According to preliminary central bank statistics, the cumulative increase in total social financing (TSF) in the first five months of 2026 was 17.48 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.16 trillion yuan from the same period last year. Of which, new renminbi loans to the real economy increased by 9 trillion yuan, a YoY decrease of 1.38 trillion yuan; foreign-currency loans to the real economy converted into renminbi increased by 115.3 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 211.6 billion yuan; entrusted loans decreased by 103.1 billion yuan, a further YoY decrease of 91.8 billion yuan; trust loans increased by 5.7 billion yuan, a YoY decrease of 57 billion yuan; undiscounted bankers' acceptances decreased by 17.2 billion yuan, a further YoY decrease of 151.4 billion yuan; net financing of corporate bonds was 1.67 trillion yuan, a YoY increase of 757.7 billion yuan; net financing of government bonds was 5.67 trillion yuan, a YoY decrease of 634 billion yuan; and domestic equity financing of non-financial enterprises amounted to 230.5 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 79.9 billion yuan. In the first five months, renminbi loans increased by 9.11 trillion yuan. By sector, household loans decreased by 631.4 billion yuan, of which short-term loans decreased by 694.2 billion yuan, and medium and long-term loans increased by 62.8 billion yuan; enterprise sector loans increased by 9.63 trillion yuan, of which short-term loans increased by 3.77 trillion yuan, medium and long-term loans increased by 4.99 trillion yuan, and bill financing increased by 699.9 billion yuan; loans to non-bank financial institutions decreased by 279.7 billion yuan. Central bank data show that at end-May, the broad money (M2) balance was 353.67 trillion yuan, up 8.6% YoY. The narrow money (M1) balance was 114.89 trillion yuan, up 5.5% YoY. Currency in circulation (M0) balance was 14.69 trillion yuan, up 11.9% YoY. In the first five months, net cash injection was 590.7 billion yuan. Financial Statistics Report for May 2026 I. Outstanding Total Social Financing (TSF) Stock Increased by 7.7% YoY Preliminary statistics show that at end-May 2026, outstanding TSF stood at 458.81 trillion yuan, up 7.7% YoY. Of which, outstanding renminbi loans to the real economy were 277.4 trillion yuan, up 5.5% YoY; outstanding foreign-currency loans to the real economy converted into renminbi were 1.14 trillion yuan, down 4.3% YoY; outstanding entrusted loans were 11.22 trillion yuan, unchanged YoY; outstanding trust loans were 4.67 trillion yuan, up 7.1% YoY; outstanding undiscounted bankers' acceptances were 2.13 trillion yuan, down 6.2% YoY; outstanding corporate bonds were 35.69 trillion yuan, up 8.4% YoY; outstanding government bonds were 100.6 trillion yuan, up 15.1% YoY; outstanding domestic equity of non-financial enterprises stood at 12.43 trillion yuan, up 4.7% YoY. In terms of structure, at end-May, outstanding renminbi loans to the real economy accounted for 60.5% of outstanding TSF, down 1.2 percentage points YoY; foreign-currency loans to the real economy converted into renminbi accounted for 0.2%, down 0.1 percentage points YoY; entrusted loans accounted for 2.4%, down 0.2 percentage points YoY; trust loans accounted for 1%, unchanged YoY; undiscounted bankers' acceptances accounted for 0.5%, unchanged YoY; corporate bonds accounted for 7.8%, up 0.1 percentage points YoY; government bonds accounted for 21.9%, up 1.4 percentage points YoY; domestic equity of non-financial enterprises accounted for 2.7%, down 0.1 percentage points YoY. II. In the first five months, the cumulative increase in aggregate social financing was 17.48 trillion yuan Preliminary statistics show that in the first five months of 2026, the cumulative increase in aggregate social financing was 17.48 trillion yuan, representing a decrease of 1.16 trillion yuan compared with the same period last year. Specifically, RMB loans extended to the real economy increased by 9 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.38 trillion yuan YoY; foreign currency loans to the real economy converted into RMB increased by 115.3 billion yuan, an increase of 211.6 billion yuan YoY; entrusted loans decreased by 103.1 billion yuan, with the decline widening by 91.8 billion yuan YoY; trust loans increased by 5.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 57 billion yuan YoY; undiscounted bankers' acceptances decreased by 17.2 billion yuan, with the decline widening by 151.4 billion yuan YoY; net financing of corporate bonds was 1.67 trillion yuan, an increase of 757.7 billion yuan YoY; net financing of government bonds was 5.67 trillion yuan, a decrease of 634 billion yuan YoY; domestic equity financing by non-financial enterprises amounted to 230.5 billion yuan, an increase of 79.9 billion yuan YoY. III. Broad money (M2) increased by 8.6% At the end of May, broad money (M2) outstanding was 353.67 trillion yuan, up 8.6% YoY. Narrow money (M1) outstanding was 114.89 trillion yuan, up 5.5% YoY. Currency in circulation (M0) outstanding was 14.69 trillion yuan, up 11.9% YoY. In the first five months, net cash injection amounted to 590.7 billion yuan. IV. RMB deposits increased by 15.77 trillion yuan in the first five months At the end of May, outstanding deposits in domestic and foreign currencies reached 352.38 trillion yuan, up 8.7% YoY. At month-end, RMB deposit outstanding was 344.45 trillion yuan, up 8.7% YoY. RMB deposits increased by 15.77 trillion yuan in the first five months. Specifically, household deposits rose by 5.63 trillion yuan, deposits of non-financial enterprises by 1.26 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits by 1.91 trillion yuan, and deposits of non-bank financial institutions by 5.64 trillion yuan. At the end of May, foreign currency deposit outstanding was $1.16 trillion, up 17.5% YoY. In the first five months, foreign currency deposits rose by $103.2 billion. V. RMB loans increased by 9.11 trillion yuan in the first five months At the end of May, outstanding loans in domestic and foreign currencies stood at 284.79 trillion yuan, up 5.4% YoY. At month-end, RMB loan outstanding was 281.02 trillion yuan, up 5.5% YoY. RMB loans increased by 9.11 trillion yuan in the first five months. By sector, household loans decreased by 631.4 billion yuan, of which short-term loans fell by 694.2 billion yuan while medium and long-term loans rose by 62.8 billion yuan; loans to enterprises and public institutions increased by 9.63 trillion yuan, including a 3.77 trillion yuan rise in short-term loans, a 4.99 trillion yuan increase in medium and long-term loans, and a 699.9 billion yuan expansion in bill financing; loans to non-bank financial institutions declined by 279.7 billion yuan. At the end of May, the outstanding foreign currency loan balance stood at $553.2 billion, up 2.6% YoY. Foreign currency loans increased by $8.2 billion in the first five months. VI. In May, the monthly weighted average interest rate for interbank lending in the interbank RMB market was 1.31%, and the monthly weighted average rate for pledged repo was 1.33%. In May, total trading volume in the interbank RMB market, comprising lending, cash bonds, and repos, reached 180.45 trillion yuan, with a daily average of 9.5 trillion yuan, up 7.9% YoY. Specifically, the daily average interbank lending volume grew 18.5% YoY, cash bond trading rose 4.7% YoY, and pledged repo trading increased 8% YoY. In May, the weighted average interbank lending rate was 1.31%, up 0.02 percentage points MoM but down 0.24 percentage points YoY; the weighted average pledged repo rate was 1.33%, up 0.02 percentage points MoM but down 0.23 percentage points YoY. VII. In May, cross-border RMB settlement under the current account amounted to 1.67 trillion yuan, and under direct investment, it was 0.58 trillion yuan. In May, cross-border RMB settlement under the current account totaled 1.67 trillion yuan, of which goods trade, services trade, and other current account items were 1.28 trillion yuan and 0.39 trillion yuan, respectively; cross-border RMB settlement under direct investment totaled 0.58 trillion yuan, consisting of 0.22 trillion yuan in outward direct investment and 0.36 trillion yuan in foreign direct investment. Recommended Reading: ] Latest financial data released: M2 and outstanding aggregate financing at end-February grew 8.7% and 9.0% YoY respectively. See how authoritative experts interpret this! ] Aggregate financing and new RMB loans hit second-highest level for the same period in history in the first two months; February M2 up 8.7% YoY ] In January 2024, new aggregate financing was 6.5 trillion yuan, new loans were 4.92 trillion yuan, and M2 grew 8.7% YoY ] PBOC: December aggregate financing increment was 1.94 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 1.17 trillion yuan, M2 up 9.7% YoY ] PBOC: November aggregate financing increment was 2.45 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 1.09 trillion yuan, M2 up 10% YoY ] November financial data released: The volume of aggregate financing continued to grow more YoY, and credit support for the real economy remained solid ] Will trillion-yuan government bonds "prop up" October money and credit data? Market expects overall strong aggregate financing but weak credit; RRR cut expectations still building ] PBOC: October aggregate financing increment was 1.85 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 738.4 billion yuan, M2 up 10.3% YoY ] PBOC: September aggregate financing increment was 4.12 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 2.31 trillion yuan, M2 up 10.3% YoY ] PBOC makes heavy-hitting remarks! Talking about China-US interest rate differentials, September financial data, mortgage rates on existing home loans... ] General Administration of Customs: China's imports and exports showed positive trends in the first three quarters; September hit a new single-month high for the year ] PPI and CPI data improved for three consecutive months; experts say price improvement further confirmed, expect the YoY improvement in PPI to continue ] NBS explains: September CPI was stable, PPI YoY decline narrowed for three consecutive months, both rose MoM ] September mobile phone export value doubled MoM; automobile export YoY growth continued to lead ] PBOC: August aggregate financing increment was 3.12 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 1.36 trillion yuan, M2 up 10.6% YoY ] PBOC: Act when it's time to act, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshooting! USD/CNH plunged ] PBOC: August aggregate financing scale was 528.2 billion yuan, new RMB loans were 345.9 billion yuan, M2 up 10.7% YoY ] PBOC: June aggregate financing and new RMB loans far exceeded expectations, M2 up 11.3% YoY ] PBOC: May aggregate financing increment was 1.56 trillion yuan, 331.2 billion yuan more than the previous month ] PBOC: May RMB loans increased by 1.36 trillion yuan, with the previous figure at 718.8 billion yuan ] PBOC: May RMB deposits increased by 1.46 trillion yuan, 1.58 trillion yuan less than the same period last year ] PBOC: April aggregate financing increment was 1.22 trillion yuan, new RMB loans were 718.8 billion yuan, M2 up 12.4% YoY ] PBOC: Q1 RMB deposits increased by 15.39 trillion yuan, loans increased by 10.6 trillion yuan

SMM June 4 News: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic market base metals fell across the board. SHFE copper, SHFE aluminum, SHFE lead, and SHFE zinc all dropped over 1%. SHFE tin fell 0.86%. SHFE nickel fell 2.55%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 0.69%, and the most-traded alumina futures fell 2.02%. The most-traded lithium carbonate futures extended the decline from the previous three trading days, falling another 3.17%. The most-traded silicon metal futures fell 0.52%. The most-traded polysilicon futures fell 1.95%. Ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore dropped 1.47%, rebar fell 0.38%, hot-rolled coil fell 0.32%, and stainless steel fell 2.19%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 4.7%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 2.25%. Overseas market base metals: as of 11:45, LME metals generally fell. LME copper fell 0.09%, LME aluminum fell 0.12%, and LME lead fell 0.37%. LME zinc, LME tin, and LME nickel all fell within 0.3%. Precious metals: as of 11:45, COMEX gold rose 0.58%, and COMEX silver fell 0.05%. Domestic market precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold futures fell 0.2%, and the most-traded SHFE silver futures fell 1.93%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 1.81%, and the most-traded palladium futures fell 3.54%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract rose 0.44% to 3,758 points. As of 11:45 on June 4, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Aluminum: On June 4, SMM A00 aluminum (Foshan) was quoted at 24,130, down 190, at a discount of 190 to the current-month contract, narrowing by 60 (unit: yuan/mt). Futures stopped rising and turned lower today, while South China spot prices bucked the trend and stabilized with an upward bias... Macro front Domestic: [MIIT: From January to April, China's above-scale electronic information manufacturing value-added output was up 14% YoY] From January to April, the value-added output of above-scale electronic information manufacturing was up 14% YoY, 8.4 and 1.4 percentage points higher than the growth rates of overall industry and high-tech manufacturing over the same period, respectively. In April, the value-added output of above-scale electronic information manufacturing was up 15.6% YoY. Among major products, mobile phone production reached 452 million units, up 0.3% YoY, of which smartphone production was 390 million units, up 6.5% YoY; micro-computer equipment production was 95.426 million units, down 10% YoY; integrated circuit production was 176.97 billion units, up 24.7% YoY. (MIIT Weibo) [State Grid Corporation of China's Peak Power Load to Exceed 1.3 Billion kW This Summer, Up ~6% YoY] According to State Grid Corporation of China, this summer's maximum power load in its operating area was projected to exceed 1.3 billion kW, up approximately 6% YoY. To fully ensure safe power grid operation and reliable power supply, State Grid Corporation of China accelerated supply assurance capacity building, continued to improve market-based power trading, and promoted efficient utilization of clean energy. Currently, 168 key projects for peak summer power supply were under accelerated construction. (CCTV) The PBOC announced that, based on the demand of primary dealers in open market operations, the volume of the 7-day reverse repo operation on June 4 was zero. 101.3 billion yuan in reverse repos matured today. US dollar: As of 11:45, the US dollar index fell 0.04% to 99.5. According to the CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through June was 98.4%, with a 1.6% probability of a cumulative 25 bps interest rate cut. The probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through July was 90.2%, with an 8.4% probability of a cumulative 25 bps rate hike and a 1.4% probability of a cumulative 25 bps interest rate cut. US Fed's Logan stated that US Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target. She noted that the US labour market was "broadly in balance," investment in artificial intelligence was booming, and financial conditions remained "accommodative." However, she added that the current inflation trajectory did not appear to be pulling back toward the US Fed's 2% target. "These conditions suggest that current monetary policy is not restraining the economy," "I am increasingly concerned that achieving a full restoration of price stability, while appropriately balancing both sides of the US Fed's dual mandate, may require raising interest rates later this year." The US Fed Beige Book noted that overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting inflation rates higher than in the previous report. Districts cited energy costs related to the Middle East conflict as a primary driver of inflationary pressures, with impacts extending to shipping, packaging, groceries, and fertilizers. Non-labour costs continued to rise faster than selling prices, raising broader concerns about margin compression. The ability to pass on higher costs varied across industries, particularly among consumer-facing companies. Some regions noted that enterprises across multiple areas had adopted strategies to cope with inflation, including supply chain optimization, product adjustments, reducing supply, and temporarily absorbing higher costs to maintain client demand. (Jin10 Data APP) Data: Data to be released today included US May Challenger enterprise layoffs, US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30, US May Global Supply Chain Pressure Index, Eurozone April retail sales MoM, Switzerland May CPI MoM, and Switzerland May seasonally adjusted unemployment rate. In addition, at 2:00 the US Fed released the Beige Book on economic conditions, and 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan delivered a speech. At 15:00, the Ministry of Commerce held the first regular press conference of June, and China's refined oil products entered a new round of price adjustment window. ECB President Lagarde delivered a speech, 2027 FOMC voter and Richmond Fed President Barkin participated in a fireside chat, and Bank of England Governor Bailey spoke at the Investment Association conference. Crude oil: As of 11:45, oil prices in both markets declined, with WTI down 0.94% and Brent down 1.03%. According to CCTV News, on local time June 3, US President Trump stated that negotiations with Iran were progressing very well and a new round of talks could be held this weekend. Once an agreement is signed, the Strait of Hormuz will immediately reopen. (Jin10 Data APP) Expectations of an end to Middle East conflicts put oil prices under pressure. Investinglive analyst Eamonn Sheridan stated that reports indicated Israel and Lebanon had reached a ceasefire framework agreement under US guidance, with both sides set to resume full talks during the week of June 22, contingent on Hezbollah's complete withdrawal from southern Lebanon. The geopolitical risk premium in the oil market will digest this headline and largely treat it as a priced-in factor. (Jin10 Data APP) The US-Iran conflict is pushing the global oil market toward a tipping point. US crude oil and petroleum product inventory has fallen to its lowest level in over two decades, while US crude oil exports hit a record high in May, rapidly depleting domestic reserves. Analysts warned that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, oil prices could surge significantly within weeks. According to data released by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday, for the week ending May 29, total US crude oil and petroleum product inventory decreased by 10.6 million barrels from the previous week to 1.57 billion barrels, the lowest level since 2004 . Commercial crude oil inventory (excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) fell by 8 million barrels in a single week to 433.7 million barrels, marking the sixth consecutive weekly decline, far exceeding analysts' prior expectations of 3.3 million barrels. (Wall Street Journal) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: The Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Continued to Rally During the Night Session, Further Suppressing Spot Market Transactions]

Second-life battery market prices remained stable this week. Cost side, lithium carbonate prices continued to pull back, cobalt sulphate weakened slightly, nickel sulphate saw a mild rise, and the overall raw material cost center shifted downward, theoretically exerting downward pressure on second-life battery cell prices, but price transmission takes time. Meanwhile, second-life and Grade A/B battery cell pricing always references new battery cell prices, and new ternary battery cells have recently seen widespread price increases, which directly underpinned the price floor of the second-life battery market, offsetting the pressure from declining raw materials. Supply side, enterprise shipments maintained a steady pace, supply circulation was normal, with no concentrated shipments or stockpiling, nor any surge in new supply sources, and the supply landscape remained stable with no supply-demand imbalance. Demand side, ternary second-life battery cells lacked upward demand support due to the continued narrowing of end-use demand from the EV sector. Energy storage demand remained relatively strong, but the Grade A/B market had already gone through a round of price increases earlier, with current prices already at a relatively high level. End-user acceptance of high prices was limited, and momentum for further price increases was insufficient. Overall, the second-life battery market remained in a state of declining raw materials and stable prices. Prices were unlikely to show significant fluctuations in the short term, and attention going forward should be paid to lithium carbonate trends and whether new ternary battery cell price increases can transmit to the second-life battery market.

[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Bulls Exit, Zinc Prices Retreat After Rapid Rise] Overnight, LME zinc recorded a long upper shadow bearish candlestick, with the upper Bollinger Bands forming resistance above. Overnight LME zinc retreated after a rapid rise. On the macro front, renewed tensions in the Middle East intensified inflation concerns, and bulls exiting the market dragged zinc prices lower.

Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened at $2,011.5/mt, briefly touched a low of $2,010/mt during the Asian session before fluctuating upward; during the European session, it probed a high of $2,022/mt before pulling back slightly, ultimately closing at $2,015.5/mt, up 0.12%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2607 contract opened at 16,740 yuan/mt, fluctuating around the intraday moving average, with a low of 16,710 yuan/mt and a high of 16,775 yuan/mt, ultimately closing at 16,745 yuan/mt, down 0.06%. On the macro front: Uzbekistan fully resumed gold exports in April. Malaysia reportedly imposed a 10% tariff on imports of certain gold bars. According to Yonhap News Agency, a South Korean court rejected an injunction request to suspend negotiations with Samsung's main union. Micron Technology's total market capitalization reached $1 trillion, setting a new all-time high again. Since the beginning of this year, Micron Technology has accumulated a gain of 210%. Data from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology showed that in April 2026, mobile phone shipments in the Chinese market reached 25.733 million units, up 2.8% YoY, of which 5G phones accounted for 24.736 million units. : In the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai market, warrant quotations were limited, and suppliers continued to offer cargoes self-picked up from primary lead smelter production sites. Meanwhile, as SHFE lead retreated after rapid rise, suppliers had mixed sentiments on shipments — some eased their stance on holding prices firm while others held firm on prices for shipments. Mainstream origin primary lead was quoted at premiums of 0-50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price, with a few regions at premiums of 120-200 yuan/mt. Additionally, secondary lead smelters continued to operate at a loss, and their quotations remained relatively firm, with secondary refined lead quoted at premiums of 0-50 yuan/mt against SMM #1 lead on an ex-factory basis. Downstream enterprises had limited rigid demand, especially with lead prices fluctuating at highs, and downstream enterprises made few inquiries, with spot market transactions turning sluggish. Inventory: On May 26, LME lead inventory decreased by 775 mt to 285,700 mt; as of May 25, SMM lead ingot social inventory across five locations decreased by 3,200 mt compared with May 18. Lead Price Forecast for Today: Consumption side, the lead-acid battery market remained in off-season mode, with downstream enterprises' rigid demand still limited. Combined with lead prices rebounding, downstream enterprises became more cautious in procurement. Supply side, primary lead and secondary lead enterprises maintained stable to slightly rising production, with secondary lead losses beginning to recover and market circulating supply increasing, as spot lead trading gradually shifted to discounts (against SMM #1 lead). Meanwhile, tight supply of high-grade lead ingots in the Southeast Asian market has yet to ease, while Australian lead-zinc smelters are ramping up production. With bullish and bearish factors coexisting, lead prices are expected to continue fluctuating at highs. Data Source Statement: All data other than public information is SMM processed data based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model, for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.