On June 26, at the hosted by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (SMM) with title sponsorship from Guangxi Yusheng Germanium High-Tech Co., Ltd., Ou Haiguang, Chairman of Lianzhou Tuosheng New Energy Co., Ltd., Qingyuan, Guangdong, shared “The Development and Application of Selenium.” I. Global Selenium Market Overview The global selenium market exhibits a combination of steady overall growth and rapid structural upgrading. Global Selenium Market Characteristics The global selenium market presents the dual characteristic of “steady overall volume and structural upgrading.” Growth in traditional sectors is slowing, while high-value-added niche segments show strong potential. ► Overall Market: Moderate Growth It introduced the global selenium market size in 2025 and future compound annual growth rate, among other aspects. ► High-End Market: Rapid Expansion High-purity selenium used in electronics, semiconductors, and solid-state batteries is the core growth driver. The global high-purity selenium market reached $1.8 billion in 2023 and is expected to exceed $3.5 billion by 2030, with a strong CAGR of 10%. Selenium is a key material supporting the development of high-tech industries It is a fundamental material for developing new materials, new devices, and new consumer goods (pharmaceuticals, agriculture, food). Demand for selenium from military, new energy, and medical & health sectors is increasing daily. Ultra-high-purity rare and scattered metals have been designated as key national strategic emerging industries under the “Strategic Research on New Materials Powering the Nation by 2035” (2020). High-purity selenium was included by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) in the “Catalogue for the Guidance of Key Products and Services in Strategic Emerging Industries” issued in Announcement No. 1 (2017). The EU identified selenium as a critical raw material for strategic low-carbon energy technologies (2020). Price Trend Review and Forecast First, it reviewed the selenium price trend in recent years. ► Future Trend Forecast, 2026-2027 The global economic slowdown is weighing on the profitability and operating rates of traditional selenium-consuming industries such as glass, ceramics, and pigments, causing prices of ordinary industrial-grade selenium products to continue falling under pressure. However, high-purity, customized high-end selenium products used in PV, electronics, and other sectors are seeing price support due to high technical barriers and scarce supply, with the market showing a clear divergence in price trends. ► Market Insight: Supply-Demand Pattern Driving Divergence As demand growth in traditional sectors such as PV glass slows, prices of basic products are heavily influenced by capacity. However, the technological barriers in high-value-added fields such as infrared, electronics, and solid-state batteries will support the price resilience of high-end selenium products, making them the core growth driver for future corporate profits. II. In-Depth Analysis of China’s Selenium Industry China is the global center for selenium production and supply, and its industry development trends have a decisive impact on the global market. Production and Supply: The World’s Core Producing Region China is the global center for selenium production and supply, accounting for nearly half of the world’s output, which continues to grow steadily. ► Production Scale and Growth: In 2025, China’s primary selenium production reached 2,030 mt (up 12% YoY), accounting for nearly half of the global total. The growth momentum came from the expansion of domestic copper smelters and their increased focus on the comprehensive recovery of rare and precious metals. ► Core Producing Region Distribution: Influenced by the layout of the copper smelting industry, China’s selenium is primarily produced in four provinces: Yunnan, Jiangxi, Anhui, and Hubei. The high degree of synergy between resources and the processing industry has formed a stable supply chain cluster. ► Industry Leader Landscape: Top-tier players such as Jiangxi Copper Corporation, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Yunnan Copper, and China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals dominate production and are actively extending their reach into downstream deep processing, continuously refining their industry chain layout. ► Future Production Forecast: Production is expected to maintain an upward trend: it is projected to reach 2,165 mt in 2026 and further increase to 2,340 mt in 2027, continuously solidifying its core global supply position. Consumption Structure and Trends: Replacing Old Growth Drivers with New Ones ► Changes in China’s selenium consumption structure are a microcosm of global trends, with emerging applications rapidly on the rise. ● Metallurgy (32%): A traditional mainstay field, with relatively stable demand. ● Flat Glass (24%): Driven directly by the rapid development of the PV industry, maintaining solid growth. ● Agricultural and Livestock Health (21%): A beneficiary of the upgrade in health consumption, it has become an important growth point. ● Ceramics and Chemicals (13%): A traditional, low-end application affected by environmental protection policies and alternative technologies, with demand continuing to shrink. ★ Electronics, Infrared, and PV (8%): The fastest-growing segment and the core new momentum driving the industry’s long-term development. Trade Pattern: From Net Importer to Near-Balance China’s selenium trade pattern has undergone a historic transformation, gradually achieving self-sufficiency and control over its resource supply and demand. ► Historic Transformation: Reshaping the Supply-Demand Pattern In the past, as the world’s major selenium consumer, China was in a state of net imports for a long time. In recent years, thanks to the steady growth of domestic primary selenium smelting capacity and significant advances in recovery technologies for secondary resources like copper and selenium scrap, China’s reliance on selenium from outside China has dropped sharply, achieving a fundamental optimization of its trade structure. ► Key Milestone: 2025 Trade Data In 2025, China's selenium trade achieved a historic breakthrough: both imports and exports totaled 728 mt, remaining basically flat. This data marks China's successful shift away from a passive "resource-importing" model, achieving basic self-sufficiency in selenium supply and demonstrating strong risk resilience. ► Future Trend: Moving Toward Net Exporter Status Driven by both production growth and technological strengths, China is expected to continue expanding its selenium resource production scale and technology exports in the coming years. Leveraging its complete industry chain support and cost advantages, China is poised to gradually complete its transformation from a "net importer" to a "net exporter," further enhancing its discourse power in global selenium trade. ► Policy Support: Export Promotion, Brand Certification & Subsidies To support domestic superior resource products in international competition, the nation continues to implement industrial support policies. 1. High-purity selenium and selenium compound targets are included in the new materials export credit insurance support categories. 2. Key equipment imports for high-purity selenium compound synthesis and monocrystalline production are exempted from customs duties and import-stage VAT. This policy effectively strengthens the competitiveness of Chinese selenium products in the international market, providing strong policy support for the industry's "going global" strategy. III. High-Growth Track Analysis Amid broadly steady market growth, which sub-sectors are experiencing explosive expansion? This chapter focuses on three high-growth tracks: nano-selenium, high-purity selenium, and indium selenide. ► Track 1: Nano-Selenium Biomedicine and Healthy Agriculture — One of the fastest-growing sectors in the selenium industry Core Strengths: High bioavailability | Low toxicity It addresses the pain point of balancing effectiveness and safety in traditional selenium agents, offering dual value in nutrition and pharmaceuticals. Sharing also included market size forecasts, diverse application scenarios, and national policy support. ► Track 2: High-Purity Selenium (Semiconductors and PV) • Positioning as a critical basic material: High-purity selenium (purity ≥5N) is a strategic critical material underpinning the development of semiconductor chip manufacturing and PV solar cell industries, holding an irreplaceable position in the advanced manufacturing supply chain. Current Industry Status: Overall market demand is growing rapidly, but exhibits a significant "structural supply-demand mismatch," characterized by low-end overcapacity coexisting with a shortage of high-end products. • Market Demand and Structural Issues Demand Growth: China's total market demand is projected to maintain a 16.8% average annual compound growth rate from 2026 to 2030, indicating enormous potential. Polarization: Relatively surplus capacity in 5N low-end products; severe shortage of 6N and above high-end products, with import dependency reaching as high as 71%. • Technology Barriers and Localisation Substitution Opportunities Core Barriers: The preparation of 6N high-purity selenium involves complex processes, primarily relying on "zone melting" and "chemical vapor transport (CVT)" technologies, posing extremely high technical thresholds. Policy Driver: The National IC Fund has provided targeted capital injection to support breakthroughs, with a clear industrial goal of achieving over 60% localisation rate for high-end high-purity selenium by 2027. ► Track 3: Indium Selenide (Infrared Detection and Advanced Optoelectronics) • Material Overview Indium selenide (In₂Se₃) is a new-type layered semiconductor material with excellent optoelectronic properties. With its unique band structure, high carrier mobility, and good flexibility, it holds tremendous application potential in cutting-edge fields such as infrared detection, flexible optoelectronic devices, and new-type PV, making it a current hot topic in semiconductor material R&D. • Market Size Forecast Chinese market size in 2025: 382 million yuan; expected to reach 429 million yuan in 2026; up 12.3% YoY. • Competitive Landscape: Highly Concentrated Industry barriers are high, with a prominent head effect: the top three enterprises command approximately 68.3% market share. • Core Application Scenarios 01 Infrared focal plane detectors, widely used in security surveillance and industrial temperature measurement, represent the primary downstream demand. 02 Energy and new energy: Used as a buffer layer in CIGS (copper indium gallium selenide) thin-film solar cells, serving as an important raw material for the PV industry. 03 Flexible electronic devices: Leveraging advantages of layered structure, high-performance flexible displays and wearable device sensors can be developed. IV. Cutting-Edge Technologies and Future Trends Technological innovation is the fundamental driving force behind industrial development. Breakthroughs in Cutting-Edge Technologies: Antimony Selenide Sulfide Solar Cells Core Technical Advantages: The material combines excellent photoelectric conversion properties with outstanding chemical stability, featuring low production costs and strong process compatibility, thereby solving the trade-off between performance and stability in traditional PV materials. Industrial Application Prospects: Viewed as a highly promising next-generation PV technology direction, it not only broadens the selection of PV materials but also opens up a completely new path for high-value application of "selenium" resources in the new energy field. Industrial Development Trends 01. Technology-driven high value-addition | The core of industrial competition is shifting from resource acquisition to technological innovation, where technical barriers will become the fundamental foundation for enterprises to thrive. 2. Deep Localisation Substitution | Driven by national strategic support and market demand, the localisation process of key materials will continue to accelerate. 3. The "Materials-as-a-Service" Model Emerges | Upstream producers are no longer limited to mere product supply but are deeply integrated with downstream clients, providing customised solutions. 4. Green, Low-carbon, and Circular Economy | Stricter environmental protection policies are forcing industry upgrades, and green production processes and efficient resource recycling technologies will become increasingly important. 5. Strategic Recommendations Based on the above analysis, it provides some specific strategic recommendations for industry participants and investors. Whether enterprises or investors, in the current complex and volatile market environment, all need clear strategic guidance to seize opportunities and avoid risks. ► Recommendations for Enterprises 1. Focus on High-Growth Sectors: Decisively allocate resources toward high-value-added areas such as nano-selenium and 6N high-purity selenium, and avoid homogeneous competition with low profits. 2. Strengthen Technology R&D and Cooperation: Establish an independent R&D system to maintain core competitiveness, while actively engaging in industry-university-research cooperation with universities and research institutes. 3. Build Industry Chain Synergy: Extend toward upstream raw material sources to ensure stable supply, and expand toward downstream application ends to deeply integrate core clients, enhancing risk resistance capabilities. 4. Enhance Quality and Brand: Establish and strictly enforce a high-standard quality control system, cultivate a high-end, professional brand image, and compete with premium quality and pricing. ► Recommendations for Investors 1. Focus on Technologically Leading Enterprises: Prioritize investment in enterprises with independent intellectual property rights in core technologies to build competitive barriers. 2. Seek Enterprises with Strong Downstream Integration: Choose enterprises that have established long-term and stable cooperation with downstream key clients to ensure robust operational performance. 3. Allocate to Entire Industry Chain Enterprises: Focus on enterprises with a complete industry chain layout from mineral resources to end-use applications to enhance risk resistance capabilities. 4. Beware of Market Fluctuation Risks: Fully assess the impact of periodic selenium price fluctuations on enterprise costs and profits, and implement risk hedging. Furthermore, it also provides an introduction to Lianzhou Tuosheng New Energy Co., Ltd.
Jun 28, 2026 19:51UK energy regulator Ofgem has provisionally selected 16 long-duration electricity storage (LDES) projects, representing 7,645 MW of capacity, under the first application window of the LDES cap and floor regime. Ofgem has published its "minded-to" decisions to support these projects and is currently seeking feedback via a public consultation that will close on August 7, 2026. The final cap and floor awards are expected to be announced in the autumn. The selected projects cover a variety of technologies, including pumped hydro, vanadium redox flow, compressed air, and lithium-ion batteries. The regulator noted that this capacity aligns with the upper end of the National Energy System Operator’s (NESO) recommended range. Further application windows are anticipated, subject to additional consultations this year and a decision on a second window by 2027.
Jun 26, 2026 19:03June 26, 2026 – The chromium market continued to decline this week, with the ample supply pattern unchanged and demand remaining weak.
Jun 26, 2026 18:36[Demand Support Next Week's Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Generally Stable with Slight Rise] This week, cold-rolled grain-oriented silicon steel spot prices remained stable, with smooth and orderly market trading. After the steel mills' earlier price hike policy took effect, the market entered a digestion period. Mainstream quotations held steady, with no significant price change. Supply side, steel mills maintained a stable production pace, mainstream resources were released normally, supply was ample and orderly, social inventory stayed within a reasonable range, with no pressure of large inventory buildup or rapid destocking, and supply and demand maintained a weak balance. Demand side, transformer and power equipment enterprises made just-in-time procurement as a normal practice, end-users replenished stock in batches as needed, with no concentrated stockpiling. Transactions were dominated by just-in-time orders, demand provided solid support, and there was no price-cutting to boost volume.
Jun 26, 2026 17:57Following its self-developed chip, Li Auto has once again strengthened its core technology layout. Its self-developed “Li Auto” brand battery is now officially installed in vehicles, with the first model being the newly launched Li L8. In battery R&D, Li Auto and Sunwoda have partnered through a joint venture, with a clear division of labor and well-defined responsibilities. At the R&D level, Li Auto leads the entire process, defining the full technology chain from the battery cell level (including material formulation and structural systems) to the overall battery pack design, as well as the underlying development of the BMS (Battery Management System). At the manufacturing level, the two parties have established a comprehensive operational collaboration mechanism: the chairman of the joint venture is appointed by the Li Auto team, and the overall R&D design, manufacturing processes, and quality standards are uniformly specified and controlled by Li Auto. During the specific manufacturing execution phase, the two parties leverage Sunwoda’s mature manufacturing platform and combine their respective areas of strength to advance collaboratively.
Jun 26, 2026 16:47[SMM Analysis] Finished Product Prices Fall in Tandem, Stainless Steel Mill Profits Slightly Compressed This week, stainless steel prices and production costs declined in tandem, with steel mill profit margins narrowing slightly. Using 304 cold-rolling as the assessment basis, the profit margin calculated with current raw material costs stood at 2.28%, while that based on inventory raw materials was 2.1%. On the nickel-based raw material cost side, high-grade NPI prices showed a downward pullback this week. Affected by weakening SHFE nickel and SS futures, coupled with disturbances from Indonesian nickel ore news, although NPI producers and traders maintained a strong willingness to hold prices firm, expectations of off-season maintenance and production cuts at stainless steel mills and the pullback in stainless steel prices led to low acceptance of high-priced raw materials, driving high-grade NPI prices to decline and pull back. As of this Friday, high-grade NPI with a mainstream grade of 10%-12% fell by 8.5 yuan per nickel unit, closing at 1,141 yuan per nickel unit. In the stainless steel scrap market, prices fell in tandem this week. SS futures pulled back and stainless steel finished product prices declined, dragging down stainless steel scrap. Currently in the traditional consumption off-season, end-use demand is weak, and expectations of lower steel scrap demand due to mill production cuts and maintenance, along with bearish macro sentiment, led to more cautious purchasing attitudes. Although stainless steel scrap holds an economic advantage over NPI and finds some bottom support, it is struggling to withstand the combined weight of multiple bearish factors, and the short-term market remains under pressure. As of this Friday, mainstream 304 off-cuts in Shanghai fell by 50 yuan/mt, with the latest quotation at approximately 10,500 yuan/mt. On the chrome-based raw material cost side, high-carbon ferrochrome prices continued to edge down this week. This week, TISCO and Tsingshan successively...
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