[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Futures Prices Retreated After a Rapid Rise, and Market Divergence Intensified at High Levels] Overnight, the aluminum alloy 2604 contract opened higher and then fluctuated downward, opening at 23,770 yuan/mt, rising to 23,820 yuan/mt during the session, and then pulling back under pressure to a low of 23,525 yuan/mt before closing at 23,645 yuan/mt late in the session, down 80 yuan/mt from the previous settlement price, a decline of 0.34. Open interest edged up by 6 lots to 5,304 lots, with trading volume at 2,417 lots. Wait-and-see sentiment remained strong among market participants, and market divergence intensified at high levels.
Mar 18, 2026 09:08[Geopolitical Tensions Combined With Deferred Interest Rate Cut Expectations Leave SHFE Aluminum Under Short-Term Pressure but Fluctuating at Highs] Against the backdrop of continued tightening LME liquidity, LME aluminum still has upward momentum, with strong support from prices outside China, and is expected to maintain a backwardation structure in the short term. China remains in a phase of high inventory coupled with weak fundamentals, and its upward momentum is significantly weaker than that outside China. Amid divergent domestic and external drivers, the SHFE/LME price ratio is expected to continue weakening, and aluminum prices are still expected to fluctuate at highs in the short term.
Mar 18, 2026 09:09SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,724.5/mt. In early trading, it fluctuated upward to a high of $12,829.5/mt, after which the center of copper prices shifted straight downward to a low of $12,721/mt. It then fluctuated upward in a pullback and finally closed at $12,780/mt, down 1.07%. Trading volume reached 17,000 lots, and open interest stood at 293,000 lots, down 8,255 lots from the previous trading day, mainly due to longs reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 99,120 yuan/mt. In early trading, it rose to 99,530 yuan/mt, then fluctuated downward all the way to a low of 98,900 yuan/mt. Afterwards, the center of copper prices moved upward and finally closed at 99,140 yuan/mt, down 0.92%. Trading volume reached 27,700 lots, and open interest stood at 177,000 lots, down 1,993 lots from the previous trading day, mainly due to longs reducing positions.
Mar 18, 2026 09:06As of March 17, the operating rate of 50 electric-furnace steel mills nationwide mainly producing construction materials was 38.64%, up 3.26% WoW; the capacity utilization rate was 39.87%, up 10.53% WoW; and daily average production of construction materials was 88,800 mt, up 23,500 mt WoW.
Mar 17, 2026 17:46[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: V-Shaped Rebound in Futures, ADC12 to Fluctuate at Highs in the Short Term] Overnight, aluminum alloy 2604 in the night session bottomed out and showed a rangebound fluctuating trend: after the opening, it quickly fell to around 23,570 yuan/mt, then fluctuated upward, with a trading range of 23,570-23,715 yuan/mt, and closed at 23,710 yuan/mt at the end of the session, down 0.50% from the previous day's closing price. Intraday, it first fell sharply and then staged a V-shaped rebound, before entering sideways consolidation, with the tug-of-war between longs and shorts remaining balanced. Trading volume shrank, open interest edged up slightly, and market sentiment remained cautious.
Mar 17, 2026 09:07[SMM Daily Review: Weak End-User Demand and Fear of High Prices Weighed on the Market, with High-Grade NPI Prices Under Pressure in the Short Term] March 17 News: SMM's upstream sentiment indicator for high-grade NPI was 2.85, down 0.04 MoM, while the downstream sentiment indicator for high-grade NPI was 1.6, down 0.03 MoM.
Mar 17, 2026 11:32Dear User, Greetings! In recent years, the rare earth-NdFeB magnetic material industry chain has been continuously developing. During the process of refining its industry chain, SMM identified that the existing NdFeB-related data in the original terminal could no longer meet market demands. Therefore, after multiple rounds of surveys and verification, SMM has revised and expanded its original NdFeB data. The specific adjustments are as follows: NdFeB Production: 1. Discontinued 1 data point, namely the Monthly NdFeB Magnet Output by Manufacturer. The discontinued data location: Rare Earth - Rare Earth Production – NdFeB Magnet. 2. Added 5 data points, respectively [National Monthly Total Production], [Monthly Total Production of Sample Enterprises], [Monthly Production of Top-Tier Enterprises], [Monthly Production of Mid-Tier Enterprises], [Production Volume of Marginal Enterprises per Month]. The above data locations are all under Rare Earth - Rare Earth Production – NdFeB Magnet. 3. The above data are all updated monthly, with the update date being the last working day of each month, and the data dimension being the current month's data. 4. The data start date is January 2025. NdFeB Operating Rate: 1. Added five data points: [National Average Operating Rate], [Average Operating Rate of Sampled Enterprises in the Current Month], [Operating Rate of Top-Tier Enterprises in the Current Month], [Operating Rate of Mid-Tier Enterprises in the Current Month], [Operating Rate of Marginal Enterprises in the Current Month]. 2. The above data are located under Rare Earths - Rare Earth Operating Rate – NdFeB Magnet. 3. These data are updated monthly, with the update date being the last working day of each month, reflecting the current month's data. 4. The data series begins in January 2025. NdFeB Capacity 1. Added new category: Rare Earth - Rare Earth Capacity 2. Added four data points: [Quarterly Total NdFeB Capacity in China], [Quarterly NdFeB Capacity of National Top-Tier Enterprises], [Quarterly NdFeB Capacity of Mid-Tier Enterprises Nationwide], [Quarterly NdFeB Capacity of Small-Scale Enterprises Nationwide] 3. Location of the above data: Added new category: Rare Earth - Rare Earth Capacity 4. The above data is updated quarterly, with the update date being the last working day of the final month of each quarter. The data dimension reflects the current quarter. 5. The data start date is March 2025. NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance 1. Discontinued 3 data series: [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: Supply], [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: Consumption], [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: Supply-Demand Balance] 2. Added 3 data series: [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: National Total Supply], [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: National Total Consumption], [SMM NdFeB Supply-Demand Balance: National Total Supply-Demand Balance] 3. Data location: Rare Earth - Supply-Demand Balance - NdFeB 4. These data series are updated monthly on the last business day of each month, reflecting the previous month's data (e.g., July data updated on August 29). 5. Data coverage starts from January 2025. Pr-Nd Alloy Supply-Demand Balance 1. Added a new classification for Pr-Nd alloy supply-demand balance 2. Added three datasets: [SMM Pr-Nd Alloy Supply-Demand Balance: Supply], [SMM Pr-Nd Alloy Supply-Demand Balance: Consumption], [SMM Pr-Nd Alloy Supply-Demand Balance: Supply-Demand Balance] 3. Data location: Rare Earth - Supply & Demand Analysis - Pr-Nd Alloy 4. The above data is updated monthly, with the update date set as the last working day of each month, reflecting the current month's data 5. The data series starts from January 2025 NdFeB Production and Operating Rate Forecast 1. Discontinued two data series: [Production - Forecast] and [Operating rate - Forecast]. 2. These will be replaced by two alternative data series: [NdFeB - Monthly production schedule expectation] and [NdFeB - Monthly operating rate expectation]. The above data adjustments will officially take effect on September 10, 2025. Users can then query the aforementioned data in the SMM data terminal. For any inquiries, please contact the SMM Rare Earth Research Team. SMM Rare Earth Research Team Shi Xin Contact: shixin@smm.cn
DataSep 8, 2025 18:51Dear Valued Client, To keep pace with the rapid development of the secondary copper industry and meet the market's need for in-depth analysis of the recycling industry and the supply-demand pattern of copper cathode, our company has conducted a deep optimization of our data models. We are now systematically upgrading and adjusting the standards and content of monthly supply-demand balance data related to China's copper scrap, with the following treatment applied to historical data: I. Adjustments Made The following data points have been newly launched: "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic Old Scrap: Annual", "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic New Scrap: Annual", "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic Copper Scrap: Annual", "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic Old Scrap - Forecast: Annual", "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic New Scrap - Forecast: Annual", and "Copper Scrap New and Old Scrap Production: Domestic Copper Scrap - Forecast: Annual"—a total of six new data points. (Access path for new data: Database - Copper - Copper Scrap - Production - Domestic Copper Scrap Production) II. Historical Data Processing The following four historical data series will cease to be updated starting from December 2025: "Domestic Copper Scrap Supply (Metal Content), ID: a10031747", "SMM Domestic Copper Scrap Supply: YoY, ID: a10031748", "Domestic Copper Scrap Supply (Metal Content) - Forecast, ID: a12731971", and "SMM Domestic Copper Scrap Supply YoY - Forecast, ID: a12731972". Going forward, the new standards will be uniformly applied for data releases, with the revised data traceable back to 2020. Should you have any questions, please feel free to contact the SMM customer service team at any time. Thank you for your continued support and trust! III. Effective Date February 1, 2026 SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. SMM Copper Research Team Liang Kaihui, 86-21-5159-5826 January 22, 2026
DataJan 22, 2026 15:31With the development of the scrap metal industry, companies are paying increasing attention to scrap aluminum varieties and price points. To meet market demands and provide more comprehensive spot price information, SMM, after extensive market research and preliminary communication, plans to launch an optimized Malaysian scrap aluminum price point on October 13, 2025: - Tense Scrap Malaysia (Mixed Aluminium Castings) Introduction to the new SMM Malaysian scrap aluminum price points: SMM, taking into account the import-export and local demand characteristics of Malaysian end-users across different application scenarios, and based on overseas policies and market changes, has revised the Malaysian scrap aluminum price points. The specific details are as follows: Adjustment 1: Addition of Tense Scrap Malaysia (Mixed Aluminium Castings) . This price point will replace the existing Shredded Mixed Aluminum Castings (Tense) Scrap in Malaysia, FOB. - Updated price point name and definition: Malaysia Scrap Aluminum Mixed Aluminum Castings (Tense) , EXWorks, excluding VAT, USD/tonne. - Reason: The new price point better aligns with the local scrap aluminum market conditions under updated Malaysian policies, thereby more accurately reflecting market prices. - Launch date: October 13, 2025 - Update frequency: The new price point will be updated before 12:00 PM on the first working day of each week (Kuala Lumpur time). Adjustment 2: Discontinuation of Shredded Mixed Aluminum Castings (Tense) Scrap in Malaysia, FOB . - Discontinuation date: October 10, 2025 We welcome more companies from both upstream and downstream industries to participate and support SMM in better serving the new energy industry chain. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact Liu Xiaolei at (+86)15021973263 or Chin Khai Yuen at (+60)124247012, or email adrian.chin@smm.cn.
PriceSep 26, 2025 15:43