This week, ferrous metals retreated after a rapid rise. At the beginning of the week, the market said that Asia had shifted to coal-fired power generation due to a natural gas supply deficit, while Indonesia would increase coal production and impose export taxes. The rise in international coal prices was transmitted to China, and coking coal and coke led the gains in ferrous metals; mid-week, the Middle East situation remained volatile, and the U.S. and Iran held differing attitudes toward war, with ferrous metals consolidating at high levels; the pullback in the second half of the week was also mainly due to the weakening of the cost-side logic, as market rumors said long-term iron ore contract negotiations had been completed, expectations for tightening iron ore supply declined, and raw materials turned into the main driver of the pullback. In the spot market, speculative trading and end-user purchase sentiment improved in the first half of the week, while rigid demand remained dominant in the second half, and the spot-futures price spread widened somewhat......

This week, News during the week mainly centered on iron ore negotiations. Under bearish market expectations, ore prices weakened accordingly, while coking coal and coke also declined due to the pullback in crude oil. Returning to HRC supply and demand, production fluctuated rangebound this week. Social inventory as a whole maintained a destocking trend.Traders' purchase pace was moderate, and mill inventory turned from rising to falling. Downstream demand remained lukewarm, with low purchase willingness for HRC, CRC, galvanizing and other products in large volumes. Looking ahead,HRC's fundamentals were unlikely to show any bright spots, and it is expected to continue moving sideways next week in line with the cost side.

[Renewed Environmental Protection Measures in Northern China Slightly Weighed on Galvanizing Operating Rates]: This week, the operating rate of the galvanizing industry was 58.88, down slightly by 0.81 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices rebounded this week, downstream pick-up of goods was limited and consumption was mainly from existing stocks, but zinc ingots previously price-fixed by galvanising enterprises arrived one after another, leading to a slight decline in zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises. The lower operating rate was mainly due to the renewed environmental protection measures in some northern regions, which affected operations.

Recently, the first coils were successfully rolled off the pickling line and hot-dip galvanizing line of the cold-rolling project of Anhui Panhua New Materials Co., Ltd., for which China National Heavy Machinery Research Institute Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of SINOMACH Heavy Equipment Group, served as the EPC contractor, marking the successful commissioning of the project.

As expectations for the peak-season demand in the “Golden March” gradually begin to materialize, galvanizing operating rates are rising. Can downstream consumption sustain its peak-season performance going forward?

According to the latest customs data, China’s total exports of die-casting zinc alloy from January to February reached 689.33 mt, up slightly by 0.9 percentage points YoY on a cumulative basis; imports, however, totaled 48.11 million mt, down 35.46 percentage points YoY on a cumulative basis. Overall, China’s die-casting zinc alloy trade from January to February showed a pattern of slightly higher exports and a significant pullback in imports.