The European Emissions Trading System (ETS) is under significant pressure from member states due to sharply rising energy costs driven by the tightening supply of certificates, with prices tripling from around €25/t CO2 in 2019 to approximately €75/t in 2025. With the ETS scheduled for a major revision by July 2026, several EU countries led by Italy recently called for the review process to be suspended. Last week, Polish President Karol Nawrocki went a step further, urging his government to advocate for the complete abolition of the ETS to prevent further industrial relocation outside the EU. Industry experts note that any modification, suspension, or national exemption of the ETS would have immediate and direct consequences for the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).

ArcelorMittal Poland has invested approximately PLN 60 million ($16.08 million) to modernize Blast Furnace No. 3 at its Dąbrowa Górnicza plant, preparing it for a potential restart as early as spring 2026. The furnace has been idle since September 2025 due to weak demand, and the current refurbishment focuses on rebuilding the hearth with new ceramic materials to extend its operational life by four years. This move signals the company's readiness to react to potential recovery in European steel demand despite ongoing regional economic headwinds.

It is worth noting that the overall overseas ternary cathode demand outlook for 2026 remains subdued. The U.S. market has been sluggish since the fourth quarter of last year, prompting many overseas manufacturers to place their hopes on the European market.

European solar auctions and corporate PPAs added 92 GW of new capacity between 2022 and 2025, according to SolarPower Europe. After earlier struggles, auction-driven deployment rebounded to a record 25.2 GW in 2025, a 23% year-on-year increase. Meanwhile, corporate PPAs saw mixed results across the continent—dropping 56% in Germany but remaining strong in Spain, Italy, and Poland. Despite utility-scale growth, total EU solar installations in 2025 experienced a slight 0.7% decline to 65.1 GW. This marks the first annual drop since 2016, driven primarily by softened residential demand. With total capacity now at 406 GW, industry reports warn that reaching the bloc's 750 GW target by 2030 will require renewed policy support to address 'persistent inefficiencies' in auction designs.

Geopolitical tensions, and concerns about fiscal policy and central banks, have driven the gold price to where it is today.

[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Macro Sentiment-Driven, LME Zinc Center Shifts Lower] Overnight, LME zinc posted a large bearish candlestick, with the upper Bollinger Bands midline forming resistance and the lower 60-day moving average providing support. The Middle East conflict escalated, the US dollar strengthened, oil prices hit a new high since July of the year before last, inflation expectations rose, and the US Fed......