[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, a new monthly procurement cycle begins, and downstream restocking demand is released. Suppliers are expected to significantly raise their quotes accordingly. In terms of market performance, as copper prices remain at a relatively high level, after suppliers raise their quotes, downstream enterprises' willingness to chase higher prices remains limited. Some transactions are expected to occur after consecutive quote reductions, with coexisting willingness to hold prices firm and to cut prices for shipments. Overall, amid the tug-of-war between partial release of early-month procurement demand and high-price suppression, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to next week, spot copper discounts are expected to continue narrowing slightly. Copper prices rose during the session, but the Contango price spread between nearby futures contracts widened slightly. Suppliers showed a strong willingness to hold prices firm, driving spot discounts to narrow marginally. Available supplies in the Changzhou area remained persistently tight, which may support local spot prices. However, as month-end approaches, market trading is turning sluggish, with downstream purchases driven mainly by rigid demand and limited willingness to chase higher prices, and overall transactions are expected to be just balanced. Overall, under the combined effects of suppliers holding prices firm and sluggish month-end trading, Shanghai spot copper prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount, with the discount likely to move sideways.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, copper prices edged down during the day, activating some downstream buying interest. According to SMM, orders at some processing enterprises in east China improved compared to yesterday, with end-users mostly placing orders at around 103,600 yuan/mt. Available supplies in Changzhou became relatively tight, which may provide some support for local spot prices. In terms of market structure, the inter-month Contango price spread between futures contracts narrowed slightly, weakening suppliers' willingness to ship to delivery warehouses. The marginal increase in spot circulation pressure pushed discounts to widen further. Overall, amid the interplay of narrowing price spreads between futures contracts pressuring discounts, limited marginal improvement in demand, and tight regional supplies, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow, continuing to stay under pressure.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, copper prices remain at a relatively high level, downstream demand is weak, and the market is dominated by just-in-time procurement. Trading sentiment has pulled back slightly for consecutive days, and market transactions are sluggish. In terms of market structure, the inter-month Contango price spread between futures contracts remains around 150 yuan/mt, suppliers show a strong willingness to hold open interest for delivery, and a tendency to hold prices firm has emerged. During the day, some suppliers offered standard-quality copper with cargoes with invoices dated this month at a discount of 120 yuan/mt. Overall, Shanghai spot copper prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow, but downside room is limited.

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[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Outlook for tomorrow: during the day, copper prices edged down, activating some buying interest, but downstream enterprises overall still focused on just-in-time procurement, with limited willingness to chase higher prices. In terms of invoice structure, the price spread between cargoes with invoices dated this month and cargoes with invoices dated next month remained around 40 yuan, and the periodic shortage of invoices continued. Overall, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow, potentially widening slightly.