According to customs data, China imported 6,835 tonnes of lithium hydroxide in March 2026, up 66% month-on-month and double year-on-year. Of this, 2,927 tonnes came from Indonesia, accounting for about 48% of total imports, while approximately another 40% came from Australia and South Korea. During the same period, China exported 3,143 tonnes of lithium hydroxide, up 20% month-on-month but down 26% year-on-year. In terms of exports, 2,059 tonnes went to South Korea and 278 tonnes to Japan. Since 2025, the combined effect of diverging domestic and overseas demand and continued overseas supply of lithium salts has caused excess lithium hydroxide to flow one‑directionally into the Chinese market. From the fourth quarter of 2025, domestic imports of lithium hydroxide remained at persistently high levels, while exports continued to weaken. Entering the first quarter of 2026, total imports exceeded 16,000 tonnes, while total exports were less than 8,000 tonnes, resulting in net imports of more than 8,000 tonnes — a complete reversal of the trade pattern characterised by "shrinking exports and surging imports". In terms of major import sources, Japan, South Korea, Australia and Indonesia accounted for a significant share. The key reason is that both domestic demand and prices are more favourable than overseas markets: In the third quarter of 2025, driven by expectations of subsidy policy reduction in 2026 and bullish sentiment on raw material prices, demand for ternary cathode materials remained strong in the fourth quarter. While overseas lithium hydroxide production lines maintained relatively stable output, downstream demand fell short of expectations, leading to rising inventory pressure among overseas holders – who had a strong incentive to destock towards the end of the year. Price increases for lithium hydroxide overseas lagged behind those in China, creating a profitable import arbitrage window. Coupled with the anticipated launch of lithium hydroxide futures in 2026, the number of trading participants involved in lithium hydroxide imports increased significantly. Given the long negotiation cycles and relatively stable supply channels with overseas suppliers, lithium hydroxide from Japan, South Korea and Australia has continued to flow into China. However, it is worth noting that although the continuous increase in import volumes has made lithium hydroxide more readily available for trading in China from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, the quality of the lithium hydroxide flowing into the country is uneven due to the relatively customized production requirements of ternary cathode materials. As a result, there is a certain lag before it actually reaches material manufacturers. Looking ahead, as long‑term orders are steadily delivered, import volumes are expected to remain relatively high, while the potential for export growth is likely to remain limited.
Apr 30, 2026 22:48![[SMM Analysis] China's Stainless Steel Futures Hit Multi-Year Highs on Raw Material Disruptions](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/votes/imageszEUoM20260430221304.jpeg)
Scrap tightening and a major nickel-cobalt producer's output cut pushed SHFE stainless steel to levels not seen since 2023 — yet physical demand remains conspicuously absent heading into the May Day break
Apr 30, 2026 22:10According to Reuters, Glencore’s 2026 cobalt export quota, together with the carried-over volume from 2025, totals 22,800 tonnes. The company produced 5,800 tonnes of cobalt in the first quarter of 2026, down 39% year-on-year. Output from its Kamoto Copper Company (KCC) and Mutanda operations that exceeds allocated quotas is being stored locally in the DRC for future sale when market conditions improve. Constrained by export limits, the company is postponing the final processing of cobalt to cut processing costs. Current inventories at the two operations are sufficient to cover near-term export quota shipments. Glencore has mostly fulfilled its 2025 export quota in the first quarter, with the remaining volume shipped in April.
Apr 30, 2026 19:57Cost Support & Fundamental Improvement: Hot-Rolled Coil Prices Continued to Strengthen in April As of April 30, the most-traded hot-rolled coil futures contract closed at 3,425 points, up 131 points MoM from March 31. In April, SMM's national average spot price for hot-rolled coil was 3,321.78 yuan/mt, up 54.91 yuan/mt MoM (1.68%). HRC prices continued to rise in April, mainly due to relatively stable cost support. Additionally, since the start of April, on one hand, semi-finished products export orders were robust, with some steel mills prioritizing delivery of semi-finished product orders, thereby easing supply pressure in the HRC market; on the other hand, amid the peak season, HRC demand release was strong, driving rapid HRC inventory drawdown and significantly easing supply-demand imbalances. Before mid-May, HRC prices are expected to continue fluctuating at highs; in late May, attention turns to export support and the extent of demand pullback Fundamentals, few new maintenance shutdowns have been announced so far, and May HRC production is expected to rebound MoM. However, considering that some steel mills are still actively delivering earlier semi-finished product and HRC export orders, the supply rebound pressure is expected to be manageable. Demand side, the average apparent demand for HRC tracked by SMM in April was 3.3961 million mt, up 7.52% MoM and down 2.19% YoY. Since the start of April, HRC demand climbed rapidly, mainly driven by a simultaneous rebound in export orders and domestic downstream demand in China. For May, historically apparent demand for the five major steel products tends to peak and pull back around Labour Day holiday. Combined with weakening domestic trade demand in some downstream industries, further upside room for May HRC demand is expected to be limited, with overall demand likely edging down slightly MoM from April, and apparent demand levels falling below the same period last year. In the short term, downstream restocking demand expectations remain after the Labour Day holiday, coupled with expectations of a third round of coke price increases, and HRC prices are expected to fluctuate at highs for 1–2 weeks after the holiday. From mid-to-late May, steel demand faces challenges as the traditional peak season winds down, and the steel supply-demand imbalance may widen MoM, limiting further upside room for steel prices. Other aspects, attention should be paid to export order support and the extent of domestic demand pullback.
Apr 30, 2026 18:50Today, the DCE Iron ore futures strengthened today, with the most-traded contract I2609 closing at 796 yuan/mt, up 1.60% from the previous trading session. Spot prices rose 2-5 from the previous day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm in quoting, while steel mills restocked on an as-needed basis with limited inquiries
Apr 30, 2026 18:37This week, ferrous metals moved sideways and upward. During the week, as US-Iran negotiations made no progress and the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, combined with declining US crude oil inventories, Brent crude oil surged sharply, driving coking coal higher. Although BHP port spot cargoes were available for purchase, which was bearish for market sentiment, futures had already priced in related expectations earlier, so iron ore pullback was limited and cost support was relatively neutral. The Politburo meeting held mid-week had low direct correlation with ferrous metals, and ferrous metals fluctuated at highs during the week. Spot market side, end-users restocked at low prices before the holiday, and as futures rose in the latter half of the week, speculative demand was also released...
Apr 30, 2026 18:20[SMM Announcement] Launch of CIF Premiums by Lead Content for Lead Ingots from Vietnam and Malaysia
PriceApr 15, 2026 09:23SMM Clarification Statement SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "SMM" or "the Company"), as a professional spot market price reporting agency and information provider, has recently noticed the circulation of false information regarding the fairness of SMM's price assessment. To avoid market misunderstandings, maintain a healthy and transparent market environment, and protect the Company's legitimate rights and interests, SMM hereby makes the following solemn clarification and statement: I. The Difference Between Spot Prices and Futures Prices is a Normal Reflection of Market Mechanisms According to basic economic principles, spot prices reflect the immediate supply-demand relationship and deliverable transaction conditions of the underlying asset, while futures prices reflect market expectations for future supply and demand, including factors such as capital cost and carrying costs. Both follow the principle of "convergence at maturity," meaning that futures prices gradually converge towards spot prices as the contract expiration date approaches. Therefore, during the life of the contract, the difference between spot prices and futures prices, especially with far-month contracts, is a normal phenomenon under the market pricing mechanism. II. Historical Data Proves the Rationality of the Price Spread Structure To objectively present the facts, SMM has made a price spread analysis chart based on publicly available market data: The chart clearly shows that from September 2023 to 2025, the monthly price spread between the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate average price and the GFEX lithium carbonate futures contract prices fluctuated between positive and negative territory, always remaining within a reasonable range, and exhibited a significant convergence trend as the contract expiration date approached. This fully aligns with the market rule of futures and spot price convergence. Comparing a certain periods' futures prices (especially those of far-month most-traded contracts) with spot assessment prices and concluding that there is a "consistent significant deviation" is fundamentally flawed in methodology and can easily mislead market judgment. Any behavior that selectively highlights short-term trends in the price spread without considering the broader context is partial and irresponsible, failing to reflect the overall market situation. III. Recent Market Risk Control Measures Recently, to maintain the stable operation of the lithium carbonate futures market and prevent potential risks, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, in accordance with its risk management rules, issued multiple notifications consecutively between November and December 2025, implementing a series of risk control measures for relevant contracts, including adjustments to transaction fee standards and trading limits. These measures represent the exchange's commitment to fulfill its self-regulatory duties in accordance with the law during specific market periods, aiming to promote the steady development of the market. IV. The Emergence, Nature, and Harm of False Information It is noteworthy that during this sensitive period, when the aforementioned risk control measures were being intensively implemented, a significant amount of false information began circulating on the Internet. While such information varies in content, it shares an identical core narrative: False claims have been made that SMM’s prices "consistently and significantly deviate from fair value and futures prices" and that "there are illegal benefit-related connections with certain institutions". These claims are entirely groundless. The timing and manner of their dissemination indicate that their purpose is not professional discussion but rather an attempt to exert improper pressure on SMM by confusing the price logic of spot and futures markets, interfere with the neutrality of spot price assessments, and consequently potentially mislead market expectations and disrupt the normal relationship between futures and spot prices. SMM hereby solemnly declares that SMM is always committed to price discovery in the spot market, does not participate in any futures market trading operations, and resolutely maintains market order. V. The Compliance, Neutrality, and Supervision Mechanisms of SMM's Price Assessment As a professional market price assessment agency, SMM always adheres to the principles of neutrality, objectivity, and fairness. SMM's price assessment methodology strictly follows the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) "Principles for Financial Benchmarks" and is subject to audits by independent third-party audit firms. In terms of internal governance, SMM has established a comprehensive firewall system to ensure that personnel and management involved in the price assessment process do not hold any related futures or spot positions, thereby eliminating conflicts of interest at an institutional level. SMM also has no history of any penalties from securities regulatory authorities for violations. We consistently maintain an open attitude towards market supervision based on facts. VI. Appeal to the Public SMM strongly condemns the recent malicious fabrication and dissemination of false information in the market, which damages SMM's commercial reputation and attempts to disrupt the order of the futures and spot markets, and has initiated legal proceedings to protect its rights. Currently, SMM is comprehensively and continuously collecting and preserving evidence related to the infringements. For suspected infringing acts, the Company will take all legal measures, including but not limited to reporting to relevant regulatory authorities and filing complaints with relevant online platforms, to resolutely pursue the legal liability of the infringing parties. SMM reserves the right to pursue all legal consequences against the relevant responsible parties. We once again call on all market participants to enhance their legal awareness and professional discernment capabilities, obtain information from authoritative channels, analyze the market rationally, resolutely resist and refuse to spread any unverified and unfounded rumors, and jointly maintain a fair, orderly, and healthy development environment for the industry chain. SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Dec 26, 2025
Dec 26, 2025 17:30Dear User: Hello! In recent years, China has formed multiple consumption centers for spot aluminum ingot trading. With the development of the aluminum industry chain in the Southwest region, market attention to the Southwest region has gradually increased. Among them, Guangyuan is an important hub for aluminum trading in Sichuan, Shaanxi, Gansu, and Chongqing, and is also the location of the designated settlement warehouse for aluminum futures of the Shanghai Futures Exchange , where aluminum product trading has become increasingly frequent. Therefore, there is an urgent need to compile and release a price index that can fully reflect the spot price of A00 aluminum ingots in the Guangyuan region of our country, so as to objectively, truthfully, and timely reflect the supply and demand situation of the A00 aluminum ingot Spot Market in our country. Based on this, SMM will start to newly release the SMM A00 Aluminum (Guangyuan) and Premium Spot Price Points from November 20, 2025. 1. General Principles of SMM Price Methodology Shanghai Metals Market (hereinafter referred to as SMM) is a completely independent third-party service provider that does not participate in any substantial transactions. Instead, it maintains close communication with the buyers or sellers of transactions as a market observer or organizer and provides relevant services to the market. SMM continuously formulates, reviews, and revises its methodology through communication with industry insiders, adopts the most common product specifications, trade terms, and trade conditions in the industry, and equally values normal transactions that meet the specification standards. SMM reserves the right to exclude any price information deemed to be of poor reliability or unrepresentative from its quotation judgment. SMM publishes daily metal spot prices (or price indices, including those for the Chinese market, markets outside China, and the global market), commonly referred to as SMM Prices. SMM has developed corresponding methodologies for all published SMM Prices (which will be published on SMM's official website www.smm.cn for reference), and the methodologies specify the methods and procedures for the generation and publication of SMM Prices, with SMM Prices being generated and published strictly in accordance with the provisions of the methodologies. To align with the actual situation of the Spot Market, SMM will make necessary revisions to the SMM Price Methodology and announce them on the SMM official website prior to formal implementation. If you have any questions or suggestions regarding SMM prices and their methodology, please contact SMM Client Server staff (please check the contact information on the SMM official website www.smm.cn). 2. Formation of the Spot Price Point of SMM A00 (Guangyuan) 2.1 Definitions The SMM A00 (Guangyuan) Spot Price is an indicative price generated and published by SMM in accordance with this methodology, which can be adopted by both trading parties as a reference basis for the settlement of spot trade of A00 aluminum ingots in the Guangyuan region. This price reflects the most likely range of spot transaction prices before the release time of the SMM A00 aluminum ingot spot quotation on each complete working day. This price is based on the trading conditions in the Guangyuan region on the day, and other regions can adjust the actual settlement price during trading based on the market correlation between different regions on the basis of this price. 2.2 Price Generation Method SMM obtains information on the spot price of local A00 aluminum ingots in Guangyuan through standard price benchmarking methods, including the indicative transaction price provided by the price benchmarking unit, the existing transaction spot premium or discount, and the indicative transaction spot premium or discount, etc. 2.3 Product Standards A00 Aluminum Ingot: Complies with the requirements for the "Al99.70" grade in GB/T 1196-2023 Aluminum Ingots for Remelting. 2.4 Pricing Unit and Presentation Form Unit: (Renminbi) Yuan/ton. Presented in interval form, it is a tax-inclusive price (including 13% Value Added Tax) Daily quotations include the highest, lowest, and average prices of SMM A00 Aluminum (Guangyuan) and its premium or discount. 2.5 Delivery Method Same-day delivery, pick up by the buyer at Guangyuan Warehouse 2.6 Release Time 10:15 AM every working day (excluding legal holidays and weekends) 3. Methodology Changes All markets are changing, and SMM has the responsibility to ensure that the methodology for market reports changes in tandem with the market. Therefore, SMM will conduct internal reviews of the appropriateness of the methodology on a regular basis based on industry feedback. For all potential modifications that are substantial but not urgent, SMM will follow the formal external consultation process. Then, significant changes will be announced, with a notice period of at least 28 days provided to invite industry professionals to comment, unless special circumstances, especially force majeure (natural disasters, wars, exchange bankruptcies, etc.), result in a shortened notice period. SMM commits to carefully reviewing all comments regarding the proposed methodological changes, but in some cases, may have to make changes to the methodology against the wishes of some market participants. In addition, SMM has a formal methodology consultation process. SMM commits to conducting a formal consultation on the A00 aluminum quotation once every year. The date of the last consultation and the deadline for SMM's commitment to hold the next consultation are located at the top of the methodology document. In addition, SMM has a formal methodology consultation process. SMM is committed to serving enterprises in the aluminum industry chain and reducing their transaction costs. The newly added price points will be updated at 10:15 a.m. every working day. Please stay tuned. If you have any feedback, please send it to 021-51595811 (Howard Yang). Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Network Information Technology Joint Stock Company Aluminum Business Unit 2025.11.14
PriceNov 14, 2025 18:13