during the delisting consolidation period. 9. Huayang New Materials issued a stock trading risk warning announcement, stating that the company does not possess the attributes of rare earth permanent magnets. 10. Honghui Fruits & Vegetables announced that the controlling shareholder is proposed to be changed to Shenze Ruitai, and the company's stock and convertible bonds will resume trading from the opening of the market on June 16. 11. Ruifeng Gaocai issued an announcement in response to rumors about the board secretary being placed under investigation, stating that the investigation does not involve the company's stock trading and that current production and operations are normal. 12. Haers stated on an interactive platform that its past cooperation with POP MART has been terminated, and the scope of the previous cooperation did not include Labubu. Global Markets 3. According to CCTV News, US President Trump stated on social media in the early hours of the 15th (Eastern Time) that "the United States has nothing to do with tonight's attacks on Iran" and warned that if Iran attacks the US in any form, the US armed forces will "respond with full force on an unprecedented scale." In addition, Trump claimed that the US could "easily facilitate an agreement to end this bloody conflict," but did not elaborate on how the agreement would be reached. 4. On Friday last week, US stocks opened lower and continued to decline, with all three major indices falling more than 1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.32% for the week; the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.63% for the week; and the S&P 500 index fell 0.39% for the week. Most large-cap tech stocks declined, with Intel falling more than 3% and Nvidia falling more than 2%; Tesla rose approximately 2%. The energy sector bucked the trend and surged, with Houston Energy rising more than 119% and US Energy rising more than 55%. Drone manufacturer Airo's US IPO closed up 140% on its first day. Oracle rose more than 7% for the week, nearly 24%, marking its best weekly performance since 2001. Most popular Chinese ADRs closed lower, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling 2.74%. Fangdd Network fell more than 9%, WeRide fell more than 7%, Kingsoft Cloud fell more than 6%, XPeng Motors fell more than 5%, Alibaba, Bilibili, and Li Auto all fell more than 3%, and JD.com, Pinduoduo, and Baidu all fell more than 2%. Investment Opportunities Reference 1. Xiaomi Auto unveils solid-state battery patent; institutions say eVTOL + humanoid robots open up incremental space for solid-state batteries Intellectual property information from Tianyancha shows that recently, Xiaomi Auto Technology Co., Ltd. applied for a patent titled "Solid-state battery composite electrode, preparation method, and solid-state battery comprising the composite electrode," which has been made public. The abstract indicates that the solid-state battery composite electrode disclosed in the patent effectively shortens the transmission path of metal ions in thick electrodes and accelerates the transmission rate of metal ions between electrodes, featuring high electrode loading and C-rate performance. Dongxing Securities stated that with the gradual entry of fields such as eVTOL and humanoid robots into a phase of rapid growth, along with the release of technological solutions and industrialisation application timelines for all-solid-state batteries by various enterprises, driven by sustained new demand, the application and implementation of solid-state battery technology is expected to accelerate, with the industrialisation process already showing an accelerating trend. Battery enterprises with a first-mover advantage in solid-state battery technology and leading application deployment will primarily benefit. Sihan Industry Research Institute believes that AI is empowering industrial transformation, with eVTOL and humanoid robots opening up incremental space for solid-state batteries. 2. AI inference demand is accelerating, and this solution has become a focus for self-development among major cloud providers According to media reports, while GPUs have advantages in general-purpose accelerated computing scenarios, they face challenges such as high costs and power consumption in specific scenarios, prompting buyers to seek alternative types of chips for support. Customised ASIC chips have become a focal point of attention. Recently, NVIDIA introduced NVLink Fusion, directly targeting Broadcom's high-growth market: AI custom chips. This also means there are new entrants in the ASIC chip market. As AI models become increasingly powerful, the demand for AI inference is accelerating, with ASIC customised solutions offering better energy efficiency and cost advantages becoming a focus for self-development among major cloud providers, with upgraded versions typically released every 1-2 years. Guojin Securities believes that compared to GPUs, ASICs can be custom-developed for specific business scenarios, and the substantial demand for inference computing power and cost reduction will effectively drive the growth of ASIC demand. They are optimistic about ASIC design service companies, Ethernet white-box switch producers, Ethernet switching chip producers, AEC producers, and PCB producers. 3. Against the backdrop of strong supply constraints and a concentrated industry structure, these chemicals are currently in a price upcycle Institutions have pointed out that as temperatures rise, the demand for refrigerant maintenance is gradually becoming robust, with genuine sales boosting channel price confidence. Downstream air conditioner production schedules from June to August remain high on a YoY basis, with the demand side continuing to provide positive feedback. The long-term bullish trend for refrigerants remains unchanged. Against the backdrop of equal domestic and international trade quotes for mainstream refrigerants, the performance release certainty of refrigerant-related producers has strengthened. Founder Securities pointed out that refrigerants are one of the largest and most widely applied segments in the fluorochemical industry. The Montreal Protocol has driven the generational transition of refrigerants. Currently, the refrigerant industry is in a phase of accelerated reduction of second-generation refrigerants, quota freezing of third-generation refrigerants, and patent protection for fourth-generation refrigerants. Against the backdrop of strong supply constraints and a concentrated industry structure, second- and third-generation refrigerants are currently in a price upcycle. The downstream air conditioning and automotive industries are expected to maintain growth trends, with third-generation refrigerants expected to see both volume and price increases. In addition, fluorine-containing fine chemicals are a niche but high-quality segment within the fluorine chemical industry, characterized by high product barriers and added value, with significant growth in market demand in recent years. With the development of emerging industries such as new energy and electronics, their market size continues to expand. 4. Institutions Say Defense and Military Demand Expected to Recover, with Long-Term Growth Certainty in Relevant Sectors Research reports from institutions indicate that, as 2025 marks the final year of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the planning year for the "15th Five-Year Plan," demand in the defense and military sector is expected to recover. Research reports from Northeast Securities point out that, at the current juncture, as the "14th Five-Year Plan" enters its final year, disruptive factors in the military industry have largely been eliminated, and downstream demand is showing restorative growth. Meanwhile, with the impending 2027 construction target, medium and long-term goals also provide clear guidance for the industry's development: to basically achieve the modernization of national defense and the military by 2035, and to comprehensively build the People's Liberation Army into a world-class military by 2050. Along with the recovery in demand and the gradual optimization of capacity structure, the defense and military sector is expected to see significant improvement, with high safety margins and long-term growth certainty.
Jun 16, 2025 08:23On Friday (June 13), US stocks opened lower and continued to decline, with all three major indices closing in the red. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.79% to 42,197.79 points; the S&P 500 fell 1.13% to 5,976.97 points; and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.3% to 19,406.83 points. For the week, the Dow fell 1.32%, the S&P 500 fell 0.39%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.63%, all ending a two-week winning streak. In the early hours of Friday (June 13) local time, tensions in the Middle East escalated, causing several popular US stocks to decline significantly during the night session. Affected by geopolitical tensions, international crude oil futures settled sharply higher, rising over 7%. WTI July crude oil futures rose 7.26%, and Brent August crude oil futures rose 7.02%. US COMEX gold futures rose 1.47%. Despite the overall decline in US stocks, sectors such as energy and precious metals rallied against the trend. ExxonMobil rose 2.18%, ConocoPhillips rose 2.4%; VanEck Gold Miners ETF rose 1.74%, and Newmont Corporation rose 3.54%. Louis Navellier, Chief Investment Officer at Navellier & Associates, said, "The lasting damage could be to crude oil prices. If oil prices do not pull back soon, it will certainly cause some damage to US inflation data." Performance of Popular Stocks Most large-cap tech stocks declined, with (ranked by market capitalization) Microsoft falling 0.82%, NVIDIA falling 2.09%; Apple falling 1.38%, Amazon falling 0.53%, Alphabet Class C falling 0.62%, Meta falling 1.51%, Broadcom falling 2.88%, and Tesla rising 1.94%. Oracle rose 7.69%, gaining 23.68% for the week, marking its best weekly performance since 2001. Drone manufacturer AIRO Group surged 140% on its first day of trading. Among Chinese stocks listed in the US, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 2.74%, declining 0.77% for the week. Most popular Chinese stocks listed in the US closed lower, with Pony.ai falling 7.24%, XPeng Motors falling 5.46%, Li Auto falling 3.84%, Alibaba falling 3.22%, NIO falling 3.04%, Pinduoduo falling 2.76%, JD.com falling 2.53%, New Oriental falling 2.33%, Tencent Music Entertainment falling 2.13%, and Baidu falling 2.06%. Company News [Amazon Restructures Healthcare Business] To streamline its structure, Amazon is reorganizing its healthcare business into six "pillars." Previously, Amazon had lost several healthcare executives in recent months. After acquiring PillPack and One Medical and launching some of its own services, Amazon has been struggling to find a consistent strategy in the healthcare market. [AMD Unveils Two Generations of Flagship AI Chips to Compete with NVIDIA; Morgan Stanley: MI400 Could Be a Key Inflection Point] At the AMD Advancing AI conference, AMD showcased its strongest lineup of AI products ever, including flagship AI chips for data centers, AI software stacks, AI rack-level infrastructure, AI network cards, and DPUs, fully demonstrating its ambition to compete with NVIDIA. Morgan Stanley stated that AMD has released the MI350 as expected, but the focus remains on the rack-level MI400/450 products to be launched next year. If these products can be delivered on schedule, they could have a greater impact. [US eVTOL Giant Archer Raises $850 Million] Archer Aviation, a well-known US electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft company, announced that it has raised $850 million through the sale of shares. Archer stated that it plans to use the $850 million to support new infrastructure construction and launch an AI-based aviation software platform.
Jun 14, 2025 17:19