[SMM Analysis]Secondary Aluminum Market Remains Strong in Short Term Focus on Demand Recovery and Policy Implementation

SMM News on June 11: Metal Market: As of the daytime close, domestic market base metals generally rose, with only SHFE lead declining, by 0.06%. SHFE aluminum and SHFE zinc both rose by over 1%, with SHFE aluminum up 1.25% and SHFE zinc up 1.23%. SHFE tin rose by 0.69%, while the fluctuations in the gains of other metals were relatively small. The main alumina contract closed flat at 2,895 yuan/mt, and the main aluminum casting contract rose by 0.91%. In addition, the main lithium carbonate contract rose by 1.68%, polysilicon rose by 0.72%, and silicon metal rose by 2.23%. The main European container shipping contract fell by 2.1%. In the ferrous metals series, prices rose collectively, with iron ore up 1%, rebar up 0.67%, and HRC up 0.78%. In the coking coal and coke sector, coking coal rose by 1.1%, and coke rose by 1.31%. In the overseas market, as of 15:06, only LME tin declined, by 0.08%, while other metals rose. LME aluminum and LME zinc both rose by over 1%, with LME aluminum up 1.26% and LME zinc up 1.19%. The fluctuations in the gains of other metals were relatively small. In precious metals, as of 15:06, COMEX gold rose by 0.44%, and COMEX silver rose by 0.14%. Domestically, SHFE gold rose by 0.56%, and SHFE silver fell by 0.28%. Market conditions as of 15:06 today 》Click to view SMM Market Dashboard Macro Front Domestic Aspect: [Announcement] The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 10:00 a.m. on Friday, June 13, 2025. Li Yongxia, Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations of the Ministry of Commerce, and Song Junji, Vice Governor of Shandong Province, will introduce the relevant situation of the 2025 Qingdao Summit for Leaders of Multinational Corporations and answer questions from reporters. [Average Annual Growth Rate of 14.2% Over 25 Years, China-Africa Trade Volume Exceeds 2 Trillion Yuan] On the occasion of the upcoming Fourth China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo in Changsha, Hunan Province, data released by the General Administration of Customs on June 11 showed that since the establishment of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in 2000, the total value of China's imports and exports with Africa has increased from less than 100 billion yuan that year to 2.1 trillion yuan in 2024, representing a cumulative growth of over 20 times and an average annual growth rate of 14.2%, fully demonstrating the strong vitality of China-Africa economic and trade cooperation. On the same day, the General Administration of Customs also released the 2024 China-Africa Trade Index, which rapidly climbed from a base value of 100 points in 2000 to a new high of 1,056.53 points in 2024. (Xinhua News Agency) The People's Bank of China conducted 164 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today, with an operating interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate. As 214.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net withdrawal of 50.9 billion yuan was achieved. ► On June 11, the central parity rate of the RMB exchange rate in the interbank foreign exchange market was set at 7.1815 yuan per US dollar. US dollar: As of 15:06, the US dollar index rose by 0.12% to 99.17. Most economists believe that the US Federal Reserve will remain on hold for at least a few months, as the tariff policies of US President Trump may pose a lingering risk of reigniting inflation. The market will closely monitor the US inflation data to be released later on Wednesday. This report may reflect the economic impact of tariffs on price pressures and could potentially determine the trajectory of the US Fed's monetary policy for the remainder of the year. Macro: The World Bank's "Global Economic Prospects" report, released on Tuesday (June 10), clearly stated that global economic growth in 2025 will be only 2.3%, significantly lower than the pre-COVID-19 average and the lowest non-recessionary growth since the 2008 financial crisis. More concerningly, the average annual growth rate of global GDP is projected to be just 2.5% by 2027, marking the slowest pace since the 1960s. The report attributes this bleak outlook to rising trade barriers and "record-high uncertainty." Nearly 70% of economies worldwide are facing downward revisions to their growth forecasts, including the US, Europe, and several emerging market regions. Ayhan Kose, the World Bank's Deputy Chief Economist, vividly compared the situation in an interview, saying, "Uncertainty is like fog on the runway, hindering investment and dimming the economic outlook." This uncertainty not only weighs on global trade but also exerts significant pressure on consumption, investment, and financial market stability. (Huitong Finance) Today, data to be released include China's year-on-year growth rate of M2 money supply for May (time uncertain between June 11-17), China's year-to-date social financing scale for May (time uncertain between June 11-17), China's year-to-date new RMB loans for May (time uncertain between June 11-17), the US's year-on-year CPI growth rate for May (not seasonally adjusted), the US's year-on-year core CPI growth rate for May (not seasonally adjusted), the US's year-on-year energy CPI growth rate for May (not seasonally adjusted), the US's June IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI), and Australia's ANZ consumer confidence index for the week ending June 8. Additionally, He Lifeng visited the UK from June 8 to 13 and held the first meeting of the China-US Economic and Trade Consultation Mechanism. Crude oil: As of 15:06, oil prices in both markets fell simultaneously, with US crude oil down by 0.11% and Brent crude oil down by 0.18%. According to CCTV News, on the 10th local time, Russian President Putin signed a decree extending countermeasures against the price cap imposed on Russian oil and oil products until December 31, 2025. Earlier, on December 27, 2022, Putin signed a presidential decree prohibiting the supply of Russian oil and oil products to foreign legal entities and individuals that directly or indirectly use a price cap mechanism in their contracts. This decree took effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity has been extended multiple times. As a major oil-producing country in the world, if Russia significantly reduces its oil exports in the future due to Western price caps, it could lead to an increase in energy prices in some EU countries. For some European countries, such sanctions only harm both sides equally; while others believe that the current price cap is not low enough and does not meet their expectations. For example, countries like Greece, Cyprus, and Malta, which rely heavily on the shipping industry, hope to raise the price cap to around $70 per barrel to alleviate the pressure on local enterprises. However, this is completely opposite to the views of Poland and the Baltic states, where some officials have even proposed setting the cap at $20 per barrel. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, on the other hand, has called for a price cap of no more than $30 per barrel. The EIA released its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report, significantly raising its forecast for the crude oil market surplus in 2025. Its data shows that global oil inventories increased in the first five months of this year and will continue to grow significantly during the forecast period. The EIA expects global oil inventories to increase by an average of 8,000 barrels per day in 2025, which is 4,000 barrels per day higher than last month's forecast. The reason for the upward revision in the supply surplus forecast is the decline in oil demand from OECD countries in 2025, as well as the increase in supply growth from OPEC countries and non-OPEC countries. Additionally, the EIA emphasized that while no major supply disruptions are expected, oil supply risks still exist. From the inventory perspective, API data released early in the morning showed that US crude oil inventories decreased by 370,000 barrels in the week ending June 6. Although crude oil inventories have declined, the 370,000-barrel drop is far below analysts' expectations of 2 million barrels. More concerning is the continuous increase in refined product inventories, with gasoline inventories rising by 3 million barrels and distillate inventories increasing by 3.7 million barrels in the same week. Analysts had previously forecast that distillate inventories would increase by about 800,000 barrels and gasoline inventories by 900,000 barrels last week. The continued significant inventory buildup of gasoline and diesel in the US, exceeding expectations, has exerted downward pressure on oil prices. (Wenhua Comprehensive) SMM Daily Review ► Rare Earth Prices Decline Slightly, Transactions Remain Stagnant [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review] ► As Delivery Approaches, Spot-Futures Price Spread Narrows, Spot Market Transactions Remain Sluggish [SMM Daily Review]

SMM June 11 News: Metal Market: As of the midday close, domestic market base metals were mostly up, with SHFE copper rising 0.11%, SHFE zinc up 0.89%, SHFE aluminum up 1.18%, SHFE lead down 0.03%, SHFE tin up 0.81%, and SHFE nickel slightly up. In addition, the main continuous futures contract for foundry aluminum rose 0.78%, and alumina rose 0.21%. Lithium carbonate rose 0.73%, silicon metal rose 1.62%, and polysilicon fell 0.13%. The ferrous metals series all rose, with iron ore up 1.07%, rebar up 0.71%, and HRC up 0.81%. Stainless steel rose 0.16%. For coking coal and coke: coking coal rose 1.29%, and coke rose 1.12%. In the overseas metal market, as of 11:43, LME metals were all up, with LME zinc rising 0.56%, LME copper rising 0.17%, LME aluminum rising 0.9%, LME lead rising 0.33%, LME tin not yet opened, and LME nickel rising 0.27%. In precious metals, as of 11:43, COMEX gold rose 0.57%, and COMEX silver rose 0.32%; domestically, SHFE gold rose 0.65%, and SHFE silver fell 0.15%. As of the midday close, the most-traded contract for the Europe Containerized Freight Index fell 1.03%, closing at 2023.4. As of 11:43 on June 11, midday futures market movements for some contracts: 》SMM Metal Spot Prices on June 11 Spot and Fundamentals Copper: Today, spot #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was quoted at a premium of 30 yuan/mt to a premium of 150 yuan/mt against the front-month contract, with an average premium of 90 yuan/mt, up 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a discount of 40 yuan/mt to a discount of 20 yuan/mt, with an average discount of 30 yuan/mt, up 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 79,305 yuan/mt, up 145 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average price of SX-EW copper was 79,185 yuan/mt, up 85 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot Market: Guangdong's inventory continued to decline, now for five consecutive days. It is reported that nearby smelters have exports, reducing supply... 》Click for details Macro Front Domestic: [Announcement] The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on June 13, 2025 (Friday). Li Yongxia, Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations of the Ministry of Commerce, and Song Junji, Vice Governor of Shandong Province, will introduce the 2025 Qingdao Summit for Leaders of Multinational Corporations and answer questions from reporters. [Average Annual Growth Rate of 14.2% Over 25 Years, Sino-African Trade Volume Exceeds 2 Trillion Yuan] On the occasion of the upcoming Fourth China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo in Changsha, Hunan Province, data released by the General Administration of Customs on June 11 showed that since the establishment of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in 2000, China's total import and export value with Africa has increased from less than 100 billion yuan that year to 2.1 trillion yuan in 2024, a cumulative increase of over 20 times, with an average annual growth rate of 14.2%, fully demonstrating the strong vitality of Sino-African economic and trade cooperation. On the same day, the General Administration of Customs also released the China-Africa Trade Index for 2024. This index rapidly climbed from its base value of 100 points in 2000, reaching a new high of 1,056.53 points in 2024. (Xinhua News Agency) The People's Bank of China conducted reverse repo operations worth 164 billion yuan for 7 days today, with an operating interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate. As reverse repo operations worth 214.9 billion yuan for 7 days matured today, a net withdrawal of 50.9 billion yuan was realized. ► The central parity rate of the RMB exchange rate in the interbank foreign exchange market on June 11 was 7.1815 yuan per US dollar. US dollar: As of 11:43, the US dollar index rose by 0.07% to 99.12. Most economists believe that the US Federal Reserve will remain on hold for at least a few months, as the tariff policies of US President Trump may pose a lingering risk of reigniting inflation. The market will closely monitor the US inflation data to be released later on Wednesday. This report may reflect the economic impact of tariffs on price pressures and could determine the trajectory of the Fed's monetary policy for the remainder of the year. Data: The World Bank's "Global Economic Prospects" report, released on Tuesday (June 10), clearly stated that global economic growth in 2025 will be only 2.3%, significantly lower than the pre-pandemic average and the lowest non-recessionary growth rate since the 2008 financial crisis. More concerningly, the average annual growth rate of global GDP is expected to be only 2.5% by 2027, marking the slowest pace since the 1960s. The report attributed this bleak outlook to rising trade barriers and "record-high uncertainty." Nearly 70% of economies worldwide are facing downward revisions to their growth forecasts, including the US, Europe, and several emerging market regions. Ayhan Kose, the World Bank's Deputy Chief Economist, vividly compared the situation in an interview: "Uncertainty is like fog on the runway, hindering investment and dimming the economic outlook." This uncertainty not only weighs on global trade but also exerts significant pressure on consumption, investment, and financial market stability. (Huitong Finance) Data to be released today include China's M2 money supply annual growth rate for May (time uncertain between June 11-17), China's total social financing for the year to date as of May (time uncertain between June 11-17), China's new RMB loans for the year to date as of May (time uncertain between June 11-17), the US's unadjusted annual CPI rate for May, the US's unadjusted annual core CPI rate for May, the US's unadjusted annual energy CPI rate for May, the US's June IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI), and Australia's ANZ Consumer Confidence Index for the week ending June 8. In addition, He Lifeng visited the UK from June 8 to 13 and held the first meeting of the China-US Economic and Trade Consultation Mechanism. Crude oil: As of 11:43, crude oil futures fluctuated rangebound, with US crude oil down 0.06% and Brent crude oil down 0.13%. Weak global oil demand and increased production by OPEC have put pressure on the market, weighing on oil prices. On Wednesday evening, the market will focus on the weekly US oil inventory report released by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Analysts expect that US crude oil inventories are likely to decrease by 2 million barrels in the week ending June 6, while distillate and gasoline inventories may increase. Data released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell last week, while gasoline and distillate inventories rose. The API report indicated that US crude oil inventories decreased by 370,000 barrels, gasoline inventories increased by 3 million barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 3.7 million barrels in the week ending June 6. (Webstock Inc.) Spot market overview: ► Inventories fell for five consecutive weeks; suppliers refused to budge on prices, but actual transactions were average. [SMM South China spot copper] ► Shanghai zinc: Futures market rebounded MoM, downstream purchases weakened. [SMM midday review] ► As delivery approaches, spot-futures price spread narrows, and transactions in the spot market are sluggish. [SMM daily review] Midday reviews of other metal spot markets will be updated later. Please refresh to view.

SMM News on June 10: Metal Market: As of the daytime close, domestic market base metals showed mixed performance. SHFE zinc and SHFE nickel both fell by over 1%, with SHFE zinc down 1.27% and SHFE nickel down 1.06%. SHFE copper, SHFE lead, and SHFE tin all rose, with SHFE lead leading the gains with a 0.9% increase, SHFE copper up 0.27%, and SHFE tin up 0.21%. The main alumina contract fell by 0.31%, while the main cast aluminum alloy contract surged over 5% on its debut trading day, closing at 19,190 yuan/mt with a 4.49% increase as of the daytime close. 》Surged over 5% on debut! Cast aluminum alloy makes a "strong start" - can it sustain the momentum? [SMM Flash News] In addition, the main lithium carbonate contract rose by 0.16%, the main polysilicon contract fell by 0.83%, and the main silicon metal contract rose by 0.82%. The main European container shipping contract fell by 0.95%. The ferrous metals series showed mixed performance. Stainless steel fell by 1.46%, iron ore fell by 0.85%, and HRC closed flat at 3,089 yuan/mt. In the coking coal and coke segment, coking coal rose by 0.51% and coke rose by 0.48%. In the overseas market, as of 15:09, overseas market metals showed mixed performance. LME lead rose by 0.38%, LME copper fell by 0.44%, and LME tin fell by 0.42%. LME lead led the gains with a 0.38% increase, while the price fluctuations of other metals were relatively small. In the precious metals segment, as of 15:09, COMEX gold fell by 0.26% and COMEX silver fell by 0.6%. Domestically, SHFE gold fell by 0.03% and SHFE silver rose by 0.62%. Market movements as of 15:09 today 》Click to view SMM Market Dashboard Macro Front Domestic Aspect: [NDRC: Will propose a batch of major strategic tasks, policy initiatives, and engineering projects in the field of people's livelihood] The State Council Information Office held a press conference at 10 a.m. today, inviting Xiao Weiming, Deputy Secretary-General of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), and relevant officials from the Ministry of Education, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, and National Health Commission to introduce policies on further safeguarding and improving people's livelihood and answer questions from reporters. Xiao Weiming, Deputy Secretary-General of the NDRC, stated at the press conference that the NDRC will implement the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee, work with all parties to prepare the "15th Five-Year Plan" based on thorough surveys, and propose a batch of major strategic tasks, policy initiatives, and engineering projects in the field of people's livelihood to incorporate people's livelihood construction into the national "15th Five-Year Plan" development blueprint. 》Click to view details [PBOC's Open Market Operations Net Withdraw 255.9 Billion Yuan Today] The PBOC conducted 198.6 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 454.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net withdrawal of 255.9 billion yuan was realized on the day. ► On June 10, the central parity rate of the RMB exchange rate in the interbank foreign exchange market was 7.1840 yuan per US dollar. US dollar side: As of 15:09, the US dollar index rose by 0.3% to 99.32. In the US, inflation expectations among the public pulled back in May, and the market held certain expectations for the US Fed to cut interest rates in H2. This week, US inflation data will be released, which is expected to provide more guidance on the direction of the US Fed's policy. A report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday showed that in May, US citizens' anxiety about the future inflation path eased somewhat, and their views on their personal financial situations became more optimistic. The New York Fed pointed out in its May Survey of Consumer Expectations report that inflation expectations across all timeframes it measures had pulled back. Respondents' one-year inflation expectation was 3.2%, compared to 3.6% in April; the three-year inflation expectation was 3%, compared to 3.2% in April; and the five-year inflation expectation was 2.6%, compared to 2.7% in April. Macro side: Today, data such as China's M2 money supply annual growth rate for May, China's total social financing for the year to date as of May, China's new RMB loans for the year to date as of May, the UK's unemployment rate for April (ILO standard), the UK's average weekly earnings including bonuses for the three months to April (annual growth rate), Australia's ANZ consumer confidence index for the week ending June 8, Switzerland's consumer confidence index for May (seasonally adjusted), and the Eurozone's Sentix investor confidence index for June will be released. In addition, the deadline for the EU's public consultation is June 10, 2025. This date marks the final window of peace before the EU considers imposing retaliatory tariffs on US goods worth up to 95 billion euros. He Lifeng visited the UK from June 8 to 13 and held the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism. Crude oil side: As of 15:09, oil prices in both markets rose together, with US crude oil up by 0.05% and Brent crude oil up by 0.13%. The market is looking forward to the results of the new round of China-US economic and trade talks. The overall macro atmosphere is optimistic, and oil prices continue to rebound towards the previous high resistance area. The progress of negotiations between the US and Iran on the nuclear agreement remains unclear, with significant differences between the two sides on key terms. US sanctions have caused buyers to waver in their procurement positions, and Iran's crude oil exports have been hindered. OPEC+ ended its voluntary production cut policy that had lasted for two and a half years in April this year, clearly formulating a production increase plan for May-July, and beginning a new round of production increase cycle. It may continue to maintain a daily production increase of 411,000 barrels in August-September. However, from the perspective of actual implementation, this production increase process has not been smooth. According to Bloomberg, the actual crude oil production of eight OPEC countries that planned to increase production in May only increased by 140,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to April, far below the original target of 410,000 bpd. Among them, Saudi Arabia actually increased production by 110,000 bpd, while countries like Iraq, the UAE, and Kazakhstan, which often exceeded production quotas in the past, maintained relatively stable production levels this time, without further violations of the production agreement. Taking a comprehensive view of the data from April to May, the total actual production increase of OPEC+ over these two months was only 100,000 bpd, far from the planned target of 550,000 bpd. The implementation of OPEC's subsequent production increase plans may face significant challenges, and there is considerable uncertainty about whether the expected production increase targets can be achieved as scheduled. This also implies that the degree of supply surplus in the crude oil market may not be as severe as previously estimated by the market. (Wenhua Comprehensive) SMM Daily Review ► Stainless steel in the doldrums, raw materials under pressure, short-term nickel iron prices may be in the doldrums [NPI Daily Review] ► [SMM Nickel Sulphate Daily Review] On June 10, nickel salt prices remained stable. ► [SMM MHP Daily Review] On June 10, Indonesian MHP prices rose slightly.

SMM, June 10: Metal Market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals showed mixed performance. SHFE copper rose by 0.57%, SHFE zinc fell by 1.22%, SHFE aluminum dropped by 0.12%, SHFE lead increased by 0.87%, SHFE tin gained 0.44%, and SHFE nickel declined by 0.89%. In addition, the main continuous futures contract for foundry aluminum surged on its first trading day, closing up 4.63% by midday. Alumina rose by 0.38%. Lithium carbonate increased by 0.53%, silicon metal rose by 1.16%, and polysilicon fell by 0.22%. The ferrous metals series mostly rose, with iron ore down by 0.21%, rebar up by 0.13%, and HRC up by 0.19%. Stainless steel fell by 0.99%. For coking coal and coke: coking coal rose by 0.7%, and coke increased by 0.52%. In overseas metal markets, as of 11:46, LME metals were mostly down, with LME zinc falling by 0.3%, LME copper down by 0.37%, LME aluminum dropping by 0.36%, LME lead on par with $1,986.5/mt, LME tin declining by 0.23%, and LME nickel falling by 0.23%. In precious metals, as of 11:46, COMEX gold fell by 0.78%, and COMEX silver dropped by 0.4%. Domestically, SHFE gold fell by 0.55%, SHFE silver rose by 0.89%, and SHFE silver hit a new high since listing in the night session, reaching 9,020 yuan/kg. As of the midday close, the most-traded contract for the Europe Containerized Freight Index was on par with 2,061.8. As of 11:46 on June 10, midday futures market movements for some contracts: 》SMM Metal Spot Prices on June 10 Spot and Fundamentals Aluminum: This morning, the center of SHFE aluminum prices dropped to around 20,500 yuan/mt before reversing in a V-shaped trend, rising again above 20,100 yuan/mt. In east China, after the futures market fell, purchasing sentiment improved, and major players purchased in the market. The market traded at parity to a premium of 10 yuan/mt against SMM transactions, with premiums and discounts firming. Today, SMM A00 aluminum was reported at 20,160 yuan/mt, down 50 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, with a premium of 70 yuan/mt against the June contract, unchanged from the previous trading day... 》Click for details Macro Front Domestic: [National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): Will propose a batch of major strategic tasks, policy initiatives, and engineering projects in the field of people's livelihood] The State Council Information Office held a press conference at 10 a.m. today. Xiao Weiming, Deputy Secretary General of the National Development and Reform Commission, and relevant officials from the Ministry of Education, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, and National Health Commission introduced policies to further safeguard and improve people's livelihood and answered questions from reporters. Xiao Weiming, Deputy Secretary General of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the NDRC will implement the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee. Based on thorough surveys, it will collaborate with various parties to formulate the "15th Five-Year Plan," proposing major strategic tasks, policy initiatives, and engineering projects in the field of people's livelihood, and integrating the construction of people's livelihood into the national development blueprint for the "15th Five-Year Plan." 》Click for details [PBOC's Open Market Operations Net Withdraw 255.9 Billion Yuan Today] The PBOC conducted 198.6 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 454.5 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net withdrawal of 255.9 billion yuan was realized on the day. ► The central parity rate of the RMB exchange rate in the interbank foreign exchange market on June 10 was 7.1840 RMB per US dollar. US dollar: As of 11:46, the US dollar index rose by 0.13%, reporting at 99.15. A report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday showed that US citizens' anxiety about the future inflation path eased in May, and their outlook on personal financial conditions became more optimistic. The market is awaiting the US inflation data to be released on Wednesday, which may adjust expectations regarding the timing of the US Fed's interest rate cut. Meanwhile, the market is also focusing on the ongoing China-US trade talks in London. Other currencies: Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, stated that if the economy and prices face strong downward pressure, the Bank of Japan has limited room to support the economy through interest rate cuts, with the short-term interest rate currently maintained at 0.5%. "If we have sufficient confidence that the underlying inflation rate is close to or fluctuating around 2%, we will raise interest rates." (Caijing) Data: Today, data such as China's M2 money supply annual growth rate for May, China's total social financing for the year to date in May, China's new RMB loans for the year to date in May, the UK's unemployment rate for April (ILO standard), the UK's average weekly earnings including bonuses for the three months to April (annual growth rate), Australia's ANZ consumer confidence index for the week ending June 8, Switzerland's consumer confidence index for May (seasonally adjusted), and the Eurozone's Sentix investor confidence index for June will be released. In addition, the deadline for the EU's public consultation is June 10, 2025. This date marks the final window of peace before the EU considers imposing retaliatory tariffs on US goods worth up to 95 billion euros. He Lifeng visited the UK from June 8 to 13 and held the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism. Crude oil: As of 11:46, crude oil futures fluctuated rangebound, with US oil up by 0.11% and Brent oil up by 0.18%. The market is awaiting the outcome of Sino-US negotiations, which may help ease trade tensions and improve fuel demand. Additionally, a survey found that OPEC's oil production growth in May was lower than planned, as Iraq further cut production to compensate for earlier overproduction, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE also increased production by less than their quotas. (Webstock Inc.) Spot Market Overview: ► Copper prices rise, but downstream players are reluctant to rush to buy amid continuous price rise and restock; overall trading activity is weaker than yesterday. [SMM South China Spot Copper] ► Operating rates of processing enterprises recover, and market trading activity improves. [SMM North China Spot Copper] ► The center of gravity pulls back in the morning session, and just-in-time procurement in the market improves. [SMM Aluminum Spot Midday Review] ► Shanghai zinc: futures market declines significantly, and premiums struggle to rise. [SMM Midday Review] ► The pace of production resumptions in Myanmar's Wa region is slow; SHFE tin prices may fluctuate rangebound in the afternoon session. [SMM Tin Midday Review] ► [SMM Nickel Midday Review] On June 10, nickel prices fell by over 1,000 yuan, and China's CPI index declined by 0.2% MoM. Midday reviews of other metal spot prices will be updated later. Please refresh to view.

SMM News on June 9: Metal Market: As of the daytime close, domestic market base metals generally rose, with SHFE zinc leading the declines with a 1.79% drop. The % changes of the remaining metals were all within 1%. SHFE lead and SHFE nickel both rose by over 0.4%, with SHFE lead up 0.48% and SHFE nickel up 0.47%. The main alumina contract fell by 1.47%. In addition, the main lithium carbonate contract fell by 0.16%, the main silicon metal contract rose by 2.33%, and the main polysilicon contract fell by 2.24%. The main European container shipping contract fell by 2.55%. In the ferrous metals series, most prices fell, with iron ore down 0.71% and stainless steel down 0.47%. HRC and rebar both fluctuated slightly. In the coking coal and coke sector, coking coal rose by 0.13% and coke fell by 1.22%. In the overseas market, as of 15:05, overseas market base metals collectively rose except for LME zinc, which fell by 0.26%. LME copper, LME aluminum, and LME tin all rose by over 0.4%, with LME copper up 0.44%, LME aluminum up 0.43%, and LME tin up 0.44%. In the precious metals sector, as of 15:05, COMEX gold fell by 0.14%, while COMEX silver rose by 0.75%, hitting a high of $36.525 per ounce during the session, a new high since March 2012, and recording four consecutive days of gains. Domestically, SHFE gold fell by 1.02%, while SHFE silver rose by 1.77%, hitting a high of 8,912 yuan/kg during the session, a new all-time high since its listing. Market conditions as of 15:05 today 》Click to view SMM Market Dashboard Macro Front Domestic Aspects: [General Administration of Customs: China's Foreign Trade in Goods Grew 2.5% in the First Five Months, with Exports Up 6.3% YoY in May] The General Administration of Customs announced today (the 9th) that in the first five months of this year, China's total foreign trade in goods reached 17.94 trillion yuan, up 2.5% YoY, continuing the growth trend. In May, imports and exports totaled 3.81 trillion yuan, up 2.7%. In May alone, China's exports reached 2.28 trillion yuan, up 6.3%. Among them, exports to ASEAN, the EU, Africa, and the five Central Asian countries increased by 16.9%, 13.7%, 35.3%, and 8.8%, respectively. In the first five months of this year, China's exports of equipment manufacturing products reached 6.22 trillion yuan, up 9.2%, accounting for 58.3% of China's total exports. Among them, exports of EVs increased by 19%, construction machinery by 10.7%, ships by 18.9%, and industrial robots by 55.4%. In the first five months, China's equipment manufacturing products contributed 73% to the overall export growth, with the contribution rate reaching as high as 76.9% in May, providing strong support for the stable growth of foreign trade. 》Click to view details SMM has compiled data on the import and export of some products in the metal industry based on data released by the General Administration of Customs, as detailed below: 》Click to view detailed data [National Bureau of Statistics (NBS): CPI declined slightly in May, while the YoY increase in core CPI widened, and PPI fell 0.4% MoM] In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.2% MoM and 0.1% YoY. Excluding food and energy prices, core CPI rose 0.6% YoY, with the increase widening by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products fell 0.4% MoM, with the decline remaining the same as the previous month, and decreased 3.3% YoY, with the decline widening by 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. China is boosting consumption with greater intensity and more targeted measures, fostering the growth of new quality productive forces, improving the supply-demand relationship in some areas, and witnessing positive changes in prices. 》Click to view details ► On June 9, the central parity rate of the RMB exchange rate in the inter-bank foreign exchange market was 7.1855 RMB per US dollar. US dollar: As of 15:05, the US dollar index fell 0.28% to 98.94. The US added 139,000 non-farm payroll jobs in May, higher than the expected 126,000 but significantly lower than the previous 177,000, marking the lowest level since February this year. The US unemployment rate in May was 4.2%, in line with expectations and the previous reading. The year-on-year growth rate of average hourly earnings in the US in May was 3.9%, higher than the expected 3.7%, with the previous reading revised up to 3.9%. The market has scaled back its bets on interest rate cuts and now expects one in October. Meanwhile, US President Trump stated that he would soon announce his decision on the next Fed Chairman, adding that a "good Fed Chairman" would lower interest rates. The market expects the US Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at its June 17-18 meeting, with policymakers assessing how tariffs will impact the economy. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, federal funds rate futures traders currently expect a 61% probability of an interest rate cut by the Fed in September or earlier, compared to 74% on Thursday. Macro: Today, data such as the global leading indicator for the turning point of the industrial production cycle in May, the final value of the US wholesale inventory monthly rate in April, the 1-year inflation expectations of the New York Fed in the US in May, and the 3-year inflation expectations of the New York Fed in the US in May will be released. In addition, it is worth noting that, at the invitation of the UK government, He Lifeng, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, will visit the UK from June 8 to 13. During this period, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism will be held with the US side. Crude oil: As of 15:05, oil prices in both markets fell simultaneously, with US oil down 0.2% and Brent oil down 0.26%. Oil prices fell on Monday, but the decline was limited, and most of the gains from last week were retained. The prospect of a China-US trade agreement boosted the risk appetite of some investors and supported oil prices. Tim Evans of Evans Energy said in a report, "Over the past week, Brent crude oil rose to near the top of its recent trading range as equity market risk appetite increased amid easing tariff concerns, encouraging buying." The US non-farm payrolls report showed that the unemployment rate held steady in May, which seemed to increase the likelihood of a US Fed interest rate cut, further supporting the oil price rally last week. Data released on the website of the General Administration of Customs on June 9 showed that China's crude oil imports in May were 46.6 million mt, and cumulative imports from January to May were 229.615 million mt, up 0.3% YoY. After OPEC announced a significant production increase again in July on May 31, the prospect that the China-US trade agreement could support economic growth and increase oil demand outweighed concerns about increased OPEC supply. A research report released by HSBC on Friday stated that it is expected that OPEC+ will accelerate supply increases in August and September, which may increase the downside risk to the bank's forecast of a Brent crude oil price of $65 per barrel in Q4 2025. A research report by Capital Economics stated that it believes that this new accelerated production increase by OPEC+ will continue. ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said in a report that the WTI discount to Brent crude oil continued to narrow due to increased OPEC production, mild growth in US crude oil supply, and the possibility of decreased production next year. US energy services company Baker Hughes said in its closely watched report that the number of oil and natural gas rigs operated by US energy companies fell for the sixth consecutive week this week, the first time since September 2023 that the number of rigs has declined for six consecutive weeks. Data showed that as of the week ending June 6, the number of active US oil rigs fell by 9 to 442, while the number of natural gas rigs increased by 5 to 114. (Webstock Inc.) SMM Daily Review ► The market remained relatively stable at the beginning of the week, with spot prices temporarily steady [SMM EMM Daily Review] ► [SMM Hydrogen Cost Daily Review] 20250606