While upstream MHP payables stayed high, auxiliary material prices such as sulphur and sulphuric acid continued to climb, and downstream ternary production schedules remained at high levels, the performance of battery-grade nickel sulphate prices was not optimistic. SMM believes this was driven by multiple factors, including weakening cost support, front-loaded downstream stockpiling, increased import supplementation, and higher volumes of nickel sulphate converted from refined nickel.

[SMM Analysis]Secondary Aluminum Industry Remains Under Pressure, May Operating Rate Keeps Dropping and Hard to Stop

According to the latest data from the GACC. China has imported 97.711 Mt of iron ore and concentrates in May, down 6.143 Mt MoM, a decline of 5.9%. Cumulative imports in January-May reached 516.258 Mt, increased 6.3% YoY. In May, the operating rate of China's steel industry remained high, with strong downstream demand supporting high pig iron production at steel mills. Given wider profit margins, mills' appetite for iron ore remained solid. That said, elevated port inventories and a persistent decline in ore prices in late May squeezed import margins and partly curbed buying interest. In addition, iron ore prices in May were affected by adjustments to the statistical cycle and the Labour Day holiday, resulting in fewer statistical days compared with April. Some enterprises also made customs declarations ahead of schedule, leading to a notable MoM decline in iron ore imports in May. June iron ore imports are expected to grow. On one hand, June, as the final month of Q2, will prompt some mines to accelerate production and shipping paces to meet shipment targets. On the other, although the market is starting to enter the traditional off-season for steel, ex-China steel demand is still able to drive Chinese steel exports, leaving mills sufficient surplus to maintain blast furnace operating rates. Hot metal output in June is also projected to stay elevated, providing rigid demand support for iron ore. Supply-demand synergy is expected to lift iron ore imports in June.

According to SMM, in May, constrained by multiple factors such as the Labour Day holiday disruption, weak demand from home appliances, and copper prices fluctuating at highs, the operating rate of the enamelled wire industry pulled back 3 percentage points MoM. Currently, structural divergence on the demand side continues. Rigid demand from the new energy and power sectors remains steady, providing bottom support for the industry. However, the home appliance sector remains persistently weak, traditional end-user segments lack incremental rigid demand, and downstream end-users are highly sensitive to copper prices. Copper price fluctuations suppress purchase willingness, further dragging on order growth.

[SMM Analysis]Supply Tightening Offsets Off-season Pressure, June ADC12 Price Center Expected to Rise

Analysis of Copper Scrap Market Operations in May 2026: Supply-Demand Deadlock and Structural Contradictions amid High Volatility