The Southeast Asian secondary aluminum market remained broadly stable this week. Aluminum scrap prices moved within a narrow range, while ADC12 domestic prices were largely unchanged and FOB offers edged higher on firm raw material costs. Meanwhile, imported aluminum scrap prices in China continued to rebound as import margins improved, with several cargoes reportedly scheduled to arrive in mid-August, providing additional support to market sentiment.

【SMM Tungsten Analysis】 SMM August 6: On August 5, major Chinese tungsten enterprises released their long-term contract prices for the first half of August, among which the price for 55% wolframite concentrates was set at 412,000 yuan/mt, up 1,000 yuan/standard tonne from the second half of July, and the APT long-term contract price was simultaneously raised by 1,000 yuan/mt to 606,000 yuan/mt.

SMM August 6 News: Germanium ingot in the spot market, driven by tight raw material supply, saw its price edge up slightly; leading tungsten enterprises slightly raised their long-term contract quotations. Meanwhile, the US Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) on August 6, 2026, formally published in the Federal Register the interim final rule "Allocation Order and Additional Requirements for Recyclable Critical Minerals and Materials," under the Defense Production Act (DPA) and a presidential determination on July 30, 2026, imposing mandatory domestic sales controls on two types of critical recycled minerals: shredded tungsten scrap and lithium battery black mass. The rule will take effect on August 27, 2026, and remain valid until August 27, 2027, intensifying concerns about tight tungsten raw material supply outside China. As of now, activity in domestic spot tungsten transactions has shown some rebound, and the transaction center for spot tungsten ore orders has edged up slightly. Secondary market sentiment heating up boosted the minor metal sector, which collectively strengthened. As of the close on August 6, the minor metals sector rose by 2.08%. In terms of individual stocks: Yunnan Germanium surged over 8%, while China Tungsten High-Tech, Xianglu Tungsten, Xiamen Tungsten, Haotong Technology, and Orient Tantalum led the gains. Spot Market Germanium Order to View SMM Historical Metal Spot Prices Germanium is a strategic rare metal with a highly concentrated global supply structure. The ongoing implementation of domestic resource controls and frequent geopolitical disruptions outside China, combined with the normal enforcement of export control policies, have collectively reinforced supply tightening expectations. Currently, low-priced supply in the market is scarce, and downstream just-in-time procurement must accept high-priced materials, causing germanium ingot prices to edge up on August 6. Meanwhile, overall stable demand from end-use industries has provided support for the continuous rise in germanium prices this year. Tungsten Order to View SMM Historical Metal Spot Price Trends Currently, the tungsten ore market is operating steadily. A large tungsten enterprise slightly raised its long-term contract quotation, providing some support to market confidence. Meanwhile, the US Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) on August 6, 2026, formally published in the Federal Register the interim final rule "Allocation Order and Additional Requirements for Recyclable Critical Minerals and Materials," under the Defense Production Act (DPA) and a presidential determination on July 30, 2026, imposing mandatory domestic sales controls on two types of critical recycled minerals: shredded tungsten scrap and lithium battery black mass. The rule will take effect on August 27, 2026, and remain valid until August 27, 2027, which has escalated market concerns about tight tungsten raw material supply outside China. As of now, activity in domestic spot tungsten transactions has shown some rebound, and the transaction center for spot tungsten ore orders has edged up slightly. On the domestic front, the market is reassessing the impact of the "Opinions of the National Mine Safety Administration on Standardizing Construction Teams for Metal and Non-Metallic Mine Mining (Stripping)" on the non-coal mining industry. The document requires that by May 1, 2027, for underground mines and by May 1, 2028, for open-pit mines, one of two options must be chosen: ① establish an in-house mining team; ② engage in compliant integrated contracting; fragmentary subcontracting and layered transfers are prohibited, and labor dispatch is strictly banned. Mines failing to complete rectification by the deadline will be ordered to suspend production for rectification. Domestic tungsten mines are primarily underground, with the vast majority of wolframite extracted through underground mining, and some scheelite extracted through both open-pit and underground methods. In tungsten-rich regions such as Jiangxi and Hunan, a large number of small and medium tungsten mines have long been highly dependent on external contracted mining teams. The implementation of the new regulation will impose tangible constraints on tungsten ore supply, production costs, and the operations of small and medium mines. Recently, the spot tungsten ore market has started to become more active, with traders actively entering the market, while downstream smelters continue to maintain a wait-and-see sentiment. Overall, market sentiment has eased amid frequent mining policies and intensive safety inspections in Yunnan, Jiangxi, and Henan. Supply-side disruptions have increased, and if demand shows mild entry, the tungsten market is expected to see a turnaround. Institutional Voices Guojin Securities research report believes: Tantalum: Global tantalum resource supply is highly concentrated and frequently disrupted, while development of AI servers and advanced semiconductor manufacturing is expected to continue driving demand growth in tantalum capacitors, tantalum targets, and other areas. Against the backdrop of ongoing supply constraints and gradual demand release, the tantalum market is expected to shift from supply-driven to supply-demand resonance, pushing the tantalum price center further upward. Related equities: Oriental Tantalum, Guotai Group, Ximei Resources, Xinjinlu, Jiangwu Equipment. Minmetals Securities research report points out: Germanium accounts for 60% of applications in optical communications and satellite photovoltaics, making it an "AI computing power + space energy" metal. With its excellent refractive index control capability and radiation resistance, germanium has become a critical material for AI data center optical interconnects and low-earth orbit satellite photovoltaic systems. Looking at changes in demand structure, from 2020 to 2026, downstream germanium consumption grew from 160 mt to 240 mt, with optical communications' share rising to 40% and satellite photovoltaics' share to 20%, together accounting for 60% of total downstream demand. It is expected that 90% of demand growth contributions in 2027 will come from two high-boom sectors: AI hardware and satellite photovoltaics. Caitong Securities research report shows: With the explosive demand for AI computing power, the market size of indium phosphide, used as a chip substrate material, will continue to expand. Indium resources are scarce and subject to policy restrictions, and product prices have entered an upward channel. High-purity red phosphorus is a critically important semiconductor base material with high purification technology barriers. Against the backdrop of accelerated AI application deployment driving related infrastructure construction, the indium phosphide substrate industry chain is expected to see dual opportunities from demand growth and domestic substitution. Investors are advised to follow related enterprises with resource and technology advantages in indium phosphide, indium, and high-purity red phosphorus. Datong Securities research report shows that minor metals have embarked on an independent upward trend, with supply tightening and strategic attributes driving a valuation re-rating. The rare earth sector is front-running expectations of new regulations, with Myanmar ore imports disrupted and Pr-Nd oxide seeing tight spot supply and soaring prices. In tungsten and antimony, declining ore grades combined with environmental protection-driven production restrictions have widened supply gaps, while demand from photovoltaics and cemented carbides remains firm even in the off-season, with inventories at low levels. AI computing power and the communications industry are driving demand for gallium and germanium, and coupled with export control policies, overseas stockpiling has widened price spreads between Chinese and overseas markets. Scarce resources and financial attributes resonate, and the sector continues to attract capital favor.

[SMM Express] Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines and Mining Development used its three-day Mid-Term Strategic Planning Review Workshop in Kadoma this week to confirm that the country's mining sector generated approximately US$5.73 billion in export earnings during H1 2026 — gold contributing US$3.2 billion and other minerals a further US$2.53 billion through the Minerals Marketing Corporation of Zimbabwe — putting the sector on track to exceed 2025's record US$8.6 billion full-year total. Mines Minister Dr Polite Kambamura used the occasion to announce that government will establish regional beneficiation hubs aligned to each area's mineral endowment, with chrome-producing districts specifically earmarked to specialize in ferrochrome and chromium alloy production, while iron ore regions are directed toward steel. The announcement reinforces the trajectory already visible in Zimbabwe's chrome sector this year: a February 2026 ban on exporting unbeneficiated minerals, combined with policy requiring chrome mining titles above 100 hectares to be tied to ferrochrome furnace development, has been steadily pushing production and investment toward smelting rather than raw ore shipment. Formalizing that push into designated regional hubs — rather than leaving beneficiation to individual operator discretion — signals Harare intends to treat chrome-specific value addition as a structural, geography-based policy rather than a company-by-company negotiation. With the Chamber of Mines projecting 10% sector growth for 2026 and full-year export earnings potentially reaching US$7.5–11 billion, the coming months should show whether the hub concept translates into concrete furnace investment in Zimbabwe's chrome belt or remains, for now, a stated policy direction.

KPC has set the August Kuwait Sulphur Price (KSP) at $865/mt FOB, down by $85/mt from the July KSP of $950/mt; QatarEnergy has kept its August Qatar Sulphur Price (QSP) unchanged at $890/mt FOB from July; ADNOC has kept its August official selling price (OSP) for the Indian subcontinent unchanged at $1,000/mt FOB Ruwais from July.

[Tungsten Express] SMM August 5 News: Today, the tungsten concentrate market remained stable, as the market re-evaluated the impact of the "Opinions of the National Mine Safety Administration on Regulating Excavation (Stripping) Construction Teams for Metal and Non-metal Production Mines" on the non-coal mining industry. The document requires that underground mines, by May 1, 2027, and open-pit mines, by May 1, 2028, choose one of two options: ① establish an in-house excavation team; ② outsource to a compliant integrated contractor; prohibit fragmented subcontracting and multi-level subcontracting; ban labor dispatch underground; and mines that fail to complete rectification by the deadline will be ordered to suspend production for rectification. China's tungsten mines are primarily underground (most wolframite mines are underground, while some scheelite mines are open-pit or underground). The main producing regions of Jiangxi and Hunan have a large number of small and medium-sized tungsten mines that have long heavily relied on external excavation subcontracting teams, imposing substantial constraints on the supply side, cost side, and the survival of small and medium-sized mines. Meanwhile, in the past two days, trading in the tungsten concentrate spot market began to turn active, with traders entering actively. Yesterday, a mine in Guangdong auctioned low-grade ore, and all 156 standard tonnes were sold. Downstream smelters remained cautious, awaiting guidance from today's long-term contract prices. Overall, the market was stimulated by frequent mining policies and intensive safety inspections in Yunnan, Jiangxi, Henan, and other regions, easing market sentiment, while supply-side disruptions intensified. If demand enters the market moderately, the tungsten market will see a turnaround.