This week, rare earth oxide and metal prices outside China remained largely stable amid sluggish trading, while price fluctuations in China had not yet been transmitted. Industrial developments were intensive: India’s Mecwin teamed up with Germany’s Fraunhofer to lay out the entire NdFeB industry chain; Sweden approved a 25-year lease for the North Kärr rare earth mine, and Namibia’s Kieshoehe project verified deep potential. Iluka obtained an Australian government loan to advance the Eneabba refinery, and ULVAC, driven by surging demand in Europe and the United States, planned to build a new melting furnace production line in Japan. U.S. and Australian enterprises achieved breakthroughs in high-purity rare earth refining and hard disk recycling technologies, while Canada and Japan actively promoted cooperation on the critical minerals supply chain.

[SMM Rare Earth Daily Review: Rare Earth Prices Generally Rise, Market Inquiry and Transaction Activity Remains Weak] On the whole, influenced by the noticeably improved market trading activity yesterday, low-priced sources of rare earth materials tightened overall, and suppliers have raised their quotes one after another. However, downstream inquiry activity has decreased to some extent, and actual transaction performance in the market has been lackluster. In the near term, affected by the tightening of low-priced sources in the market, Pr-Nd product prices will likely drift higher.

[Top-tier players' purchases drive Pr-Nd price surge, boosting trading activity in rare earth market] Yesterday, scrap market prices continued their upward trend, mainly due to sustained increases in oxide price quotations, leading recycling enterprises to raise their external purchase quotes further. However, with the implementation of the new national standard for rare earth recycling, suppliers adopted a wait-and-see approach to shipments, making procurement more difficult for recycling enterprises.

[Expectations for US Fed Interest Rate Hikes Delayed, Short-Term Weakness in Aluminum Prices Hard to Break] In China, the proportion of liquid aluminum continued to rise, and warehouse withdrawals of aluminum ingots hit a four-year high in the past week. The further acceleration of the destocking pace has been the biggest highlight recently, but the absolute inventory level remains in a high range. Recently, with the continued narrowing of the geopolitical risk premium coupled with expectations for new project startups outside China, macro headwinds still dominate. LME aluminum is under significant pressure in the short term, and domestic aluminum prices are expected to follow LME aluminum and remain in the doldrums.

[Silicon Metal Market Stalemate, Prices Consolidate at Lows]: On the supply side, silicon metal production in June stood at 358,400 mt, up 8% MoM. In July, production ramp-up in Sichuan and Yunnan will become the main driver of supply growth, with July production expected to increase 9% MoM. The fundamental logic of both supply and demand growth and relatively heavy supply pressure remains unchanged. With no news disturbances from policy or macro liquidity, and in the absence of unexpected events, silicon metal prices continue to consolidate at lows.

[SMM Rare Earth Weekly Review: Pr-Nd Prices Surge, Medium-Heavy Rare Earth Market Prices Relatively Stable] This week, Pr-Nd oxide prices held up well overall. Driven by large-scale purchases and the arrival of the peak season, bullish sentiment in the market strengthened significantly. Downstream procurement inquiries also improved in activity, and suppliers raised their quoted prices. As of today, the price of Pr-Nd oxide was raised to 750,000-755,000 yuan/mt.