SMM Nickel Jun 15 News: Macro and Market News: (1) As the Iran war neared the four-month mark, US-Iran peace talks achieved a breakthrough. The US, Iran, and key mediator Pakistan all indicated that an agreement had been reached and would be formally signed in Switzerland this Friday. (2) The People's Bank of China announced that on the 15th, it would conduct a 600 billion yuan outright reverse repo operation with a 6-month (183-day) tenor, using a fixed quantity, rate tender, and multiple-price auction method. Given that 600 billion yuan of this tenor matured during the month, this 6-month outright reverse repo operation was a full rollover. Spot Market: On Jun 15, SMM #1 refined nickel prices rose by 500 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. For spot premiums, Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 1,650 yuan/mt, down 100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the mainstream domestic electrodeposited nickel range was -500-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2607 contract strengthened throughout the morning session, closing the morning at 136,120 yuan/mt, up 1.27%. The US and Iran reached a memorandum of understanding in Islamabad, extending the US-Iran ceasefire by 60 days. The Strait of Hormuz is about to reopen, and both sides have declared an end to hostilities and will formally sign the agreement this Friday. The recovering macro sentiment supported a collective rebound in non-ferrous metals prices; however, the extent of the nickel price rebound remained capped by inventory, with nickel prices expected to range between 133,000-140,000 yuan/mt.
Jun 15, 2026 12:01[SMM Silicon-based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Module Price-holding Sentiment Increases Somewhat, Polysilicon Prices Remain Stable Temporarily] Last week, distributed module prices in China were mostly stable, and enterprises' willingness to hold prices firm increased somewhat, especially among some second-tier companies that had previously seen larger price declines. On the centralized side, projects have increased recently, but prices have started to decline. The lowest ex-factory price for some orders under delivery has fallen to 0.68 Yuan/W, and new order prices have also dipped below 0.7 Yuan/W. Currently, quotes for distributed high-efficiency Topcon modules are: 183 (0.734 Yuan/W), 210R (0.740 Yuan/W), and 210N (0.7425 Yuan/W); for centralized, Topcon 182/183 (0.721 Yuan/W) and 210N (0.741 Yuan/W).
Jun 15, 2026 09:27[Domestic and overseas aluminum prices see a modest simultaneous recovery; China's destocking stabilizes with limited upside room] SMM maintains its assessment that inventory will drop to around 1.28 million mt by late June, and is expected to further approach 1.2 million mt by end-June or early July. The futures market sees short-term stabilization signals, but high domestic inventory pressure remains relatively evident, which is expected to limit the upside room for domestic aluminum prices. In the short term, domestic aluminum prices are expected to mainly fluctuate and consolidate.
Jun 15, 2026 09:12[SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Minutes: US and Iran About to Sign Peace Agreement, LME Zinc Stops Falling and Rebounds]: Last Friday, LME zinc opened at $3,526.5/mt. After opening, LME zinc briefly maintained a fluctuating trend, during which it dipped to a low of $3,511.5/mt, then started a fluctuating upward trend, touching a high of $3,590.5/mt near the close, finally closing up at $3,583/mt, up $57.5/mt, an increase of 1.63%...
Jun 15, 2026 08:39[SMM Daily Review: Futures Rebound Lifts Sentiment; Local NPI Trading Volume Picks Up] Jun 12 (SMM) — The SMM high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor was 2.73, up 0.01 MoM, while the downstream sentiment factor was 1.82, also up 0.01 MoM.
Jun 12, 2026 12:17SMM Nickel, June 12: Macro and Market News: (1) Hours after Trump announced he would bomb Iran again, Trump stated that, given the consultation results with Iran have been approved by Iran’s top leadership, the strike on Iran tonight is canceled. The US-Iran agreement has entered the finalization stage and is expected to be signed in Europe this weekend. (2) The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, marking the first hike in nearly three years. ECB President Lagarde stated that today’s decision is not an aggressive move, and the 25-basis-point hike serves as a signal. Spot Market: On June 12, SMM #1 refined nickel price rose by 900 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Regarding spot premiums, Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 1,750 yuan/mt, up 400 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while domestic mainstream brand electrodeposited nickel premiums ranged from -500 to 400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2607 contract rebounded in early trading, closing the morning session at 135,370 yuan/mt, up 0.94%. US CPI exceeded expectations, fueling rate hike expectations, and the world entered a monetary tightening window. On the Indonesia side, the premium accumulated earlier due to ore scarcity is being corrected. China’s refined nickel inventory has reached a historic high, and domestic inventory continues to increase. Visible inventory pressure has not been fundamentally alleviated, and nickel prices are under pressure in the short term.
Jun 12, 2026 12:15SMM Clarification Statement SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM" or "the Company"), as a professional spot market price reporting agency and information provider, has recently noticed the circulation of false information regarding the fairness of SMM's price assessment. To avoid market misunderstandings, maintain a healthy and transparent market environment, and protect the Company's legitimate rights and interests, SMM hereby makes the following solemn clarification and statement: I. The Difference Between Spot Prices and Futures Prices is a Normal Reflection of Market Mechanisms According to basic economic principles, spot prices reflect the immediate supply-demand relationship and deliverable transaction conditions of the underlying asset, while futures prices reflect market expectations for future supply and demand, including factors such as capital cost and carrying costs. Both follow the principle of "convergence at maturity," meaning that futures prices gradually converge towards spot prices as the contract expiration date approaches. Therefore, during the life of the contract, the difference between spot prices and futures prices, especially with far-month contracts, is a normal phenomenon under the market pricing mechanism. II. Historical Data Proves the Rationality of the Price Spread Structure To objectively present the facts, SMM has made a price spread analysis chart based on publicly available market data: The chart clearly shows that from September 2023 to 2025, the monthly price spread between the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate average price and the GFEX lithium carbonate futures contract prices fluctuated between positive and negative territory, always remaining within a reasonable range, and exhibited a significant convergence trend as the contract expiration date approached. This fully aligns with the market rule of futures and spot price convergence. Comparing a certain periods' futures prices (especially those of far-month most-traded contracts) with spot assessment prices and concluding that there is a "consistent significant deviation" is fundamentally flawed in methodology and can easily mislead market judgment. Any behavior that selectively highlights short-term trends in the price spread without considering the broader context is partial and irresponsible, failing to reflect the overall market situation. III. Recent Market Risk Control Measures Recently, to maintain the stable operation of the lithium carbonate futures market and prevent potential risks, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, in accordance with its risk management rules, issued multiple notifications consecutively between November and December 2025, implementing a series of risk control measures for relevant contracts, including adjustments to transaction fee standards and trading limits. These measures represent the exchange's commitment to fulfill its self-regulatory duties in accordance with the law during specific market periods, aiming to promote the steady development of the market. IV. The Emergence, Nature, and Harm of False Information It is noteworthy that during this sensitive period, when the aforementioned risk control measures were being intensively implemented, a significant amount of false information began circulating on the Internet. While such information varies in content, it shares an identical core narrative: False claims have been made that SMM’s prices "consistently and significantly deviate from fair value and futures prices" and that "there are illegal benefit-related connections with certain institutions". These claims are entirely groundless. The timing and manner of their dissemination indicate that their purpose is not professional discussion but rather an attempt to exert improper pressure on SMM by confusing the price logic of spot and futures markets, interfere with the neutrality of spot price assessments, and consequently potentially mislead market expectations and disrupt the normal relationship between futures and spot prices. SMM hereby solemnly declares that SMM is always committed to price discovery in the spot market, does not participate in any futures market trading operations, and resolutely maintains market order. V. The Compliance, Neutrality, and Supervision Mechanisms of SMM's Price Assessment As a professional market price assessment agency, SMM always adheres to the principles of neutrality, objectivity, and fairness. SMM's price assessment methodology strictly follows the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) "Principles for Financial Benchmarks" and is subject to audits by independent third-party audit firms. In terms of internal governance, SMM has established a comprehensive firewall system to ensure that personnel and management involved in the price assessment process do not hold any related futures or spot positions, thereby eliminating conflicts of interest at an institutional level. SMM also has no history of any penalties from securities regulatory authorities for violations. We consistently maintain an open attitude towards market supervision based on facts. VI. Appeal to the Public SMM strongly condemns the recent malicious fabrication and dissemination of false information in the market, which damages SMM's commercial reputation and attempts to disrupt the order of the futures and spot markets, and has initiated legal proceedings to protect its rights. Currently, SMM is comprehensively and continuously collecting and preserving evidence related to the infringements. For suspected infringing acts, the Company will take all legal measures, including but not limited to reporting to relevant regulatory authorities and filing complaints with relevant online platforms, to resolutely pursue the legal liability of the infringing parties. SMM reserves the right to pursue all legal consequences against the relevant responsible parties. We once again call on all market participants to enhance their legal awareness and professional discernment capabilities, obtain information from authoritative channels, analyze the market rationally, resolutely resist and refuse to spread any unverified and unfounded rumors, and jointly maintain a fair, orderly, and healthy development environment for the industry chain. SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Dec 26, 2025
Dec 26, 2025 17:30