The central bank’s February financial statistics report showed that at end-February, the balance of broad money (M2) stood at 349.22 trillion yuan, up 9% YoY; aggregate social financing increased by a cumulative 9.6 trillion yuan in the first two months, 316.2 billion yuan more than in the same period last year; new yuan loans totaled 5.61 trillion yuan in the first two months; the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits stood at 345.72 trillion yuan, up 8.8% YoY; and at month-end, the balance of yuan deposits stood at 337.94 trillion yuan, up 8.7% YoY.

SMM Nickel News, March 16: Macro and Market News: (1) The financial statistics report for February released by the central bank showed that at month-end February, broad money (M2) balance stood at 349.22 trillion yuan, up 9% YoY; cumulative aggregate social financing for the first two months was 9.6 trillion yuan, 316.2 billion yuan more than the same period last year; new RMB loans in the first two months increased by 5.61 trillion yuan; the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits was 345.72 trillion yuan, up 8.8% YoY; and the month-end RMB deposit balance was 337.94 trillion yuan, up 8.7% YoY. (2) The central bank said in its tender announcement for open-market outright reverse repo operations that on March 16, 2026, the People's Bank of China will conduct 500 billion yuan of outright reverse repo operations through a fixed-quantity, interest-rate bidding, and multiple-price allocation method, with a tenor of six months (182 days). Spot Market: On March 16, the SMM #1 refined nickel price fell by 2,650 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 6,700 yuan/mt, up 50 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; China mainstream branded electrodeposited nickel was at -300-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2605) fell sharply intraday and closed the morning session at 135,990 yuan/mt, down 1.83%. Tensions in the Middle East pushed up oil prices, intensifying inflation concerns. The market expects the US Fed may slow the pace of interest rate cuts, while the US dollar continued to strengthen, creating clear pressure on nickel prices. Despite significant macro pressure, the industry-level support logic has not changed, and market concerns over tightening supply of nickel intermediate products remain. Short term, the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to move sideways in the 135,000-145,000 yuan/mt range.

The negative year-over-year growth of the US M2 money supply has been a notable movement in the industry in recent months.

China's M2 Money Supply Up 7% YoY in January [SMM Steel Market Morning News]: According to data from the central bank, at January month-end, the balance of broad money (M2) was 318.52 trillion yuan, up 7% YoY. The balance of narrow money (M1) was 112.45 trillion yuan, up 0.4% YoY. The balance of currency in circulation (M0) was 14.23 trillion yuan, up 17.2% YoY. Net cash injection for the month was 1.41 trillion yuan.

The central bank: At the end of February, the M2 balance stood at 320.52 trillion yuan, up 7% YoY.

At the end of July, the balance of broad money (M2) was 285.4 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.7%, the growth rate was 0.6 and 1.3 percentage points lower than the end of last month and the same period of last year.