Analysis of Copper Scrap Market Operations in May 2026: Supply-Demand Deadlock and Structural Contradictions amid High Volatility

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,576.5/mt, dipping to $13,554.5/mt early in the session. The price center then fluctuated upward throughout the session, reaching a high of $13,747/mt near the close, and ultimately settled at $13,746.5/mt, up 1.71%. Trading volume reached 21,000 lots, and open interest reached 276,000 lots, an increase of 5,289 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened at 104,450 yuan/mt, fluctuating downward early in the session to a low of 104,100 yuan/mt. The price center then surged upward, reaching 105,290 yuan/mt near the close, and ultimately settled at 105,270 yuan/mt, up 1.17%. Trading volume reached 41,000 lots, and open interest reached 177,000 lots, a decrease of 310 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,653/mt, swung wildly in early trading to probe a high of $13,666/mt. The copper price center then fluctuated downward to touch a low of $13,512.5/mt, before swinging wildly again near the end of the session to finally close at $13,516/mt, down 0.69%, with trading volume at 23,700 lots and open interest at 270,300 lots, an increase of 1,898 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened at 104,470 yuan/mt, swung wildly in early trading to touch a high of 104,670 yuan/mt. The copper price center then dropped sharply to probe a low of 103,800 yuan/mt, before fluctuating upward to finally close at 104,010 yuan/mt, down 0.9%, with trading volume at 43,400 lots and open interest at 180,500 lots, a decrease of 942 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,625/mt, fluctuated downward in early trading to touch a low of $13,601/mt, then the price center moved sharply upward to probe $13,671/mt, before fluctuating downward again to finally close at $13,610.5/mt, down 0.18%, with trading volume at 17,000 lots and open interest at 268,000 lots, a decrease of 1,387 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened at 104,690 yuan/mt, dipped to 104,560 yuan/mt in early trading, then the price center fluctuated upward to touch a high of 105,050 yuan/mt, before experiencing wild swings to finally close at 104,760 yuan/mt, down 0.39%, with trading volume at 24,000 lots and open interest at 182,000 lots, a decrease of 17 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: LME copper was closed overnight. The most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened higher with a gap at 106,300 yuan/mt overnight. Copper prices then quickly shifted their center downward, followed by wild swings during which prices dipped to 105,420 yuan/mt. Near the end of the session, prices fluctuated upward and ultimately closed at 105,780 yuan/mt, up 0.39%. The trading volume reached 26,500 lots, and open interest stood at 181,000 lots, down 1,026 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing their positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Last Friday evening, LME copper opened at $13,624.5/mt. In the early session, it experienced wild swings and dipped to $13,575.5/mt. Subsequently, the center of copper prices shifted upward, reaching a high of $13,678/mt, before fluctuating downward to finally close at $13,635/mt, up 0.18%. Trading volume reached 16,200 lots, and open interest stood at 269,000 lots, a decrease of 3,435 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions. Last Friday evening, the most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened at 104,870 yuan/mt. In the early session, the center of copper prices fluctuated downward, touching a low of 104,420 yuan/mt. Subsequently, it fluctuated upward, reaching 105,280 yuan/mt, before moving sideways to finally close at 105,090 yuan/mt, up 0.58%. Trading volume reached 33,600 lots, and open interest stood at 172,000 lots, an increase of 627 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls adding positions.